Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - October 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   10/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROGERS GINGER Oct10 Aug22 Aug01 Jun29 Jun15 (kintz matthew)MARTINEZ W 124 2.50 44% 1.30    
2  SHEER ALICE (GB) Oct04 Sep07 Aug16 Jul28 Jun21 (walsh d)WALKER M 118 2.50 ★    
3  CHAMPAGNE FOR ALL Aug29 Aug08 Jul13 Jun22   (russell randal)ROMERO RAMON 121 15.00    
4  SPIRITED DEBATE Oct10 Sep26 Sep08 Aug22   (fennessy john)ALLEN M 121 3.50 ★    
5  MOCA MONSTER Sep21 Aug17 Jul20 May21 Jan23 (cooper thoma)AYALA J 124 6.00    
6  MULETRAIN Oct10 Sep26 Sep08 Jul07 Jun27 (connelly ter)ALENCAR WALBER 124 10.00 ★    
7  TWO STEP DANCE Oct04 Sep28 Aug11 Jul28 Jul06 (clouston ed)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 4.50 21% 3.80    
 
PID-2   10/18/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOTACATBUTACARD Oct04 Sep27 Sep13 Sep06 Jul27 (hoffman mark)MORALES PABLO 122 1.80 10% 9.10    
2  SUN DADDY Oct03 Sep19 Aug01 Jul12 Jun29 (martin w)GALLARDO A 124 1.40 58% 0.70    
3  FARAT Oct04 Sep20 Sep06 Aug22 Aug10 (markgraf davi)WALKER M 122 3.50 ★    
4  C THE KING Oct04 Sep20 Sep06 Aug23 Aug08 (depasquale ki)VALDES ALEXIS 122 8.00 ★    
5  CASTLE KING Sep20 Sep06 Aug23 Aug08 Jul20 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 6.00 ★    
 
PID-3   10/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KOTYLOS Sep07 Aug09 Jul19     (russell randal)ROMERO RAMON 120 12.00 ★    
2  PAYNTED WARRIOR         (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 120 4.50 24% 3.10    
3  HOPE SHE COMES Sep29         (morrell justi)WALKER M 117 6.00    
4  WHISKEYMAC Sep27 Sep07       (motion h)GALLARDO A 120 2.00 32% 2.10    
5  JOSH'S HONOR Sep27 Aug22 Jul09     (rogers michael)SPIETH S 120 2.50 14% 6.20    
6  GOOSE HUNTER Oct11 Sep22 Sep07 Aug22   (rice kevin)AYALA J 120 3.50 ★    
 
PID-4   10/18/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOWZA YOWZA YOWZA Sep14 Aug20 Aug09 Jul31 Jul08 (shuman m)GALLARDO A 122 12.00    
2  RED PIXIE Oct10 Apr15 Feb22     (connelly teresa)STANLEY O 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  TITRATE Oct04 Sep17 Aug31 Aug09 Jul20 (worton dorot)ALENCAR WALBER 122 3.50 10% 9.20    
4  ALPHA PREDATOR Oct04 Sep06 Aug03 Jul21 Jul11 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 32% 2.20    
5  PAUPING Sep27 Sep06 Aug22 Aug02 Jul11 (walsh d)WALKER M 122 6.00    
6  NOT SO EASY Oct03 Sep15 Aug24 Feb23 Jan26 (girten tim)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 5.00 17% 4.70    
7  NIP OF BOURBON Oct04 Sep21 Aug24 Aug09 Jul26 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 124 12.00    
8  GOODTIME ARTIE Oct05 Sep21 Sep08 Aug24 Aug09 (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 124 4.50 16% 5.30    
9  WORLD OF FOOLS Oct11 Sep22 Sep15 Sep09 Aug20 (smith lawrenc)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 10.00    
 
