tbrs_res_20220822.azd.html - Handicappers' Race Results by Thoroughbred Racing Simulator

The Thoroughbred Racing

Simulator

Handicappers' Race Results

Arizona Downs

Monday - August 22, 2022

Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.

Visit us at www.tbrsimulator.com.

Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.

All Post Times are in EST.

AZD-4

08/22/2022

2970ft

DIRT

FAST

Claiming ($8.5K)

Purse ($10.525K)

3UP

M/F

PT- 6:15

:22³

:46²

:52¹

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

WORKIN NINETOFIVE

5^6½

3^7½

1^1¼

(gutierrez quintana)LEON A 120

12.00

12%

7.10

4.30

AWESOME GALAXY

2^nk

1^1½

2^1¼

(nelson amy)BUTTERFLY L 124

2.50

★

3.30

MISS REBEKAH

1^nk

2^1½

3^1¾

(barraza s)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124

1.80

18%

4.50

1.60

BIG AL'S PRINCESS

3^1½

4⁸

4^6½

(garcia jesus)YBARRA MICHAEL 124

3.50

21%

3.80

2.50

PARTY POLICE

4⁴

5^9½

5⁷

(villamar candelario)CARBAJAL KEVIN 120

3.00

★

4.90

SCR

SCAT ATTACK

(rollins scott)KELLENBERGER KODY 120

8.00

AZD-5

08/22/2022

3300ft

DIRT

FAST

Allowance

Purse ($16.025K)

3UP

ALL

PT- 6:45

:22¹

:45³

:58¹

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

HOLY TUTTA BELLA

1^nk

1^¾

(campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 119

3.00

10%

8.70

1.90

FIRST PROMISE

2^nk

2^¾

(george cynthia)VERGARA P 113

3.50

14%

6.10

1.40

TENGAS MASTERPIECE

4^3½

5^5½

4^5½

3^5¼

(hartman stan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124

2.50

52%

0.90

2.60

AUTISM WARRIOR

3²

3^2½

3⁴

4^5¾

(elston brent)ENRIQUEZ D 124

4.50

★

19.30

IT BETTER BE GOLD

5^4½

4⁵

5⁶

5^6¾

(story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122

5.00

19.40

MUSICAL GEM

6^5½

6⁷

6^9½

6¹²

(nelson amy)LEON A 122

8.00

7.20

SCR

HOLLYWOOD AS USUAL

(chattong vichien)BAZAN ANTONIO 122

10.00

★

AZD-6

08/22/2022

3960ft

DIRT

FAST

nongraded Stake

Purse ($20.425K)

3UP

ALL

PT- 7:15

:22⁴

:45³

:58

1:10²

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

DON'TTEASETHETIGER

5^3½

5^3¼

3¹

1¹

(barraza s)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122

4.50

22%

3.60

6.30

D K'S CROWN

2¹

2^nk

1^½

2¹

(villamar candelario)ENRIQUEZ D 122

0.60

28%

2.60

0.30

ALBANY FRONT

3^1½

4¹

3^2¼

(gutierrez quintana)LEON A 122

5.00

★

8.60

SUCCESS RATE

4²

4^1¾

2^½

4⁴

(ferguson curt)VERGARA P 122

8.00

★

4.40

AUTISM CAN DO

1¹

1^nk

5^1½

5^8½

(wolf ashlee)YBARRA MICHAEL 122

6.00

15.30

SCR

CAUSE AND EFFECT

(evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122

10.00

12%

7.50

AZD-7

08/22/2022

2970ft

DIRT

FAST

ALW18025 ($0K)

Purse ($18.025K)

3UP

ALL

PT-

:22

:45¹

:51

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

THIEF IN THE NIGHT

3^½

2^½

1¹

(scott jr)CARBAJAL KEVIN null

★

2.10

MASTER RULER

1^½

2¹

(salas eliazar)GARCIA ENRIQUE null

42%

1.40

8.50

MINISTERSDON'TLIE

5^3¾

4^3½

3²

(lewis i)YBARRA MICHAEL null

★

3.80

WINDING

2^½

3^3½

4^3¼

(uranga j)VERGARA P null

0.90

FIGHT ME

4^¾

5^6½

5^7½

(reyes norma)BUTTERFLY L null

★

9.10

BIG WAVE BETTY

6¹⁰⁰

(perkins frances)BAZAN ANTONIO null

SCR

BOTERO

(soto antonio)MORALES ALLYSSA null

34%

2.00

AZD-8

08/22/2022

3630ft

DIRT

FAST

Optional Claiming ($8K)

Purse ($14.025K)

3UP

M/F

PT- 8:15

:22

:44³

:57³

1:04

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

DON'TPASSTHEPEPPER

1^½

1²

1^1½

1^2½

(kereluk edward)LEON A 122

3.50

2.20

AVA K'S GIRL

2^½

2²

2^1½

2^2½

(alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 124

2.00

21%

3.80

1.90

PALACE STAR

4^1½

4^3½

3³

3^5¼

(perkins frances)MORALES ALLYSSA 122

8.00

10.00

SONGOFTHEDESERT

5³

5^4½

4^3½

4^5¾

(reyes norma)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122

15.00

10%

8.70

34.50

MULLIGAN

3¹

3³

5^7½

5^10½

(villamar candelario)KELLENBERGER KODY 124

4.00

18%

4.50

3.60

MAYBEE A DIVA

7⁴

7^7½

6¹¹

6^17½

(williams dewey)YBARRA MICHAEL 122

15.00

58.20

JANERO ROSE

6^3½

6⁶

7^11½

7^29¾

(ortiz sr)VERGARA P 124

2.50

26%

2.80

3.40

FICETY LADY

8^5½

8^13½

8^25½

8⁵²

(johnson allen)ELLIS DEVON 122

20.00

★

56.40

AZD-9

08/22/2022

5280ft

DIRT

FAST

Optional Claiming ($4K)

Purse ($13.025K)

3UP

ALL

PT- 8:45

:25⁴

:51

1:15

1:27¹

1:40²

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

THE PUBLIC HALO

2¹

2^½

1¹

1^1½

1²

(kenney dan)VERGARA P 122

12.00

18.70

GO FOR A RIDE

3³

3^1½

3⁴

3^3½

2²

(evans justin)LEON A 124

1.60

★

0.90

WESTFEST

1¹

1^½

2¹

2^1½

3^2¾

(evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 122

5.00

4.00

ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE

4^3½

4^2½

4^5½

4⁴

4^2¾

(elston brent)BUTTERFLY L 122

20.00

7.20

REDACTION

6⁶

6^9½

5⁷

5^7½

(campo stacy)KELLENBERGER KODY 122

4.00

60%

0.70

8.30

CHEF

8^7¾

7⁶

5⁹

6⁷

6^8½

(ortiz sr)YBARRA MICHAEL 122

3.50

14.30

8.20

RUN TAPPY

7^7½

8^7½

8^13½

7¹²

7¹¹

(george cynthia)MORALES ALLYSSA 122

8.00

19.00

9.10

HIGH FLYIN TIGER

9^9¼

9⁹

9^15½

8^13½

8^12¼

(perkins frances)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122

15.00

38.70

OSTINI

5⁶

5^5½

7^12½

9¹⁴

9^14¼

(weaver gordon)BAZAN ANTONIO 122

20.00

19.00

51.70

Labels:

M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

Two Groups of Contenders:

Win Contenders

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

Place/Show Contenders

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

Legal:

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.