Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - October 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
PID-1   10/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:22 :46 :59     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  TWO STEP DANCE 7 3 47½ 44½   21 14¼ (clouston edw)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 4.50 21% 3.80 8.80 W
6  MULETRAIN 6 5 710½ 67½   53¾ 24¼ (connelly ter)ALENCAR WALBER 124 10.00 ★ 27.80 P
1  ROGERS GINGER 1 6 59 56½   43½ 35¼ (kintz matthew)MARTINEZ W 124 2.50 44% 1.30 1.00 S
5  MOCA MONSTER 5 1 69½ 79   65¼ 46½ (cooper thoma)AYALA J 124 6.00 17.30  
2  SHEER ALICE (GB) 2 4 12½ 13½   11 58¾ (walsh d)WALKER M 118 2.50 ★ 1.80  
3  CHAMPAGNE FOR ALL 3 7 35½ 34   33½ 69 (russell randal)ROMERO RAMON 121 15.00 68.70  
4  SPIRITED DEBATE 4 2 22½ 23½   78¼ 715 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 121 3.50 ★ 4.90  
 
PID-2   10/18/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:57
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:133 1:391   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SUN DADDY 2 5 23½ 23 21½ 1½ 14½ (martin w)GALLARDO A 124 1.40 58% 0.70 0.60 W
1  NOTACATBUTACARD 1 4 13½ 13 11½ 2½ 24½ (hoffman mark)MORALES PABLO 122 1.80 10% 9.10 1.60 P
3  FARAT 3 3 48½ 49 46½ 34 39 (markgraf davi)WALKER M 122 3.50 ★ 7.70 S
5  CASTLE KING 5 1 58½ 59 56½ 56½ 414¾ (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 6.00 ★ 12.00  
4  C THE KING 4 2 36½ 36½ 34 46 519¾ (depasquale ki)VALDES ALEXIS 122 8.00 ★ 23.80  
 
PID-3   10/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 2:24
See original race card.
:223 :462 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PAYNTED WARRIOR 2 5 43½ 65   21½ 11¼ (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 120 4.50 24% 3.10 2.30 W
6  GOOSE HUNTER 6 1 54 43   42 21¼ (rice kevin)AYALA J 120 3.50 ★ 6.20 P
1  KOTYLOS 1 6 64½ 33   52¼ 31½ (russell randal)ROMERO RAMON 120 12.00 ★ 27.40 S
5  JOSH'S HONOR 5 3 11½ 12½   11½ 43½ (rogers michael)SPIETH S 120 2.50 14% 6.20 1.40  
3  HOPE SHE COMES 3 2 21½ 53½   32 57 (morrell justi)WALKER M 117 6.00 19.20  
4  WHISKEYMAC 4 4 33 22½   62¾ 68¾ (motion h)GALLARDO A 120 2.00 32% 2.10 2.50  
 
PID-4   10/18/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:51
See original race card.
:25 :502 1:153 1:403   1:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  PAUPING 5 2 11 1nk 2nk 2½ 11½ (walsh d)WALKER M 122 6.00 29.30  
8  GOODTIME ARTIE 8 9 86½ 83 61¾ 43½ 21½ (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 124 4.50 16% 5.30 4.40 P
6  NOT SO EASY 6 3 42½ 41¼ 3.2 1½ 31½ (girten tim)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 5.00 17% 4.70 3.40 S
2  RED PIXIE 2 8 76 72¾ 72¼ 85 41¾ (connelly teresa)STANLEY O 119 12.00 5% 19.00 45.30  
3  TITRATE 3 1 63½ 62¼ 83¼ 32 51¾ (worton dorot)ALENCAR WALBER 122 3.50 10% 9.20 7.70  
9  WORLD OF FOOLS 9 7 53 51¼ 51¼ 53½ 63½ (smith lawrenc)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 10.00 28.00  
7  NIP OF BOURBON 7 5 21 2nk 1nk 64 74¼ (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 124 12.00 16.80  
1  YOWZA YOWZA YOWZA 1 4 31½ 31 41¼ 74½ 87 (shuman m)GALLARDO A 122 12.00 4.70  
4  ALPHA PREDATOR 4 6 98 94½ 95¼ 97 99 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 32% 2.20 1.70  
 
