Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - October 26, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   10/26/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORM RISK Sep30 Sep07 Aug09 Jun28 May31 (short w)MACHADO LUAN 126 5.00 ★    
2  IMTHEPRINCE Oct14 Sep19 Aug31 Aug18 Aug08 (jones e)DIAZ I 124 8.00 ★    
3  ZERO GRAVITY Sep28 Sep05 Aug17 Jul25 Jul06 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 126 10.00    
4  SMASH Oct12 Sep29 Sep19 Aug24 Aug09 (vecchio car)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 3.50 ★    
5  FORTUNATE FRIENDS Oct12 Sep29 Sep05 Aug18 Jul19 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 124 1.60 49% 1.10    
6  DYRDEK Oct12 Sep19 Aug31 Aug09 Jul12 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
 
MVR-2   10/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONNECTED Oct10 Sep27 Sep13 Aug31 Aug15 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 123 5.00    
2  HEY SACH Oct11 Sep26 Sep08 Aug25 Aug09 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.50 14% 5.90    
3  DIAMOND MONEY Oct11 Sep21 Sep14 Aug29 Aug17 (romero oscar)TAPARA BRANDON 124 4.00 12% 7.10    
4  AS DE ORO COCO Oct12 Sep09 Jun30 May19 Apr29 (cordero-lopez )DIAZ I 123 4.50 ★    
5  KAPHAVATA Oct04 Aug23 Jul25 Apr15 Mar30 (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 3.00 19% 4.30    
6  CALL PAPA Oct04 Sep23 Sep16 Sep01 Aug25 (feebeck thom)HALDAR J 124 6.00 17% 4.80    
7  STOP MAKING SENSE Oct04 Sep23 Sep09 Aug26 Jul29 (overholt g)PAUCAR E 124 10.00    
 
MVR-3   10/26/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NINJA KITTEN Oct17 Oct11 Sep20 Aug17 Jul19 (andrad)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 12.00    
2  LITTLE DUTCH GIRL Oct10 Sep22 Sep07 Aug16 Aug04 (baez sergio)HALDAR J 124 3.50 32% 2.10    
3  AWESOME WONDER Oct13 Sep26 Sep06 Aug22 Aug10 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 124 5.00 13% 6.60    
4  O K BABY Sep26 Aug23 Aug10 Jul11 Jun07 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 124 4.00 15% 5.90    
5  TOY TIGER Oct13 Aug12 Jul22 Jul01 Jun11 (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 116 6.00 11% 7.70    
6  EVIL OF COURSE Oct17 Oct04 Aug13 Jul23 Jul04 (cordero)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 10.00    
7  HALF LEGEND Oct13 Sep21 Sep06 Aug22 Aug04 (vecchio cary)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00 ★    
8  SABELLE Sep26 Sep13 Aug31 Jul27 Jul04 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 121 3.00    
 
MVR-4   10/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PENNIESANDDIMES Oct12 Sep27 Sep08 Aug23 Jul20 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 3.00 18% 4.60    
2  ROCKY CHANNEL Oct05 Sep08 Aug26 Aug16 Jul22 (cline robert)HALDAR J 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  BODE'S ROSE Oct05 Sep07 Aug16     (anderson susan)MACHADO LUAN 121 2.00 51% 0.90    
4  COSTUME JEWELRY Oct12 Sep27 Sep08 Aug23 Aug04 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00    
5  LADY FORTUNE Oct12 Sep27 Sep08 Aug25 Jul26 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 121 3.50 ★    
6  NO TWOWAYSABOUTIT Oct12 Sep08 Jul04 Jun13 May26 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 124 10.00    
7  SPICE ICE Oct04 Sep15 Aug13 Aug01   (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 4.00 ★    
 
