Handicappers' Race Results

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Arizona Downs
Monday - July 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
AZD-4   07/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.025K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:224 :454 :584     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPICY SOMMELIER 1 1 1nk 1nk   12 1 (rollins scott)ENRIQUEZ D 124 4.50 3.40  
KNOCKON 2 2 2nk 2nk   22 2 (eikleberry kevin)VERGARA P 124 4.00 5.60  
AWESOME LADY 3 3 3.2 3.2   3 3 (nelson amy)BUTTERFLY L 120 2.00 32% 2.10 0.20 S
WIN LIKE COACH P 4 4 4 4   48 45 (matt l)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 10.00 14% 6.10 12.00  
SCR  PREDETERMINATION               (gutierrez juan)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 6.00    
SCR  WORKIN NINETOFIVE               (gutierrez jua)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 1.80 21% 3.70    
 
AZD-5   07/11/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($10.525K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
See original race card.
:224 :46       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAZZLING MIST 5 5 1nk 11   1 1 (barraza s)GARCIA F 124 12.00 8.90  
SO ELUSIVE 3 6 6 54   46 2 (evans justi)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 1.80 15% 5.50 0.80 P
AVA K'S GIRL 6 3 2nk 21   2 3 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 2.00 56% 0.80 1.70 S
MISTY MATT 1 2 3.2 4   34 4 (matt wendell )MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00 11.90  
AWESOME GALAXY 4 1 4 31   5 510¾ (crotts jim)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 3.50 22.60  
PARTY POLICE 2 4 5 6   614½ 616 (villamar cande)GARCIA ENRIQUE 120 4.00 6.60  
SCR  DATQUICKCAT               (lavanway dayson)BARBER R 124 15.00    
 
AZD-6   07/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:001     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEENEYE GEORGE 5 2 3½ 2nk   1nk 12 (barraza rafael)GARCIA ENRIQUE 120 4.00 1.80  
EXTREMELY WICKED 3 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 22 (matt wendell )MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.00 60% 0.70 0.60 P
SHACKEY'S LOVE 1 4 4 412   39 312¼ (blea anthon)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 12.00 8.40 S
ARDIE THE LEGEND 4 3 2nk 34   4 416¾ (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 10.00 9.00  
BUBBAS STREET BUD 2 5 510 514½   521¼ 527½ (espinoza leonard )ROSALES G 124 20.00 12% 7.30 9.40  
SCR  CHICKEN N BISCUIT               (esquibel m)BUTTERFLY L 120 5.00    
SCR  ELIJAH SCHNELL               (barraza s)GARCIA F 124 10.00    
SCR  MIZZEN POWER               (leon priscilla)BARBER R 124 1.60    
 
AZD-7   07/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($14.025K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:45
See original race card.
:222 :443 :58     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARELESS STAR 1 6 3½ 13   1 1 (brinkerhoff val)VERGARA P 124 4.50 6.50  
BELLE MY BELLE 7 4 4 4   2 2 (story chad)BUTTERFLY L 120 12.00 7.50 P
MIRACLE OF HOPE 4 1 1½ 23   3 312¾ (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.00 1.90 S
LUCY K 8 3 5 513½   614 413½ (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 120 3.50 27% 2.70 3.50  
HOT ROD MAMA 6 7 812 616   512½ 514½ (brinkerhoff v)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 10.00 34.00  
PRINCESS AMANDA 5 2 2½ 3   412½ 617¾ (melton lin)GARCIA F 120 15.00 9.40  
TOP REFERENCES 3 5 610 717½   715½ 718 (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 6.00 12.20  
LOW DOSE 2 8 711½ 821½   833½ 841¾ (kenney dan)ELLIS DEVON 124 4.00 49% 1.10 3.20  
SCR  C'MON LETS SWITCH               (whitehouse )KELLENBERGER KODY 124 10.00    
 
