Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Arizona Downs
Monday - August 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
AZD-3   08/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($15.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MORE FIREWATER   (garcia je)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 3.00 ★ 6.30  
5  BRUIN MAGIC   (nelson amy)LEON A 120 2.00 26% 2.90 3.40 P
4  DEPUTY'S DANCER   (belloc umbe)MORALES ALLYSSA 118 15.00 7% 13.10 12.70 S
1  SPEEDING STYLE   (wolf ashlee)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 4.00 ★ 4.00  
3  MR LOVE MUFFIN   (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 118 2.50 26% 2.90 1.80  
6  UNBRIDLED TIGER   (melton lin)GARCIA F 122 5.00 2.80  
 
AZD-4   08/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  THE BEAT   (evans justin)LEON A 124 1.80 ★ 0.80  
2  HAVEULOSTYOURMIND   (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 124 3.50 ★ 5.20 P
6  FINAL FINAL   (evans justin)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 2.00 39% 1.50 2.20 S
3  HIGH FLYIN TIGER   (perkins fra)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 10.00 ★ 26.10  
4  WE'RE JUST SAYIN   (wolf ashlee)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 3.00 37% 1.70 5.10  
1  THE THIRD RING   (chattong vic)CARBAJAL KEVIN 122 20.00 30.30  
 
AZD-5   08/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($11.025K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  DAZZLING MIST   (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 124 1.80 48% 1.10 1.70 W
5  QUEENS RANSOM   (zimmerman)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 8.00 7.00  
7  DIRT FLIRT   (barraza rafa)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 1.40 ★ 0.90 S
3  JOY IN THE BATTLE   (evans justin)LEON A 120 4.00 ★ 8.10  
2  UPTOWN RHAPSODY   (perkins fra)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 12.00 28.10  
4  PERFECT EDITION   (jensen loren)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 12.00 8% 11.90 20.20  
1  JAZZY EINSTEIN   (finch sherry)ENRIQUEZ D 124 15.00 15% 5.60 19.30  
 
AZD-6   08/15/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GOT EVEN SMARTER   (fulmer drew)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 6.00 11% 8.10 2.90 W
3  HARROVIAN   (villamar candel)VERGARA P 122 12.00 11.10  
2  KING LEBRON   (crotts jim)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 4.00 9% 10.10 2.00 S
6  JAZZ TOWN   (finch sherry)LEON A 122 20.00 21.20  
8  MORE HONOR   (tate mary)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 2.50 46% 1.20 0.90  
5  CURRENTLY KRAZY   (jensen loren)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 20.00 33.10  
SCR  AWHITESPORTSCOAT   (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 122 1.60 13% 6.70    
SCR  CRYIN' CHUCK   (soto antonio)CARBAJAL KEVIN 122 20.00    
SCR  WINNING MAGIC   (gutierrez jua)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 10.00 ★    
 
AZD-7   08/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA CASTIGLIONE   (gutierrez jua)LEAHEY HANNAH 126 1.20 35% 1.80 0.80 W
7  SENORADIABLO   (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 124 1.40 28% 2.60 1.10 P
3  SEMI SWEET   (ortiz man)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 10.00 14% 6.30 10.50 S
5  MS SALLY   (o'brien debbie)LEON A 124 20.00 48.80  
6  LUCKY STEPPER   (weaver gord)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00 ★ 28.80  
2  KYNLIE'S EMPIRE   (rollins scott)ENRIQUEZ D 122 5.00 ★ 8.80  
SCR  WE ALL AGREE   (rollins scott)LEON A 120 15.00    
 
AZD-8   08/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($3.5K) Purse ($8.525K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SHADYFIED   (alvarez serg)GARCIA ENRIQUE 120 2.00 31% 2.20 0.70 W
1  HERE'S YOUR DRINK   (nelson amy)CARBAJAL KEVIN 124 8.00 18.30  
5  BEL RAGAZZO   (villamar cande)ENRIQUEZ D 120 3.00 ★ 3.10 S
4  SHACKEY'S LOVE   (blea tony)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 3.50 35% 1.80 7.60  
2  SPORT COAT   (blea j)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 10.00 9% 9.90 13.70  
8  SIERRA SNOW STORM   (nelson amy)LEON A 120 4.00 5.00  
7  BUBBAS STREET BUD   (espinoza leon)BAZAN ANTONIO 124 20.00 ★ 76.40  
3  ZEE RED MILES   (wheeler trav)YBARRA MICHAEL 120 20.00 76.10  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.