The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Mahoning Valley Race Course
Wednesday - October 26, 2022

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MVR-1   10/26/2022 5490ft DIRT GOOD Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
:24 :481 1:134 1:41   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORTUNATE FRIENDS 5 4 47 47 31 2½ 1½ (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 124 1.60 49% 1.10 1.00 W
DYRDEK 6 3 25 2 2½ 1½ 2½ (vecchio caryn)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.50 27% 2.70 3.80 P
ZERO GRAVITY 3 6 512 510 42 3½ 3(ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 126 10.00 10.00  
SMASH 4 2 15 1 1½ 4¾ 4(vecchio caryn)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 3.50 3.90  
IMTHEPRINCE 2 5 617 619 620 6513 (jones e)DIAZ I 124 8.00 17.10  
STORM RISK 1 1 35 37 58 5615½ (short w)MACHADO LUAN 126 5.00 4.90  
 
MVR-2   10/26/2022 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
:231 :471 1:003     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALL PAPA 6 7 7 43   2nk 1(feebeck h)HALDAR J 124 6.00 17% 4.80 5.00 W
KAPHAVATA 5 4 3½ 2nk   1nk 2(urieta johanna)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 3.00 19% 4.30 1.90 P
AS DE ORO COCO 4 1 2nk 1nk   3.2 3(cordero-lopez alexis)DIAZ I 123 4.50 2.30 S
STOP MAKING SENSE 7 2 4 3   448 (overholt g)PAUCAR E 124 10.00 23.00  
DIAMOND MONEY 3 5 5 6   5511¼ (romero oscar)TAPARA BRANDON 124 4.00 12% 7.10 12.20  
CONNECTED 1 6 6 710¼   711¾ 621½ (bernardini p)BARBARAN ERIK 123 5.00 7.40  
HEY SACH 2 3 1nk 5   610¾ 724¾ (casalinova tina)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.50 14% 5.90 4.30  
 
MVR-3   10/26/2022 3630ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:41
:462 :592     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOY TIGER 5 4 4 2   11 1(calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 116 6.00 11% 7.70 4.20 W
SABELLE 8 1 11 1   21 2(feliciano r)FELICIANO R 121 3.00 2.30  
HALF LEGEND 7 6 6 6   5310½ (vecchio caryn)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00 20.20 S
LITTLE DUTCH GIRL 2 5 54 57   4412 (baez sergio)HALDAR J 124 3.50 32% 2.10 2.70  
NINJA KITTEN 1 7 7 7   6515¾ (andrade hugo)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 12.00 9.30  
AWESOME WONDER 3 2 21 33   34 616¾ (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 124 5.00 13% 6.60 4.80  
EVIL OF COURSE 6 3 31 4   710½ 721¾ (cordero-lopez alexis)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 10.00 21.30  
O K BABY 4 8 811½ 815½   816½ 823¼ (shanyfelt k)GONZALEZ A 124 4.00 15% 5.90 8.70  
 
MVR-4   10/26/2022 3960ft DIRT GOOD Allowance   Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
:231 :471 1:003     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO TWOWAYSABOUTIT 6 1 4 3   2nk 1¼ (huffman m)GONZALEZ A 124 10.00 11.80  
SPICE ICE 7 2 55 4   1nk 2¼ (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 4.00 3.10 P
ROCKY CHANNEL 2 6 6 7   55 3(cline c)HALDAR J 121 15.00 5% 19.00 37.30 S
LADY FORTUNE 5 3 1nk 2   43 4(zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 121 3.50 3.40  
BODE'S ROSE 3 4 2nk 1   3½ 5(anderson l)MACHADO LUAN 121 2.00 51% 0.90 3.60  
COSTUME JEWELRY 4 7 710½ 6   66(morales m)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00 6.60  
PENNIESANDDIMES 1 5 3 5   7714¾ (johnson l)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 3.00 18% 4.60 2.20  
 