AZD-8   07/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:14 1:27   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GO FOR A RIDE 9 2 21 2½ 2nk 11 1¾ (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 122 1.60 55% 0.80 1.60 W
NORTHERN QUEST (FR) 1 5 55 55 4 4 2¾ (wheeler travis)GARCIA F 122 10.00 5% 19.00 4.60 P
MAD LUTHER 3 6 4 45 3 21 34 (matt l)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 10.00 27.40  
STOCK DEAL 8 10 65 6 6 6 4 (evans justi)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 3.00 3.30  
JEDI WARRIOR 6 3 8 77 56 5 5 (blea antho)BUTTERFLY L 122 15.00 23.10  
LINEMANS CHECK 4 7 9 9 913 7 6 (barrio sergio)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 6.00 15.10  
CHECK AND RAISE 2 8 1011¾ 1013¾ 1015½ 10 79 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 122 15.00 5% 19.00 7.00  
10  KONA COAST 10 1 11 1½ 1nk 3 89 (fulmer drew)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 10.00 8% 12.20 7.20  
ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE 7 9 7 8 811½ 8 910½ (elston brent)CARBAJAL KEVIN 122 8.00 5% 18.90 16.20  
KICK IT 5 4 33 3 7 9 1016 (lavanway dayson)ELLIS DEVON 122 15.00 36.50  
 
AZD-9   07/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($25K) 3 F PT- 8:45
See original race card.
:223 :454       1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG HEAT 7 1 11 12   13 12 (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 120 4.00 21% 3.70 1.80 W
KYNLIE'S EMPIRE 6 5 5 45   3 22 (rollins scott)ENRIQUEZ D 120 6.00 17.00  
GO GO SADIE 5 3 21 22   23 3 (guerra jacq)KELLENBERGER KODY 120 3.00 24% 3.20 2.90 S
FIRST PROMISE 3 7 78 6   611½ 49 (george cynthia)VERGARA P 122 8.00 12.10  
WHISTLING HOME 4 6 6 710½   712 5 (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 120 2.00 33% 2.00 1.60  
MACLEAN'S BELLA 2 4 4 5   510 610 (gutierrez quint)GARCIA F 120 5.00 11.70  
LOTSA LACE 1 2 31 35   4 714 (cuccia sus)BUTTERFLY L 120 8.00 18.00  
 
AZD-10   07/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9.025K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:15
See original race card.
:23 :471 :594     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIP'S OF WINE 3 9 8 78   4 1¾ (salas eliazar)GARCIA ENRIQUE 120 20.00 20.40  
10  STOLEN HALO 10 5 5 3   2nk 2¾ (gleason m)VERGARA P 120 3.00 9% 9.90 0.70 P
SKY HIGH VERONIKA 9 2 43 5   3½ 3 (rollins sco)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 5.00 7.50  
SWEET LADY LANA 4 3 1½ 11   1nk 4 (esquibel m)BUTTERFLY L 120 3.50 21% 3.80 3.90  
ELLE VICTOIRE 8 10 7 67   55 5 (burney robe)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 124 15.00 39.10  
K P KRYPTON 2 11 1111¾ 913   7 610½ (cruz omar)OSUNA MARTIN 120 15.00 35.50  
FACE OF GRACE 1 6 6 810   8 716 (scott jr)CARBAJAL KEVIN 120 20.00 38.80  
VEGAS BEAUTY 5 4 33 4   67 818½ (rollins scott)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 56.90  
11  SHE'S ALL ATTITUDE 11 1 2½ 21   9 918¾ (evans justin)BARBER R 120 2.00 48% 1.10 4.20  
ALEMOON 6 7 1010¼ 1120½   1019¼ 1027¾ (soto antonio)ELLIS DEVON 124 20.00 ######  
DIXON DOLL 7 8 9 1020   1119¼ 1127¾ (matt l)YBARRA MICHAEL 120 20.00 34.60  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.