The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Churchill Downs
Sunday - September 25, 2022
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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CD-1   09/25/2022 5610ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
:252 :502 1:143 1:391   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WHAT A COUNTRY 2 5 32 32 42½ 43½ 1¾ (cook b)BEJARANO R 122 2.50 34% 2.00 1.85 W
1  MINE OWN STAR 1 4 42 42 32½ 33½ 2¾ (knippenberg brian)RAMOS D 122 3.50 23% 3.30 6.28 P
5  INDIMAAJ 5 3 21 2½ 2½ 22½ 2¾ (diodoro robertino)COHEN DAVID 122 2.00 17% 5.00 1.28 P
4  KING'S MISCHIEF 4 1 11 1½ 1½ 12½ 41 (simms jr)GILLIGAN JACK 122 3.50 ★ 4.03  
3  CARMEL BAY 3 6 64¾ 65¼ 67½ 612½ 512 (shifflett cheryl)AYALA ISAIAS 122 8.00 ★ 22.93  
6  JAMMERS JUSTICE 6 2 52¼ 52¼ 54 511½ 612 (santamaria carlos)GARCIA MARTIN 122 12.00 20.97  
 
CD-2   09/25/2022 5610ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 ALL PT- 1:14
:233 :474 1:132 1:40   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  AIRTIME 4 3 34 32½ 42 1nk 1¾ (ortiz alexander)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00 4.89  
2  PRINCE OF ROSES 2 1 1½ 11 1½ 2nk 2¾ (ortiz alexander)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 ★ 9.76 P
1  IDRATHERBEBLESSED 1 7 78½ 710 55 32 31¾ (hartman chris)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 4.00 ★ 4.04 S
7  CANAL 7 6 44½ 42½ 31½ 43½ 48 (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 14% 6.00 1.20  
3  CHELONIAN 3 2 2½ 21 2½ 57 510¼ (cox h)SANTANA JR 119 3.00 38% 1.60 4.29  
6  HE'S A GOOD DANCER 6 4 66½ 68 610 610 612 (ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 8.00 12.14  
5  MARTINI SHOT 5 5 56 57½ 717 730 750¾ (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 119 15.00 28.95  
SCR  HILL OF TARA               (ennis john)CANNON DECLAN 119 3.50 24% 3.20    
 
CD-3   09/25/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
:234 :48 1:13 1:384   1:52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MUSIC STREET 5 3 55½ 55½ 53½ 11½ 13½ (beckman whitworth)LEPAROUX R 120 8.00 ★ 8.54  
6  FOREVER AFTER ALL 6 4 32½ 33½ 31½ 21½ 23½ (stall m)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.20 51% 1.00 0.62 P
3  FINE COTTON 3 2 21½ 21½ 1nk 32½ 37 (pessin l)DIAZ RENE 119 3.50 ★ 4.22 S
1  FRAGRANT 1 6 44 43½ 42 47½ 410 (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 120 5.00 23% 3.30 5.55  
2  SHEZAPISTOL 2 1 11½ 11½ 2nk 515½ 529¾ (hobby steve)GARCIA MARTIN 120 12.00 47.56  
4  CALM INSPIRATION 4 5 67½ 611 615½ 637 663¼ (pletcher a)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 ★ 6.80  
 
CD-4   09/25/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
:234 :464 1:111     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PISTOL 4 3 11 11½   14 16½ (van thomas)DIAZ RENE 113 2.50 ★ 2.17  
2  WAYWARDNESS 2 2 55 56   24 26½ (lovell michelle)GILLIGAN JACK 123 5.00 10% 9.10 7.68 P
1  JUDY'S WAY 1 5 66 66   55 37½ (silva h)PEDROZA MARCELINO 123 10.00 7% 14.10 13.49 S
5  SONADOR 5 1 21 21½   34½ 48 (hernandez rey)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 4.00 17% 5.00 8.72  
7  HASHTAG WINNER 6 4 42 44   67½ 59 (garcia genaro)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 6.00 14.50  
3  GARDENLY 3 6 31½ 32   44½ 69¾ (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 123 2.00 44% 1.30 0.83  
SCR  BACKYARD HEN               (shifflett cheryl)AYALA ISAIAS 118 20.00    
 
CD-5   09/25/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
:25 :491 1:132 1:382   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CAUSE TO CRUISE 5 4 1½ 1½ 1nk 13 14 (cox h)SANTANA JR 118 1.60 54% 0.90 0.68 W
1  HELLORHIGHWATER 1 6 55 54 42½ 35 24 (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 122 4.00 17% 4.80 4.64 P
8  BARSTOW 6 2 31½ 42 31 23 36 (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 115 8.00 ★ 11.74 S
5  ZOFFA 4 3 2½ 2½ 2nk 45½ 49¾ (shorter aaron)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 10.00 ★ 9.65  
2  FERRYBOAT 2 5 42½ 32 55 510½ 513¼ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 124 2.50 3.35  
4  GENERATOR 3 1 65 69 618 629½ 640 (vance d)RIQUELME J 122 15.00 23.46  
SCR  KIDYOUNOT               (barnett c)COURT K 122 10.00 ★    
SCR  MOUNTAIN GHOST               (wiggins lon)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
 
