Handicappers' Race Results

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Arizona Downs
Saturday - September 03, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
AZD-4   09/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:252 :503 1:151 1:274   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEL RAGAZZO 2 1 1 1½ 13 1 1 (villamar candelario)LULL E 120 1.60 0.90  
DEPUTY KNIGHT 3 3 2 2½ 23 2 2 (o'brien danny)ELLIS DEVON 124 12.00 7% 12.40 13.10 P
SHACKEY'S LOVE 1 2 33 4 48 37 312¼ (blea jr)ENRIQUEZ D 124 5.00 46% 1.20 2.40 S
HERE'S YOUR DRINK 4 4 45 55 5 5 412¼ (nelson amy)CARBAJAL KEVIN 124 1.40 2.20  
SPORT COAT 5 5 55 31 35 47 513 (blea jr)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 15.00 10% 8.80 20.00  
ALEMOON 6 6 69 612 622½ 637¼ 667 (perkins france)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 20.00 44.10  
SCR  DALE'S ADDICTION               (kenney dan)LEON A 124 6.00 10% 8.70    
 
AZD-5   09/03/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($3.5K) Purse ($8.525K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
See original race card.
:221 :461       :522   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET LADY LANA 5 5 2     2nk 1 (gleason m)GARCIA ENRIQUE 117 2.00 29% 2.40 0.30 W
GATO SICILIANO 2 1 1     1nk 2 (nelson amy)CARBAJAL KEVIN 120 3.50 9.50 P
AX 'S SHORE 4 2 35     37 314¼ (blea jr)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 12.00 16.20  
BELLA VINO 3 3 46     4 416½ (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 117 1.80 39% 1.60 3.50  
SACRED SONG 1 4 5100     5100 5100 (zimmerman j)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 6.00 5% 18.20 7.10  
SCR  BELLAS KITTY               (blea jr)OSUNA MARTIN 117 5.00    
 
AZD-6   09/03/2022 1320ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
See original race card.
:222         :222   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MASTER RULER 1 4       1nk 1 (salas eliazar)LEON A 124 2.00 34% 2.00 1.00 W
D K'S CROWN 4 5       5 2 (villamar candela)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.00 1.50  
MADIGAN SQUEEZE 3 3       3.2 3 (wolf ashlee)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 4.50 19% 4.40 11.20 S
BIG AL'S PRINCESS 7 2       4¾ 4 (garcia jesu)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 15.00 21.60  
BIG WAVE BETTY 6 1       2nk 52 (perkins frances)LULL E 121 20.00 5% 19.00 26.00  
FIGHT ME 2 6       6 64 (reyes norma)OSUNA MARTIN 124 6.00 10.70  
J T'S LA NENA 5 7       7100 7100 (nelson amy)CARBAJAL KEVIN 121 2.50 15% 5.60 7.00  
 
AZD-7   09/03/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16.025K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:45
See original race card.
:221 :44 :564     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WITH THATBEINGSAID 1 4 2nk 1½   14 1 (nelson amy)CARBAJAL KEVIN 122 3.00 12% 7.20 4.10 W
CHEROKEE PAPOOSE 3 5 5 4   3 2 (whitehouse )KELLENBERGER KODY 124 2.00 18% 4.70 1.50 P
DON'TPASSTHEPEPPER 2 3 3.2 2½   24 34 (kereluk edward)LEON A 124 3.50 2.20 S
WORKIN NINETOFIVE 7 7 7 78   5 4 (gutierrez juan)GARCIA ENRIQUE 120 15.00 26.80  
DISCERNMENT 4 6 6 55   47 5 (whitehouse wilto)OSUNA MARTIN 122 2.50 43% 1.30 5.40  
BURNADEBT 5 1 4 6   610 68 (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00 11.50  
WE ALL AGREE 6 2 1nk 31   710½ 714¼ (rollins scott)ENRIQUEZ D 118 10.00 11.20  
 
AZD-8   09/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.025K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
See original race card.
:222 :444 :571     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MADISON'S QUARTERS 6 5 6 47   4 1hd (gleason m)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 4.00 5% 19.00 4.50 W
AVA K'S GIRL 1 4 21 3   35 2hd (alvarez sergio)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 3.00 17% 4.90 3.80 P
REIGN OF FIRE 3 3 31 23   23 3¾ (rollins scott)LEON A 122 15.00 8.30  
DAZZLING MIST 2 2 11 13   13 4 (barraza s)VERGARA P 124 2.50 32% 2.10 0.90  
PALACE STAR 4 1 42 57   57 5 (perkins france)CARBAJAL KEVIN 122 12.00 16.00  
TWITTERATI 5 7 5 69   6 6 (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 20.00 21.20  
LILA'S LUCKY LADY 7 6 7 711½   711 7 (villamar candela)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.50 5.80  
SCR  TIZ TOFFEE               (whitehouse )KELLENBERGER KODY 122 5.00 25% 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.