Handicappers' Race Results

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Arizona Downs
Monday - August 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
AZD-4   08/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.525K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:224 :461 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IZANAMI 2 4 21 2½   2½ 1 (evans justin)LEON A 124 1.80 16% 5.10 1.40 W
SPICY SOMMELIER 1 5 11 1½   1½ 2 (rollins scott)ENRIQUEZ D 124 12.00 5.50 P
LOVE YA MOST 5 1 54 3   44 3 (wolf ashlee)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 6.00 19.40  
KNOCKON 3 3 32 55   34 4 (barrio sergio)VERGARA P 124 4.00 7.20  
WISHFUL WON 6 2 65 4   5 5 (wheeler travi)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00 13% 6.60 4.20  
KID CAT 4 6 43 6   6 6 (whitehouse )KELLENBERGER KODY 124 3.50 2.10  
SCR  JOY IN THE BATTLE               (evans justin)CARBAJAL KEVIN 120 3.00 33% 2.00    
 
AZD-5   08/29/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
See original race card.
:221 :444       :573   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING LEBRON 5 1 1nk 2nk   1nk 11 (crotts jim)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 2.50 20% 3.90 4.50 W
JAZZ TOWN 3 2 2nk 1nk   2nk 21 (finch sherry)ENRIQUEZ D 122 15.00 15.30  
MORE HONOR 1 4 6 49   4 32 (tate mary)VERGARA P 124 3.00 1.50 S
SPITTIN HAVOC 2 3 34 611   5 42 (johnson rob)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 15.00 18% 4.60 12.40  
GOT EVEN SMARTER 7 6 5 3   3 52 (fulmer drew)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 1.60 35% 1.90 1.50  
REDACTION 4 7 712¾ 717   711¾ 6 (campo stacy)LEON A 122 3.50 7.60  
CURRENTLY KRAZY 6 5 4 510½   6 77 (jensen loren)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 20.00 40.00  
 
AZD-6   08/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($14.025K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:15
See original race card.
:23 :462 :583     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLE MY BELLE 6 5 2½ 2   1nk 1¼ (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 120 2.00 48% 1.10 1.70 DQ↓2
SKY HIGH VERONIKA 5 1 5 33   2nk 2¼ (leon priscilla)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.00 22% 3.50 2.20 W
SHE HAD A SECRET 4 6 1½ 1   3.2 3½ (roberson don)BARBER R 120 10.00 5% 17.30 9.10 S
MIDNIGHT BABY 7 2 6 6   4 4 (campo stacy)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 2.50 5.50  
TOP REFERENCES 2 4 31 43   5 514½ (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 4.50 10.20  
TAYLOR'S SISTER 1 7 7 715½   720¾ 628 (kenney dan)VERGARA P 124 15.00 20.30  
DOWNTOWN CUTIE 3 3 41 5   617¾ 7100 (o'brien debbie)LEON A 124 8.00 4.20  
 
AZD-7   08/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($14.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
See original race card.
:221 :452 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIDETHELOOT 3 3 1½ 1   1 1 (melton lin)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 1.80 24% 3.20 1.30 W
OUR VALLEY 4 2 4 3   2 2 (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 120 2.00 44% 1.30 2.80 P
BOURBON AND WATER 5 6 6 5   3 3 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00 5% 19.00 12.10 S
RIGHT TO SUE 1 4 3 44   4 49 (villamar candela)ENRIQUEZ D 120 10.00 5% 19.00 10.30  
INCREDIBE MO 2 5 5 6   58 512 (whitehouse wilton)LEON A 124 6.00 5.20  
BOBS DESPERADO 6 1 2½ 2   6 617½ (brinkerhoff val)VERGARA P 124 8.00 3.20  
SCR  GHOST ATTACK               (campo stacy)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 4.50    
 
AZD-8   08/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($11.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:131 1:253   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GONE SOMEWHERE 3 2 31 2nk 1½ 1 1 (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 1.20 1.60  
TRUTH TO POWER 1 3 41 5 3 35 2 (kenney dan)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 4.50 6.40 P
ADD ON 4 1 1½ 1nk 2½ 2 3 (kenney dan)LEON A 124 8.00 3.80  
MIZZEN POWER 5 4 2½ 3.2 5 4 411½ (leon priscilla)BARBER R 124 4.00 19% 4.20 3.40  
HIGH FLYIN TIGER 2 6 5 4¾ 46 5 511¾ (perkins franc)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00 10.50  
REALREALGOOD 7 8 8 8 813 611½ 613½ (blea jr)GARCIA ENRIQUE 119 15.00 13% 6.60 28.80  
IMPERATOR 8 7 7 7 610½ 714½ 720 (finch sherry)ENRIQUEZ D 124 6.00 35% 1.80 6.10  
AUTISM SAVANT 6 5 67 6 712 815½ 821¼ (nelson amy)CARBAJAL KEVIN 124 10.00 7% 12.40 20.30  
 
AZD-9   08/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($9.525K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:45
See original race card.
:223 :45 :574     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAUSE AND EFFECT 7 5 11 1nk   1 14 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 6.00 11% 8.40 1.90 W
HARROVIAN 4 2 4 4   33 24 (villamar candelar)VERGARA P 124 2.00 14% 5.90 1.40 P
INTERACTIF MOMENT 9 1 31 3½   2 3 (nelson amy)LEON A 124 10.00 14.90  
UNCLE FLOYD 5 4 6 6   55 4 (espinoza leonar)BAZAN ANTONIO 124 20.00 56.50  
10  KONA COAST 10 6 21 2nk   4 5 (fulmer drew)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.00 52% 0.90 5.20  
MONUMENTAL SEVEN 6 3 5 54   6 6 (campo stacy)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 12.00 24.00  
KAT'S HITMAN 2 9 9 7   78 7 (nelson amy)CARBAJAL KEVIN 124 4.50 11.80  
THEY'RE GRRREAT 3 7 7 811½   814 811¾ (reyes norma)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 8.00 9.50  
INCLUDE HOO 1 10 1013¾ 1015½   918 915½ (soto antonio)OSUNA MARTIN 124 20.00 36.20  
MI MALDITO AMOR 8 8 8 914   1024 1021¾ (o'brien danny)ELLIS DEVON 124 20.00 54.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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