Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Horseshoe Indianapolis
Thursday - September 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
IND-1   09/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:10
See original race card.
:25 :481 1:132 1:261   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
Z ZS RED 1 2 2½ 2½ 1nk 2nk 1½ (duran antonio)SANJUR SANTO 118 1.80 71% 0.40 0.70 W
CHELSEA'S STRENGTH 4 3 32 3 2nk 1nk 2½ (greenhi)DE CRUZ 118 4.00 3.10 P
FASHION DIVA 3 6 65 5 4 34 3 (greenhill)BERMUDEZ E 118 6.00 12.40  
KISSES SO SWEET 2 5 43 4 52 4 4 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 118 3.50 6.00  
FARM SAFETY 5 4 5 6 66 69 513½ (garcia j)HOLMES GAGE 111 20.00 34.60  
SWIFT RITHMS 6 1 1½ 1½ 3½ 5 617 (steele br)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 3.00 5.70  
 
IND-2   09/15/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
See original race card.
:244 :482 1:124 1:383   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BARSTOW 1 3 1½ 1nk 1½ 1 1 (garcia )DE CRUZ 118 2.50 36% 1.80 1.20 W
ROUNDER 3 1 66 6 5 2 2 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 122 1.80 10% 9.20 2.10 P
JOHNSTOWN JOHNNY 2 2 44 42 42 3 3 (brown and)BERMUDEZ E 119 4.00 7.10 S
MR LIBERTY 5 6 2½ 2nk 2½ 47 4 (nance jonathan)SANJUR SANTO 120 12.00 22.70  
POPSTER 6 5 3 3 31 5 513¾ (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 3.00 32% 2.20 2.60  
IT'S THE SUNRISE 4 4 5 5 64 611 614½ (fosdick steve)RIVERA BRYAN 112 10.00 44.60  
 
IND-3   09/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:11
See original race card.
:222 :452 :573     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EASYONMYEYES 4 5 5 54   44 1½ (hinds lon)BERMUDEZ E 124 8.00 6.80  
FOUR DAWN 3 1 1nk 11   12 2½ (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 4.00 10% 9.10 2.20 P
STORM CHARGING 1 4 31 3   32 31 (fernandez edward)BUSH V 122 2.50 3.60 S
SELENA SING 2 3 4 42   22 45 (garcia ge)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 3.00 29% 2.50 2.70  
HAPPY OUT 5 2 2nk 21   5 5 (mckeever andrew)MOJICA JR 120 3.50 2.30  
SCR  HALLIE'S RAINBOW               (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 4.50 24% 3.30    
SCR  ISLE OF GRACE               (ballard fran)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
IND-4   09/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:253 :49 1:124 1:382   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUERIDGE MOUNTAIN 1 4 34 25 22 2½ 1¼ (sharp joe)PARKER L 124 3.00 0.20  
EVIL EYE 3 1 13 15 12 1½ 2¼ (cunningha)BERMUDEZ E 122 15.00 5% 19.00 3.80 P
FLY NIGHTLY 2 2 23 35 45 33 36 (shorter a)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 8.00 26% 2.90 11.50 S
MARV'S MAGIC 4 3 45 4 34 43 4 (granitz)DE CRUZ 122 6.00 5.10  
SCR  BOONE'S SPIRIT               (hughes g)SANJUR SANTO 124 20.00    
SCR  CLEAR FOR ACTION               (fletcher we)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 4.00 27% 2.60    
SCR  EPIMYTHIUM               (meah anna)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 1.80    
SCR  FIREWATER JAKE               (leonard ge)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 6.00 14% 6.30    
 
IND-5   09/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:223 :454 :58     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISTER MACHO 1 5 1½ 11   1 15 (duran antonio)PARKER L 120 3.00 3.50  
EASY OPERATOR 7 3 4 31   3 25 (londono genevi)MILLER CHASE 124 4.00 5% 18.00 7.00 P
GOLDEN RAPPER 2 4 2½ 21   2 35 (smith ran)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 4.50 35% 1.80 1.90 S
CIRCLE INDY 5 7 6 6   4 4 (wisner j)MOJICA O 124 5.00 18.30  
BARN STORMER 6 1 5 5   66 511¼ (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 120 2.00 35% 1.80 2.40  
PROTECTED AREA 3 2 3 4   55 612½ (fontenot daw)MORALES JOSHUA 120 20.00 20.00  
COG 8 6 7 7   7 713¼ (short j)HOLMES GAGE 113 15.00 14.10  
GUN BUDDY 4 8 89 8   8 814 (wilson david )CANUTO THIAGO 120 6.00 11.00  
 