MVR-5   10/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COOLER Sep21 Aug30 Jul28     (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 124 6.00 ★    
2  DEXQUIRE Sep23 Aug23 Aug12 Jul21 Jun21 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 4.00    
3  ZAROSHA Oct14 Sep29 Sep05 Aug10 Jul21 (poole m)GONZALEZ A 121 10.00    
4  THE PINK Z Oct14 Sep21 Aug30 Jul28 Jul12 (cline robert )BRACHO A 121 12.00 9% 9.70    
5  KISSINGER Oct14 Sep15 Aug30 May25 Apr25 (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 6% 15.20    
6  IMA BELIEVER Oct14 Sep29 Aug30 Aug17 Jul28 (tumblin andre)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00    
7  HONKY TONK MUSIC Sep20 Sep07 Aug10 Aug03 Jul12 (smith l)PILARES P 124 2.50 44% 1.30    
8  MAYNARD G. KREBS Sep21 Sep08 Aug23 Aug10 Jul13 (cline robert)HALDAR J 121 10.00    
9  TURNING PAGES Aug30 Jul28 Jul11 May23 May12 (trevino ste)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 3.50 14% 6.10    
 
MVR-6   10/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINDY LU WHO Oct04 May12 May02 Apr09 Mar07 (anderson susan)MACHADO LUAN 124 5.00 28% 2.60    
2  SOLE FACTOR Oct03 Sep01 Aug01 Jul20 Jun02 (castro raquel)BRACHO A 124 8.00    
3  THE DEVIL'S DREAM Oct12 Sep27 Sep12 Aug04 Jul13 (evans micha)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 4.00 ★    
4  ROLLIN ALL THE WAY Oct06 Sep21 Sep08 Aug09 Jul20 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 124 4.50 30% 2.30    
5  STAR MABEE Oct03 Sep01 Aug09 Jul25 Jun30 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 126 3.00 5% 18.20    
6  A SMILE A DAY Sep21 Sep01 Aug09 Jun08 May03 (cr)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.50 12% 7.40    
7  PERFECTINGTHEVIEW Oct10 Sep14 Aug13 Jul19 Jul06 (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 8.00    
 
MVR-7   10/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKY Aug31 Aug09 Jul18 Jul03 Jun14 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00    
2  PURDY PUMKIN Oct05 Sep07 Aug24 Aug08 Jul11 (dacosta j)CORREA L 123 2.50 53% 0.90    
3  ORBIT BOUND Oct13 Oct06 May11 Apr26 Apr02 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 121 12.00    
4  SHEISTHEHERO Oct12 Sep22 Sep14 Jul11 Jul03 (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 124 15.00 8% 11.50    
5  FOREVER HOME Oct15 Sep30 Sep16 Aug29 Jun09 (shifflett cher)AYALA ISAIAS 124 6.00    
6  ROSE KNOWS Sep13 Aug10 Jul20 Jul04 Apr26 (skerrett jeffr)DIAZ I 121 3.00 ★    
7  LUCKY TUESDAY Oct19 Sep16 Aug23 Aug05 Jul03 (zirche)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00    
8  STORM CHARGING Oct11 Sep23 Sep15 Aug19 Aug04 (fernandez edwa)MACHADO LUAN 124 10.00 ★    
9  GRAY ROYALITY Sep15 Aug15 Jul20 Jul04 Jun14 (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 124 3.50 13% 6.60    
 
MVR-8   10/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANTRUNWITHBIGDOGS Oct05         (schuster robin)BIRT BRAXON 123 20.00    
1A  BAD BACK Oct05 Sep12       (schuster ro)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 20.00    
2  JOHNSBUCKEYEBADBOY Oct06         (erdel john)RIVERA R 123 6.00 ★    
3  RUNAWAY RUSSELL Aug13 Jul28 Jun29 Jun14 May18 (maddox rachae)TOLEDO S 126 5.00 18% 4.60    
4  ORLEANS STORM Sep21 Sep07 Aug30 Jul14 Jun29 (cline c)PAUCAR E 123 15.00    
5  PLAYING BALL Oct05 Sep12 Sep01 Aug22 Aug10 (murillo rodr)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 8.00 ★    
6  RUN ROCKY Oct05 Sep19 Sep05 Aug13 Feb16 (ma)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.00 56% 0.80    
7  MY TICKET Oct05 Sep21 Sep07 Aug30 Aug19 (cline robert)HALDAR J 126 3.50 5% 19.00    
8  JUST INSPIRED Oct14 Sep27 Sep19 Sep01 Aug13 (doering)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 10.00    
9  NOSEY POWER Sep27 Sep12 Aug22 Aug10 Jul21 (spiess m)DIAZ I 126 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.