The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Churchill Downs
Wednesday - September 28, 2022
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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CD-1   09/28/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
:231 :462 1:111     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BRAGANZA 6 6 42½ 2nk   16 112¼ (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 121 10.00 ★ 1.52  
7  PLEASE BE KIND 7 1 32 4¾   26 212¼ (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 121 1.20 35% 1.90 1.54 P
5  LITTLE SISTER SUE 5 5 76 56¾   510 314 (reed r)GEROUX FLORENT 121 12.00 14.22  
3  SOMEBODY LOVES ME 3 2 21½ 1nk   38 415½ (walsh p)GARCIA MARTIN 121 3.50 34% 2.00 6.14  
2  ROLLESTON 2 4 11½ 3½   48 516¼ (colebrook ben)CORRALES GERARDO 121 4.00 6% 16.40 8.21  
1  SOUTH GEORGIA 1 3 65 78¾   612½ 622¾ (medina robert)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 5.00 ★ 18.08  
4  LITERARY 4 7 54 66¾   715 724 (colebrook ben)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00 16.35  
 
CD-2   09/28/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
:243 :491 1:134 1:381   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ICARUS 3 3 11 11½ 11½ 13 13¾ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 2.00 48% 1.10 1.41 W
1A  CENTURION 4 2 52½ 53 43 23 23¾ (schultz lindsay)GARCIA MARTIN 122 4.00 25% 3.10 3.02 P
3  DECLARE THE MOON 2 4 31½ 42½ 53 33½ 34 (hawley wesley)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 10.00 10.65  
6  DEEP STATE 6 5 41½ 31½ 21½ 54 45¼ (lynch a)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 2.50 ★ 2.85  
2  SONO GRATO 1 6 65 65½ 63½ 44 56¼ (williamson brian)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 10.00 ★ 14.98  
5  KEEPCALMCARRYON 5 1 21 21½ 32 65½ 67 (margolis r)CANNON DECLAN 118 3.00 ★ 6.04  
SCR  NOTABLE EXCEPTION               (shirer a)SANTANA JR 122 4.00    
 
CD-3   09/28/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 1:43
:234 :474 1:132 1:254   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCELY 1 4 42 32 41½ 12 1½ (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 119 1.80 18% 4.40 0.89 W
3  LET ME LOVE YOU 3 6 53 53½ 52½ 32½ 2½ (mcpeek g)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 3.00 27% 2.80 4.69 P
6  CAMBIASO 5 2 21 21 3½ 22 33 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 28.79  
2  WICKED SECRET 2 5 63¼ 63½ 64 54½ 43 (stewart dallas)LEPAROUX R 119 3.50 1.78  
7  GHOSTSTRYDER 6 3 31 42½ 2nk 43½ 56½ (morey e)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00 ★ 14.44  
5  OVERLY D'ORO 4 1 11 11 1nk 65 610 (bahena ismael)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 7% 13.40 18.28  
SCR  MOTOWN COLLECTION               (rone mike)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.50 27% 2.60    
 
CD-4   09/28/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
:22 :452 :573     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATRAS 1 4 1½ 11½   13 15 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.00 24% 3.20 3.80 W
3  ONCOMING TRAIN 3 1 2½ 21½   23 25 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 8.00 9% 9.70 5.06 P
5  GOLD HERITAGE 5 5 52½ 44   45½ 37½ (mckeever andrew)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00 ★ 7.63 S
9  TRAINER PLEASE 9 7 41 32   34½ 47¾ (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 121 1.60 30% 2.30 1.82  
7  MALIBU TIME 7 9 89 610½   58½ 58 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00 25.08  
8  JESUIT 8 8 78 59   610 614 (baker james)GARCIA MARTIN 118 12.00 23.42  
6  FRISCO LINE 6 6 31 711   716 727¼ (vanden brittany)ROCCO S 118 10.00 8% 10.90 4.16  
2  PRESTONSBIRD 2 2 65 816   819½ 830¾ (richardson tim)GRAHAM J 121 20.00 72.24  
4  OUT WORK'N 4 3 9100 9100   9100 9100 (calvo kelsie)DIAZ RENE 121 10.00 10.99  
 
CD-5   09/28/2022 4950ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($66K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
:23 :462 1:114     1:314   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ENCHANTED NILE 3 5 2½ 2nk   12½ 12½ (reed r)CORRALES GERARDO 121 12.00 ★ 19.07  
1  AWESOME INDRA 1 4 31 32   22½ 22½ (joseph a)SANTANA JR 121 2.00 46% 1.20 2.18 P
4  ABSOLUTE LOVE 4 2 42 42½   45 33¾ (sharp joe)LEPAROUX R 121 1.80 24% 3.20 1.18 S
7  NORTHERN DIAMOND 7 3 1½ 1nk   33 43¾ (van thomas)GEROUX FLORENT 123 5.00 4.17  
2  MOHAYLADY 2 1 75 75¼   55½ 55½ (lukas wayne)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00 9.72  
6  MAGICAL PEAPOD 6 6 64½ 65¼   67½ 66½ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 4.00 6% 15.80 12.07  
5  KIMBERLEY DREAM 5 7 54 55   78½ 77¼ (winston d)CASTANON L 123 15.00 ★ 35.57  
 
