Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Arizona Downs
Saturday - September 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AZD-3   09/10/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($15.025K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS MALIA Aug20 Jan28       (george cynthia)ENRIQUEZ D 118 1.60 35% 1.90    
2  MIDNIGHT BABY Aug29 Jul23 Jun27 Apr21 Apr04 (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 12.00    
3  WAY TO FIRE Aug27 Aug08 Jun25 May07   (rollins s)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 5.00 ★    
4  FABULOUS FORUM May15 Mar17 Feb11 Feb03   (barraza s)LULL E 122 8.00 ★    
SCR  SKY HIGH VERONIKA Aug29 Aug06 Jul11 Jun27 May06 (leon priscilla)LEON A 124 6.00    
6  MIRACLE OF HOPE Aug27 Aug06 Jul11 Jul01 Jun10 (villamar candel)VERGARA P 122 4.00 29% 2.50    
7  HINDU MISS CHEF Aug20 Jun25 Apr21 Mar11 Feb04 (barraza rafa)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 3.50 ★    
 
AZD-4   09/10/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($11.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TENGAS MASTERPIECE Aug22 Jul30 Jun27 Mar24 Feb16 (hartman stan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 2.50 30% 2.30    
SCR  SOLEROCKER Aug27 Aug06 Jul04 May07 Apr20 (breashear bill)ENRIQUEZ D 124 4.00 16% 5.30    
3  WINNING MAGIC Jul18 Jun27 May02 Apr20 Apr04 (gutierrez juan )LEON A 124 3.50 29% 2.50    
4  ROYAL TAP Aug27 Jul19 May17 Apr29 Mar31 (evans justin)LULL E 120 8.00 ★    
5  MORE FIREWATER Aug15 Aug01 May20 Feb15 Jan30 (garcia je)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 4.50    
6  IT BETTER BE GOLD Aug22         (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 15.00    
7  FINGLAS LAD Aug25 Jul30 Jul03 May06   (evans justi)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 3.00 ★    
 
AZD-5   09/10/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MINISTERSDON'TLIE Aug22 Mar12 Feb27 Feb04   (lewis i)BAZAN ANTONIO 124 5.00    
2  OSTINI Aug22 Jul23 Jul04 May07 Apr19 (weaver go)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  GOT EVEN SMARTER Aug29 Aug15 Aug08 Jul18 Jul09 (fulmer drew)LEON A 124 5.00 20% 4.00    
4  CAUSE AND EFFECT Aug29 Aug06 Jul18 Jun25 May28 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 122 4.50 16% 5.10    
5  SHANE ZAIN Aug08 Jul23 Jul08 Jan09   (barraza rafa)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 1.80 ★    
6  FAMOUS ROCK STAR Aug20 Aug06 Jul18 Jun27 Apr21 (villamar candel)VERGARA P 122 2.00 28% 2.60    
7  PICK YOUR BID Aug27 Aug01 Jul18 Jun27   (chattong vic)CARBAJAL KEVIN 124 15.00    
 
AZD-6   09/10/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($9.525K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ TOFFEE Aug01 Jul04 Feb20     (whitehouse wilton )LULL E 124 3.00 42% 1.40    
2  FICETY LADY Aug22         (johnson rober)BAZAN ANTONIO 124 20.00    
3  WRIGHT WINGED Aug08 Jun25 Jan17     (gutierrez j)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00    
4  JANERO ROSE Aug22 Jul23 Jun18 May27 May15 (ortiz man)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 4.00 ★    
5  MULLIGAN Aug22 Aug01 Jun25 May27 May15 (villamar candel)VERGARA P 124 3.50 ★    
6  MOUNTAIN PASS Aug08 Jul04 Mar30 Mar10 Feb25 (sereno william)ENRIQUEZ D 124 4.50 ★    
7  IZANAMI Aug29 Aug13 Jul19 Jun27 May23 (evans justin)LEON A 124 4.50    
8  SONGOFTHEDESERT Aug22 Aug08 Apr28 Mar31 Mar16 (reyes norma)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 6.00 22% 3.50    
 
AZD-7   09/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16.025K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORE HONOR Aug29 Aug15 Jul30 Jul09 Apr25 (tate mary)VERGARA P 124 8.00 12% 7.50    
2  FINAL FINAL Aug15 Aug08 Jul23 Jun25 Jun03 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.50 ★    
3  AVALON KING Aug13 Aug08 Jul18 Jul02 May06 (o'brien debbie)LULL E 124 3.00 39% 1.60    
4  OLYMPIC EXPRESS Aug13         (ferguson cu)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  THE BEAT Aug15 Jul28 Jul10 Jul04 May15 (evans justin)LEON A 124 2.50 20% 3.90    
6  LARRY'S LEGEND Aug13 Jul09 Jun27 May22 Apr14 (barraza rafa)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 4.00    
SCR  BUTTERED NOODLES Aug08 Jul02 May03 Apr18 Feb20 (ortiz man)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 4.50    
 
AZD-8   09/10/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.025K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOW DOSE Aug08 Jul23 Jul11 May07 Mar04 (kenney dan)LULL E 124 4.00 13% 6.60    
2  SCAT ATTACK May07 Mar08 Feb09     (rollins s)KELLENBERGER KODY 120 15.00 ★    
3  CAROLYN'S WAY Aug27 Jun19 May08     (evans justin)LEON A 120 10.00    
4  AWESOME GALAXY Aug22 Jul30 Jul11 May07 Apr22 (nelson amy)CARBAJAL KEVIN 124 3.50 9% 9.80    
SCR  BIG AL'S PRINCESS Sep03 Aug22 Apr10 Feb20   (garcia jesu)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 5.00    
6  PARTY POLICE Aug22 Jul30 Jul11 Apr22 Apr13 (villamar candel)VERGARA P 120 6.00    
7  STOLEN HALO Aug13 Jul30 Jul11 Apr25 Apr01 (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 120 3.00 8% 11.20    
8  AWESOME LADY Jul30 Jul11 Jun27 May07 Apr27 (reyes norma)YBARRA MICHAEL 120 4.50 44% 1.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.