Handicappers' Race Results

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Arizona Downs
Monday - August 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
AZD-3   08/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($15.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:222 :452 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORE FIREWATER 2 3 1½ 1½   13 12 (garcia jesu)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 3.00 6.30  
BRUIN MAGIC 5 1 6 42   33 22 (nelson amy)LEON A 120 2.00 26% 2.90 3.40 P
DEPUTY'S DANCER 4 2 2½ 2½   23 3 (belloc umbert)MORALES ALLYSSA 118 15.00 7% 13.10 12.70 S
SPEEDING STYLE 1 6 5 54   4 48 (wolf ashlee)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 4.00 4.00  
MR LOVE MUFFIN 3 4 4¾ 6   611½ 511¾ (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 118 2.50 26% 2.90 1.80  
UNBRIDLED TIGER 6 5 3½ 32   510 613¾ (melton lin)GARCIA F 122 5.00 2.80  
 
AZD-4   08/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:252 :50 1:141 1:393   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE BEAT 5 2 4 31 11 14 14 (evans justin)LEON A 124 1.80 0.80  
HAVEULOSTYOURMIND 2 6 67 68 4 34 24 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 124 3.50 5.20 P
FINAL FINAL 6 5 23 2nk 21 24 3 (evans justin)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 2.00 39% 1.50 2.20 S
HIGH FLYIN TIGER 3 3 55 5 5 4 46 (perkins franc)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 10.00 26.10  
WE'RE JUST SAYIN 4 4 3 44 6 5 5 (wolf ashlee)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 3.00 37% 1.70 5.10  
THE THIRD RING 1 1 13 1nk 34 6 617¾ (chattong vichi)CARBAJAL KEVIN 122 20.00 30.30  
 
AZD-5   08/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($11.025K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
See original race card.
:221 :451 :571     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAZZLING MIST 6 2 1 12   1 14 (barraza s)VERGARA P 124 1.80 48% 1.10 1.70 W
QUEENS RANSOM 5 3 2 22   2 24 (zimmerman j)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 8.00 7.00  
DIRT FLIRT 7 1 6 48   46 3 (barraza rafael)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 1.40 0.90 S
JOY IN THE BATTLE 3 4 34 3   36 413¼ (evans justin)LEON A 120 4.00 8.10  
UPTOWN RHAPSODY 2 7 710½ 714   614¼ 516¾ (perkins franc)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 12.00 28.10  
PERFECT EDITION 4 6 56 511   514 617½ (jensen loren)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 12.00 8% 11.90 20.20  
JAZZY EINSTEIN 1 5 4 611½   720¼ 740¼ (finch sherry)ENRIQUEZ D 124 15.00 15% 5.60 19.30  
 
AZD-6   08/15/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
See original race card.
:223 :46       :573   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOT EVEN SMARTER 3 4 43 3   2nk 1¼ (fulmer drew)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 6.00 11% 8.10 2.90 W
HARROVIAN 2 1 2 22   1nk 2¼ (villamar candelar)VERGARA P 122 12.00 11.10  
KING LEBRON 1 3 1 12   3.2 34 (crotts jim)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 4.00 9% 10.10 2.00 S
JAZZ TOWN 5 5 33 45   4 4 (finch sherry)LEON A 122 20.00 21.20  
MORE HONOR 6 6 5 5   5 5 (tate mary)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 2.50 46% 1.20 0.90  
CURRENTLY KRAZY 4 2 66 611   611¼ 612½ (jensen loren)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 20.00 33.10  
SCR  AWHITESPORTSCOAT               (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 122 1.60 13% 6.70    
SCR  CRYIN' CHUCK               (soto antonio)CARBAJAL KEVIN 122 20.00    
SCR  WINNING MAGIC               (gutierrez juan )LEAHEY HANNAH 117 10.00    
 
AZD-7   08/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:45
See original race card.
:242 :474 1:123 1:25   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA CASTIGLIONE 1 1 2nk 1nk 1 1 1 (gutierrez juan )LEAHEY HANNAH 126 1.20 35% 1.80 0.80 W
SENORADIABLO 6 4 4 4 2 2 2 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 124 1.40 28% 2.60 1.10 P
SEMI SWEET 3 6 6 6 4 34 32 (ortiz manue)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 10.00 14% 6.30 10.50 S
MS SALLY 4 5 5 5 6 410 412½ (o'brien debbie)LEON A 124 20.00 48.80  
LUCKY STEPPER 5 3 3½ 3.2 55 510 514½ (weaver gordon)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00 28.80  
KYNLIE'S EMPIRE 2 2 1nk 2nk 32 611½ 617½ (rollins scott)ENRIQUEZ D 122 5.00 8.80  
SCR  WE ALL AGREE               (rollins scott)LEON A 120 15.00    
 
AZD-8   08/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($3.5K) Purse ($8.525K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
See original race card.
:244 :493 1:144 1:28   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHADYFIED 6 3 3 2½ 2 1½ 1 (alvarez sergio)GARCIA ENRIQUE 120 2.00 31% 2.20 0.70 W
HERE'S YOUR DRINK 1 1 6 6 3 34 2 (nelson amy)CARBAJAL KEVIN 124 8.00 18.30  
BEL RAGAZZO 5 2 2nk 1½ 1 2½ 3 (villamar candela)ENRIQUEZ D 120 3.00 3.10 S
SHACKEY'S LOVE 4 5 7 5 5 4 48 (blea j)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 3.50 35% 1.80 7.60  
SPORT COAT 2 8 812½ 811 615 513 514¼ (blea jr)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 10.00 9% 9.90 13.70  
SIERRA SNOW STORM 8 7 5 32 4 625 634¾ (nelson amy)LEON A 120 4.00 5.00  
BUBBAS STREET BUD 7 6 1nk 4 723 743 757¾ (espinoza leonar)BAZAN ANTONIO 124 20.00 76.40  
ZEE RED MILES 3 4 42 77 825½ 848 862¼ (wheeler travis)YBARRA MICHAEL 120 20.00 76.10  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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