Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Arizona Downs
Saturday - August 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AZD-4   08/20/2022 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISCHIEVOUSHOLIDAY Aug01 Jul18       (alvarez serg)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 8.00 ★    
2  HEY PILGRIM Jul23 Jun25 Apr21 Mar04 Jan19 (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 3.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  SOLEROCKER Aug06 Jul04 May07 Apr20   (breashear bill)GARCIA F 124 8.00 ★    
4  FAMOUS ROCK STAR Aug06 Jul18 Jun27 Apr21 Mar18 (soto antonio)ENRIQUEZ D 124 6.00 11% 8.50    
5  RAMBLIN' MAN Jul23 Jun25 Apr21 Mar04 Feb14 (kenney dan)VERGARA P 126 0.40 36% 1.80    
 
AZD-5   08/20/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WHO B DAT Jul31 Jul04 May02 Apr21 Apr06 (christian b)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 8.00    
2  SEVEN POINTS Aug08 Jul16 Jun25 Apr28 Apr08 (gleason m)GARCIA F 121 3.50 ★    
3  LINEMANS CHECK Aug13 Jul11 Apr21 Mar25 Mar07 (barrio sergi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 2.50 ★    
4  FULL VISION Jun27 May02 Mar30     (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 4.00 12% 7.30    
5  SHOE GAME Aug01 Jul18 Apr20 Mar30 Mar15 (evans justin)LEON A 121 2.00 62% 0.60    
6  MR LOVE MUFFIN Aug15 Apr21 Mar28 Mar07 Feb22 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 122 6.00 ★    
 
AZD-6   08/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($25K) 3 ALL PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRISKILL May22 Apr29 Mar28 Mar01 Feb08 (barraza s)GARCIA F 122 12.00 6% 14.70    
2  JOKERIN Aug06 Jun27 Apr21 Mar28   (barraza rafa)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 20.00    
3  BRAZEN NOW Apr21 Mar28 Mar09 Jan28   (eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 126 1.60 24% 3.20    
4  BIG HEAT Jul11 Apr21 Mar11 Feb10 Jan17 (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 119 3.00 26% 2.80    
5  RES IPSA LOQUITUR Aug06 Apr21 Apr12 Mar22 Mar01 (campo stacy)BARBER R 122 4.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  EZ GUESS Aug03 Jun25 May27 May15 May01 (dennison dan )LOPEZ E 124 5.00    
7  SILVERBULLITBADGER Jul30 Jun27 May22 Apr29 Mar18 (lewis kevin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 4.50 ★    
 
AZD-7   08/20/2022 3300ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($25K) 2 ALL PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA HERMOSA         (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 119 5.00 22% 3.50    
2  CHARLIE'S MAN         (alvarez serg)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 6.00 ★    
3  LOTSA LOU         (eikleberry kevi)LEON A 119 8.00 ★    
4  ARIZONA ANDREW Aug08         (eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 122 1.20 54% 0.90    
5  JOHN'S KID Jul18         (rollins s)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 12.00    
6  PANZER PRIDE Jul18 May07 Apr13     (eikleberry )MORALES ALLYSSA 122 10.00    
7  DAHLIA'S DANCER         (barraza s)GARCIA F 119 8.00    
8  HERSABIGGIRL         (melton lin)CARBAJAL KEVIN 119 15.00 ★    
9  JUST EZ         (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 8.00    
 
AZD-8   08/20/2022 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HINDU MISS CHEF Jun25 Apr21 Mar11 Feb04   (barraza s)GARCIA F 124 10.00    
SCR  REIGN OF FIRE Aug08 Jan06       (rollins scott)ENRIQUEZ D 124 15.00    
3  OUTSIDE THE LAW Aug08 Jan19       (campo stacy)BARBER R 126 1.60 22% 3.60    
4  J T'S LA NENA Jul16 Jun27 May14 Apr21 Mar25 (nelson amy)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 10.00 7% 12.70    
5  MISCHIEVOUS EFFORT Jul30 Jun27 Apr21 Apr13   (eikleberry )MORALES ALLYSSA 120 12.00    
SCR  BOLD INTENTION May07 Apr21       (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 5.00 22% 3.60    
7  BURNADEBT Aug08 Jul09 Apr21 Mar31 Mar04 (kenney da)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 10.00    
8  MISS MALIA Jan28         (george cynthia)VERGARA P 120 3.00 19% 4.10    
9  LAST PUNCH Aug08 Jul16 Jun27 Apr21 Mar31 (kenney dan)LEON A 124 8.00 8% 10.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.