Handicappers' Race Results

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Arizona Downs
Monday - July 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
AZD-2   07/18/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($14.025K) 2 ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:224 :454       :514   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOBLE CRUSADER 1 1 2nk     11 13 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 122 1.20 45% 1.20 0.50 W
PAISLEY'S VISION 5 5 1nk     21 23 (rollins scott)YBARRA MICHAEL 119 8.00 4.60 P
PANZER PRIDE 2 3 3     3 3 (eikleberry ke)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 4.00 3.40 S
JOHN'S KID 3 2 4     4 46 (rollins sco)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 5.00 29% 2.50 5.60  
WE WANT ANOTHER 4 4 56     513 511¼ (nelson amy)GARCIA ENRIQUE 119 6.00 13.60  
SCR  SCATALICIOUS               (rollins scott)OSUNA MARTIN 119 3.50    
 
AZD-3   07/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.525K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:223 :454 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CROSS TOWN 7 1 1½ 14   14 1 (kereluk edw)VALENZUELA A 124 2.50 2.30  
HELLO HANDSOME 1 5 5 24   24 2 (breashear b)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 124 5.00 7.70  
CRYIN' CHUCK 6 3 4 56   38 3 (soto antonio)VERGARA P 124 6.00 11% 8.00 2.80 S
IMPERATOR 4 4 66 6   510½ 4 (finch sherr)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00 5% 19.00 15.20  
TRACK BOUND 3 7 3 3   4 511¼ (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 124 2.00 41% 1.40 3.60  
FOUR O'FIVE 5 6 79 710   712 611½ (peacock shane)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 12.00 10.30  
ROUGE SUNSET 2 2 2½ 4   610½ 716½ (nelson amy)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 3.00 20% 4.10 3.70  
 
AZD-4   07/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($15.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:224 :45 :571     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TW SKIPPING STONES 1 3 4¾ 3   32 1 (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 4.50 5.20  
GATES OF HEAVEN 4 2 2½ 21   1nk 2 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 122 3.50 2.00 P
JACKS OUTLAW 3 4 3½ 45   56 34 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 122 4.00 6% 15.30 3.10 S
AWHITESPORTSCOAT 5 1 1½ 11   2nk 44 (evans justi)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 3.00 16% 5.20 3.30  
AVALON KING 2 5 5 5   4 5 (o'brien debbie)BARBER R 122 2.50 53% 0.90 2.40  
SCR  DILLON ROCKS               (gutierrez juan )ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 5.00    
 
AZD-5   07/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.025K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
See original race card.
:23 :462 :583     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LILA'S LUCKY LADY 8 5 8 6   5 1 (reyes norma)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 3.00 14% 6.20 3.20 W
PALACE STAR 2 3 1nk 2½   1nk 2 (perkins franc)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 8.00 7.40  
MADISON'S QUARTERS 4 1 2nk 3½   31 3 (esquibel mark)ENRIQUEZ D 122 1.40 40% 1.50 0.80 S
SHOE GAME 6 8 7 4   4 43 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 122 6.00 4.20  
MAYBEE A DIVA 1 6 4 1½   2nk 5 (williams dewey)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 5.00 12% 7.60 12.70  
LUCKY STEPPER 3 7 6 53   6 65 (weaver gordon)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 15.00 29.10  
WINDI'S MOMENT 7 2 5 8   7 712¼ (hernandez d)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 122 20.00 52.40  
THUNDER WOMAN 5 4 31 7   8 820 (blea j)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 8.00 12% 7.60 30.80  
 
