Handicappers' Race Results

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Arizona Downs
Saturday - July 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
AZD-6   07/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($14.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
See original race card.
:221 :453       1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POPS AWESOME 5 1 31 2   11 1 (williams dewey)GARCIA ENRIQUE 120 3.50 2.20  
OUR VALLEY 1 5 42 1   21 2 (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 120 4.00 23% 3.30 3.20 P
YOU'RE MY BOY KAT 2 4 1½ 3   33 314½ (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 120 1.20 25% 2.90 1.10 S
GABE'S MONSTER 4 2 53 57   48 422 (brinkerhoff val)VERGARA P 124 4.50 18% 4.70 5.90  
DALE'S ADDICTION 3 3 2½ 4   59 528 (kenney dan)ELLIS DEVON 124 15.00 10.90  
SCR  INCREDIBE MO               (whitehouse )KELLENBERGER KODY 124 5.00    
 
AZD-7   07/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.525K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:45
See original race card.
:221 :454 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AVA K'S GIRL 2 2 1nk 12   1 13 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 1.60 51% 1.00 0.70 W
TIZ TENACIOUS 3 3 3 3   2 23 (leon priscilla)BARBER R 124 2.50 3.60 P
KID CAT 4 4 43 22   3 3 (whitehouse )KELLENBERGER KODY 124 3.50 6.00 S
RUN FOR BELLE 5 5 5 5   4 4 (rollins scott)VERGARA P 124 15.00 5% 19.00 13.30  
UPTOWN RHAPSODY 1 6 612 611   510½ 510½ (perkins france)GARCIA ENRIQUE 120 10.00 25.90  
TOTHEMOONANDBACK 6 1 2nk 47   610¾ 617¾ (lavanway dayso)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 3.00 20% 4.00 4.00  
 
AZD-8   07/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
See original race card.
:22 :45 :571     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA CASTIGLIONE 4 2 32 1nk   1 1½ (gutierrez juan )LEAHEY HANNAH 124 1.20 37% 1.70 0.60 W
SENORADIABLO 6 4 4 4   2 2½ (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 124 1.60 26% 2.90 2.90 P
SEMI SWEET 3 6 610 6   67 3 (ortiz manue)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 12.00 22.20  
LAST PUNCH 1 1 1 2nk   3 47 (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 8.00 14% 6.20 4.00  
SEVEN POINTS 5 5 58 55   56 59 (gleason m)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 8.00 8.80  
J T'S LA NENA 2 3 2 31   4 613¾ (nelson amy)ENRIQUEZ D 124 10.00 16.40  
SCR  IZE A CRAFTY GAL               (hinojos alvaro)BARBER R 124 12.00    
 
AZD-9   07/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($11.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:45
See original race card.
:244 :481 1:131 1:26   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALIBOGEE 4 4 5 1 15 11 1¼ (ferguson curt)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 3.00 26% 2.90 2.00 W
HAVEULOSTYOURMIND 5 3 43 3 3 31 2¼ (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 124 3.50 3.30 P
AUDACE 3 6 6 5 25 21 3 (wheeler travis)CARBAJAL KEVIN 124 4.50 43% 1.30 1.80 S
HIGH FLYIN TIGER 2 2 3 4 57 4 4 (perkins fra)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 124 8.00 15.30  
THE THIRD RING 1 1 1nk 2 4 5 520¼ (chattong vichien)ELLIS DEVON 124 15.00 22.30  
AUTISM SAVANT 7 5 2nk 65 613 617½ 626½ (nelson amy)ENRIQUEZ D 124 4.00 4.30  
SMOOTHING IRON 6 7 723¾ 725 733 737½ 7100 (lavanway dayso)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 20.00 22.60  
SCR  FOUR O'FIVE               (peacock sha)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 12.00    
SCR  MORE FIREWATER               (wolf ashlee)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 5.00 6% 16.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.