Handicappers' Race Results

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Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - October 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
PID-1   10/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:22 :46 :59     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO STEP DANCE 7 3 4 4   21 1 (clouston edwar)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 4.50 21% 3.80 8.80 W
MULETRAIN 6 5 710½ 6   5 2 (connelly teres)ALENCAR WALBER 124 10.00 27.80 P
ROGERS GINGER 1 6 59 5   4 3 (kintz matthew)MARTINEZ W 124 2.50 44% 1.30 1.00 S
MOCA MONSTER 5 1 6 79   6 4 (cooper thomas)AYALA J 124 6.00 17.30  
SHEER ALICE (GB) 2 4 1 1   11 5 (walsh d)WALKER M 118 2.50 1.80  
CHAMPAGNE FOR ALL 3 7 3 34   3 69 (russell randall)ROMERO RAMON 121 15.00 68.70  
SPIRITED DEBATE 4 2 2 2   7 715 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 121 3.50 4.90  
 
PID-2   10/18/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:57
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:133 1:391   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUN DADDY 2 5 2 23 2 1½ 1 (martin wil)GALLARDO A 124 1.40 58% 0.70 0.60 W
NOTACATBUTACARD 1 4 1 13 1 2½ 2 (hoffman mark)MORALES PABLO 122 1.80 10% 9.10 1.60 P
FARAT 3 3 4 49 4 34 39 (markgraf david)WALKER M 122 3.50 7.70 S
CASTLE KING 5 1 5 59 5 5 414¾ (bowersock maria)ALLEN D 122 6.00 12.00  
C THE KING 4 2 3 3 34 46 519¾ (depasquale kimb)VALDES ALEXIS 122 8.00 23.80  
 
PID-3   10/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 2:24
See original race card.
:223 :462 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAYNTED WARRIOR 2 5 4 65   2 1 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 120 4.50 24% 3.10 2.30 W
GOOSE HUNTER 6 1 54 43   42 2 (rice kevin)AYALA J 120 3.50 6.20 P
KOTYLOS 1 6 6 33   5 3 (russell randall)ROMERO RAMON 120 12.00 27.40 S
JOSH'S HONOR 5 3 1 1   1 4 (rogers michael)SPIETH S 120 2.50 14% 6.20 1.40  
HOPE SHE COMES 3 2 2 5   32 57 (morrell justin )WALKER M 117 6.00 19.20  
WHISKEYMAC 4 4 33 2   6 6 (motion g)GALLARDO A 120 2.00 32% 2.10 2.50  
 
PID-4   10/18/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:51
See original race card.
:25 :502 1:153 1:403   1:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAUPING 5 2 11 1nk 2nk 2½ 1 (walsh d)WALKER M 122 6.00 29.30  
GOODTIME ARTIE 8 9 8 83 6 4 2 (kintz matthew)ALLEN D 124 4.50 16% 5.30 4.40 P
NOT SO EASY 6 3 4 4 3.2 1½ 3 (girten tim)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 5.00 17% 4.70 3.40 S
RED PIXIE 2 8 76 7 7 85 4 (connelly teresa)STANLEY O 119 12.00 5% 19.00 45.30  
TITRATE 3 1 6 6 8 32 5 (worton dorothy)ALENCAR WALBER 122 3.50 10% 9.20 7.70  
WORLD OF FOOLS 9 7 53 5 5 5 6 (smith lawrence )VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 10.00 28.00  
NIP OF BOURBON 7 5 21 2nk 1nk 64 7 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 124 12.00 16.80  
YOWZA YOWZA YOWZA 1 4 3 31 4 7 87 (shuman mar)GALLARDO A 122 12.00 4.70  
ALPHA PREDATOR 4 6 98 9 9 97 99 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 32% 2.20 1.70  
 
PID-5   10/18/2022 5490ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:263 :524 1:172 1:413   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JULIETTE FALLS 4 3 1 11 11 13 13 (stokes lance)MARTINEZ W 120 8.00 22.40  
SOLIDARITY 3 2 4 4 32 33 23 (delacour arnaud)MORALES PABLO 120 1.60 48% 1.10 0.90 P
FRAGRANT 5 5 2 21 21 23 33 (mccarthy m)GALLARDO A 120 2.50 24% 3.10 1.90 S
DETERMINED EMPIRE 2 4 3 32 42 4 4 (schoenthal phil)SPIETH S 120 3.50 6.50  
STERN CHASER 1 1 5 5100 5100 5100 5100 (matz r)AYALA J 120 5.00 4.80  
SCR  SWIGERT               (caramori eduar)ALENCAR WALBER 120 12.00    
 
PID-6   10/18/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:123 1:383   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MERINO WOOL 1 5 3 4 3 1 1 (rojas e)MORALES PABLO 122 2.00 1.60  
MIDNIGHT PIRATE 5 3 5 5 5 33 2 (wismer s)WALKER M 122 3.00 34% 1.90 3.00 P
CHARLOTTE THE BRIT 2 2 11 1 1 2 37 (rojas edua)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 2.00 S
AUDRINA'S CITY 6 7 7 78 7 6 4 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 8.00 24.10  
NOT ORBINARY 3 6 65 6 65 5 5 (guciardo john)STANLEY O 122 12.00 5% 19.00 33.50  
PATSY'S BIG GIRL 4 1 21 2 2 4 610 (pappada m)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 5.00 11.00  
WINDY CITY GIRL 7 4 4 3 42 7 722½ (bowersock maria)ALLEN D 124 6.00 33% 2.00 8.50  
 
PID-7   10/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:222 :453 :58     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLICHTON 2 5 3 32   3½ 1¼ (bourke john)ALENCAR WALBER 122 3.00 34% 1.90 1.60 W
SAINT GOAR 7 1 5 6   6 2¼ (pappada michael )ALLEN D 122 2.50 5.10 P
DON'T POKE THE CAT 4 7 7 7   41 31 (gomez alejandro)VALDES ALEXIS 122 4.50 11.10 S
MORE THAN GOOD 3 6 6 5   7 4 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 117 4.00 34% 1.90 2.80  
BEAR CREEK 6 2 4 43   52 5 (hoffman mark)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00 4.40  
BLAKENSTEIN 5 3 2nk 2nk   1nk 6 (guciardo john)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 15.00 31.60  
GRACEFUL KITTEN 1 4 1nk 1nk   2nk 79 (baird mi)GALLARDO A 122 8.00 8.60  
 
PID-8   10/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:39
See original race card.
:224 :461 :582     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HALF BIRTHDAY 2 4 1nk 11   12 1 (kintz ma)GALLARDO A 121 3.50 2.10  
SONNET 6 1 3½ 21   22 2 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 121 3.00 31% 2.20 1.20 P
LA REINA DEL NORTE 4 2 5 53   5 3 (rotunno sydney)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 8.00 13.90  
TUDOX ROADSTER 3 3 2nk 3   4 4 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 4.00 33% 2.00 2.50  
KEEP SCROLLING 1 5 42 42   32 5 (walsh d)WALKER M 122 10.00 19.40  
ANOTHERMANICMONDAY 5 6 64 65   69 619¼ (pappada michael )ALLEN D 122 8.00 8% 12.20 19.40  
SCR  COTIA               (caramori caio)ALENCAR WALBER 122 12.00 5% 18.50    
SCR  MADE TO HUSTLE               (rogers ronald )AYALA J 122 6.00    
SCR  MONGOLIAN MISSION               (clouston edwa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 20.00    
SCR  VIVE EL MOMENTO               (gotera car)VALDES ALEXIS 122 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.