Handicappers' Racing Form

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Arizona Downs
Monday - September 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
AZD-3   09/12/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.525K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRECIOUS ONE Aug27 Aug06       (salas eliazar)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 3.00 37% 1.70    
BIG WAVE BETTY Sep03 Aug22 Aug13 Jul23   (perkins frances)BAZAN ANTONIO 124 20.00    
SWEET LADY LANA Sep03 Jul30 Jul11 Jun27 Apr21 (gleason m)GARCIA ENRIQUE 120 4.00 16% 5.20    
SPEEDY GIGI Aug13 Jul23       (kereluk edward)LULL E 124 1.80    
MISCHIEVOUS EFFORT Aug20 Jul30 Jun27 Apr21 Apr13 (eikleberry ke)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 1.60    
CURRENTLYMYPROBLEM Jul23 Apr03 Mar27 Mar12 Feb27 (jensen loren)CARBAJAL KEVIN 124 15.00 13% 6.60    
 
AZD-4   09/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($11.525K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INCLUDE HOO Sep05 Aug29 Aug13 Mar20 Mar09 (soto antonio)BAZAN ANTONIO 124 20.00    
SCR  PAYNTER'S BOY Aug08 Aug01 Jul23 May06 Apr27 (o'brien deb)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 1.80 36% 1.80    
ADD ON Aug29 Aug01 Jul09 Apr26 Apr11 (kenney dan)LEON A 124 8.00    
SCR  GONE SOMEWHERE Aug29 Aug06 Jul04 Apr20 Apr01 (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 2.50 12% 7.30    
CALIBOGEE Aug08 Jul16 Jun27 May21 Apr30 (ferguson curt)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 3.00 23% 3.30    
HAVEULOSTYOURMIND Aug15 Aug01 Jul16 Apr26 Apr18 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 124 3.00    
 
AZD-5   09/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($15.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE LONGEST NIGHT Aug01 Jul18       (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 1.80 68% 0.50    
FULL VISION Aug20 Jun27 May02 Mar30   (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 4.00    
SHADYFIED Aug15 Jul23 Jun25 May07 Apr26 (alvarez sergio)CARBAJAL KEVIN 118 12.00    
ARRABIATA Apr16 Mar13 Jan23     (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 118 2.00    
THE THIRD RING Sep05 Aug27 Aug15 Aug06 Jul16 (chattong vichien)LULL E 122 20.00    
TRUTH TO POWER Aug29 Aug06 Jul18 Apr14 Mar14 (kenney dan)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 6.00    
HIGH FLYIN TIGER Aug29 Aug22 Aug15 Aug01 Jul16 (perkins frances)ELLIS DEVON 122 20.00    
MIZZEN POWER Aug29 Jul23 May07 Apr27 Apr04 (leon priscilla)LEON A 122 8.00    
 
AZD-6   09/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.025K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLY TUTTA BELLA Aug22 Aug08 Apr19 Apr06 Mar11 (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 126 4.50    
SEMI SWEET Aug15 Jul16 Apr26 Mar31 Feb02 (ortiz manue)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 4.00 27% 2.80    
SCR  WORKIN NINETOFIVE Sep03 Aug22 May07 Apr26 Mar24 (gutierrez juan)GARCIA ENRIQUE 120 20.00    
KYNLIE'S EMPIRE Aug15 Jul30 Jul11 May03 Apr11 (rollins scott)ENRIQUEZ D 122 10.00    
SENORADIABLO Aug15 Jul16 Jun27 Apr26 Mar31 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 124 0.80 42% 1.40    
BORN TO REIGN Jul23 Jun18 May21 Apr30 Apr08 (evans justin)LEON A 124 3.50    
 
AZD-7   09/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.025K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISCERNMENT Sep03 Aug08 Apr02 Feb27 Feb04 (whitehouse r)LULL E 122 1.60 61% 0.60    
SHOE GAME Aug20 Aug01 Jul18 Apr20 Mar30 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 122 8.00 8% 11.20    
LUCKY STEPPER Aug15 Aug01 Jul18 May06 Apr20 (weaver gord)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 10.00    
BURNADEBT Sep03 Aug20 Aug08 Jul09 Apr21 (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 6.00    
REALREALGOOD Aug29 Aug12 Jun12 Apr24 Mar08 (blea jr)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 20.00    
LILA'S LUCKY LADY Sep03 Aug01 Jul18 Jul04 May22 (villamar candelar)LEON A 122 12.00 6% 16.30    
MS SALLY Aug15 May03 Feb22 Jan27 Jan11 (o'brien debbie)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 8.00    
SEVEN POINTS Aug20 Aug08 Jul16 Jun25 Apr28 (gleason m)VERGARA P 124 1.80    
 
AZD-8   09/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($9.525K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KONA COAST Aug29 Aug13 Jul11 May27 Apr18 (fulmer drew)LULL E 124 1.60 30% 2.30    
UNCLE FLOYD Aug29 Jul04 Mar27 Mar19   (espinoza leonar)BAZAN ANTONIO 124 4.00 7% 14.20    
SMILING MATT Aug08 Feb17 Jan18     (soto antonio)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00    
OUTLAW BY NATURE Aug13 May07 Apr03 Mar20 Mar06 (jensen loren)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 15.00    
SUCCESS RATE Aug22 Aug06 Jul18 Mar30 Mar15 (ferguson curt)LEON A 124 1.20 39% 1.60    
SPORT COAT Sep03 Aug15 Aug06 Jul23 Jun25 (blea jr)ENRIQUEZ D 120 20.00    
THEY'RE GRRREAT Aug29 Jul30 Jul09 Apr18 Mar31 (reyes norma)ELLIS DEVON 124 8.00    
SCR  AUTISM SAVANT Aug29 Aug01 Jul16 May13 Apr28 ( )TBA null      
SCR  MONUMENTAL SEVEN Aug29 May07 Apr21 Mar25 Mar04 ( )TBA null      
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.