Handicappers' Race Results

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Arizona Downs
Saturday - September 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
AZD-3   09/10/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($15.025K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:221 :45 :583     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIRACLE OF HOPE 5 2 2 2½   11 1nk (villamar candelar)VERGARA P 122 4.00 29% 2.50 3.00 W
MISS MALIA 1 4 54 5   3 2nk (george cynthia)ENRIQUEZ D 118 1.60 35% 1.90 1.30 P
FABULOUS FORUM 4 5 65 6   5 3¾ (barraza s)LULL E 122 8.00 5.70 S
WAY TO FIRE 3 3 32 33   43 4 (rollins sco)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 5.00 4.20  
HINDU MISS CHEF 6 1 1 1½   21 5 (barraza rafael)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 3.50 4.20  
MIDNIGHT BABY 2 6 44 43   69 612¾ (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 12.00 17.00  
SCR  SKY HIGH VERONIKA               (leon priscilla)LEON A 124 6.00    
 
AZD-4   09/10/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($11.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:222 :441 :58     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINNING MAGIC 2 6 6 5   4 11 (gutierrez qu)LEON A 124 3.50 29% 2.50 2.70 W
MORE FIREWATER 4 3 1½ 2nk   1 21 (garcia jesu)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 4.50 2.10  
FINGLAS LAD 6 1 2½ 1nk   2 3 (evans justin)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 3.00 6.50 S
ROYAL TAP 3 4 4 3   34 4 (evans justin)LULL E 120 8.00 11.20  
TENGAS MASTERPIECE 1 5 5 6   610½ 5 (hartman stan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 2.50 30% 2.30 1.50  
IT BETTER BE GOLD 5 2 3 44   5 6 (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 15.00 15.70  
SCR  SOLEROCKER               (breashear bill)ENRIQUEZ D 124 4.00 16% 5.30    
 
AZD-5   09/10/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
See original race card.
:22 :443 :571     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINISTERSDON'TLIE 1 2 4 41   1½ 1 (lewis i)BAZAN ANTONIO 124 5.00 4.80  
CAUSE AND EFFECT 4 4 3.2 1nk   2½ 2 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 122 4.50 16% 5.10 6.40 P
GOT EVEN SMARTER 3 6 6 57   47 3 (fulmer drew)LEON A 124 5.00 20% 4.00 13.70 S
SHANE ZAIN 5 3 1nk 2nk   36 46 (barraza rafael)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 1.80 0.90  
PICK YOUR BID 7 1 5 6   611½ 5 (chattong vichi)CARBAJAL KEVIN 124 15.00 36.50  
FAMOUS ROCK STAR 6 5 2nk 3½   511 610¾ (villamar candelar)VERGARA P 122 2.00 28% 2.60 2.40  
OSTINI 2 7 7 711¼   717½ 716¾ (weaver gord)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 20.00 5% 19.00 29.40  
 
AZD-6   09/10/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($9.525K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:15
See original race card.
:221 :444 :583     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ TOFFEE 1 2 21 3½   1 1 (whitehouse r)LULL E 124 3.00 42% 1.40 1.90 W
IZANAMI 7 7 77 79   6 2 (evans justin)LEON A 124 4.50 5.50  
JANERO ROSE 4 3 31 2½   34 3 (ortiz manue)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 4.00 9.90 S
SONGOFTHEDESERT 8 1 11 1½   2 4 (reyes norma)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 6.00 22% 3.50 8.70  
MULLIGAN 5 5 6 6   46 54 (villamar candelar)VERGARA P 124 3.50 1.90  
MOUNTAIN PASS 6 6 43 43   5 65 (sereno william)ENRIQUEZ D 124 4.50 6.80  
FICETY LADY 2 8 810½ 811½   811½ 710 (johnson robert )BAZAN ANTONIO 124 20.00 37.50  
WRIGHT WINGED 3 4 5 55   7 811¼ (gutierrez jua)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00 14.90  
 
AZD-7   09/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
See original race card.
:224 :454 :571     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE BEAT 5 1 2 2nk   1nk 1½ (evans justin)LEON A 124 2.50 20% 3.90 3.30 W
AVALON KING 3 2 1 1nk   2nk 2½ (o'brien debbie)LULL E 124 3.00 39% 1.60 1.90 P
FINAL FINAL 2 6 6 5   5 36 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.50 8.90 S
LARRY'S LEGEND 6 4 3 3   34 4 (barraza rafael)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 4.00 1.70  
OLYMPIC EXPRESS 4 3 43 44   4 5 (ferguson curt)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 15.00 5% 19.00 8.20  
MORE HONOR 1 5 5 6   6 610½ (tate mary)VERGARA P 124 8.00 12% 7.50 8.70  
SCR  BUTTERED NOODLES               (ortiz manue)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 4.50    
 
AZD-8   09/10/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.025K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
See original race card.
:223 :452 :59     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCAT ATTACK 2 2 2½ 2   2½ 11 (rollins sco)KELLENBERGER KODY 120 15.00 3.80  
LOW DOSE 1 3 1½ 1   1½ 21 (kenney dan)LULL E 124 4.00 13% 6.60 5.30 P
STOLEN HALO 6 4 4 4   34 3 (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 120 3.00 8% 11.20 1.00 S
CAROLYN'S WAY 3 6 65 6   613 412 (evans justin)LEON A 120 10.00 10.80  
AWESOME GALAXY 4 1 32 3   4 512¾ (nelson amy)CARBAJAL KEVIN 124 3.50 9% 9.80 8.60  
AWESOME LADY 7 5 54 5   513 613 (reyes norma)YBARRA MICHAEL 120 4.50 44% 1.30 8.10  
PARTY POLICE 5 7 7 7   713½ 715 (villamar candelar)VERGARA P 120 6.00 8.70  
SCR  BIG AL'S PRINCESS               (garcia jesus)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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