The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Arizona Downs
Monday - September 12, 2022
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
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Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
 
AZD-3   09/12/2022 2970ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.525K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
:214 :45       :511   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MISCHIEVOUS EFFORT 5 1 11     13 14¾ (eikleberry kevin)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 1.60 ★ 0.50  
4  SPEEDY GIGI 4 2 21     23 24¾ (kereluk edward)LULL E 124 1.80 ★ 2.20 P
3  SWEET LADY LANA 3 6 68     49 313 (gleason m)GARCIA ENRIQUE 120 4.00 16% 5.20 9.30 S
1  PRECIOUS ONE 1 3 56½     39 414¼ (salas eliazar)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 3.00 37% 1.70 11.70  
2  BIG WAVE BETTY 2 4 46     69¾ 519¼ (perkins frances)BAZAN ANTONIO 124 20.00 23.20  
6  CURRENTLYMYPROBLEM 6 5 34     59½ 622¾ (jensen loren)CARBAJAL KEVIN 124 15.00 13% 6.60 15.40  
 
AZD-4   09/12/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($11.525K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
:25 :492 1:14 1:261   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CALIBOGEE 3 3 2½ 21 2½ 11½ 16 (ferguson curt)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 3.00 23% 3.30 0.80 W
1  INCLUDE HOO 1 4 31 31½ 31½ 21½ 26 (soto antonio)BAZAN ANTONIO 124 20.00 ★ 14.40 P
6  HAVEULOSTYOURMIND 4 2 43½ 44 44 43½ 37½ (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 124 3.00 ★ 1.10 S
3  ADD ON 2 1 1½ 11 1½ 33 412 (kenney dan)LEON A 124 8.00 4.80  
SCR  GONE SOMEWHERE               (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 2.50 12% 7.30    
SCR  PAYNTER'S BOY               (o'brien debbie)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 1.80 36% 1.80    
 
AZD-5   09/12/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($15.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
:24 :474 1:131 1:264   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ARRABIATA 4 3 21 2nk 1½ 12½ 13¼ (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 118 2.00 ★ 2.90  
6  TRUTH TO POWER 6 4 55 65 53 43½ 23¼ (kenney dan)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 6.00 ★ 13.20 P
1  THE LONGEST NIGHT 1 7 32½ 3.2 2½ 22½ 34¾ (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 1.80 68% 0.50 0.40 S
2  FULL VISION 2 1 45 54¾ 42½ 54 45¾ (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 4.00 ★ 18.00  
7  HIGH FLYIN TIGER 7 5 65¼ 44¾ 65 67 58½ (perkins frances)ELLIS DEVON 122 20.00 25.50  
5  THE THIRD RING 5 2 11 1nk 3½ 33 610¼ (chattong vichien)LULL E 122 20.00 65.40  
3  SHADYFIED 3 8 88¾ 89 75¼ 78 712 (alvarez sergio)CARBAJAL KEVIN 118 12.00 12.70  
8  MIZZEN POWER 8 6 76¼ 76½ 86¼ 810 817½ (leon priscilla)LEON A 122 8.00 ★ 17.70  
 
AZD-6   09/12/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($18.025K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:15
:25 :49 1:131 1:26   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SEMI SWEET 2 5 53 53½ 33½ 21 11 (ortiz sr)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 4.00 27% 2.80 2.10 W
6  BORN TO REIGN 5 4 31 21 21½ 31 21 (evans justin)LEON A 124 3.50 ★ 9.50 P
4  KYNLIE'S EMPIRE 3 2 1½ 11 11½ 11 32 (rollins scott)ENRIQUEZ D 122 10.00 ★ 8.70 S
5  SENORADIABLO 4 3 41½ 42½ 43½ 42½ 47¼ (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 124 0.80 42% 1.40 0.90  
1  HOLY TUTTA BELLA 1 1 2½ 31 54 55½ 514½ (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 126 4.50 ★ 3.80  
SCR  WORKIN NINETOFIVE               (gutierrez quintana)GARCIA ENRIQUE 120 20.00    
 
AZD-7   09/12/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.025K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:45
:241 :474 1:124 1:254   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DISCERNMENT 1 3 11½ 11½ 14 13 11½ (whitehouse r)LULL E 122 1.60 61% 0.60 1.00 W
7  MS SALLY 7 7 76 74 812¾ 35½ 21½ (o'brien debbie)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 8.00 5.40  
3  LUCKY STEPPER 3 4 33 32 35½ 23 33¼ (weaver gordon)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 10.00 5.70  
6  LILA'S LUCKY LADY 6 5 54 42½ 67½ 47½ 411 (villamar candelario)LEON A 122 12.00 6% 16.30 13.20  
8  SEVEN POINTS 8 6 65 53 57½ 58½ 513½ (gleason m)VERGARA P 124 1.80 ★ 3.90  
2  SHOE GAME 2 1 21½ 21½ 24 68½ 615 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 122 8.00 8% 11.20 12.10  
5  REALREALGOOD 5 8 811½ 88½ 712½ 713½ 716¾ (blea jr)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 20.00 ★ 50.10  
4  BURNADEBT 4 2 43 63 47 817 826¾ (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 6.00 11.70  
 
AZD-8   09/12/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($9.525K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
:223 :453 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SUCCESS RATE 7 4 42 31   2½ 11¾ (ferguson curt)LEON A 124 1.20 39% 1.60 1.40 W
3  KONA COAST 3 1 1½ 1nk   1½ 21¾ (fulmer drew)LULL E 124 1.60 30% 2.30 1.10 P
4  UNCLE FLOYD 4 2 31 2nk   3½ 32¾ (espinoza a)BAZAN ANTONIO 124 4.00 7% 14.20 9.30 S
9  THEY'RE GRRREAT 9 3 2½ 52½   53½ 45¾ (reyes norma)ELLIS DEVON 124 8.00 ★ 7.70  
6  OUTLAW BY NATURE 6 6 65½ 64½   64½ 57 (jensen loren)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 15.00 14.50  
5  SMILING MATT 5 5 52 41½   43 612¼ (soto antonio)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00 ★ 11.10  
8  SPORT COAT 8 7 716½ 715½   719½ 723 (blea jr)ENRIQUEZ D 120 20.00 56.30  
SCR  AUTISM SAVANT               ( )TBA null      
SCR  MONUMENTAL SEVEN               ( )TBA null      
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.