Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Sunday - September 25, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   09/25/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WHAT A COUNTRY   (cook b)BEJARANO R 122 2.50 34% 2.00 1.85 W
1  MINE OWN STAR   (knippenberg )RAMOS D 122 3.50 23% 3.30 6.28 P
5  INDIMAAJ   (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 122 2.00 17% 5.00 1.28 P
4  KING'S MISCHIEF   (simms jr)GILLIGAN JACK 122 3.50 ★ 4.03  
3  CARMEL BAY   (shifflett cher)AYALA ISAIAS 122 8.00 ★ 22.93  
6  JAMMERS JUSTICE   (santamaria ca)GARCIA MARTIN 122 12.00 20.97  
 
CD-2   09/25/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 ALL PT- 1:14
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  AIRTIME   (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00 4.89  
2  PRINCE OF ROSES   (ortiz john)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 ★ 9.76 P
1  IDRATHERBEBLESSED   (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 4.00 ★ 4.04 S
7  CANAL   (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 14% 6.00 1.20  
3  CHELONIAN   (cox brad)SANTANA JR 119 3.00 38% 1.60 4.29  
6  HE'S A GOOD DANCER   (ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 8.00 12.14  
5  MARTINI SHOT   (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 119 15.00 28.95  
SCR  HILL OF TARA   (ennis john)CANNON DECLAN 119 3.50 24% 3.20    
 
CD-3   09/25/2022 5940ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MUSIC STREET   (beckman d)LEPAROUX R 120 8.00 ★ 8.54  
6  FOREVER AFTER ALL   (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.20 51% 1.00 0.62 P
3  FINE COTTON   (pessin l)DIAZ RENE 119 3.50 ★ 4.22 S
1  FRAGRANT   (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 120 5.00 23% 3.30 5.55  
2  SHEZAPISTOL   (hobby steve)GARCIA MARTIN 120 12.00 47.56  
4  CALM INSPIRATION   (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 ★ 6.80  
 
CD-4   09/25/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PISTOL   (van thomas)DIAZ RENE 113 2.50 ★ 2.17  
2  WAYWARDNESS   (lovell michel)GILLIGAN JACK 123 5.00 10% 9.10 7.68 P
1  JUDY'S WAY   (silva car)PEDROZA MARCELINO 123 10.00 7% 14.10 13.49 S
5  SONADOR   (hern)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 4.00 17% 5.00 8.72  
7  HASHTAG WINNER   (garcia gena)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 6.00 14.50  
3  GARDENLY   (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 123 2.00 44% 1.30 0.83  
SCR  BACKYARD HEN   (shifflett cher)AYALA ISAIAS 118 20.00    
 
CD-5   09/25/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CAUSE TO CRUISE   (cox brad)SANTANA JR 118 1.60 54% 0.90 0.68 W
1  HELLORHIGHWATER   (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 122 4.00 17% 4.80 4.64 P
8  BARSTOW   (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 115 8.00 ★ 11.74 S
5  ZOFFA   (shorter aaro)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 10.00 ★ 9.65  
2  FERRYBOAT   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 124 2.50 3.35  
4  GENERATOR   (vance d)RIQUELME J 122 15.00 23.46  
SCR  KIDYOUNOT   (barnett c)COURT K 122 10.00 ★    
SCR  MOUNTAIN GHOST   (wiggins l)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
 
CD-6   09/25/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BACKSIDEOFTHEMOON   (diodoro ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 ★ 1.81  
1  FROSTED GRACE   (habeeb donald)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00 14% 6.10 14.98 P
6  ALL WEST   (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 6.00 8.01  
5  BOLDISH   (sharp joe)CORRALES GERARDO 122 5.00 9% 10.50 4.99  
3  AIR ATTACK   (bauer a)BEJARANO R 122 3.00 28% 2.60 2.92  
2  SILVER DUST   (calhoun will)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 4.00 4.41  
4  ON A SPREE   (cano munoz)RIQUELME J 122 8.00 18% 4.40 11.94  
 
CD-7   09/25/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GUT FEELING   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 34% 2.00 1.46 W
4  FLOKI'S FLIGHT   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 2.50 23% 3.30 1.97 P
6  STAND PROUD   (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 5.00 ★ 4.95 S
1  SHAKEDOWN STREET   (mar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 6.00 12.64  
3  INEXORABLE   (margolis )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 5.00 12% 7.50 4.91  
8  GET THROUGH   (combs bentley)GARCIA MARTIN 120 12.00 26.86  
5  AUTOPOLIS   (reed r)MCKEE J 120 20.00 40.98  
SCR  B G LEE   (vance tho)LEPAROUX R 120 10.00    
SCR  BEYBLADER   (glyshaw tim)RIQUELME J 120 10.00 ★    
 
CD-8   09/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REPUBLIQUE   (joseph sa)LEPAROUX R 118 3.00 30% 2.30 2.39 W
5  ALTERED SHOT   (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 ★ 1.61 P
3  CHASING FIREFLIES   (ortiz ale)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 10.00 ★ 9.43 S
2  PROMISES TO DANCE   (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 2.50 11% 8.10 6.30  
6  READY FOR CHANGE   (pessin neil )BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 10.00 11.44  
4  MAGIC QUEST   (arnold r)GRAHAM J 121 2.00 35% 1.90 3.49  
 
CD-9   09/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SILK TRADE   (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 4.50 6% 14.50 4.27 W
5  EDGE TO EDGE   (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 8.00 10.12  
1  HIGHER STANDARD   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00 3.54  
6  GAGETOWN   (simms j)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 6.00 9% 9.80 11.79  
7  COLTONATOR   (foley gre)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 15.00 17.91  
4  CASANOVA KITTEN   (ginter ray)CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00 15.56  
3  VERB   (cook b)BEJARANO R 121 8.00 9% 10.30 4.63  
2  SPANKSTER   (lukas wa)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.50 9% 10.30 5.69  
9  GIROLAMO'S ATTACK   (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 38% 1.70 4.14  
 
CD-10   09/25/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 5:26
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  HOOSIER PHILLY   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 ★ 1.07  
12  BABY GOT BACKSPIN   (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 119 2.50 71% 0.40 3.07 P
10  MIGHTY MADISON   (bauer philip )TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00 12.62  
11  TWO ITEM SAVER   (stewart dallas)GRAHAM J 119 10.00 37.14  
4  BOARDWALK QUEEN   (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 20.00 56.30  
1  HIGH CLASS   (asmussen)SANTANA JR 119 4.00 ★ 5.02  
3  ROMAN GODDESS   (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 15.88  
8  PUFFIN   (catalano wa)PETERSON FERRIN 119 12.00 46.36  
13  INTO LOVE   (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 8.00 9.89  
2  FOXPASS   (ortiz alexan)DIAZ RENE 114 20.00 59.52  
5  MARVELETTE   (catalano wayne )COHEN DAVID 119 20.00 75.82  
SCR  JERSEY PEARL   (lyn)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 6.00 7% 13.70    
SCR  OPTIMIZME   (pinzon mar)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 20.00    
SCR  SAUCY SECRET   (hobby steve)ROCCO S 119 12.00    
SCR  TELL ME WHEN   (hamm timot)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.50 ★    
SCR  TIVALI   (casse nor)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.