CD-6   09/25/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
:241 :481 1:123 1:372   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BACKSIDEOFTHEMOON 7 3 21 21 11 12 11½ (diodoro robertino)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 ★ 1.81  
1  FROSTED GRACE 1 4 31½ 32 21 22 21½ (habeeb j)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00 14% 6.10 14.98 P
6  ALL WEST 6 6 53½ 54 53 45 33½ (hartman chris)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 6.00 8.01  
5  BOLDISH 5 2 43 42 31 34 45 (sharp joe)CORRALES GERARDO 122 5.00 9% 10.50 4.99  
3  AIR ATTACK 3 7 76½ 75¾ 74¾ 56½ 55 (bauer a)BEJARANO R 122 3.00 28% 2.60 2.92  
2  SILVER DUST 2 5 64½ 64¼ 63¼ 69½ 612¼ (calhoun bret)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 4.00 4.41  
4  ON A SPREE 4 1 11 11 42½ 714½ 727½ (cano munoz)RIQUELME J 122 8.00 18% 4.40 11.94  
 
CD-7   09/25/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
:243 :474 1:114 1:372   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GUT FEELING 6 1 1½ 1½ 2nk 2nk 1¾ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 34% 2.00 1.46 W
4  FLOKI'S FLIGHT 3 2 2½ 2½ 1nk 1nk 2¾ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 2.50 23% 3.30 1.97 P
6  STAND PROUD 5 6 53½ 54½ 47 34 32 (ortiz alexander)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 5.00 ★ 4.95 S
1  SHAKEDOWN STREET 1 4 79 610½ 612¾ 612½ 410¾ (margolis r)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 6.00 12.64  
3  INEXORABLE 2 3 32 33 57¼ 511½ 512½ (margolis r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 5.00 12% 7.50 4.91  
8  GET THROUGH 7 5 42½ 43½ 36 49 613½ (combs bentley)GARCIA MARTIN 120 12.00 26.86  
5  AUTOPOLIS 4 7 66 711½ 719¾ 722½ 728½ (reed r)MCKEE J 120 20.00 40.98  
SCR  B G LEE               (vance d)LEPAROUX R 120 10.00    
SCR  BEYBLADER               (glyshaw tim)RIQUELME J 120 10.00 ★    
 
CD-8   09/25/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
:212 :45 :572     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REPUBLIQUE 1 6 53 53   2½ 12½ (joseph a)LEPAROUX R 118 3.00 30% 2.30 2.39 W
5  ALTERED SHOT 5 1 41½ 2½   1½ 22½ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 ★ 1.61 P
3  CHASING FIREFLIES 3 5 31 41   31 32¾ (ortiz alexander)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 10.00 ★ 9.43 S
2  PROMISES TO DANCE 2 2 1½ 31   41 45 (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 2.50 11% 8.10 6.30  
6  READY FOR CHANGE 6 4 64½ 65   66 510 (pessin l)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 10.00 11.44  
4  MAGIC QUEST 4 3 2½ 1½   53½ 611¾ (arnold r)GRAHAM J 121 2.00 35% 1.90 3.49  
 
CD-9   09/25/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
:212 :442 :563     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SILK TRADE 8 7 63¼ 53   53½ 1hd (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 4.50 6% 14.50 4.27 W
5  EDGE TO EDGE 5 1 2nk 2nk   11 2hd (hartman chris)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 8.00 10.12  
1  HIGHER STANDARD 1 2 1nk 1nk   21 31 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00 3.54  
6  GAGETOWN 6 8 73½ 63¼   43 41¼ (simms jr)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 6.00 9% 9.80 11.79  
7  COLTONATOR 7 4 85½ 77¼   76 53 (foley greg)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 15.00 17.91  
4  CASANOVA KITTEN 4 5 41¾ 31   32½ 63 (ginter jr)CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00 15.56  
3  VERB 3 3 51¾ 42½   64 74¾ (cook b)BEJARANO R 121 8.00 9% 10.30 4.63  
2  SPANKSTER 2 6 31½ 87¾   88 87 (lukas wayne)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.50 9% 10.30 5.69  
9  GIROLAMO'S ATTACK 9 9 98½ 99¾   99 99 (joseph a)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 38% 1.70 4.14  
 
CD-10   09/25/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 5:26
:221 :453 :574     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  HOOSIER PHILLY 6 5 52½ 31½   1nk 11¾ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 ★ 1.07  
12  BABY GOT BACKSPIN 10 3 2½ 1nk   2nk 21¾ (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 2.50 71% 0.40 3.07 P
10  MIGHTY MADISON 8 8 65½ 65½   44 33 (bauer a)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00 12.62  
11  TWO ITEM SAVER 9 6 75¾ 75¾   55 44½ (stewart dallas)GRAHAM J 119 10.00 37.14  
4  BOARDWALK QUEEN 4 9 1011¼ 911¼   67½ 55¼ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 20.00 56.30  
1  HIGH CLASS 1 2 1½ 2nk   31½ 65¾ (asmussen m)SANTANA JR 119 4.00 ★ 5.02  
3  ROMAN GODDESS 3 1 32 55   811 79¼ (maker j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 15.88  
8  PUFFIN 7 11 87¾ 88¼   710 812¾ (catalano m)PETERSON FERRIN 119 12.00 46.36  
13  INTO LOVE 11 7 42½ 42½   912 917 (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 8.00 9.89  
2  FOXPASS 2 4 98¾ 1013¾   1015½ 1017½ (ortiz alexander)DIAZ RENE 114 20.00 59.52  
5  MARVELETTE 5 10 1114¾ 1117¾   1121½ 1127 (catalano m)COHEN DAVID 119 20.00 75.82  
SCR  JERSEY PEARL               (lynch a)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 6.00 7% 13.70    
SCR  OPTIMIZME               (pinzon maria)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 20.00    
SCR  SAUCY SECRET               (hobby steve)ROCCO S 119 12.00    
SCR  TELL ME WHEN               (hamm timothy)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.50 ★    
SCR  TIVALI               (casse w)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.