Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Arizona Downs
Monday - August 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
AZD-4   08/22/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($10.525K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:223 :462       :521   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  WORKIN NINETOFIVE 3 4 56½     37½ 11¼ (gutierrez juan )LEON A 120 12.00 12% 7.10 4.30 W
2  AWESOME GALAXY 1 3 2nk     11½ 21¼ (nelson a)BUTTERFLY L 124 2.50 ★ 3.30 P
3  MISS REBEKAH 2 1 1nk     21½ 31¾ (barraza rafa)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 1.80 18% 4.50 1.60 S
5  BIG AL'S PRINCESS 4 2 31½     48 46½ (garcia jesus)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 3.50 21% 3.80 2.50  
6  PARTY POLICE 5 5 44     59½ 57 (villamar can)CARBAJAL KEVIN 120 3.00 ★ 4.90  
SCR  SCAT ATTACK               (rollins s)KELLENBERGER KODY 120 8.00    
 
AZD-5   08/22/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($16.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
See original race card.
:221 :453       :581   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLY TUTTA BELLA 1 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 1¾ (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 119 3.00 10% 8.70 1.90 W
3  FIRST PROMISE 3 3 2nk 2nk   2nk 2¾ (george cynthia)VERGARA P 113 3.50 14% 6.10 1.40 P
6  TENGAS MASTERPIECE 5 4 43½ 55½   45½ 35¼ (hartman stan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 2.50 52% 0.90 2.60 S
2  AUTISM WARRIOR 2 2 32 32½   34 45¾ (elston brent)ENRIQUEZ D 124 4.50 ★ 19.30  
7  IT BETTER BE GOLD 6 5 54½ 45   56 56¾ (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 5.00 19.40  
4  MUSICAL GEM 4 6 65½ 67   69½ 612 (nelson amy)LEON A 122 8.00 7.20  
SCR  HOLLYWOOD AS USUAL               (chattong vich)BAZAN ANTONIO 122 10.00 ★    
 
AZD-6   08/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($20.425K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
See original race card.
:224 :453 :58     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DON'TTEASETHETIGER 4 5 53½ 53¼   31 11 (barraza rafa)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 4.50 22% 3.60 6.30 W
2  D K'S CROWN 2 2 21 2nk   1½ 21 (villamar cande)ENRIQUEZ D 122 0.60 28% 2.60 0.30 P
6  ALBANY FRONT 5 3 31½ 31½   41 32¼ (gutierrez juan )LEON A 122 5.00 ★ 8.60 S
1  SUCCESS RATE 1 4 42 41¾   2½ 44 (ferguson curt)VERGARA P 122 8.00 ★ 4.40  
4  AUTISM CAN DO 3 1 11 1nk   51½ 58½ (wolf ashlee)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 6.00 15.30  
SCR  CAUSE AND EFFECT               (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 10.00 12% 7.50    
 
AZD-7   08/22/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST ALW18025 ($0K) Purse ($18.025K) 3UP ALL PT-
See original race card.
:22 :451       :51   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THIEF IN THE NIGHT 1 1 3½     2½ 11 (scott larry )CARBAJAL KEVIN null   ★ 2.10  
2  MASTER RULER 2 2 1½     1½ 21 (salas eliaza)GARCIA ENRIQUE null   42% 1.40 8.50 P
3  MINISTERSDON'TLIE 3 4 53¾     43½ 32 (lewis i)YBARRA MICHAEL null   ★ 3.80 S
6  WINDING 6 5 2½     33½ 43¼ (uranga j)VERGARA P null   0.90  
4  FIGHT ME 4 3 4¾     56½ 57½ (reyes no)BUTTERFLY L null   ★ 9.10  
5  BIG WAVE BETTY 5 6 6100     6100 6100 (perkins franc)BAZAN ANTONIO null      
SCR  BOTERO               (soto antoni)MORALES ALLYSSA null   34% 2.00    
 
AZD-8   08/22/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14.025K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
See original race card.
:22 :443 :573     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DON'TPASSTHEPEPPER 1 5 1½ 12   11½ 12½ (kereluk edward)LEON A 122 3.50 2.20  
2  AVA K'S GIRL 2 3 2½ 22   21½ 22½ (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 124 2.00 21% 3.80 1.90 P
5  PALACE STAR 5 1 41½ 43½   33 35¼ (perkins fra)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 8.00 10.00  
7  SONGOFTHEDESERT 7 7 53 54½   43½ 45¾ (reyes norma)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 15.00 10% 8.70 34.50  
4  MULLIGAN 4 4 31 33   57½ 510½ (villamar )KELLENBERGER KODY 124 4.00 18% 4.50 3.60  
8  MAYBEE A DIVA 8 6 74 77½   611 617½ (williams dew)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 15.00 58.20  
6  JANERO ROSE 6 2 63½ 66   711½ 729¾ (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 124 2.50 26% 2.80 3.40  
3  FICETY LADY 3 8 85½ 813½   825½ 852 (johnson robert )ELLIS DEVON 122 20.00 ★ 56.40  
 
AZD-9   08/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:45
See original race card.
:254 :51 1:15 1:271   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  THE PUBLIC HALO 7 9 21 2½ 11 11½ 12 (kenney dan)VERGARA P 122 12.00 18.70  
8  GO FOR A RIDE 8 1 33 31½ 34 33½ 22 (evans justin)LEON A 124 1.60 ★ 0.90 P
9  WESTFEST 9 2 11 1½ 21 21½ 32¾ (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 122 5.00 4.00  
1  ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE 1 7 43½ 42½ 45½ 44 42¾ (elston b)BUTTERFLY L 122 20.00 7.20  
4  REDACTION 4 4 66 66 69½ 57 57½ (campo sta)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 4.00 60% 0.70 8.30  
6  CHEF 6 3 87¾ 76 59 67 68½ (ortiz manuel)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 3.50 7% 14.30 8.20  
3  RUN TAPPY 3 5 77½ 87½ 813½ 712 711 (george cynt)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 8.00 5% 19.00 9.10  
2  HIGH FLYIN TIGER 2 8 99¼ 99 915½ 813½ 812¼ (perkins fran)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 15.00 38.70  
5  OSTINI 5 6 56 55½ 712½ 914 914¼ (weaver gordon)BAZAN ANTONIO 122 20.00 5% 19.00 51.70  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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