Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Arizona Downs
Saturday - July 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
AZD-4   07/30/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.025K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  KNOCKON   (eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 124 2.50 ★ 1.70  
1  PARTY POLICE   (villamar can)CARBAJAL KEVIN 120 3.00 17% 4.90 3.50 P
6  AWESOME GALAXY   (nelson amy)GARCIA F 124 4.50 18% 4.60 2.00 S
2  AWESOME LADY   (reyes norma)GARCIA ENRIQUE 120 2.00 36% 1.80 2.00  
SCR  MALIBUENA   (reyes norma)YBARRA MICHAEL 120 8.00    
SCR  SCAT ATTACK   (rollins s)KELLENBERGER KODY 120 6.00 ★    
 
AZD-5   07/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MORE HONOR   (tate mary)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 2.00 36% 1.80 2.00 W
5  CHEF   (ortiz sr)GARCIA F 122 4.50 ★ 6.60 P
4  PARLEY STREET   (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 1.80 28% 2.60 0.70 S
7  HARROVIAN   (villamar can)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 10.00 ★ 7.40  
6  THEY'RE GRRREAT   (reyes norma)CARBAJAL KEVIN 122 12.00 9.30  
SCR  CONFIDENTIALLY WHO   (urias pe)BAZAN ANTONIO 117 20.00    
SCR  GOT EVEN SMARTER   (fulmer drew)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 6.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  THE PUBLIC HALO   (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 10.00    
 
AZD-6   07/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($17.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  UNMACHABLE   (ortiz man)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 3.00 49% 1.00 1.10 W
7  GATES OF HEAVEN   (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 122 4.50 ★ 2.60 P
4  THIEF IN THE NIGHT   (scott larry )CARBAJAL KEVIN 122 12.00 7% 13.00 6.60 S
8  TENGAS MASTERPIECE   (hartman stan)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 6.00 3.90  
6  CHASING FAME   (ortiz manuel)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 8.00 4.50  
SCR  AVALON KING   (o'brien d)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 6.00 7% 12.80    
SCR  RONAMO   (barraza s)GARCIA F 124 1.80 14% 6.20    
SCR  TAPPED TO THE MAX   (evans justin)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 15.00    
 
AZD-7   07/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 MUDDY nongraded Stake Purse ($25K) 3 F PT- 7:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  KYNLIE'S EMPIRE   (rollins scott)ENRIQUEZ D 124 4.00 10% 9.30 0.80 W
2  LUCY K   (story chad)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 20.00 5% 19.00 7.00 P
5  UPTOWN RHAPSODY   (perkins frances)ELLIS DEVON 124 20.00 28.30  
4  LIP'S OF WINE   (salas eliaza)CARBAJAL KEVIN 124 15.00 ★ 11.20  
7  JOY IN THE BATTLE   (evans justi)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 2.00 1.20  
SCR  BIG HEAT   (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 1.20 38% 1.60    
SCR  WHISTLING HOME   (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 5.00 28% 2.60    
 
AZD-8   07/30/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($12.025K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MISCHIEVOUS EFFORT   (eikleberry )MORALES ALLYSSA 120 4.50 11% 7.90 4.50 W
1  STOLEN HALO   (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 120 2.50 40% 1.50 0.40 P
8  LADY M   (george cy)KELLENBERGER KODY 120 10.00 6.10  
2  FACE OF GRACE   (scott jr)ELLIS DEVON 120 20.00 30.40  
5  SHE'S BLUE DIAMOND   (melton lin)CARBAJAL KEVIN 124 8.00    
6  CLASSIC CALIFORNIA   (evans justin)YBARRA MICHAEL 120 4.00 12% 7.10 12.40  
7  SWEET LADY LANA   (esquibel mark)BAZAN ANTONIO 120 5.00 15% 5.60 5.60  
SCR  STORMY GALE   (barraza s)GARCIA F 124 3.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.