PID-5   10/18/2022 5490ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:263 :524 1:172 1:413   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  JULIETTE FALLS 4 3 11½ 11 11 13 13 (stokes lance)MARTINEZ W 120 8.00 ★ 22.40  
4  SOLIDARITY 3 2 43½ 42½ 32 33 23 (delacour arna)MORALES PABLO 120 1.60 48% 1.10 0.90 P
6  FRAGRANT 5 5 21½ 21 21 23 33 (mccarthy)GALLARDO A 120 2.50 24% 3.10 1.90 S
3  DETERMINED EMPIRE 2 4 32½ 32 42 43¼ 44½ (schoenthal phil)SPIETH S 120 3.50 ★ 6.50  
2  STERN CHASER 1 1 54½ 5100 5100 5100 5100 (matz michael)AYALA J 120 5.00 ★ 4.80  
SCR  SWIGERT               (caramori edu)ALENCAR WALBER 120 12.00    
 
PID-6   10/18/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:123 1:383   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MERINO WOOL 1 5 33½ 42½ 31½ 11½ 15¼ (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 122 2.00 1.60  
5  MIDNIGHT PIRATE 5 3 54½ 53½ 53½ 33 25¼ (wismer glenn )WALKER M 122 3.00 34% 1.90 3.00 P
2  CHARLOTTE THE BRIT 2 2 11 11½ 11½ 21½ 37 (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 ★ 2.00 S
6  AUDRINA'S CITY 6 7 78½ 78 77½ 64¾ 47½ (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 8.00 24.10  
3  NOT ORBINARY 3 6 65 64½ 65 54½ 57¾ (guciardo john)STANLEY O 122 12.00 5% 19.00 33.50  
4  PATSY'S BIG GIRL 4 1 21 21½ 21½ 44½ 610 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 5.00 ★ 11.00  
7  WINDY CITY GIRL 7 4 43½ 32½ 42 79¼ 722½ (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 124 6.00 33% 2.00 8.50  
 
PID-7   10/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:222 :453 :58     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BLICHTON 2 5 31½ 32   3½ 1¼ (bourke joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 3.00 34% 1.90 1.60 W
7  SAINT GOAR 7 1 52¾ 63¼   62½ 2¼ (pappada michae)ALLEN D 122 2.50 ★ 5.10 P
4  DON'T POKE THE CAT 4 7 74¾ 75¼   41 31 (gomez alejand)VALDES ALEXIS 122 4.50 ★ 11.10 S
3  MORE THAN GOOD 3 6 63¾ 53¼   73½ 41¾ (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 117 4.00 34% 1.90 2.80  
6  BEAR CREEK 6 2 41¾ 43   52 52¾ (hoffman mark)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00 ★ 4.40  
5  BLAKENSTEIN 5 3 2nk 2nk   1nk 66¼ (guciardo joh)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 15.00 31.60  
1  GRACEFUL KITTEN 1 4 1nk 1nk   2nk 79 (baird j )GALLARDO A 122 8.00 8.60  
 
PID-8   10/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:39
See original race card.
:224 :461 :582     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HALF BIRTHDAY 2 4 1nk 11   12 13¼ (kintz s )GALLARDO A 121 3.50 2.10  
8  SONNET 6 1 3½ 21   22 23¼ (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 121 3.00 31% 2.20 1.20 P
5  LA REINA DEL NORTE 4 2 52½ 53   54½ 37¼ (rotunno sydn)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 8.00 13.90  
3  TUDOX ROADSTER 3 3 2nk 31½   43½ 47¼ (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 4.00 33% 2.00 2.50  
1  KEEP SCROLLING 1 5 42 42   32 57½ (walsh d)WALKER M 122 10.00 19.40  
7  ANOTHERMANICMONDAY 5 6 64 65   69 619¼ (pappada michae)ALLEN D 122 8.00 8% 12.20 19.40  
SCR  COTIA               (caramori cai)ALENCAR WALBER 122 12.00 5% 18.50    
SCR  MADE TO HUSTLE               (rogers ronal)AYALA J 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  MONGOLIAN MISSION               (clouston ed)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 20.00    
SCR  VIVE EL MOMENTO               (gotera c)VALDES ALEXIS 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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