CD-6   09/28/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
:223 :451 1:10     1:23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  OURNATIONONPARADE 5 5 53 41½   1½ 12¼ (hartman chris)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 2.50 30% 2.30 1.85 W
3  SUPREMACY 3 1 31 3½   2½ 22¼ (cox h)SANTANA JR 121 1.60 23% 3.40 1.85 P
4  SONNEMAN 4 2 77 76½   53½ 33¼ (asmussen m)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 10.58  
6  OUTLIER 6 6 42 52   43 45½ (cash l)BEJARANO R 121 12.00 13.77  
2  WAYAKIN 2 4 2½ 2nk   32½ 57½ (maker j)CORRALES GERARDO 121 4.00 9% 10.70 5.50  
7  TANGO CHARLIE 7 7 64½ 63   77 611 (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 15.00 ★ 22.82  
1  ASH FLAT 1 3 1½ 1nk   66½ 716 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 121 6.00 16% 5.10 5.18  
 
CD-7   09/28/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($150K) Purse ($63K) 2 F PT- 3:50
:223 :463 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  TIME FOR CHAMPAGNE 4 2 21½ 2½   12 1hd (arnold r)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 8.59  
3  JACKIE'S SPIRIT 2 6 32 32   22 2hd (vaccarezza carlo)CORRALES GERARDO 119 20.00 8.52  
5  CAMP AKEELA 3 4 11½ 1½   32½ 36¾ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.50 23% 3.40 4.71 S
2  ROYAL DAME 1 7 64 56½   56½ 47 (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 6.67  
7  JOB'S NOT FINISHED 5 3 54 77   67 57¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 30% 2.30 1.23  
10  STAR POSE 8 1 42½ 43   46½ 611¼ (lukas wayne)CANNON DECLAN 119 6.00 ★ 4.66  
8  SUSIE'S SAVER 6 5 75 810½   711 712¾ (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00 19.69  
9  RECOGNIZE ME 7 8 86½ 66½   811½ 816½ (blair jordan)GRAHAM J 119 12.00 37.40  
SCR  BONANZA GRADE               (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 3.50 15% 5.70    
SCR  SHEWILLGHOSTU               (reed r)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00 10% 9.00    
 
CD-8   09/28/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
:241 :492 1:143 1:382   1:501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WEST WILL POWER 1 2 11 1½ 11 12½ 12¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 1.80 ★ 1.14  
3  INTREPID HEART 2 4 53½ 62½ 73¼ 54 22¾ (sharp joe)LEPAROUX R 122 2.00 60% 0.70 2.27 P
4  CUPID'S CLAWS 3 1 31 31 41½ 43 33 (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 26.13  
1A  KITTANSETT 6 7 74¾ 52½ 52 32½ 43½ (lobo h)SANTANA JR 122 10.00 ★ 3.16  
7  ETHICAL JUDGEMENT 7 3 42½ 42 21 22½ 54¼ (walsh p)GARCIA MARTIN 122 8.00 ★ 12.69  
1  VINTAGE PRINT 5 6 63¾ 73½ 63 610 615 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 124 10.00 3.16  
5  HELIUM 4 5 21 2½ 31 715 733¾ (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 4.00 13% 6.80 9.87  
SCR  KEYSTONE FIELD               (maker j)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 8.00    
 
CD-9   09/28/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
:241 :483 1:132 1:381   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  TONAL IMPACT 11 11 86½ 76½ 74 53½ 1½ (hartman chris)CORRALES GERARDO 124 8.00 15% 5.50 3.41 W
3  ICE BLAST 3 1 11½ 1½ 1nk 1nk 2½ (asmussen m)SANTANA JR 118 3.00 3.33  
4  IBERVILLE 4 4 21½ 2½ 2nk 2nk 3½ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 6.79  
1  AKTULGALI 1 6 65 65½ 52½ 42 41 (pletcher a)BEJARANO R 122 12.00 17% 5.00 5.96  
10  TUANIS 9 3 43½ 42½ 31 31 51½ (glyshaw tim)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00 6% 15.40 20.49  
12  HAIG POINT 10 10 54½ 55 63 65 64 (maker j)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 10.00 9% 9.60 6.76 DH
5  GOOD CULTURE 5 8 108¾ 1010½ 106¾ 76 64 (shirer a)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 10.00 6.73 DH
2  FED MONEY 2 2 31½ 32 42 86¼ 86¾ (davis christopher)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00 28.64  
8  VASARIANO 7 9 98½ 86½ 84¼ 109¼ 911 (cash l)COURT K 122 12.00 14.76  
9  OPTIMUS KAT 8 5 76 97½ 95¾ 98¾ 1013 (lukas wayne)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 12.00 14.45  
6  CRIMINAL DEFENSE 6 7 1112¾ 1122½ 1126¾ 1127¼ 1137 (barnett c)GRAHAM J 122 20.00 58.19  
SCR  AMERICAN PURE               (maker j)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00    
SCR  ENDLESS SUNSET               (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 117 10.00    
SCR  SLICKED BACK               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 2.50 25% 3.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.