The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Arizona Downs
Monday - August 29, 2022

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AZD-4   08/29/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.525K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
:224 :461 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IZANAMI 2 4 21 2½   2½ 1(evans justin)LEON A 124 1.80 16% 5.10 1.40 W
SPICY SOMMELIER 1 5 11 1½   1½ 2(rollins scott)ENRIQUEZ D 124 12.00 5.50 P
LOVE YA MOST 5 1 54 3   44 3(wolf ashlee)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 6.00 19.40  
KNOCKON 3 3 32 55   34 4(barrio sergio)VERGARA P 124 4.00 7.20  
WISHFUL WON 6 2 65 4   55(wheeler travis)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00 13% 6.60 4.20  
KID CAT 4 6 43 6   66(whitehouse r)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 3.50 2.10  
SCR  JOY IN THE BATTLE               (evans justin)CARBAJAL KEVIN 120 3.00 33% 2.00    
 
AZD-5   08/29/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
:221 :444       :573   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING LEBRON 5 1 1nk 2nk   1nk 11 (crotts jim)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 2.50 20% 3.90 4.50 W
JAZZ TOWN 3 2 2nk 1nk   2nk 21 (finch sherry)ENRIQUEZ D 122 15.00 15.30  
MORE HONOR 1 4 6 49   432 (tate mary)VERGARA P 124 3.00 1.50 S
SPITTIN HAVOC 2 3 34 611   542 (johnson allen)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 15.00 18% 4.60 12.40  
GOT EVEN SMARTER 7 6 5 3   352 (fulmer drew)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 1.60 35% 1.90 1.50  
REDACTION 4 7 712¾ 717   711¾ 6(campo stacy)LEON A 122 3.50 7.60  
CURRENTLY KRAZY 6 5 4 510½   677 (jensen loren)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 20.00 40.00  
 
AZD-6   08/29/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($14.025K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:15
:23 :462 :583     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLE MY BELLE 6 5 2½ 2   1nk 1¼ (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 120 2.00 48% 1.10 1.70 DQ↓2
SKY HIGH VERONIKA 5 1 5 33   2nk 2¼ (leon priscilla)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.00 22% 3.50 2.20 W
SHE HAD A SECRET 4 6 1½ 1   3.2 3½ (roberson don)BARBER R 120 10.00 5% 17.30 9.10 S
MIDNIGHT BABY 7 2 6 6   44(campo stacy)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 2.50 5.50  
TOP REFERENCES 2 4 31 43   5514½ (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 4.50 10.20  
TAYLOR'S SISTER 1 7 7 715½   720¾ 628 (kenney dan)VERGARA P 124 15.00 20.30  
DOWNTOWN CUTIE 3 3 41 5   617¾ 7100 (o'brien debbie)LEON A 124 8.00 4.20  
 
AZD-7   08/29/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($14.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
:221 :452 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIDETHELOOT 3 3 1½ 1   11(melton lin)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 1.80 24% 3.20 1.30 W
OUR VALLEY 4 2 4 3   22(morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 120 2.00 44% 1.30 2.80 P
BOURBON AND WATER 5 6 6 5   33(story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00 5% 19.00 12.10 S
RIGHT TO SUE 1 4 3 44   449 (villamar candelario)ENRIQUEZ D 120 10.00 5% 19.00 10.30  
INCREDIBE MO 2 5 5 6   58 512 (whitehouse r)LEON A 124 6.00 5.20  
BOBS DESPERADO 6 1 2½ 2   6617½ (brinkerhoff val)VERGARA P 124 8.00 3.20  
SCR  GHOST ATTACK               (campo stacy)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 4.50    
 
AZD-8   08/29/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($11.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
:24 :484 1:131 1:253   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GONE SOMEWHERE 3 2 31 2nk 1½ 11(morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 1.20 1.60  
TRUTH TO POWER 1 3 41 5 3 35 2(kenney dan)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 4.50 6.40 P
ADD ON 4 1 1½ 1nk 2½ 23(kenney dan)LEON A 124 8.00 3.80  
MIZZEN POWER 5 4 2½ 3.2 5 4411½ (leon priscilla)BARBER R 124 4.00 19% 4.20 3.40  
HIGH FLYIN TIGER 2 6 5 4¾ 46 5511¾ (perkins frances)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00 10.50  
REALREALGOOD 7 8 8 8 813 611½ 613½ (blea jr)GARCIA ENRIQUE 119 15.00 13% 6.60 28.80  
IMPERATOR 8 7 7 7 610½ 714½ 720 (finch sherry)ENRIQUEZ D 124 6.00 35% 1.80 6.10  
AUTISM SAVANT 6 5 67 6 712 815½ 821¼ (nelson amy)CARBAJAL KEVIN 124 10.00 7% 12.40 20.30  
 
AZD-9   08/29/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($9.525K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:45
:223 :45 :574     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAUSE AND EFFECT 7 5 11 1nk   114 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 6.00 11% 8.40 1.90 W
HARROVIAN 4 2 4 4   33 24 (villamar candelario)VERGARA P 124 2.00 14% 5.90 1.40 P
INTERACTIF MOMENT 9 1 31 3½   23(nelson amy)LEON A 124 10.00 14.90  
UNCLE FLOYD 5 4 6 6   55 4(espinoza a)BAZAN ANTONIO 124 20.00 56.50  
10  KONA COAST 10 6 21 2nk   45(fulmer drew)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.00 52% 0.90 5.20  
MONUMENTAL SEVEN 6 3 5 54   66(campo stacy)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 12.00 24.00  
KAT'S HITMAN 2 9 9 7   78 7(nelson amy)CARBAJAL KEVIN 124 4.50 11.80  
THEY'RE GRRREAT 3 7 7 811½   814 811¾ (reyes norma)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 8.00 9.50  
INCLUDE HOO 1 10 1013¾ 1015½   918 915½ (soto antonio)OSUNA MARTIN 124 20.00 36.20  
MI MALDITO AMOR 8 8 8 914   1024 1021¾ (o'brien danny)ELLIS DEVON 124 20.00 54.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.