Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Arizona Downs
Saturday - August 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AZD-5   08/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($15.025K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GO GO SADIE Aug08 Jul11 May07     (guerra jacque)VERGARA P 118 1.60 37% 1.70    
2  WAY TO FIRE Aug08 Jun25 May07     (rollins scott)LEON A 122 4.50 ★    
3  LIP'S OF WINE Jul30 Jul11 May06 Apr13 Apr01 (salas eliaz)MORALES ALLYSSA 118 10.00 ★    
4  BOLD INTENTION May07 Apr21       (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 2.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  FABULOUS FORUM May15 Mar17 Feb11 Feb03   (barraza rafael)ENRIQUEZ D 122 6.00    
6  MIRACLE OF HOPE Aug06 Jul11 Jul01 Jun10 May06 (villamar )KELLENBERGER KODY 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
AZD-6   08/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($3.5K) Purse ($8.525K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLASSIC CALIFORNIA Aug13 Jul30 Jul10 May22   (blea jr)OSUNA MARTIN 120 10.00    
2  VEGAS BEAUTY Jul11 Apr27 Apr01 Mar17   (rollins scot)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 20.00    
3  ELLE VICTOIRE Aug06 Jul11 Jun27 Mar12 Mar04 (burney rober)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 20.00 ★    
4  STORMY GALE Aug13 Jun27 Apr21 Apr11 Feb24 (barraza rafael)ENRIQUEZ D 124 5.00 5% 17.70    
5  PRECIOUS ONE Aug06         (salas eliaz)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.50 59% 0.70    
6  MANDONA Jul19 Jun28 Jun18 May27 Apr15 (evans justin)LEON A 124 2.00 6% 14.60    
7  ALEMOON Aug06 Jul23 Jul11 Jun27 Apr27 (perkins fran)CARBAJAL KEVIN 124 20.00    
SCR  LADY M Aug13 Jul30 Apr25 Apr07 Mar17 (rollins s)KELLENBERGER KODY 120 1.80 8% 11.30    
 
AZD-7   08/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($10.525K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ON ICE Jul18 Jun27 May06 Apr01 Mar20 (nelson amy)LEON A 124 8.00 11% 8.20    
2  SOLEROCKER Aug06 Jul04 May07 Apr20   (breashear bill)ENRIQUEZ D 124 0.80 36% 1.80    
3  UNBRIDLED TIGER Aug15 Apr27 Mar30 Mar08 Feb16 (melton lin)CARBAJAL KEVIN 124 4.00 15% 5.50    
4  RI' PIN SNAP Apr28 Apr18 Mar22 Feb08   (duarte-noriega )ELLIS DEVON 124 20.00    
5  DEPUTY'S DANCER Aug15 Aug01 Jul09 Jun27 Apr08 (belloc umbe)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 6.00 14% 6.20    
6  THE THIRD RING Aug15 Aug06 Jul16 May02 Apr12 (chattong vich)BAZAN ANTONIO 124 15.00    
7  KEENEYE GEORGE Aug06 Jul11 Apr26 Apr12 Mar23 (barraza rafa)GARCIA ENRIQUE 120 4.50 ★    
 
AZD-8   08/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.525K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUBBA BAY Apr18 Mar31       (o'brien dann)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 20.00 22% 3.50    
2  FOUR O'FIVE Jul18 Jun03 May15 Apr22 Apr10 (villamar ca)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00    
3  ROUGE SUNSET Aug08 Jul18 Jul04 Jun27 Apr26 (nelson amy)LEON A 124 3.00 ★    
SCR  INDY MOON Aug14 Aug03       (blea tony)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 15.00 6% 16.20    
SCR  DEPUTY KNIGHT Apr14 Mar10 Feb14 Jan24   (o'brien danny)ELLIS DEVON 124 30.00    
6  HELLO HANDSOME Jul18 Apr26 Mar24 Feb17 Jan18 (melton lin)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 1.80 24% 3.20    
7  PICK YOUR BID Aug01 Jul18 Jun27     (soto antonio)CARBAJAL KEVIN 124 3.50 23% 3.40    
8  ROYAL TAP Jul19 May17 Apr29 Mar31 Mar16 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 120 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.