Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Arapahoe Park
Monday - July 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
ARP-3   07/04/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:223 :454       :513   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MACHOS VISION 3 2 1½     1 1 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 4.50 8.10  
PRINCESS SHAKIRA 4 3 2½     2 2 (mitchell stets)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.50 2.30  
OVER EXPOSED 7 5 6     55 3 (rushton temple)HERRERA HUGO 124 3.50 37% 1.70 1.80 S
T. P. RIGHT LANE 6 4 42     3 410 (rushton temple)WALES T 124 15.00 10% 9.20 7.10  
EPSOM IMP 2 6 53     67 511 (jenkins l)JUDE JOHN 121 6.00 8.30  
OKIE PRINCESS 1 1 3     44 614¼ (ness john)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 12.00 9% 9.80 12.10  
GIVE EM FITZ 5 7 7     713 718¾ (chavez juan)HAAR NATHAN 121 10.00 9% 10.00 5.10  
 
ARP-4   07/04/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:23 :452 1:111     1:254   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOONFIELD 5 1 14 16   15 1 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 37% 1.70 2.30 W
POCO SUENOS 4 5 3 26   25 2 (long vaughn)HERRERA HUGO 124 6.00 5% 19.00 6.10 P
BEHOLD THAT WORD 3 4 69 615   610½ 3 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 121 2.50 1.80 S
DABBLIN CHANNEL 2 3 24 3   39 413 (mitchell stetson)JUDE JOHN 124 4.00 11% 7.90 18.40  
SNICKEL TE 7 2 57 410½   5 514 (vicchrilli russell)WALES T 121 15.00 7.60  
MISS OCEAN EXPRESS 6 7 4 511   49 620¾ (rushton temp)BETHKE A 124 4.50 22% 3.60 4.30  
SOJOURNER TRUTH 1 6 710½ 715½   718½ 727¾ (ness john)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 8.00 10.20  
 
ARP-5   07/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:222 :452 :58     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROMPTLY DONE 2 5 42 4   4 1½ (rushton temp)BETHKE A 120 8.00 20% 4.00 25.00 W
UNPLUCKED GEM 3 3 2½ 3   22 2½ (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 8% 11.70 1.20 P
PICTORIAL 7 8 31 12   12 31 (rushton stacy)JUDE JOHN 124 3.50 9.50 S
MISS IZZY BEE 1 4 1½ 22   32 45 (parsons riley)WALES T 121 10.00 3.50  
WHO B DAT 4 6 8 66   6 5 (christian bi)MARTIN A 124 2.50 21% 3.80 3.20  
HURRICANE FLORENCE 8 7 6 54   5 6 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 4.50 14% 6.40 5.90  
TAP THE HEART 5 1 52 78   710¾ 714½ (mitchell stets)HERRERA HUGO 120 5.00 30.60  
AMBER WAVES 6 2 7 810   814¾ 822¼ (chavez juan)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 15.00 37.80  
 
ARP-6   07/04/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:22 :451 :571     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAIUS 2 2 1 13   14 1 (martinez a)WALES T 124 4.50 25% 3.00 0.90 W
GUNSLINGERS LEGACY 1 1 44 36   3 2 (rushton temp)BETHKE A 124 12.00 4.20 P
RED WES 3 3 2 23   24 311½ (gerke cimmaron)RAMOS B 124 3.50 18% 4.60 2.70 S
TUFF WILLY TE 4 4 3 4   4 414¾ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00 2.60  
SCR  SKY T               (oliver kim)HERRERA HUGO 124 2.50 34% 1.90    
 
ARP-7   07/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:22 :451 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLDING PATTERN 1 4 22 2   2nk 1½ (long vaughn)HERRERA HUGO 124 2.50 2.40  
CHUCK NAZTY 3 7 610½ 4   32 2½ (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 121 3.50 16% 5.10 1.70 P
HOT ARTIE 6 1 12 1   1nk 3 (hibdon mark )AGUILAR DANIEL 124 8.00 12% 7.50 8.10 S
COLORADO CANDY 4 5 5 511½   46 4 (loftin linda)RAMOS B 124 4.50 19% 4.40 2.30  
WHERE'S FREDDIE 5 6 712½ 717   715½ 520¼ (chavez juan)BETHKE A 121 10.00 34.20  
BARLOWS PRIDE 7 2 46 612   513 622½ (parsons riley)WALES T 117 15.00 9.60  
HANDY BOY 2 3 32 3   614½ 725½ (rushton temple)JUDE JOHN 120 6.00 22% 3.50 20.90  
 
ARP-8   07/04/2022 3300ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($21.85K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:214 :45       :57   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLLUSIONIST 4 3 2½ 2   1nk 1 (martinez a)WALES T 124 3.50 1.90  
OURBESTFRIEND D L 2 1 52 3   3.2 2 (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 5.30  
BEDROCK (GB) 1 6 64 6   4 3 (christian b)SCRIVER L 124 4.50 29% 2.50 2.30 S
VERRAZANO FIRST 5 5 31 4   5 4 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 2.50 24% 3.10 2.90  
GETALOADOFTHIS 3 2 1½ 1   2nk 5 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 8.00 15% 5.70 6.80  
WYOMING CONQUEST 6 4 4 5   6 69 (chavez veronica)JUDE JOHN 124 10.00 14.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.