PID-5   10/18/2022 5490ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SWIGERT Aug31         (caramori edu)ALENCAR WALBER 120 12.00    
2  STERN CHASER Aug16 Jul20       (matz michael)AYALA J 120 5.00 ★    
3  DETERMINED EMPIRE Oct07 Sep07 Aug08 Feb24   (schoenthal phil)SPIETH S 120 3.50 ★    
4  SOLIDARITY Sep08 Aug01 Jun15     (delacour arna)MORALES PABLO 120 1.60 48% 1.10    
5  JULIETTE FALLS Oct03         (stokes lance)MARTINEZ W 120 8.00 ★    
6  FRAGRANT Sep25 Aug07 Jun23     (mccarthy)GALLARDO A 120 2.50 24% 3.10    
 
PID-6   10/18/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MERINO WOOL Sep29 Sep13 Sep06 Aug16 Aug08 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 122 2.00    
2  CHARLOTTE THE BRIT Oct05 Sep22 Sep06 Aug09 Jul12 (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 ★    
3  NOT ORBINARY Oct06 Aug17 Aug03 Jul19 Jul04 (guciardo john)STANLEY O 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  PATSY'S BIG GIRL Sep29 Sep13 Aug23 Aug03 Jul18 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 5.00 ★    
5  MIDNIGHT PIRATE Oct04 Sep13 Aug29 Aug09 Jul27 (wismer glenn )WALKER M 122 3.00 34% 1.90    
6  AUDRINA'S CITY Oct12 Sep28 Sep13 Sep06 Aug09 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 8.00    
7  WINDY CITY GIRL Oct06 Sep28 Sep14 Aug31 Aug15 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 124 6.00 33% 2.00    
 
PID-7   10/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRACEFUL KITTEN Sep14 Aug15 Jul17 May13 Apr17 (baird j )GALLARDO A 122 8.00    
2  BLICHTON Oct06 Sep22 Aug22 Aug02 Jul13 (bourke joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 3.00 34% 1.90    
3  MORE THAN GOOD Sep15 Aug23 Aug06 Jul20 Jun25 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 117 4.00 34% 1.90    
4  DON'T POKE THE CAT Oct04 Sep19 Aug31 Aug22 Aug15 (gomez alejand)VALDES ALEXIS 122 4.50 ★    
5  BLAKENSTEIN Oct03 Aug22 Jul20 Jun30 Jun15 (guciardo joh)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 15.00    
6  BEAR CREEK Oct03 Sep12 Aug02 Jul13 Jun22 (hoffman mark)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00 ★    
7  SAINT GOAR Oct03 Aug31 Jul21 Apr18 Mar24 (pappada michae)ALLEN D 122 2.50 ★    
 
PID-8   10/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEEP SCROLLING Sep15 Aug31 Aug17 Jul27 Jul12 (walsh d)WALKER M 122 10.00    
2  HALF BIRTHDAY Oct10 Sep27 Sep08 Aug22 Jul14 (kintz s )GALLARDO A 121 3.50    
3  TUDOX ROADSTER Sep21 Sep08 Aug22 Aug03 Jul12 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 4.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  VIVE EL MOMENTO Sep28 Sep15 Aug29 Aug22 Jul12 (gotera c)VALDES ALEXIS 122 15.00    
5  LA REINA DEL NORTE Sep27 Sep08 Aug24 Aug10 Jul12 (rotunno sydn)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 8.00    
SCR  MADE TO HUSTLE Aug11 Jul18 Jul11 Jun17 Jun05 (rogers ronal)AYALA J 122 6.00 ★    
7  ANOTHERMANICMONDAY Oct03 Sep12 Aug24 Jul27 Jul13 (pappada michae)ALLEN D 122 8.00 8% 12.20    
8  SONNET Sep27 Jul13 May10 Apr09   (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 121 3.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  MONGOLIAN MISSION Oct07 Sep10 Aug18 Jun30 Jun10 (clouston ed)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 20.00    
SCR  COTIA Sep26 Jul26 Jun13 May17 Mar17 (caramori cai)ALENCAR WALBER 122 12.00 5% 18.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.