Handicappers' Race Results

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Arizona Downs
Monday - September 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
AZD-3   09/12/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.525K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:214 :45       :511   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISCHIEVOUS EFFORT 5 1 11     13 1 (eikleberry ke)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 1.60 0.50  
SPEEDY GIGI 4 2 21     23 2 (kereluk edward)LULL E 124 1.80 2.20 P
SWEET LADY LANA 3 6 68     49 313 (gleason m)GARCIA ENRIQUE 120 4.00 16% 5.20 9.30 S
PRECIOUS ONE 1 3 5     39 414¼ (salas eliazar)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 3.00 37% 1.70 11.70  
BIG WAVE BETTY 2 4 46     6 519¼ (perkins frances)BAZAN ANTONIO 124 20.00 23.20  
CURRENTLYMYPROBLEM 6 5 34     5 622¾ (jensen loren)CARBAJAL KEVIN 124 15.00 13% 6.60 15.40  
 
AZD-4   09/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($11.525K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:25 :492 1:14 1:261   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALIBOGEE 3 3 2½ 21 2½ 1 16 (ferguson curt)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 3.00 23% 3.30 0.80 W
INCLUDE HOO 1 4 31 3 3 2 26 (soto antonio)BAZAN ANTONIO 124 20.00 14.40 P
HAVEULOSTYOURMIND 4 2 4 44 44 4 3 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 124 3.00 1.10 S
ADD ON 2 1 1½ 11 1½ 33 412 (kenney dan)LEON A 124 8.00 4.80  
SCR  GONE SOMEWHERE               (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 2.50 12% 7.30    
SCR  PAYNTER'S BOY               (o'brien deb)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 1.80 36% 1.80    
 
AZD-5   09/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($15.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:131 1:264   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARRABIATA 4 3 21 2nk 1½ 1 1 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 118 2.00 2.90  
TRUTH TO POWER 6 4 55 65 53 4 2 (kenney dan)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 6.00 13.20 P
THE LONGEST NIGHT 1 7 3 3.2 2½ 2 3 (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 1.80 68% 0.50 0.40 S
FULL VISION 2 1 45 5 4 54 4 (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 4.00 18.00  
HIGH FLYIN TIGER 7 5 6 4 65 67 5 (perkins frances)ELLIS DEVON 122 20.00 25.50  
THE THIRD RING 5 2 11 1nk 3½ 33 610¼ (chattong vichien)LULL E 122 20.00 65.40  
SHADYFIED 3 8 8 89 7 78 712 (alvarez sergio)CARBAJAL KEVIN 118 12.00 12.70  
MIZZEN POWER 8 6 7 7 8 810 817½ (leon priscilla)LEON A 122 8.00 17.70  
 
AZD-6   09/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.025K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:15
See original race card.
:25 :49 1:131 1:26   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEMI SWEET 2 5 53 5 3 21 11 (ortiz manue)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 4.00 27% 2.80 2.10 W
BORN TO REIGN 5 4 31 21 2 31 21 (evans justin)LEON A 124 3.50 9.50 P
KYNLIE'S EMPIRE 3 2 1½ 11 1 11 32 (rollins scott)ENRIQUEZ D 122 10.00 8.70 S
SENORADIABLO 4 3 4 4 4 4 4 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 124 0.80 42% 1.40 0.90  
HOLY TUTTA BELLA 1 1 2½ 31 54 5 514½ (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 126 4.50 3.80  
SCR  WORKIN NINETOFIVE               (gutierrez juan)GARCIA ENRIQUE 120 20.00    
 
AZD-7   09/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.025K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:45
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:124 1:254   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISCERNMENT 1 3 1 1 14 13 1 (whitehouse r)LULL E 122 1.60 61% 0.60 1.00 W
MS SALLY 7 7 76 74 812¾ 3 2 (o'brien debbie)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 8.00 5.40  
LUCKY STEPPER 3 4 33 32 3 23 3 (weaver gord)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 10.00 5.70  
LILA'S LUCKY LADY 6 5 54 4 6 4 411 (villamar candelar)LEON A 122 12.00 6% 16.30 13.20  
SEVEN POINTS 8 6 65 53 5 5 513½ (gleason m)VERGARA P 124 1.80 3.90  
SHOE GAME 2 1 2 2 24 6 615 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 122 8.00 8% 11.20 12.10  
REALREALGOOD 5 8 811½ 8 712½ 713½ 716¾ (blea jr)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 20.00 50.10  
BURNADEBT 4 2 43 63 47 817 826¾ (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 6.00 11.70  
 
AZD-8   09/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($9.525K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
See original race card.
:223 :453 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUCCESS RATE 7 4 42 31   2½ 1 (ferguson curt)LEON A 124 1.20 39% 1.60 1.40 W
KONA COAST 3 1 1½ 1nk   1½ 2 (fulmer drew)LULL E 124 1.60 30% 2.30 1.10 P
UNCLE FLOYD 4 2 31 2nk   3½ 3 (espinoza leonar)BAZAN ANTONIO 124 4.00 7% 14.20 9.30 S
THEY'RE GRRREAT 9 3 2½ 5   5 4 (reyes norma)ELLIS DEVON 124 8.00 7.70  
OUTLAW BY NATURE 6 6 6 6   6 57 (jensen loren)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 15.00 14.50  
SMILING MATT 5 5 52 4   43 612¼ (soto antonio)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00 11.10  
SPORT COAT 8 7 716½ 715½   719½ 723 (blea jr)ENRIQUEZ D 120 20.00 56.30  
SCR  AUTISM SAVANT               ( )TBA null      
SCR  MONUMENTAL SEVEN               ( )TBA null      
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.