Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Horseshoe Indianapolis
Thursday - September 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
IND-1   09/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
Z ZS RED Sep08 Aug16 Jul13 Jun07 May09 (duran antonio)SANJUR SANTO 118 1.80 71% 0.40    
KISSES SO SWEET Aug16 Jun28 Jun08 Apr20   (klopp randy)RAMOS D 118 3.50    
FASHION DIVA Jul19 Jun16 Apr27     (greenhill)BERMUDEZ E 118 6.00    
CHELSEA'S STRENGTH Aug08 Jul13 Jun08 May19   (greenhi)DE CRUZ 118 4.00    
FARM SAFETY Aug31 Aug15 Aug08 Jul14 Jun22 (garcia j)HOLMES GAGE 111 20.00    
SWIFT RITHMS Aug29 Aug16 Jul11 Jun16 May16 (steele br)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 3.00    
 
IND-2   09/15/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BARSTOW Aug31 Jul07 Jun23 May30 May17 (garcia )DE CRUZ 118 2.50 36% 1.80    
JOHNSTOWN JOHNNY Aug30 Aug11       (brown and)BERMUDEZ E 119 4.00    
ROUNDER Aug31 Aug09 Jul07 Jun07 May17 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 122 1.80 10% 9.20    
IT'S THE SUNRISE Aug30 Aug11 May10     (fosdick steve)RIVERA BRYAN 112 10.00    
MR LIBERTY Aug25 Aug09 Jul12 May26 Mar17 (nance jonathan)SANJUR SANTO 120 12.00    
POPSTER Aug08 Jul21 Jul06 Jun19 May26 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 3.00 32% 2.20    
 
IND-3   09/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORM CHARGING Aug19 Aug04 Jul07     (fernandez edward)BUSH V 122 2.50    
SELENA SING Aug29 Jun21 May04 Apr20   (garcia ge)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 3.00 29% 2.50    
FOUR DAWN Aug29 Aug08 Jun24 May30 May13 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 4.00 10% 9.10    
EASYONMYEYES Aug23 Aug06 May25 May10 Apr27 (hinds lon)BERMUDEZ E 124 8.00    
SCR  ISLE OF GRACE Aug24 Aug04 Jul14 Jul07 May18 (ballard fran)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
HAPPY OUT Aug17 Jul29 Jul07 Jun09   (mckeever andrew)MOJICA JR 120 3.50    
SCR  HALLIE'S RAINBOW Aug20 Jul30       (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 4.50 24% 3.30    
 
IND-4   09/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUERIDGE MOUNTAIN Aug25 Aug02 Jun29 May08 Apr08 (sharp joe)PARKER L 124 3.00    
SCR  FIREWATER JAKE Aug25 Jul06 Jun11 Mar19 Feb26 (leonard ge)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 6.00 14% 6.30    
FLY NIGHTLY Sep01 Jul15 Jun24 Jun10 May12 (shorter a)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 8.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  CLEAR FOR ACTION Aug02 Apr01 Mar05 Jan02   (fletcher we)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 4.00 27% 2.60    
EVIL EYE Aug25 Jul21 Jul06 Jun11 May12 (cunningha)BERMUDEZ E 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BOONE'S SPIRIT Aug24 Jul11 Jun20 Apr01 Mar12 (hughes g)SANJUR SANTO 124 20.00    
SCR  EPIMYTHIUM Jul21 Jun09 May13 Apr21 Mar19 (meah anna)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 1.80    
MARV'S MAGIC Aug17 Apr22 Mar26 Feb18 Feb05 (granitz)DE CRUZ 122 6.00    
 
IND-5   09/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISTER MACHO Aug25 Aug04 Jul12 Jun23   (duran antonio)PARKER L 120 3.00    
GOLDEN RAPPER Aug25 Aug04 Jul07 Jun21 Jun01 (smith ran)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 4.50 35% 1.80    
PROTECTED AREA Jul14 Jun21       (fontenot daw)MORALES JOSHUA 120 20.00    
GUN BUDDY         (wilson david )CANUTO THIAGO 120 6.00    
CIRCLE INDY Aug25 Aug04 Jul07 Jun21 Apr26 (wisner j)MOJICA O 124 5.00    
BARN STORMER Aug25 Aug04       (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 120 2.00 35% 1.80    
EASY OPERATOR         (londono genevi)MILLER CHASE 124 4.00 5% 18.00    
COG Aug25 Aug04 Jun23 Jun01   (short j)HOLMES GAGE 113 15.00    
 
