Handicappers' Racing Form

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Arizona Downs
Saturday - July 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
AZD-4   07/30/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.025K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARTY POLICE Jul11 Apr22 Apr13 Mar21 Feb14 (villamar cande)CARBAJAL KEVIN 120 3.00 17% 4.90    
AWESOME LADY Jul11 Jun27 May07 Apr27 Apr13 (reyes norma)GARCIA ENRIQUE 120 2.00 36% 1.80    
KNOCKON Jul11 Apr26 Apr11 Feb21 Jan25 (eikleberry kevin)VERGARA P 124 2.50    
SCR  SCAT ATTACK May07 Mar08 Feb09     (rollins sco)KELLENBERGER KODY 120 6.00    
SCR  MALIBUENA Feb26 Feb14 Jan31 Jan07   (reyes norma)YBARRA MICHAEL 120 8.00    
AWESOME GALAXY Jul11 May07 Apr22 Feb04 Jan14 (nelson amy)GARCIA F 124 4.50 18% 4.60    
 
AZD-5   07/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  THE PUBLIC HALO Jul09 May02 Mar08 Feb14 Jan26 (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 10.00    
SCR  CONFIDENTIALLY WHO Apr23 Mar27 Mar13 Feb26 Jan21 (urias pedr)BAZAN ANTONIO 117 20.00    
MORE HONOR Jul09 Apr25 Mar04 Feb10 Jan20 (tate mary)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 2.00 36% 1.80    
PARLEY STREET Jul18 Jul04 Jun25 May02 Apr11 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 1.80 28% 2.60    
CHEF Jul09 May02 Mar22 Mar10 Mar01 (ortiz sr)GARCIA F 122 4.50    
THEY'RE GRRREAT Jul09 Apr18 Mar31 Mar09 Jan31 (reyes norma)CARBAJAL KEVIN 122 12.00    
HARROVIAN Jul04 May27 May07 Apr19 Mar25 (villamar cande)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 10.00    
SCR  GOT EVEN SMARTER Jul18 Jul09 Jun27 May21 Apr25 (fulmer drew)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 6.00 12% 7.30    
 
AZD-6   07/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($17.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RONAMO Jul09 Jun27 May03 Apr07 Mar28 (barraza s)GARCIA F 124 1.80 14% 6.20    
SCR  TAPPED TO THE MAX Jul09 Jun25 Mar11 Jan25   (evans justin)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 15.00    
UNMACHABLE Apr27         (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 122 3.00 49% 1.00    
THIEF IN THE NIGHT Jul09 Apr20 Mar09 Feb14 Jan25 (scott jr)CARBAJAL KEVIN 122 12.00 7% 13.00    
SCR  AVALON KING Jul18 Jul02 May06 Apr27 Jan03 (o'brien deb)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 6.00 7% 12.80    
CHASING FAME Jul09 Apr05 Mar09 Feb17 Feb03 (ortiz manuel )MORALES ALLYSSA 122 8.00    
GATES OF HEAVEN Jul18 Jun27 Jan15     (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 122 4.50    
TENGAS MASTERPIECE Jun27 Mar24 Feb16 Feb07   (hartman stan)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 6.00    
 
AZD-7   07/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 MUDDY nongraded Stake Purse ($25K) 3 F PT- 7:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BIG HEAT Jul11 Apr21 Mar11 Feb10 Jan17 (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 1.20 38% 1.60    
LUCY K Jul11 May02 Apr11     (story chad)GARCIA F 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
KYNLIE'S EMPIRE Jul11 May03 Apr11 Mar24 Mar15 (rollins scott)ENRIQUEZ D 124 4.00 10% 9.30    
LIP'S OF WINE Jul11 May06 Apr13 Apr01 Mar15 (salas eliazar)CARBAJAL KEVIN 124 15.00    
UPTOWN RHAPSODY Jul16 Apr28 Apr06 Mar22 Feb11 (perkins frances)ELLIS DEVON 124 20.00    
SCR  WHISTLING HOME Jul11 Apr28 Mar28 Feb07   (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 5.00 28% 2.60    
JOY IN THE BATTLE Jun26 May28 Apr29 Mar24 Mar12 (evans justin)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 2.00    
 
AZD-8   07/30/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($12.025K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STOLEN HALO Jul11 Apr25 Apr01 Mar15 Feb10 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 120 2.50 40% 1.50    
FACE OF GRACE Jul11 Jun27 Jan24 Jan07   (scott larry)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 120 20.00    
SCR  STORMY GALE Jun27 Apr21 Apr11 Feb24   (barraza s)GARCIA F 124 3.50    
MISCHIEVOUS EFFORT Jun27 Apr21 Apr13     (eikleberry kevin)VERGARA P 120 4.50 11% 7.90    
SHE'S BLUE DIAMOND         (melton lin)CARBAJAL KEVIN 124 8.00    
CLASSIC CALIFORNIA Jul10 May22       (evans justin)YBARRA MICHAEL 120 4.00 12% 7.10    
SWEET LADY LANA Jul11 Jun27 Apr21 Apr13 Mar24 (esquibel mark)GARCIA ENRIQUE 120 5.00 15% 5.60    
LADY M Apr25 Apr07 Mar17     (george cynt)KELLENBERGER KODY 120 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.