IND-6   09/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:47
See original race card.
:251 :483 1:13     1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG PAPER 2 4 5 61 2½ 2nk 11 (richardvi)BERMUDEZ E 124 4.00 58% 0.70 1.60 W
14  UNCLE BERLEY 6 2 2nk 1nk 1½ 1nk 21 (asmussen )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 2.50 1.10 P
PRINCE OF GLORY 5 1 1nk 3.2 3 46 3 (gutierrez)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 15.00 4.20 S
VERSATILE 1 3 4 4¼ 4 35 47 (garcia israe)MORALES JOSHUA 120 8.00 7.60  
LONGER VIEW 4 5 3.2 2nk 52 513 520¾ (elliott michell)HOLMES GAGE 113 30.00 41.40  
ZEST FOR LIFE 3 6 6 5¾ 6 615 622½ (eggleston ti)RAMOS D 120 30.00 15.90  
SCR  RUNQUIETLY               (mason ingrid)MORALES JOSHUA 120 30.00    
SCR  MUCHO MOJO               (foster eric)POMPELL L 120 3.50    
SCR  GO BALI GO               (nance jonathan)SANJUR SANTO 120 12.00    
SCR  DAISY'S DOC               (walsh p)PARKER L 124 4.00 5% 18.70    
SCR  BUCKEYE JIMMY               (beckman)DE CRUZ 124 20.00    
SCR  BIG HELLO               (sherman ala)PETERSON FERRIN 120 20.00    
SCR  SMARTY ALEX               (patrick gary)PEREZ E 124 6.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  AQUACAT               (beckman d)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 4.50    
 
IND-7   09/15/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:19
See original race card.
:221 :451       :57   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  LATIGO 9 6 5 4   1½ 14 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 115 3.50 38% 1.60 1.00 W
HOLIDAY HOUSE 5 8 6 7   6 24 (morrison )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 6.00 25.40 P
MATERS N TATERS 7 4 3.2 3.2   2½ 3 (cunningha)BERMUDEZ E 119 3.00 9% 9.80 3.80 S
ON K P 6 3 2nk 2nk   3½ 45 (rednour jr)POMPELL L 122 5.00 15.40  
ARTHURIAN 8 5 4 5   5 5 (caramori caio)PARKER L 124 6.00 9% 10.00 4.50  
NAMESAKE 2 9 95 9   85 6 (swearingen tom)SANJUR SANTO 122 15.00 36.20  
BANKROLL 1 1 1nk 1nk   41 7 (hancock joh)PETERSON FERRIN 118 4.00 23% 3.30 6.00  
STORMIN EL PRADO 3 2 7 6   7 8 (appleton jos)MORALES JOSHUA 122 12.00 61.00  
DEUTERONOMYSTRONG 4 7 85 8   9 9 (leonard george )HOLMES GAGE 112 4.50 15.10  
SCR  VASSAR'S BOY               (lyster st)PEDROZA MARCELINO 124 12.00    
 
IND-8   09/15/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:50
See original race card.
:243 :482 1:122 1:38   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLIMBER 5 3 2½ 11 11 12 1 (garcia ge)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 2.00 26% 2.80 0.50 W
TRAFALGAR SHORE 6 6 63 64 55 32 2 (silva h)MOJICA O 118 3.50 19% 4.20 2.40 P
TUCKYOURTALEANDRUN 3 2 1½ 21 43 22 34 (lauer michael)SANJUR SANTO 122 15.00 11.10  
GET N TIPSY 4 4 3 42 3 5 45 (haran john)PEREZ E 122 8.00 18.40  
RUSSIAN INFLUENCE 7 5 42 3 21 43 5 (granitz a)PEDROZA MARCELINO 124 4.00 23% 3.40 9.30  
FIGHTING ZELDA 1 7 7 7 66 66 6 (west w)PARKER L 122 6.00 29.70  
SECRET SADIE 2 1 52 53 79 714 723½ (brown and)BERMUDEZ E 119 6.00 5% 18.40 30.60  
SCR  FOUND MY MAN               (lauer michae)RAMOS D 122 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.