The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Mahoning Valley Race Course
Wednesday - November 09, 2022
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MVR-1   11/09/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
:261 :512 1:183 1:322   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  I GOT HOPE 4 4 32 31 11 1½ 13½ (romero a)CORREA L 124 4.00 21% 3.70 1.60 W
3  ST PATTY'S SONG 2 1 1½ 1nk 21 2½ 23½ (bird danny)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 10.00 6.10  
6  ARTIES CRYPTONITE 5 2 43 42½ 31 33 33½ (zielinski richard)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 6.00 ★ 4.00 S
1  ONLY ONE BOSS LADY 1 3 2½ 2nk 43 46 413 (ruberto v)HOUGHTON D 124 2.50 17% 4.80 1.10  
4  LA LA ANGEL 3 5 53½ 54½ 56 56 519½ (jordan rick)ROSARIO L 124 10.00 ★ 20.60  
SCR  OUT MY DEAR               (radosevich justin)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.20 30% 2.40    
 
MVR-2   11/09/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
:233 :49 1:014     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MY DANCING QUEEN 5 1 11 11   14 14½ (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.00 28% 2.60 0.30 W
2  SOLDAT TEMPTATION 1 3 55½ 55   24 24½ (barnes a)GONZALEZ A 126 3.50 ★ 3.10 P
4  CURIOSITY KILLS 3 2 21 31   36½ 39¾ (bernardini p)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.00 5.00  
5  STRAIGHT TO GO 4 4 33 21   46½ 410 (fletcher jeff)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 ★ 19.00  
3  CROWN OF FAVOR 2 5 43 44   58½ 511½ (langemeier l)REYES FRANK 124 6.00 16% 5.20 25.00  
SCR  ALITA               (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 126 3.00 18% 4.50    
 
MVR-3   11/09/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:41
:231 :473 1:001     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  KAY BEE GEE 5 7 34 3½   11½ 13½ (cline c)ROSARIO L 124 3.00 ★ 5.70  
6  BACKSPLASH 6 3 66½ 43½   34½ 23½ (mahan p)TAPARA BRANDON 126 3.50 35% 1.80 2.60 P
7  SIERRA DIAMOND 7 2 23 1nk   21½ 34¼ (casalinova tina)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00 ★ 4.40 S
4  INDY PRINCESS KOKO 3 4 76½ 68   76¾ 49½ (tumblin andrew)RIVERA R 124 6.00 8.50  
3  JAIL HOUSE CODE 2 5 56 79   66½ 510¾ (fadlovich megan)STANLEY O 124 4.50 19% 4.20 2.30  
5  BLUE SAGE 4 1 13 2nk   45 611 (skerrett jeffrey)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 8.00 21.70  
1  RADIANTRITHYM 1 6 45 55½   55 711¼ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 24% 3.10 4.90  
SCR  MISS OXBOW               (cline c)ROSARIO L 124 3.00    
SCR  SHELLEY'S GEM               (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50    
 
MVR-4   11/09/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
:254 :504 1:162 1:292   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BLAZING ZENNA 5 4 51½ 42½ 1½ 2nk 1½ (mahan p)DIAZ I 124 8.00 11.20  
5  PASSIONFORTREASURE 4 1 31 2nk 2½ 1nk 2½ (barnes a)GONZALEZ A 124 1.60 40% 1.50 0.90 P
1  AFERDITA 1 2 1½ 31 3½ 31½ 33 (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 2.50 ★ 5.30 S
4  LITTLE MATILDA 3 5 41½ 53 52¼ 44 43½ (bird danny)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 29% 2.50 8.80  
3  ONE NIGHT STAND 2 3 2½ 1nk 42 58 515 (grabowski a)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 6% 16.30 1.70  
SCR  MANHATTAN LADY               (brown t)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 20.00    
SCR  TURN TO ME SUCREE               (west m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-5   11/09/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
:23 :461 :584     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAVID'S GEM 9 5 5½ 2nk   2nk 1¾ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 5.00 2.40  
9  NAUGHTY PRINCE 8 2 62 51¾   51¾ 2¾ (sweeting craig)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 28% 2.60 6.30 P
1A  RIVERBOAT GAMBLER 10 4 4¼ 1nk   31½ 34 (johnson l)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 ★ 2.40 S
7  OL' L B 6 1 1nk 3.2   1nk 44½ (rivera nestor)GONZALEZ A 124 1.60 41% 1.50 1.90  
2  MAGICAL EXPRESS 1 3 2nk 41¾   41¾ 54¾ (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 10.00 16.40  
6  TRAGICALLY QUEWICK 5 10 105 98   77¾ 69¼ (sullivan elliott)REYES FRANK 124 8.00 3.40  
4  J W RUCKUS 3 6 3.2 65¾   89¼ 79½ (smith larry)MAYTA J 124 15.00 62.40  
5  TOTELLYOUTHETRUTH 4 9 73 77¾   65¾ 810½ (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 10.00 24.00  
8  OAKEN 7 7 95 88   910¼ 912½ (urieta johanna)BRACHO A 124 15.00 ★ 26.70  
3  BISCUITS AND GRITS 2 8 85 1010   1011¼ 1015¾ (rone mike)RIVERA R 124 4.50 9% 10.40 11.70  
 
