Handicappers' Race Results

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Arizona Downs
Monday - July 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
AZD-5   07/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.525K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
See original race card.
:244 :483 1:131 1:254   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED BOTTOM REBEL 3 1 12 1 19 112 117½ (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 1.40 10% 8.70 0.20 W
KELL'S KISS 1 4 4 3 29 212 217½ (blea jr)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00 5.40 P
EBB AND FLOW 4 2 3 2 310½ 314 318¼ (lavanway dayso)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 15.00 5% 19.00 9.70 S
WISHFUL WON 2 3 22 46 412 415½ 418¼ (wheeler travis)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 8.00 3.50  
SCR  LADY JADE               (leon priscilla)BARBER R 124 1.20 61% 0.70    
SCR  TIZ TENACIOUS               (leon prisci)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 5.00    
 
AZD-6   07/04/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
See original race card.
:223 :444 :571     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARLEY STREET 1 5 4 3   1nk 1 (ferguson curt)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 1.80 52% 0.90 0.60 W
D K'S CROWN 6 1 2nk 2nk   2nk 2 (villamar candelario)GARCIA F 124 10.00 2.30 P
HARROVIAN 2 2 1nk 1nk   3.2 3 (villamar candela)ENRIQUEZ D 124 12.00 9.10  
EL CHUMELITO 5 6 6 6   6 47 (wheeler travis)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 15.00 6.60  
TOP ROCKET 3 4 53 5   5 5 (bratcher ryan)VERGARA P 124 8.00 19% 4.30 12.40  
UNCLE FLOYD 4 3 3 4   4 611½ (espinoza leona)CARBAJAL KEVIN 124 15.00 25.80  
SCR  OLDER BROTHER               (evans justi)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 0.80    
 
AZD-7   07/04/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($10.525K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
See original race card.
:22 :454       :574   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROUGE SUNSET 7 3 4 3   2 1¼ (nelson amy)BUTTERFLY L 124 4.50 8.20  
BRON AND THE BROW 1 2 2nk 1½   1 2¼ (lavanway dayson)BARBER R 124 12.00 10.20  
GONE SOMEWHERE 2 6 6 5   4 33 (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 4.00 10% 8.70 3.90 S
RANCHER 3 5 5 67   56 4 (esquibel mark)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 20.00 10.60  
SOLEROCKER 6 1 3.2 2½   32 5 (breashear bill)GARCIA F 124 2.00 29% 2.40 1.70  
BEAR BRIAN 5 7 710¾ 710½   6 6 (bratcher ryan)VERGARA P 124 3.00 10% 8.70 3.30  
ILLUMINATE D STORM 4 4 1nk 4   713½ 719½ (matt wendell )MORALES ALLYSSA 124 5.00 27% 2.70 4.70  
SCR  AUTISM WARRIOR               (elston brent)ENRIQUEZ D 124 20.00    
 
AZD-8   07/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($17.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
See original race card.
:243 :481 1:122 1:25   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RACE HOME 1 2 2 1nk 12 13 16 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 122 1.60 46% 1.20 0.20 W
RAIL HUGGER 3 3 35 31 22 23 26 (o'brien debbie)GARCIA F 122 4.50 4.00  
WE'RE JUST SAYIN 4 4 423 419 415½ 416 318½ (wolf ashlee)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 6.00 8% 11.60 4.40 S
OSTINI 2 1 1 2nk 3 314 435 (weaver gord)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 15.00 15.70  
SCR  LIMONITE               (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 122 1.40    
SCR  MR. DOUGIE FRESH               (evans justi)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 8.00 16% 5.20    
 
AZD-9   07/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($9.525K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:45
See original race card.
:222 :453 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LILA'S LUCKY LADY 3 6 43 3   3½ 1nk (villamar cande)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 2.50 15% 5.50 1.60 W
TIZ TOFFEE 6 3 31 2½   1½ 2nk (whitehouse )KELLENBERGER KODY 124 3.00 14% 6.10 5.10 P
MOUNTAIN PASS 2 7 76 5   43 32 (lewis kevin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 4.00 6.90 S
TOTHEMOONANDBACK 1 2 1½ 1½   2½ 4 (lavanway dayson)BARBER R 124 3.50 14% 6.00 1.40  
RUN FOR BELLE 7 4 5 44   5 5 (rollins scott)VERGARA P 124 15.00 34.10  
TWIRLY GIRL 4 5 65 68   6 619 (nelson amy)BUTTERFLY L 124 20.00 12.80  
BIGGER THAN YOU 5 1 2½ 710   727½ 750½ (cruz omar)CARBAJAL KEVIN 124 15.00 11.30  
SCR  SONGOFTHEDESERT               (reyes norma)GARCIA F 124 4.50 30% 2.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.