MVR-5   10/26/2022 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
:224 :471 1:01     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KISSINGER 5 9 710½ 56   31 1hd (gorham m)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 6% 15.20 1.60 W
IMA BELIEVER 6 8 810½ 6   42hd (tumblin andrew)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00 38.60  
DEXQUIRE 2 5 23 2   11 3(radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 4.00 18.10  
THE PINK Z 4 3 3 3   21 4(cline c)BRACHO A 121 12.00 9% 9.70 5.20  
HONKY TONK MUSIC 7 4 5 4   65(smith larry)PILARES P 124 2.50 44% 1.30 8.90  
TURNING PAGES 9 1 13 1   5611¼ (trevino g)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 3.50 14% 6.10 2.60  
ZAROSHA 3 7 911 911¼   7711½ (poole m)GONZALEZ A 121 10.00 15.90  
MAYNARD G. KREBS 8 2 68 7   8822¼ (cline c)HALDAR J 121 10.00 40.90  
COOLER 1 6 4 811¼   910¾ 926¾ (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 124 6.00 5.70  
 
MVR-6   10/26/2022 3960ft DIRT GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
:23 :471 1:002     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A SMILE A DAY 6 1 2 2nk   1nk 1(crumley jevon)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.50 12% 7.40 8.60 W
STAR MABEE 5 3 42 3   42(radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 126 3.00 5% 18.20 4.80 P
SOLE FACTOR 2 7 7 7   63(castro a)BRACHO A 124 8.00 40.80  
WINDY LU WHO 1 6 64 6   54(anderson l)MACHADO LUAN 124 5.00 28% 2.60 4.80  
ROLLIN ALL THE WAY 4 2 3 4   3.2 5(urieta johanna)DIAZ I 124 4.50 30% 2.30 1.30  
THE DEVIL'S DREAM 3 5 1 1nk   2nk 6(evans ii)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 4.00 2.90  
PERFECTINGTHEVIEW 7 4 53 5   77(rivera nestor)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 8.00 14.30  
 
MVR-7   10/26/2022 3960ft DIRT GOOD Allowance   Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
:224 :464 :594     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEISTHEHERO 4 5 2½ 12   11 1¾ (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 124 15.00 8% 11.50 17.00 W
ROSE KNOWS 6 3 32 22   21 2¾ (skerrett jeffrey)DIAZ I 121 3.00 7.10 P
FOREVER HOME 5 6 44 32   31 3(shifflett cheryl)AYALA ISAIAS 124 6.00 2.50  
PURDY PUMKIN 2 4 55 57   54(dacosta jason)CORREA L 123 2.50 53% 0.90 5.10  
GRAY ROYALITY 9 2 7 7   66 5(crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 124 3.50 13% 6.60 10.90  
SKY 1 1 1½ 4   42 65 (casalinova tina)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 30.50  
LUCKY TUESDAY 7 9 911¼ 915¾   811 711¼ (zircher robert)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00 32.50  
STORM CHARGING 8 8 8 6   710 813¼ (fernandez edward)MACHADO LUAN 124 10.00 1.40  
ORBIT BOUND 3 7 65 812¾   912½ 928 (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 121 12.00 26.00  
 
MVR-8   10/26/2022 3960ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
:232 :481 1:012     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN ROCKY 7 4 1½ 1   15 18 (madrigal sr)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.00 56% 0.80 0.40 W
MY TICKET 8 2 2½ 2   25 28 (cline c)HALDAR J 126 3.50 5% 19.00 6.50 P
PLAYING BALL 6 5 4 3   39 314 (murillo alejandro)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 8.00 30.80 S
NOSEY POWER 10 1 6 5   514½ 416 (spiess m)DIAZ I 126 15.00 16.70  
JUST INSPIRED 9 3 10 8   615 516¼ (doering mark)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 10.00 28.00  
RUNAWAY RUSSELL 3 9 7 6   410½ 618 (maddox rachael)TOLEDO S 126 5.00 18% 4.60 7.20  
CANTRUNWITHBIGDOGS 1 7 3 7   815½ 724½ (schuster robin)BIRT BRAXON 123 20.00 23.10  
ORLEANS STORM 5 10 5 4   715½ 824¾ (cline c)PAUCAR E 123 15.00 32.80  
1A  BAD BACK 4 6 8 1012¾   921½ 933 (schuster robin)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 20.00 23.10  
JOHNSBUCKEYEBADBOY 2 8 95 911¾   1021¾ 1033 (erdel john)RIVERA R 123 6.00 8.70  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.