Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Sunday - September 25, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   09/25/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:252 :502 1:143 1:391   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WHAT A COUNTRY 2 5 32 32 42½ 43½ 1¾ (cook b)BEJARANO R 122 2.50 34% 2.00 1.85 W
1  MINE OWN STAR 1 4 42 42 32½ 33½ 2¾ (knippenberg )RAMOS D 122 3.50 23% 3.30 6.28 P
5  INDIMAAJ 5 3 21 2½ 2½ 22½ 2¾ (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 122 2.00 17% 5.00 1.28 P
4  KING'S MISCHIEF 4 1 11 1½ 1½ 12½ 41 (simms jr)GILLIGAN JACK 122 3.50 ★ 4.03  
3  CARMEL BAY 3 6 64¾ 65¼ 67½ 612½ 512 (shifflett cher)AYALA ISAIAS 122 8.00 ★ 22.93  
6  JAMMERS JUSTICE 6 2 52¼ 52¼ 54 511½ 612 (santamaria ca)GARCIA MARTIN 122 12.00 20.97  
 
CD-2   09/25/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:132 1:40   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  AIRTIME 4 3 34 32½ 42 1nk 1¾ (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00 4.89  
2  PRINCE OF ROSES 2 1 1½ 11 1½ 2nk 2¾ (ortiz john)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 ★ 9.76 P
1  IDRATHERBEBLESSED 1 7 78½ 710 55 32 31¾ (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 4.00 ★ 4.04 S
7  CANAL 7 6 44½ 42½ 31½ 43½ 48 (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 14% 6.00 1.20  
3  CHELONIAN 3 2 2½ 21 2½ 57 510¼ (cox brad)SANTANA JR 119 3.00 38% 1.60 4.29  
6  HE'S A GOOD DANCER 6 4 66½ 68 610 610 612 (ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 8.00 12.14  
5  MARTINI SHOT 5 5 56 57½ 717 730 750¾ (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 119 15.00 28.95  
SCR  HILL OF TARA               (ennis john)CANNON DECLAN 119 3.50 24% 3.20    
 
CD-3   09/25/2022 5940ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:13 1:384   1:52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MUSIC STREET 5 3 55½ 55½ 53½ 11½ 13½ (beckman d)LEPAROUX R 120 8.00 ★ 8.54  
6  FOREVER AFTER ALL 6 4 32½ 33½ 31½ 21½ 23½ (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.20 51% 1.00 0.62 P
3  FINE COTTON 3 2 21½ 21½ 1nk 32½ 37 (pessin l)DIAZ RENE 119 3.50 ★ 4.22 S
1  FRAGRANT 1 6 44 43½ 42 47½ 410 (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 120 5.00 23% 3.30 5.55  
2  SHEZAPISTOL 2 1 11½ 11½ 2nk 515½ 529¾ (hobby steve)GARCIA MARTIN 120 12.00 47.56  
4  CALM INSPIRATION 4 5 67½ 611 615½ 637 663¼ (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 ★ 6.80  
 
CD-4   09/25/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:234 :464 1:111     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PISTOL 4 3 11 11½   14 16½ (van thomas)DIAZ RENE 113 2.50 ★ 2.17  
2  WAYWARDNESS 2 2 55 56   24 26½ (lovell michel)GILLIGAN JACK 123 5.00 10% 9.10 7.68 P
1  JUDY'S WAY 1 5 66 66   55 37½ (silva car)PEDROZA MARCELINO 123 10.00 7% 14.10 13.49 S
5  SONADOR 5 1 21 21½   34½ 48 (hern)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 4.00 17% 5.00 8.72  
7  HASHTAG WINNER 6 4 42 44   67½ 59 (garcia gena)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 6.00 14.50  
3  GARDENLY 3 6 31½ 32   44½ 69¾ (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 123 2.00 44% 1.30 0.83  
SCR  BACKYARD HEN               (shifflett cher)AYALA ISAIAS 118 20.00    
 
CD-5   09/25/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:25 :491 1:132 1:382   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CAUSE TO CRUISE 5 4 1½ 1½ 1nk 13 14 (cox brad)SANTANA JR 118 1.60 54% 0.90 0.68 W
1  HELLORHIGHWATER 1 6 55 54 42½ 35 24 (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 122 4.00 17% 4.80 4.64 P
8  BARSTOW 6 2 31½ 42 31 23 36 (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 115 8.00 ★ 11.74 S
5  ZOFFA 4 3 2½ 2½ 2nk 45½ 49¾ (shorter aaro)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 10.00 ★ 9.65  
2  FERRYBOAT 2 5 42½ 32 55 510½ 513¼ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 124 2.50 3.35  
4  GENERATOR 3 1 65 69 618 629½ 640 (vance d)RIQUELME J 122 15.00 23.46  
SCR  KIDYOUNOT               (barnett c)COURT K 122 10.00 ★    
SCR  MOUNTAIN GHOST               (wiggins l)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
 