IND-6   09/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AQUACAT Aug05 Jun24 Apr28     (beckman d)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 4.50    
VERSATILE Aug24 Aug04 Jul03 Jun22 Jun03 (garcia israe)MORALES JOSHUA 120 8.00    
BIG PAPER Sep06 Aug24 Aug09 Jul20 Jun29 (richardvi)BERMUDEZ E 124 4.00 58% 0.70    
ZEST FOR LIFE         (eggleston ti)RAMOS D 120 30.00    
SCR  GO BALI GO Sep13 Aug16 Aug04     (nance jonathan)SANJUR SANTO 120 12.00    
SCR  SMARTY ALEX Aug24 Jul11 Jun20 May30   (patrick gary)PEREZ E 124 6.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  BIG HELLO Jun22 Apr24       (sherman ala)PETERSON FERRIN 120 20.00    
LONGER VIEW Jun29 Jun08 Jun01     (elliott michell)HOLMES GAGE 113 30.00    
PRINCE OF GLORY Aug28 Aug16 Jul24 Jun19 Jun02 (gutierrez)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 15.00    
SCR  BUCKEYE JIMMY Jun22         (beckman)DE CRUZ 124 20.00    
SCR  DAISY'S DOC Jul24         (walsh p)PARKER L 124 4.00 5% 18.70    
SCR  MUCHO MOJO Aug12 Jul10 Jun26 Jun03 Apr02 (foster eric)POMPELL L 120 3.50    
SCR  RUNQUIETLY Aug24 Aug08       (mason ingrid)MORALES JOSHUA 120 30.00    
14  UNCLE BERLEY Aug23 Aug05 Jul16 Jun18 May14 (asmussen )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 2.50    
 
IND-7   09/15/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANKROLL Feb10         (hancock joh)PETERSON FERRIN 118 4.00 23% 3.30    
NAMESAKE Jun16 May31 Apr02 Jan07   (swearingen tom)SANJUR SANTO 122 15.00    
STORMIN EL PRADO Aug27 Aug16 Jul30 Jul15 Jun24 (appleton jos)MORALES JOSHUA 122 12.00    
DEUTERONOMYSTRONG Aug23 Jul20 Jun23 Jun08 Apr27 (leonard george )HOLMES GAGE 112 4.50    
HOLIDAY HOUSE Aug22 Jul29 Apr23 Feb28 Feb05 (morrison )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 6.00    
ON K P Jun24 May14 May06 Apr02 Jan07 (rednour jr)POMPELL L 122 5.00    
SCR  VASSAR'S BOY Aug17 Jul22 Jun30     (lyster st)PEDROZA MARCELINO 124 12.00    
MATERS N TATERS Sep08 Aug23 Aug04 Jul06 Jun27 (cunningha)BERMUDEZ E 119 3.00 9% 9.80    
ARTHURIAN Aug21 Aug03 Jul12     (caramori caio)PARKER L 124 6.00 9% 10.00    
10  LATIGO Aug24 Aug03 Jul09 Jun22 Jun11 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 115 3.50 38% 1.60    
 
IND-8   09/15/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIGHTING ZELDA Jul21         (west w)PARKER L 122 6.00    
SECRET SADIE Aug10 Jul09       (brown and)BERMUDEZ E 119 6.00 5% 18.40    
SCR  FOUND MY MAN Aug16 Jul13 May03     (lauer michae)RAMOS D 122 30.00    
TUCKYOURTALEANDRUN Aug24 Jul18 May07 Apr01 Mar18 (lauer michael)SANJUR SANTO 122 15.00    
GET N TIPSY Aug29 Aug03 Jul18 Jun16 May23 (haran john)PEREZ E 122 8.00    
CLIMBER Aug24 Aug03 Jul09 Jun22 May26 (garcia ge)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 2.00 26% 2.80    
TRAFALGAR SHORE Sep01 Aug16 Aug03 Jul13 Jun08 (silva h)MOJICA O 118 3.50 19% 4.20    
RUSSIAN INFLUENCE Aug16 Jul21 May23     (granitz a)PEDROZA MARCELINO 124 4.00 23% 3.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.