Handicappers' Racing Form

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Arizona Downs
Monday - August 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
AZD-3   08/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($15.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEEDING STYLE Aug01 Jul18 Apr26 Apr01 Mar24 (wolf ashlee)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 4.00    
MORE FIREWATER Aug01 May20 Feb15 Jan30 Jan08 (garcia jesu)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 3.00    
MR LOVE MUFFIN Apr21 Mar28 Mar07 Feb22 Jan20 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 118 2.50 26% 2.90    
DEPUTY'S DANCER Aug01 Jul09 Jun27 Apr08   (belloc umbert)MORALES ALLYSSA 118 15.00 7% 13.10    
BRUIN MAGIC Aug06 Jul09 Jun25 May29 Apr23 (nelson amy)LEON A 120 2.00 26% 2.90    
UNBRIDLED TIGER Apr27 Mar30 Mar08 Feb16   (melton lin)GARCIA F 122 5.00    
 
AZD-4   08/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE THIRD RING Aug06 Jul16 May02 Apr12 Mar23 (chattong vichi)CARBAJAL KEVIN 122 20.00    
HAVEULOSTYOURMIND Aug01 Jul16 Apr26 Apr18 Mar30 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 124 3.50    
HIGH FLYIN TIGER Aug01 Jul16 Jun27 May06 Apr18 (perkins franc)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 10.00    
WE'RE JUST SAYIN Jul23 Jul04 May29 May02 Apr11 (wolf ashlee)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 3.00 37% 1.70    
THE BEAT Jul28 Jul10 Jul04 May15 Feb21 (evans justin)LEON A 124 1.80    
FINAL FINAL Aug08 Jul23 Jun25 Jun03 Apr30 (evans justin)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 2.00 39% 1.50    
 
AZD-5   08/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($11.025K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAZZY EINSTEIN Apr05 Feb16 Feb08     (finch sherry)ENRIQUEZ D 124 15.00 15% 5.60    
UPTOWN RHAPSODY Jul30 Jul16 Apr28 Apr06 Mar22 (perkins franc)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 12.00    
JOY IN THE BATTLE Jul30 Jun26 May28 Apr29 Mar24 (evans justin)LEON A 120 4.00    
PERFECT EDITION Jul09 Apr14 Mar14 Jan21 Jan07 (jensen loren)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 12.00 8% 11.90    
QUEENS RANSOM Jul23 Jun25 Apr28 Apr13 Mar28 (zimmerman j)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 8.00    
DAZZLING MIST Jul23 Jul11 May07 Mar28 Feb04 (barraza s)VERGARA P 124 1.80 48% 1.10    
DIRT FLIRT May07 Mar31 Jan30     (barraza s)GARCIA F 124 1.40    
 
AZD-6   08/15/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WINNING MAGIC Jul18 Jun27 May02 Apr20 Apr04 (gutierrez juan )LEAHEY HANNAH 117 10.00    
KING LEBRON Jul18 Jun27 May02 Apr08 Mar22 (crotts jim)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 4.00 9% 10.10    
HARROVIAN Jul30 Jul04 May27 May07 Apr19 (villamar candelar)VERGARA P 122 12.00    
GOT EVEN SMARTER Aug08 Jul18 Jul09 Jun27 May21 (fulmer drew)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 6.00 11% 8.10    
CURRENTLY KRAZY Jun25 May02 Apr21 Mar26 Mar12 (jensen loren)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 20.00    
JAZZ TOWN Jul18 Jun27 Apr27 Mar18 Feb11 (finch sherry)LEON A 122 20.00    
SCR  CRYIN' CHUCK Aug08 Jul18 Jun27 Apr26 Mar08 (soto antonio)CARBAJAL KEVIN 122 20.00    
MORE HONOR Jul30 Jul09 Apr25 Mar04 Feb10 (tate mary)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 2.50 46% 1.20    
SCR  AWHITESPORTSCOAT Aug13 Jul18 Jul02 Mar12 Jan28 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 122 1.60 13% 6.70    
 
AZD-7   08/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA CASTIGLIONE Jul16 Jun27 May03 Apr04 Mar15 (gutierrez juan )LEAHEY HANNAH 126 1.20 35% 1.80    
KYNLIE'S EMPIRE Jul30 Jul11 May03 Apr11 Mar24 (rollins scott)ENRIQUEZ D 122 5.00    
SEMI SWEET Jul16 Apr26 Mar31 Feb02   (ortiz manue)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 10.00 14% 6.30    
SCR  WE ALL AGREE Jan28         (rollins scott)LEON A 120 15.00    
MS SALLY May03 Feb22 Jan27 Jan11   (o'brien debbie)GARCIA F 124 20.00    
LUCKY STEPPER Aug01 Jul18 May06 Apr20 Apr06 (weaver gordon)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00    
SENORADIABLO Jul16 Jun27 Apr26 Mar31 Feb02 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 124 1.40 28% 2.60    
 
AZD-8   08/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($3.5K) Purse ($8.525K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERE'S YOUR DRINK Jul12 Jun28 Jun20 Jun06 May18 (nelson amy)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 8.00    
SPORT COAT Aug06 Jul23 Jun25 May01 Apr01 (blea jr)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 10.00 9% 9.90    
ZEE RED MILES Jul23 Jun25       (wheeler travis)YBARRA MICHAEL 120 20.00    
SHACKEY'S LOVE Jul23 Jul11 Apr04 Mar23 Feb12 (blea j)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 3.50 35% 1.80    
BEL RAGAZZO Jul23 Jun25 May27 Mar25 Mar02 (villamar candelario)GARCIA F 120 3.00    
SHADYFIED Jul23 Jun25 May07 Apr26 Apr06 (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 120 2.00 31% 2.20    
BUBBAS STREET BUD Jul23 Jul11       (espinoza leona)CARBAJAL KEVIN 124 20.00    
SIERRA SNOW STORM Jul02 May29 May07 Apr16 Mar26 (nelson amy)LEON A 120 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.