Handicappers' Racing Form

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Arapahoe Park
Monday - July 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
ARP-3   07/04/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OKIE PRINCESS Jun19 Apr15 Mar06 Feb20   (ness john)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 12.00 9% 9.80    
EPSOM IMP         (jenkins l)JUDE JOHN 121 6.00    
MACHOS VISION May07 Apr02 Mar06     (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 4.50    
PRINCESS SHAKIRA Mar27 Mar12 Mar04 Feb19   (mitchell stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.50    
GIVE EM FITZ         (chavez juan)HAAR NATHAN 121 10.00 9% 10.00    
T. P. RIGHT LANE Apr23 Mar19       (rushton temple)WALES T 124 15.00 10% 9.20    
OVER EXPOSED May20 May07 Mar12 Mar04   (rushton temple)HERRERA HUGO 124 3.50 37% 1.70    
 
ARP-4   07/04/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOJOURNER TRUTH May21 Apr20 Apr07 Mar22 Feb28 (ness john)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 8.00    
DABBLIN CHANNEL May21 May13 Apr24 Apr09 Mar18 (mitchell stetson)JUDE JOHN 124 4.00 11% 7.90    
BEHOLD THAT WORD May21 May01 Apr22     (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 121 2.50    
POCO SUENOS May27 May13       (long vaughn)HERRERA HUGO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
MOONFIELD Jun11 May29 Apr24 Mar27 Mar12 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 37% 1.70    
MISS OCEAN EXPRESS Apr24 Apr10 Mar27     (rushton temple)BETHKE A 124 4.50 22% 3.60    
SNICKEL TE         (vicchrilli russell)WALES T 121 15.00    
 
ARP-5   07/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS IZZY BEE         (parsons riley)WALES T 121 10.00    
PROMPTLY DONE Apr22 Apr02 Feb24 Jan27 Jan13 (rushton temple)BETHKE A 120 8.00 20% 4.00    
UNPLUCKED GEM Apr03 Mar20 Mar05     (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 8% 11.70    
WHO B DAT May02 Apr21 Apr06 Mar24 Mar04 (christian billy)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50 21% 3.80    
TAP THE HEART May06 Apr02 Mar25 Mar20 Jan14 (mitchell stetson)HERRERA HUGO 120 5.00    
AMBER WAVES May21         (chavez juan)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 15.00    
PICTORIAL Apr03         (rushton stacy)JUDE JOHN 124 3.50    
HURRICANE FLORENCE May13 Apr03 Mar20 Feb19   (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 4.50 14% 6.40    
 
ARP-6   07/04/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SKY T Apr20         (oliver kim)HERRERA HUGO 124 2.50 34% 1.90    
GUNSLINGERS LEGACY May20 Apr09       (rushton temple)BETHKE A 124 12.00    
MAIUS         (martinez a)WALES T 124 4.50 25% 3.00    
RED WES         (gerke cimmaron)RAMOS B 124 3.50 18% 4.60    
TUFF WILLY TE         (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00    
 
ARP-7   07/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLDING PATTERN May29 Apr22 Mar24 Mar12 Jan28 (long vaughn)HERRERA HUGO 124 2.50    
HANDY BOY Apr08 Mar26 Mar11     (rushton temple)JUDE JOHN 120 6.00 22% 3.50    
CHUCK NAZTY May02         (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 121 3.50 16% 5.10    
COLORADO CANDY Apr07 Feb16 Jan04     (loftin linda)RAMOS B 124 4.50 19% 4.40    
WHERE'S FREDDIE         (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 121 10.00    
HOT ARTIE May06 Apr16 Apr01 Mar18 Mar06 (hibdon n)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 8.00 12% 7.50    
BARLOWS PRIDE         (parsons riley)WALES T 117 15.00    
 
ARP-8   07/04/2022 3300ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($21.85K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEDROCK (GB) May06 Apr07 Mar11 Feb26 Feb10 (christian bil)SCRIVER L 124 4.50 29% 2.50    
OURBESTFRIEND D L Apr09 Mar26 Mar19 Mar06 Feb26 (anderson c)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00    
GETALOADOFTHIS May21 May01 Apr09 Mar26 Mar13 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 8.00 15% 5.70    
COLLUSIONIST         (martinez a)WALES T 124 3.50    
VERRAZANO FIRST Jun11 May23 May07 Apr23 Mar27 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 2.50 24% 3.10    
WYOMING CONQUEST Jun13 May23 May01     (chavez veronica)JUDE JOHN 124 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.