Handicappers' Racing Form

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Arizona Downs
Monday - July 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
AZD-5   07/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.525K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KELL'S KISS May07 Feb12 Jan22     (blea jr)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00    
WISHFUL WON Apr14 Mar31 Mar05 Feb25 Jan25 (wheeler travis)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 8.00    
SCR  TIZ TENACIOUS May03 Mar30 Mar16 Feb09 Jan07 (leon prisci)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 5.00    
RED BOTTOM REBEL Jun25 Apr28 Apr19 Apr06 Mar11 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 1.40 10% 8.70    
EBB AND FLOW Jun25 May14 Apr12 Mar20 Feb28 (lavanway dayso)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LADY JADE May06 Mar22 Mar01 Feb18 Jan19 (leon priscilla)BARBER R 124 1.20 61% 0.70    
 
AZD-6   07/04/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARLEY STREET Jun25 May02 Apr11 Mar22 Jan26 (ferguson curt)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 1.80 52% 0.90    
HARROVIAN May27 May07 Apr19 Mar25 Mar11 (villamar candela)ENRIQUEZ D 124 12.00    
TOP ROCKET May06 Apr19 Apr11 Mar17 Feb28 (bratcher ryan)VERGARA P 124 8.00 19% 4.30    
UNCLE FLOYD Mar27 Mar19       (espinoza leona)CARBAJAL KEVIN 124 15.00    
EL CHUMELITO May22 May14 Apr25 Mar30 Mar04 (wheeler travis)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 15.00    
D K'S CROWN May28 Apr19 Mar06 Feb12   (villamar candelario)GARCIA F 124 10.00    
SCR  OLDER BROTHER May20         (evans justi)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 0.80    
 
AZD-7   07/04/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($10.525K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRON AND THE BROW May08 Mar02 Feb16 Feb01 Jan17 (lavanway dayson)BARBER R 124 12.00    
GONE SOMEWHERE Apr20 Apr01 Mar12 Feb07 Jan18 (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 4.00 10% 8.70    
RANCHER Apr28 Apr20 Apr07 Mar10 Feb14 (esquibel mark)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 20.00    
ILLUMINATE D STORM Apr29 Mar29 Mar15 Feb25 Jan29 (matt wendell )MORALES ALLYSSA 124 5.00 27% 2.70    
BEAR BRIAN Apr28 Apr04 Mar24 Mar14 Mar02 (bratcher ryan)VERGARA P 124 3.00 10% 8.70    
SOLEROCKER May07 Apr20       (breashear bill)GARCIA F 124 2.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  AUTISM WARRIOR Apr01 Jan07       (elston brent)ENRIQUEZ D 124 20.00    
ROUGE SUNSET Jun27 Apr26 Mar10 Feb22 Feb02 (nelson amy)BUTTERFLY L 124 4.50    
 
AZD-8   07/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($17.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RACE HOME Apr27 Apr05 Mar11 Mar02   (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 122 1.60 46% 1.20    
OSTINI May07 Apr19 Mar16 Jan19   (weaver gordon)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 15.00    
SCR  LIMONITE May29 Apr22 Apr02     (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 122 1.40    
SCR  MR. DOUGIE FRESH May07 Apr29 Feb26 Jan30   (evans justi)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 8.00 16% 5.20    
RAIL HUGGER May06 Apr01 Mar14 Feb14   (o'brien debbie)GARCIA F 122 4.50    
WE'RE JUST SAYIN May29 May02 Apr11 Mar27 Mar16 (wolf ashlee)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 6.00 8% 11.60    
 
AZD-9   07/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($9.525K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOTHEMOONANDBACK Jun25 May13 Apr02 Mar27 Mar18 (lavanway dayson)BARBER R 124 3.50 14% 6.00    
MOUNTAIN PASS Mar30 Mar10 Feb25 Jan28 Jan08 (lewis kevin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 4.00    
SCR  SONGOFTHEDESERT Apr28 Mar31 Mar16 Mar07 Feb03 (reyes norma)GARCIA F 124 4.50 30% 2.30    
LILA'S LUCKY LADY May22 Apr28 Apr06 Mar28 Mar08 (villamar cande)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 2.50 15% 5.50    
TWIRLY GIRL Apr27 Apr14 Apr02 Mar28 Mar16 (nelson amy)BUTTERFLY L 124 20.00    
BIGGER THAN YOU         (cruz omar)CARBAJAL KEVIN 124 15.00    
TIZ TOFFEE Feb20         (whitehouse )KELLENBERGER KODY 124 3.00 14% 6.10    
RUN FOR BELLE May03         (rollins scott)VERGARA P 124 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.