Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Arizona Downs
Monday - September 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AZD-4   09/19/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($14.025K) 2 ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG SANDY         (bratcher ryan)LULL E 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  PANZER PRIDE Aug20 Jul18 May07 Apr13   (eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 122 8.00    
3  PAISLEY'S VISION Sep05 Aug19 Jul18 May07 Apr13 (rollins scott)ENRIQUEZ D 119 6.00    
4  HA HA FOR YOU         (roberson don)BARBER R 122 8.00    
SCR  WESTERBERG Aug26 Jul31 Jul01 Jun04   (alvarez serg)CARBAJAL KEVIN 122 2.00    
6  NEEDLES AND PINS         (zimmerman jon)BAZAN ANTONIO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  JOHN'S KID Sep05 Aug20 Jul18     (rollins s)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 2.50 39% 1.50    
8  BITCOIN BURGLAR         (zimmerman jo)YBARRA MICHAEL 119 10.00    
SCR  LOTSA SKY         (perkins frances)ELLIS DEVON 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  LOTSA LOU Aug20         (eikleberry )MORALES ALLYSSA 119 12.00    
SCR  KATAR         (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 3.50 21% 3.80    
 
AZD-5   09/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($10.525K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FABULOUS FORUM Sep10 May15 Mar17 Feb11 Feb03 (barraza s)LULL E 124 2.50 30% 2.40    
2  MISS REBEKAH Aug22 Apr18 Mar28 Mar17 Jan26 (barraza rafa)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 4.00 11% 8.40    
3  BOLD INTENTION Aug27 May07 Apr21     (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 5.00 15% 5.60    
4  WAY TO FIRE Sep10 Aug27 Aug08 Jun25 May07 (rollins scott)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.50 11% 8.30    
SCR  STOLEN HALO Sep10 Aug13 Jul30 Jul11 Apr25 (gleason m)VERGARA P 120 4.50 13% 6.50    
6  CAROLYN'S WAY Sep10 Aug27 Jun19 May08   (nelson amy)CARBAJAL KEVIN 120 20.00    
7  BONITA DIXIE Apr21 Mar31 Mar08 Feb08 Jan07 (barrio sergio)LEON A 120 15.00    
8  LIP'S OF WINE Aug27 Jul30 Jul11 May06 Apr13 (salas eliaz)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 8.00    
SCR  TRINNI SUNSET May06 Apr19 Mar31 Mar22 Mar08 (perkins frances)ELLIS DEVON 124 20.00    
 
AZD-6   09/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($17.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOTERO         (soto antoni)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 3.50 17% 4.90    
2  RONAMO Sep05 Jul09 Jun27 May03 Apr07 (barraza rafa)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 4.50 ★    
SCR  HEY PILGRIM Aug20 Jul23 Jun25 Apr21 Mar04 (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 5.00 16% 5.10    
4  RAMBLIN' MAN Aug20 Jul23 Jun25 Apr21 Mar04 (kenney dan)VERGARA P 124 1.20 34% 2.00    
SCR  SHANE ZAIN Sep10 Aug08 Jul23 Jul08 Jan09 (soto antonio)LEON A 124 15.00    
6  BRAZEN NOW Aug20 Apr21 Mar28 Mar09 Jan28 (eikleberry kev)ENRIQUEZ D 118 12.00    
7  THIEF IN THE NIGHT Aug22 Jul30 Jul09 Apr20 Mar09 (scott larry )CARBAJAL KEVIN 124 6.00 ★    
 
AZD-7   09/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.025K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEEN OF LOVE Aug21 Aug07 Jul16 Jun19 May27 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.00 12% 7.30    
2  DAZZLING MIST Sep03 Aug15 Jul23 Jul11 May07 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 124 3.50 15% 5.50    
3  TIZ TENACIOUS Aug13 Aug01 Jul16 May03 Mar30 (leon priscilla)LULL E 124 8.00    
4  TWITTERATI Sep03 Apr27 Apr08 Jan20   (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 20.00    
5  MADISON'S QUARTERS Sep03 Aug01 Jul18 Jun25 May03 (gleason tim )GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 4.00 39% 1.60    
6  WE ALL AGREE Sep03 Jan28       (rollins s)KELLENBERGER KODY 118 15.00    
7  DON'TPASSTHEPEPPER Sep03 Aug22 Aug08 Jun27 Apr26 (kereluk edward)LEON A 124 2.50    
8  IZANAMI Sep10 Aug29 Aug13 Jul19 Jun27 (ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  PALACE STAR Sep03 Aug22 Jul18 Jun25 Apr25 (perkins frances)ELLIS DEVON 122 20.00    
10  LILA'S LUCKY LADY Sep12 Sep03 Aug01 Jul18 Jul04 (villamar can)CARBAJAL KEVIN 122 20.00 7% 13.10    
 
