The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Arizona Downs
Saturday - July 30, 2022
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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AZD-4   07/30/2022 3300ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.025K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
:224 :463       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  KNOCKON 3 1 3½ 33½   34½ 1¼ (eikleberry kevin)VERGARA P 124 2.50 ★ 1.70  
1  PARTY POLICE 1 3 1½ 2nk   2nk 2¼ (villamar candelario)CARBAJAL KEVIN 120 3.00 17% 4.90 3.50 P
6  AWESOME GALAXY 4 2 2½ 1nk   1nk 3¼ (nelson amy)GARCIA F 124 4.50 18% 4.60 2.00 S
2  AWESOME LADY 2 4 42 45   46 42½ (reyes norma)GARCIA ENRIQUE 120 2.00 36% 1.80 2.00  
SCR  MALIBUENA               (reyes norma)YBARRA MICHAEL 120 8.00    
SCR  SCAT ATTACK               (rollins scott)KELLENBERGER KODY 120 6.00 ★    
 
AZD-5   07/30/2022 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
:23 :462 :581     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MORE HONOR 1 5 2nk 11   12½ 13¾ (tate mary)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 2.00 36% 1.80 2.00 W
5  CHEF 3 4 53¼ 53   33 23¾ (ortiz sr)GARCIA F 122 4.50 ★ 6.60 P
4  PARLEY STREET 2 3 41¼ 31½   22½ 34 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 1.80 28% 2.60 0.70 S
7  HARROVIAN 5 2 3.2 21   45½ 410½ (villamar candelario)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 10.00 ★ 7.40  
6  THEY'RE GRRREAT 4 1 1nk 41½   58 516¼ (reyes norma)CARBAJAL KEVIN 122 12.00 9.30  
SCR  CONFIDENTIALLY WHO               (urias pedro)BAZAN ANTONIO 117 20.00    
SCR  GOT EVEN SMARTER               (fulmer drew)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 6.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  THE PUBLIC HALO               (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 10.00    
 
AZD-6   07/30/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($17.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
:23 :452 :564     1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  UNMACHABLE 1 4 1nk 1nk   12½ 16¼ (ortiz sr)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 3.00 49% 1.00 1.10 W
7  GATES OF HEAVEN 4 3 3.2 2nk   22½ 26¼ (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 122 4.50 ★ 2.60 P
4  THIEF IN THE NIGHT 2 1 2nk 3½   33 37½ (scott jr)CARBAJAL KEVIN 122 12.00 7% 13.00 6.60 S
8  TENGAS MASTERPIECE 5 5 52¾ 43   46½ 410 (hartman stan)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 6.00 3.90  
6  CHASING FAME 3 2 4¼ 54½   59 511½ (ortiz sr)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 8.00 4.50  
SCR  AVALON KING               (o'brien debbie)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 6.00 7% 12.80    
SCR  RONAMO               (barraza s)GARCIA F 124 1.80 14% 6.20    
SCR  TAPPED TO THE MAX               (evans justin)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 15.00    
 
AZD-7   07/30/2022 5280ft DIRT MUDDY nongraded Stake   Purse ($25K) 3 F PT- 7:45
:233 :471 1:133 1:272   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  KYNLIE'S EMPIRE 2 2 1½ 11½ 17 17 16¾ (rollins scott)ENRIQUEZ D 124 4.00 10% 9.30 0.80 W
2  LUCY K 1 1 2½ 34½ 27 27 26¾ (story chad)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 20.00 5% 19.00 7.00 P
5  UPTOWN RHAPSODY 4 3 510 410½ 37½ 38½ 39¾ (perkins frances)ELLIS DEVON 124 20.00 28.30  
4  LIP'S OF WINE 3 5 49½ 511 411 416½ 417¼ (salas eliazar)CARBAJAL KEVIN 124 15.00 ★ 11.20  
7  JOY IN THE BATTLE 5 4 31½ 21½ 512½ 534½ 566 (evans justin)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 2.00 1.20  
SCR  BIG HEAT               (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 1.20 38% 1.60    
SCR  WHISTLING HOME               (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 5.00 28% 2.60    
 
AZD-8   07/30/2022 3300ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($12.025K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
:223 :451       :572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MISCHIEVOUS EFFORT 3 1 1½ 1½   13 15¾ (eikleberry kevin)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 4.50 11% 7.90 4.50 W
1  STOLEN HALO 1 2 33 33   33½ 25¾ (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 120 2.50 40% 1.50 0.40 P
8  LADY M 7 4 2½ 2½   23 37 (george cynthia)KELLENBERGER KODY 120 10.00 6.10  
2  FACE OF GRACE 2 5 55 45   46 49¼ (scott jr)ELLIS DEVON 120 20.00 30.40  
5  SHE'S BLUE DIAMOND 4 3 44½ 57½   58½ 511 (melton lin)CARBAJAL KEVIN 124 8.00    
6  CLASSIC CALIFORNIA 5 7 65½ 67½   69 612¼ (evans justin)YBARRA MICHAEL 120 4.00 12% 7.10 12.40  
7  SWEET LADY LANA 6 6 75½ 710½   712½ 715 (esquibel mark)BAZAN ANTONIO 120 5.00 15% 5.60 5.60  
SCR  STORMY GALE               (barraza s)GARCIA F 124 3.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.