AZD-6   07/18/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($10.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
See original race card.
:223 :452       :572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
D K'S CROWN 2 3 2 2   2 1¼ (villamar candela)ENRIQUEZ D 122 1.60 0.40  
MASTER RULER 3 1 1 1   1 2¼ (salas eliaz)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 12.00 12% 7.70 14.90 P
SUNLAND STAR 5 5 6 6   56 36 (blea jr)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 15.00 26.60  
THOUGHTS OF GOLD 1 2 4 4   34 46 (wheeler travis)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 10.00 27.40  
SUCCESS RATE 6 6 5 5   68 5 (ferguson curt)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 3.50 28% 2.60 6.10  
LIL LATIGO 4 4 32 3   4 6 (lavanway dayson)ELLIS DEVON 122 6.00 21.10  
TOP ROCKET 9 9 8 810¼   7 7 (bratcher ryan)VERGARA P 122 10.00 5% 19.00 15.10  
RED HOT CAT 7 7 76 7   810½ 813½ (hernandez dann)CARBAJAL KEVIN 122 15.00 29.90  
FLOWER BEACH 8 8 9 912¼   917 920 (esquibel mark)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.00 34% 2.00 6.90  
 
AZD-7   07/18/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($15.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
See original race card.
:223 :454       :574   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUTISM WARRIOR 1 1 11 1   12 12 (elston brent)ENRIQUEZ D 122 20.00 48.20  
MISCHIEVOUSHOLIDAY 5 4 3 3   3 22 (alvarez sergio)ROSALES G 122 3.00 6% 17.10 3.50 P
THE LONGEST NIGHT 6 7 55 4   46 32 (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 2.00 65% 0.50 0.40 S
GOLD STAR STUDENT 4 3 21 2   22 4 (wheeler travis)CARBAJAL KEVIN 122 15.00 30.40  
SPEEDING STYLE 2 6 7 6   5 5 (reyes norma)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 6.00 4.90  
ON ICE 3 2 44 5   69 6 (nelson amy)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 15.00 20.80  
TRUTH TO POWER 7 5 6 78   712 7 (kenney dan)VERGARA P 122 4.00 10.90  
SCR  BRON AND THE BROW               (lavanway dayson)ELLIS DEVON 122 3.50    
 
AZD-8   07/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
See original race card.
:223 :452 :573     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING LEBRON 6 1 1nk 1   1 1½ (crotts jim)VALENZUELA A 122 8.00 7% 14.30 6.70 W
PARLEY STREET 3 7 7 77   6 2½ (evans justi)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 2.50 51% 1.00 1.30 P
GOT EVEN SMARTER 7 6 4 33   2 3 (fulmer drew)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 4.50 17% 4.90 6.10 S
WINNING MAGIC 1 5 6 6   5 44 (gutierrez juan )ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 5.00 4.30  
PICK YOUR BID 2 2 5 54   4 5 (soto antonio)VERGARA P 124 15.00 8.30  
FIGHT ME 4 3 2nk 2   34 6 (nelson amy)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.00 3.60  
JAZZ TOWN 5 4 32 43   7 7 (finch sherry)CARBAJAL KEVIN 122 15.00 20.60  
SCR  PROVOST               (alvarez sergio)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 4.00    
 
AZD-9   07/18/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($10.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:45
See original race card.
:221 :452       :573   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SANTALUZ DREAMIN 5 2 2nk 1nk   1nk 1 (crotts jim)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00 13% 6.50 2.60 W
FAMOUS ROCK STAR 6 5 3½ 2nk   2nk 2 (bratcher ryan)VERGARA P 122 3.00 24% 3.20 4.00 P
ALBANY FRONT 4 8 6 66   4 3 (gutierrez juan )ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.50 34% 1.90 3.90 S
AUTISM CAN DO 2 1 1nk 3½   3 4 (wolf ashlee)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 10.00 13.70  
DON'TTEASETHETIGER 8 4 53 5   53 5 (ferguson curt)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 2.50 3.30  
KICK IT 1 7 87 8   6 6 (lavanway dayson)ELLIS DEVON 122 10.00 45.20  
CAUSE AND EFFECT 7 6 76 79   76 7 (villamar cande)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 4.00 3.10  
BIGGER THAN YOU 3 3 41 4   811 817½ (cruz omar)CARBAJAL KEVIN 117 20.00 57.90  
SCR  FRENCH GENERAL               (reyes norma)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 122 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.