Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Arizona Downs
Monday - July 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AZD-2   07/18/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($14.025K) 2 ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOBLE CRUSADER         (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 122 1.20 45% 1.20    
2  PANZER PRIDE May07 Apr13       (eikleberry )MORALES ALLYSSA 122 4.00 ★    
3  JOHN'S KID         (rollins s)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 5.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  SCATALICIOUS May07 Apr13       (rollins scott)OSUNA MARTIN 119 3.50 ★    
5  WE WANT ANOTHER Jul10         (nelson amy)GARCIA ENRIQUE 119 6.00    
6  PAISLEY'S VISION May07 Apr13       (rollins scot)YBARRA MICHAEL 119 8.00 ★    
 
AZD-3   07/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.525K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HELLO HANDSOME Apr26 Mar24 Feb17 Jan18 Jan03 (breashear)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 124 5.00    
2  ROUGE SUNSET Jul04 Jun27 Apr26 Mar10 Feb22 (nelson amy)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 3.00 20% 4.10    
3  TRACK BOUND Jul09 May28 Apr29 Mar25 Mar02 (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 124 2.00 41% 1.40    
4  IMPERATOR Apr26 Mar10 Jan31 Jan18   (finch she)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  FOUR O'FIVE Jun03 May15 Apr22 Apr10 Mar26 (peacock shan)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 12.00    
6  CRYIN' CHUCK Jun27 Apr26 Mar08 Feb15   (soto antonio)VERGARA P 124 6.00 11% 8.00    
7  CROSS TOWN Jun27 May06 Mar22     (kereluk e)VALENZUELA A 124 2.50 ★    
 
AZD-4   07/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($15.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TW SKIPPING STONES Jun25 May07 Apr11 Mar07   (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 4.50    
2  AVALON KING Jul02 May06 Apr27 Jan03   (o'brien debbie)BARBER R 122 2.50 53% 0.90    
SCR  DILLON ROCKS Jun25 Mar21 Feb21 Jan19   (gutierrez jua)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 5.00 ★    
4  JACKS OUTLAW May06 Apr18 Apr01 Mar10 Jan14 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 122 4.00 6% 15.30    
5  GATES OF HEAVEN Jun27 Jan15       (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 122 3.50 ★    
6  AWHITESPORTSCOAT Jul02 Mar12 Jan28     (evans jus)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 3.00 16% 5.20    
 
AZD-5   07/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.025K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAYBEE A DIVA May07 Apr14 Mar27 Mar13 Feb25 (williams dew)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 5.00 12% 7.60    
2  PALACE STAR Jun25 Apr25 Mar18 Mar10 Feb25 (perkins fra)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 8.00    
3  LUCKY STEPPER May06 Apr20 Apr06 Mar16 Feb25 (weaver gordon)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 15.00    
4  MADISON'S QUARTERS Jun25 May03 Apr20 Apr08   (esquibel mark)ENRIQUEZ D 122 1.40 40% 1.50    
5  THUNDER WOMAN Jun25 May15 May03 Apr14 Apr05 (blea tony)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 8.00 12% 7.60    
6  SHOE GAME Apr20 Mar30 Mar15 Mar04 Feb22 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 122 6.00 ★    
7  WINDI'S MOMENT Apr24 Apr02 Mar20 Mar13 Feb27 (hernandez danny)BARBER R 122 20.00    
8  LILA'S LUCKY LADY Jul04 May22 Apr28 Apr06 Mar28 (reyes norma)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 3.00 14% 6.20    
 
