Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Turf Paradise
Wednesday - April 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
TUP-3   04/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($30.52K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
See original race card.
:224 :442 1:082     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNMACHABLE 3 4 3.2 31   2nk 1¼ (mccartney jack)VERGARA P 122 4.50 9.20  
TONY'S TAPIT 4 5 2nk 1½   1nk 2¼ (silva jr)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.00 5.50 P
RACE HOME 6 3 5 4   4 31 (ortiz manue)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50 58% 0.70 0.40 S
AX MAN 1 6 4¼ 5   5 4 (mcfarlane)VALENZUELA A 122 2.00 10% 9.10 2.30  
PAYNTER'S BOY 2 2 6 65   6 5 (o'brien debbie)GARCIA F 122 5.00 35.30  
SENSEMAKER 5 1 1nk 2½   33 63 (ortiz sr)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 52.20  
 
TUP-4   04/27/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:49
See original race card.
:22 :444       :571   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNBRIDLED TIGER 2 3 2½ 1   1 1 (chambers mi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 0.80  
GOLD STAR STUDENT 6 5 54 43   2 2 (homer jason)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 8.00 14.80  
INCREDIBE MO 5 2 3 33   3 34 (whitehouse )CONNING CRYSTAL 124 4.00 10.70 S
MIZZEN POWER 4 6 68 68   5 4 (leon priscilla)CRUZ M 124 10.00 2.40  
TRINNI VALANTINE 3 4 44 55   45 5 (fearon johnathon)GARCIA F 124 5.00 8.00  
ANIMAL KING 1 1 1½ 2   6 614 (gleas)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 124 6.00 33% 2.10 4.40  
SCR  NACHO S               (silva rodri)SCRIVER L 118 3.50 38% 1.60    
 
TUP-5   04/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10.612K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:19
See original race card.
:221 :443 1:094     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAYITALL 3 5 6 5   34 1¼ (metz jeffrey)ZUNINO L 124 8.00 10.40  
10  FOXY CARMELA 10 1 1½ 11   1nk 2¼ (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 6% 16.70 6.00 P
INEEDAMANIANDAPEDI 8 3 2½ 21   2nk 31 (carrete j)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00 15% 5.50 19.40 S
FRIEND OF AUTISM 1 10 913½ 910   67 4 (wong jonath)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 40% 1.50 1.80  
SUBTLE RIDE 7 9 1014 1014   913 5 (cox jo)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 20.00 97.40  
TWIRLY GIRL 2 8 8 8   710 6 (nelson amy)GARCIA F 124 20.00 ######  
THECHAMPISFLORING 9 2 4 3   4 7 (bullene micha)LEAHEY HANNAH 119 8.00 18% 4.60 6.50  
TWITTERATI 6 6 77 79   1015½ 8 (campo stacy)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 12.00 38.60  
GOTTA BE LUCKY 5 4 32 44   5 9 (saldana reed)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.50 6.20  
PAIGE RUNNER 4 7 5 66   812½ 10 (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 5.00 2.10  
 
TUP-6   04/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10.612K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:48
See original race card.
:221 :444 :564     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUNLAND STAR 8 3 3 3   3.2 12 (blea jr)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 8.00 3.30  
BLOW MY MIND 5 2 1½ 1½   1nk 22 (barraza r)ENRIQUEZ D 124 2.50 37% 1.70 2.40 P
CRACK A COLD ONE 2 5 4 4   4 3 (mitchell chris )CRUZ M 124 3.50 18% 4.60 2.90 S
READY TO FORGIVE 6 1 2½ 2½   2nk 4 (espin)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 124 5.00 14% 6.10 4.10  
PURELY GIVEN 4 4 64 5   6 5 (ferguson la)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 20.00 7% 12.70 5.40  
FORTY FATHOMS 3 6 5 6   5 6 (fearon johnat)LEAHEY HANNAH 119 8.00 11.90  
RED CHARGER 1 7 810 812¾   712¼ 711 (oliver victo)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 20.00 56.40  
JACK COOL 7 8 75 7   816¼ 815¼ (navarro g)OSUNA MARTIN 124 10.00 23.40  
SCR  FLOWER BEACH               (esquibel ma)SCRIVER L 124 4.50    
 
TUP-7   04/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.7K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:17
See original race card.
:213 :441 :561     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERFECT FANNY 1 1 1½ 11   1 13 (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.00 47% 1.10 1.10 W
AVALON KING 3 3 4 53   34 23 (o'brien debbie)VERGARA P 122 6.00 9% 10.10 3.50 P
OUTLAW 2 6 3 31   2 3 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.00 2.10 S
JAZZ TOWN 5 5 53 4   5 4 (finch sherry)AGUILAR DANIEL 122 10.00 22.30  
WARFRONT FIGHTER 4 4 63 64   6 5 (simpson shannon)GARCIA F 122 8.00 19% 4.10 5.60  
BAD BEAT 6 2 2½ 21   4 69 (martinez )VALENZUELA A 122 5.00 13.20  
SCR  MAIUS               (martinez a)LINDSAY CHAD 122 3.50    
 
TUP-8   04/27/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.25K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:44
See original race card.
:221 :454       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A WHOLE LOTTA HULA 7 4 21 2nk   2nk 1¾ (toye joe)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00 2.30  
AWESOME LADY 5 2 11 1nk   1nk 2¾ (nelson amy)SCRIVER L 118 3.50 42% 1.40 1.00 P
SANDRA C 4 8 6 44   3 3 (rivera sally)VERGARA P 124 4.50 4.70 S
TALKINGNONSTOP 2 3 44 57   5 4 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.50 32% 2.10 5.40  
TAHOE BLUE 1 1 3 3   46 5 (elston bren)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 6.00 11.30  
ALEMOON 6 6 78 713½   712 613¾ (soto antoni)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 119 15.00 56.60  
VEGAS BEAUTY 3 5 56 610   611½ 714 (rollins sco)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00 40.60  
HEAVENS PENNY 8 7 89 818½   832 835¼ (martinez silv)LEAHEY HANNAH 119 10.00 27.80  
SCR  PRECIOUS ONE               (salas )FLETCHER D 124 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.