AZD-8   09/19/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOUR O'FIVE Aug27 Jul18 Jun03 May15 Apr22 (villamar candel)ELLIS DEVON 124 20.00    
2  FINAL FINAL Sep10 Aug15 Aug08 Jul23 Jun25 (evans justin)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 5.00 6% 14.60    
3  PAYNTER'S BOY Aug08 Aug01 Jul23 May06 Apr27 (o'brien debb)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 10.00 ★    
4  RAIL HUGGER Sep05 Aug01 Jul04 May06 Apr01 (o'brien debbie)LULL E 124 8.00 5% 18.50    
5  LUCKY STEPPER Sep12 Aug15 Aug01 Jul18 May06 (weaver go)KELLENBERGER KODY 119 15.00    
6  FAMILY BIZ Sep05 Jul28 Jul01 Jun05 May06 (evans justin)LEON A 124 4.50 14% 6.00    
7  LIMONITE Sep05 Aug01 Jul23 May29 Apr22 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 126 0.60 53% 0.90    
8  INCLUDE HOO Sep12 Sep05 Aug29 Aug13 Mar20 (soto antonio)BAZAN ANTONIO 124 20.00    
 
AZD-9   09/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($16.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MACCHIATO D'ORO Sep05 May03 Apr06 Mar17 Feb25 (campo stacy)LULL E 122 15.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  THE THIRD RING Sep12 Sep05 Aug27 Aug15 Aug06 (chattong vich)BAZAN ANTONIO 122 30.00    
3  AUTISM WARRIOR Aug22 Jul18 Apr01 Jan07   (elston brent)ELLIS DEVON 122 20.00    
4  FIRST PROMISE Aug22 Aug08 Jul11 Mar28 Mar04 (george cynth)YBARRA MICHAEL 117 5.00    
5  KAT'S HITMAN Aug29 Aug08 Jul18 Jun06 May03 (nelson amy)CARBAJAL KEVIN 122 20.00    
6  GRAY MAGICIAN Aug20 Aug05 Jul22 Jun05 Jan28 (ferguson curt)LEON A 122 10.00    
7  AUDACE Jul16 Jun27 May22 Apr01 Jan19 (wheeler t)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  GATES OF HEAVEN Jul30 Jul18 Jun27 Jan15   (evans justi)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 3.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  RES IPSA LOQUITUR Sep05 Aug20 Aug06 Apr21 Apr12 (campo stacy)BARBER R 120 3.00 24% 3.10    
10  GOOD BYE PUTIN Jul01 May28 Apr03 Feb04   (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 122 5.00    
11  LARRY'S LEGEND Sep10 Aug13 Jul09 Jun27 May22 (barraza rafa)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 4.00 ★    
 
AZD-10   09/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.525K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCAT ATTACK Sep10 May07 Mar08 Feb09   (rollins s)KELLENBERGER KODY 117 3.50 20% 4.00    
2  CRYIN' CHUCK Aug08 Jul18 Jun27 Apr26 Mar08 (soto antonio)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 4.50 20% 3.90    
SCR  MI MALDITO AMOR Aug29 Aug08 Mar20 Mar12 Jan11 (o'brie)ARRIOLA-SERRANO JOSE 124 20.00    
4  ROYAL TAP Sep10 Aug27 Jul19 May17 Apr29 (nelson amy)LULL E 120 4.00 16% 5.10    
5  RI' PIN SNAP Sep05 Aug27 Apr28 Apr18 Mar22 (duarte-noriega )ELLIS DEVON 124 20.00    
6  BUBBA BAY Aug27 Apr18 Mar31     (o'brien danny)BAZAN ANTONIO 124 20.00 5% 17.30    
7  UNBRIDLED TIGER Aug27 Aug15 Apr27 Mar30 Mar08 (melton lin)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 10.00 11% 7.90    
SCR  SHADYFIED Sep12 Aug15 Jul23 Jun25 May07 (alvarez ser)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 20.00    
9  KNOCKON Aug29 Aug13 Jul30 Jul11 Apr26 (barrio sergio)VERGARA P 121 12.00    
SCR  FINGLAS LAD Sep10 Aug25 Jul30 Jul03 May06 (evans justin)LEON A 120 2.50    
11  ROUGE SUNSET Aug27 Aug08 Jul18 Jul04 Jun27 (nelson amy)CARBAJAL KEVIN 124 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.