CD-6   09/25/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:123 1:372   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BACKSIDEOFTHEMOON 7 3 21 21 11 12 11½ (diodoro ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 ★ 1.81  
1  FROSTED GRACE 1 4 31½ 32 21 22 21½ (habeeb donald)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00 14% 6.10 14.98 P
6  ALL WEST 6 6 53½ 54 53 45 33½ (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 6.00 8.01  
5  BOLDISH 5 2 43 42 31 34 45 (sharp joe)CORRALES GERARDO 122 5.00 9% 10.50 4.99  
3  AIR ATTACK 3 7 76½ 75¾ 74¾ 56½ 55 (bauer a)BEJARANO R 122 3.00 28% 2.60 2.92  
2  SILVER DUST 2 5 64½ 64¼ 63¼ 69½ 612¼ (calhoun will)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 4.00 4.41  
4  ON A SPREE 4 1 11 11 42½ 714½ 727½ (cano munoz)RIQUELME J 122 8.00 18% 4.40 11.94  
 
CD-7   09/25/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:243 :474 1:114 1:372   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GUT FEELING 6 1 1½ 1½ 2nk 2nk 1¾ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 34% 2.00 1.46 W
4  FLOKI'S FLIGHT 3 2 2½ 2½ 1nk 1nk 2¾ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 2.50 23% 3.30 1.97 P
6  STAND PROUD 5 6 53½ 54½ 47 34 32 (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 5.00 ★ 4.95 S
1  SHAKEDOWN STREET 1 4 79 610½ 612¾ 612½ 410¾ (mar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 6.00 12.64  
3  INEXORABLE 2 3 32 33 57¼ 511½ 512½ (margolis )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 5.00 12% 7.50 4.91  
8  GET THROUGH 7 5 42½ 43½ 36 49 613½ (combs bentley)GARCIA MARTIN 120 12.00 26.86  
5  AUTOPOLIS 4 7 66 711½ 719¾ 722½ 728½ (reed r)MCKEE J 120 20.00 40.98  
SCR  B G LEE               (vance tho)LEPAROUX R 120 10.00    
SCR  BEYBLADER               (glyshaw tim)RIQUELME J 120 10.00 ★    
 
CD-8   09/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:212 :45 :572     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REPUBLIQUE 1 6 53 53   2½ 12½ (joseph sa)LEPAROUX R 118 3.00 30% 2.30 2.39 W
5  ALTERED SHOT 5 1 41½ 2½   1½ 22½ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 ★ 1.61 P
3  CHASING FIREFLIES 3 5 31 41   31 32¾ (ortiz ale)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 10.00 ★ 9.43 S
2  PROMISES TO DANCE 2 2 1½ 31   41 45 (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 2.50 11% 8.10 6.30  
6  READY FOR CHANGE 6 4 64½ 65   66 510 (pessin neil )BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 10.00 11.44  
4  MAGIC QUEST 4 3 2½ 1½   53½ 611¾ (arnold r)GRAHAM J 121 2.00 35% 1.90 3.49  
 
CD-9   09/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:212 :442 :563     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SILK TRADE 8 7 63¼ 53   53½ 1hd (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 4.50 6% 14.50 4.27 W
5  EDGE TO EDGE 5 1 2nk 2nk   11 2hd (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 8.00 10.12  
1  HIGHER STANDARD 1 2 1nk 1nk   21 31 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00 3.54  
6  GAGETOWN 6 8 73½ 63¼   43 41¼ (simms j)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 6.00 9% 9.80 11.79  
7  COLTONATOR 7 4 85½ 77¼   76 53 (foley gre)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 15.00 17.91  
4  CASANOVA KITTEN 4 5 41¾ 31   32½ 63 (ginter ray)CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00 15.56  
3  VERB 3 3 51¾ 42½   64 74¾ (cook b)BEJARANO R 121 8.00 9% 10.30 4.63  
2  SPANKSTER 2 6 31½ 87¾   88 87 (lukas wa)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.50 9% 10.30 5.69  
9  GIROLAMO'S ATTACK 9 9 98½ 99¾   99 99 (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 38% 1.70 4.14  
 
CD-10   09/25/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:221 :453 :574     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  HOOSIER PHILLY 6 5 52½ 31½   1nk 11¾ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 ★ 1.07  
12  BABY GOT BACKSPIN 10 3 2½ 1nk   2nk 21¾ (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 119 2.50 71% 0.40 3.07 P
10  MIGHTY MADISON 8 8 65½ 65½   44 33 (bauer philip )TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00 12.62  
11  TWO ITEM SAVER 9 6 75¾ 75¾   55 44½ (stewart dallas)GRAHAM J 119 10.00 37.14  
4  BOARDWALK QUEEN 4 9 1011¼ 911¼   67½ 55¼ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 20.00 56.30  
1  HIGH CLASS 1 2 1½ 2nk   31½ 65¾ (asmussen)SANTANA JR 119 4.00 ★ 5.02  
3  ROMAN GODDESS 3 1 32 55   811 79¼ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 15.88  
8  PUFFIN 7 11 87¾ 88¼   710 812¾ (catalano wa)PETERSON FERRIN 119 12.00 46.36  
13  INTO LOVE 11 7 42½ 42½   912 917 (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 8.00 9.89  
2  FOXPASS 2 4 98¾ 1013¾   1015½ 1017½ (ortiz alexan)DIAZ RENE 114 20.00 59.52  
5  MARVELETTE 5 10 1114¾ 1117¾   1121½ 1127 (catalano wayne )COHEN DAVID 119 20.00 75.82  
SCR  JERSEY PEARL               (lyn)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 6.00 7% 13.70    
SCR  OPTIMIZME               (pinzon mar)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 20.00    
SCR  SAUCY SECRET               (hobby steve)ROCCO S 119 12.00    
SCR  TELL ME WHEN               (hamm timot)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.50 ★    
SCR  TIVALI               (casse nor)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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