Handicappers' Race Results
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Arizona Downs
Saturday - August 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race results
 
AZD-5   08/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($15.025K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
See original race card.
:221 :45 :573     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GO GO SADIE 1 4 41½ 31   11½ 12 (guerra jacque)VERGARA P 118 1.60 37% 1.70 0.40 W
6  MIRACLE OF HOPE 5 3 3½ 2½   21½ 22 (villamar ca)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 5.00 5% 19.00 6.10 P
2  WAY TO FIRE 2 1 2½ 1½   31½ 33½ (rollins scott)LEON A 122 4.50 ★ 7.60 S
3  LIP'S OF WINE 3 5 57½ 57½   47½ 44 (salas eliazar)MORALES ALLYSSA 118 10.00 ★ 10.20  
4  BOLD INTENTION 4 2 1½ 41½   59 515¼ (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 2.00 34% 1.90 4.20  
SCR  FABULOUS FORUM               (barraza s)ENRIQUEZ D 122 6.00    
 
AZD-6   08/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($3.5K) Purse ($8.525K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:15
See original race card.
:23 :462 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  PRECIOUS ONE 5 1 2nk 2nk   1nk 11 (salas eliazar)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.50 59% 0.70 2.60 W
1  CLASSIC CALIFORNIA 1 3 32 42   31 21 (blea jr)BAZAN ANTONIO 120 10.00 2.00  
4  STORMY GALE 4 2 1nk 1nk   2nk 36 (barraza s)ENRIQUEZ D 124 5.00 5% 17.70 3.40 S
6  MANDONA 6 5 42¼ 31½   42½ 47 (evans justin)LEON A 124 2.00 6% 14.60 2.40  
3  ELLE VICTOIRE 3 6 64¾ 56   55½ 511 (burney robert)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 20.00 ★ 25.60  
2  VEGAS BEAUTY 2 7 52¼ 68½   610½ 625 (rollins scott)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 20.00 15.50  
7  ALEMOON 7 4 713¾ 715½   714½ 726¼ (perkins france)CARBAJAL KEVIN 124 20.00 32.70  
SCR  LADY M               (rollins sco)KELLENBERGER KODY 120 1.80 8% 11.30    
 
AZD-7   08/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($10.525K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
See original race card.
:223 :451 :583     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SOLEROCKER 1 2 1nk 3.2   1½ 1¼ (breashear bill)ENRIQUEZ D 124 0.80 36% 1.80 0.70 W
5  DEPUTY'S DANCER 4 4 54¾ 56¼   44 2¼ (belloc umbert)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 6.00 14% 6.20 3.70 P
6  THE THIRD RING 5 1 3.2 1nk   2½ 32¼ (chattong vichie)BAZAN ANTONIO 124 15.00 36.80  
7  KEENEYE GEORGE 6 5 64¾ 66¾   58 47¼ (barraza rafael)GARCIA ENRIQUE 120 4.50 ★ 5.10  
3  UNBRIDLED TIGER 2 6 2nk 2nk   33 59¾ (melton lin)CARBAJAL KEVIN 124 4.00 15% 5.50 4.90  
4  RI' PIN SNAP 3 3 42¼ 44¼   69 616½ (duarte-noriega jo)ELLIS DEVON 124 20.00 7.70  
SCR  ON ICE               (nelson amy)LEON A 124 8.00 11% 8.20    
 
AZD-8   08/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.525K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
See original race card.
:231 :461 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  PICK YOUR BID 5 3 1nk 1½   1½ 12 (soto antonio)CARBAJAL KEVIN 124 3.50 23% 3.40 3.30 W
8  ROYAL TAP 6 1 41½ 3½   2½ 22 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 120 2.50 1.60  
6  HELLO HANDSOME 4 4 3½ 2½   31 32¼ (melton lin)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 1.80 24% 3.20 3.10 S
3  ROUGE SUNSET 3 2 2nk 41   44 44½ (nelson amy)LEON A 124 3.00 ★ 2.60  
2  FOUR O'FIVE 2 6 64½ 53½   56½ 55½ (villamar cand)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00 13.00  
1  BUBBA BAY 1 5 54 64   66½ 67¾ (o'brien danny)ELLIS DEVON 124 20.00 22% 3.50 18.70  
SCR  DEPUTY KNIGHT               (o'brien danny)ELLIS DEVON 124 30.00    
SCR  INDY MOON               (blea jr)BAZAN ANTONIO 124 15.00 6% 16.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.