MVR-6   11/09/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
:232 :47 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  FAHRENHEIT 6 6 62¼ 3.2   1nk 12¾ (trevino g)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.00 11% 8.40 4.90 W
5  UNCLE KEVIN 5 5 31 2nk   2nk 22¾ (reust megan)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00 7.00  
3  BULLION 3 4 51¼ 54¾   53¼ 34¼ (castillo jabdiel)HALDAR J 124 6.00 11% 7.90 4.50 S
7  QUIET AMIGO 7 1 2nk 1nk   31½ 46¼ (zielinski richard)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 3.50 35% 1.90 3.40  
2  DAD'S YANKEES 2 2 1nk 42¼   41¾ 58¾ (sweeting craig)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.50 ★ 5.30  
1  KINGOFTHEBUCKEYE 1 3 41¼ 65¼   65¾ 610½ (ruberto v)FELICIANO R 124 3.00 20% 4.00 2.00  
4  BLUEBANK 4 7 79¼ 711¼   710¾ 717¼ (gomez alejandro)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 5.00 26.10  
 
MVR-7   11/09/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
:223 :46 :583     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  AHIMELECH 6 5 42¼ 1nk   1nk 11 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 2.00 ★ 1.20  
1  GOOD ON YA 1 4 55¼ 53¾   45 21 (londono j)BARBARAN ERIK 124 15.00 5% 18.20 10.80 P
6  ALACRITOUS 5 1 12 2nk   2nk 32 (buttigieg kevin)GONZALEZ A 124 6.00 7.10  
3  PLAY BALL 3 3 32 42¾   33½ 44 (murillo alejandro)HALDAR J 124 3.50 7.80  
8  IRISH UNITY 7 2 22 3.2   55¼ 54½ (rivera nestor)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 19% 4.10 5.60  
2  OBIWAN 2 6 65¾ 66¾   611¼ 68½ (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 124 2.50 25% 3.00 2.60  
4  ASTRO JAK 4 7 79¾ 77¾   714¼ 714¼ (vickers t)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00 8% 11.00 31.00  
SCR  FAT DADDY               (urieta johanna)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 8.00    
 
MVR-8   11/09/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
:233 :483 1:024     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  JUST INSPIRED 5 8 88 65¼   52¼ 13 (doering mark)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00 10.60  
3  ORLEANS STORM 3 2 42¼ 53¼   3½ 23 (inirio carlos)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 15.00 12.90  
6  PLAYING BALL 6 1 2nk 2nk   1nk 36½ (murillo alejandro)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 4.00 ★ 6.30 S
9  MY TICKET 9 4 52¼ 41¾   63¾ 48 (cline c)HALDAR J 126 2.50 14% 6.20 1.30  
7  RUNAWAY RUSSELL 7 6 32 31½   42 58½ (maddox rachael)BARBARAN ERIK 126 3.50 38% 1.60 3.40  
4  NOSEY POWER 4 3 76½ 79¼   77¾ 613¼ (spiess m)DIAZ I 126 10.00 ★ 14.10  
8  MIXTER JENSEN 8 5 1nk 1nk   2nk 716 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 3.00 26% 2.90 5.00  
2  CANTRUNWITHBIGDOGS 2 7 66¼ 910¼   810¾ 817¼ (schuster robin)TAPARA BRANDON 124 15.00 56.10  
1  ATILANO'S THUNDER 1 9 99½ 810¼   910¾ 917½ (brown t)TOLEDO S 124 15.00 40.80  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.