The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Arizona Downs
Saturday - August 20, 2022

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AZD-4   08/20/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
:224 :451 :573     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAMBLIN' MAN 4 2 2½ 2nk   1½ 1(kenney dan)VERGARA P 126 0.40 36% 1.80 0.60 W
FAMOUS ROCK STAR 3 1 1½ 1nk   2½ 2(soto antonio)ENRIQUEZ D 124 6.00 11% 8.50 5.70 P
HEY PILGRIM 2 4 3 33   33(kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 3.50 32% 2.10 1.60 S
MISCHIEVOUSHOLIDAY 1 3 4 4   46 49 (alvarez sergio)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 8.00 7.30  
SCR  SOLEROCKER               (breashear bill)GARCIA F 124 8.00    
 
AZD-5   08/20/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
:252 :503 1:151 1:274   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEVEN POINTS 1 2 1nk 1½ 12 11nk (gleason m)BARBER R 121 3.50 2.10  
LINEMANS CHECK 2 5 2nk 2½ 22 22nk (barrio sergio)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 2.50 1.10 P
FULL VISION 3 3 33 32 3 33(kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 4.00 12% 7.30 6.10 S
MR LOVE MUFFIN 5 4 5 5 5 54(ortiz sr)VERGARA P 122 6.00 7.00  
SHOE GAME 4 1 4 42 45 46 5(evans justin)LEON A 121 2.00 62% 0.60 3.80  
SCR  WHO B DAT               (christian billy)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 8.00    
 
AZD-6   08/20/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($25K) 3 ALL PT- 7:15
:22 :444 :57     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RES IPSA LOQUITUR 5 3 4¼ 1   11(campo stacy)BARBER R 122 4.00 18% 4.60 6.70 DQ↓3
SILVERBULLITBADGER 6 5 6 4   32(lewis kevin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 4.50 1.50  
BIG HEAT 4 4 2nk 32   23(kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 119 3.00 26% 2.80 2.90 P
BRAZEN NOW 3 2 3.2 2   48 417¼ (eikleberry kevin)VERGARA P 126 1.60 24% 3.20 1.80  
JOKERIN 2 6 5 6   5517½ (barraza s)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 20.00 32.80  
DRISKILL 1 1 1nk 5   6621½ (barraza s)LEON A 122 12.00 6% 14.70 11.10  
SCR  EZ GUESS               (dennison h)LOPEZ E 124 5.00    
 
AZD-7   08/20/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($25K) 2 ALL PT- 7:45
:222 :46       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARIZONA ANDREW 4 1 1 11   14 1(eikleberry kevin)VERGARA P 122 1.20 54% 0.90 0.70 W
CHARLIE'S MAN 2 8 911¾ 8   42(alvarez sergio)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 6.00 12.00 P
JOHN'S KID 5 5 44 3   56 3(rollins scott)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 12.00 15.10  
DAHLIA'S DANCER 7 6 6 6   35 4(barraza s)OSUNA MARTIN 119 8.00 13.00  
HERSABIGGIRL 8 7 8 7   757 (melton lin)CARBAJAL KEVIN 119 15.00 9.30  
PANZER PRIDE 6 4 5 5   66(eikleberry kevin)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 10.00 16.10  
LA HERMOSA 1 2 34 4   24 7(alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 119 5.00 22% 3.50 9.00  
LOTSA LOU 3 3 2 21   811½ 820¾ (eikleberry kevin)LEON A 119 8.00 16.60  
JUST EZ 9 9 7 917½   923½ 930¼ (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 8.00 4.90  
 
AZD-8   08/20/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
:214 :44 :57     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUTSIDE THE LAW 2 7 1nk 1nk   117 (campo stacy)BARBER R 126 1.60 22% 3.60 0.20 W
LAST PUNCH 7 1 5 5   36 27 (kenney dan)LEON A 124 8.00 8% 10.80 6.40 P
MISS MALIA 6 5 6 67   438 (george cynthia)VERGARA P 120 3.00 19% 4.10 7.90 S
BURNADEBT 5 4 7 710   649 (kenney dan)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 10.00 16.70  
MISCHIEVOUS EFFORT 4 6 2nk 2nk   25(eikleberry kevin)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 12.00 29.50  
J T'S LA NENA 3 3 4 44   7616¼ (nelson amy)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 10.00 7% 12.70 14.00  
HINDU MISS CHEF 1 2 3.2 32   58 717 (barraza s)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 10.00 16.10  
SCR  BOLD INTENTION               (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 5.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  REIGN OF FIRE               (rollins scott)ENRIQUEZ D 124 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.