AZD-6   07/18/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($10.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THOUGHTS OF GOLD Apr03 Mar26 Mar14 Mar01 Feb14 (wheeler trav)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 10.00    
2  D K'S CROWN Jul04 May28 Apr19 Mar06 Feb12 (villamar cande)ENRIQUEZ D 122 1.60 ★    
3  MASTER RULER         (salas eli)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 12.00 12% 7.70    
4  LIL LATIGO Jul09 Jun27 May20 May13 Apr29 (lavanway dayson)ELLIS DEVON 122 6.00    
5  SUNLAND STAR Jun27 Apr27 Apr19 Apr03 Mar20 (blea j)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 15.00    
6  SUCCESS RATE Mar30 Mar15 Mar01 Feb08 Jan18 (ferguson cur)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 3.50 28% 2.60    
7  RED HOT CAT Jul09 Feb27 Feb05 Jan14   (hernandez da)CARBAJAL KEVIN 122 15.00    
8  FLOWER BEACH Apr12 Mar30 Mar07 Feb17 Jan31 (esquibel mark)BARBER R 122 4.00 34% 2.00    
9  TOP ROCKET Jul04 May06 Apr19 Apr11 Mar17 (bratcher ryan)VERGARA P 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
AZD-7   07/18/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($15.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BRON AND THE BROW Jul04 May08 Mar02 Feb16 Feb01 (lavanway dayson)ELLIS DEVON 122 3.50 ★    
2  AUTISM WARRIOR Apr01 Jan07       (elston brent)ENRIQUEZ D 122 20.00    
3  SPEEDING STYLE Apr26 Apr01 Mar24 Feb16 Jan24 (reyes norma)REYES-FRISBY D 122 6.00    
4  ON ICE Jun27 May06 Apr01 Mar20 Feb21 (nelson amy)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 15.00 ★    
5  GOLD STAR STUDENT Jun27 May15 Apr27 Mar30   (wheeler trav)CARBAJAL KEVIN 122 15.00    
6  MISCHIEVOUSHOLIDAY         (alvarez sergio)BARBER R 122 3.00 6% 17.10    
7  THE LONGEST NIGHT         (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 2.00 65% 0.50    
8  TRUTH TO POWER Apr14 Mar14 Feb24 Jan16 Jan07 (kenney dan)VERGARA P 122 4.00 ★    
 
AZD-8   07/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINNING MAGIC Jun27 May02 Apr20 Apr04 Mar14 (gutierrez jua)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 5.00 ★    
2  PICK YOUR BID Jun27         (soto antonio)VERGARA P 124 15.00    
3  PARLEY STREET Jul04 Jun25 May02 Apr11 Mar22 (evans jus)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 2.50 51% 1.00    
4  FIGHT ME Jun27 Apr24 Apr01 Mar26 Mar12 (nelson amy)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.00 ★    
5  JAZZ TOWN Jun27 Apr27 Mar18 Feb11 Jan12 (finch sherry)BARBER R 122 15.00    
SCR  PROVOST Jul02 May02 Apr11 Mar30 Mar16 (alvarez serg)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 4.00    
7  KING LEBRON Jun27 May02 Apr08 Mar22 Mar01 (crotts ji)VALENZUELA A 122 8.00 7% 14.30    
8  GOT EVEN SMARTER Jul09 Jun27 May21 Apr25 Apr08 (fulmer drew)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 4.50 17% 4.90    
 
AZD-9   07/18/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($10.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KICK IT Jul11 May28 May21 Apr30 Mar22 (lavanway dayson)ELLIS DEVON 122 10.00    
2  AUTISM CAN DO Apr18 Feb14 Jan26 Jan14   (wolf ashlee)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 10.00 ★    
3  BIGGER THAN YOU Jul04         (cruz omar)CARBAJAL KEVIN 117 20.00    
4  ALBANY FRONT Jun25 May06 Apr06 Mar07 Feb16 (gutierrez jua)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.50 34% 1.90    
5  SANTALUZ DREAMIN         (crotts ji)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00 13% 6.50    
6  FAMOUS ROCK STAR Jun27 Apr21 Mar18 Mar04 Feb17 (bratcher ryan)VERGARA P 122 3.00 24% 3.20    
7  CAUSE AND EFFECT Jun25 May28 May14 Apr30 Apr04 (villamar can)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 4.00    
SCR  FRENCH GENERAL Jun27 Apr02 Mar20 Mar06 Feb26 (reyes norma)REYES-FRISBY D 122 20.00    
9  DON'TTEASETHETIGER Apr12 Mar22 Feb28 Feb15 Jan19 (ferguson cu)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 2.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.