Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Keeneland
Saturday - October 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
KEE-1   10/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($61K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:131 1:39   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  FROSTED GRACE 5 3 42½ 42 31 1½ 11¾ (habeeb donald)MORALES EDGAR 122 3.50 24% 3.20 6.45 W
5  BACKSIDEOFTHEMOON 4 1 32 32 41¼ 31½ 21¾ (diodoro ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.80 18% 4.60 1.59 P
7  SECOND OF JULY 6 6 2½ 2½ 1nk 2½ 35 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50 2.00  
4  CAROM 3 4 1½ 1½ 2nk 43 48½ (kenneally edd)GARCIA MARTIN 122 8.00 7% 12.90 10.39  
1  MR. TIP 1 2 53½ 54½ 53¾ 56½ 512 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 12.00 ★ 5.62  
2  PIT BOSS 2 7 65 64¾ 63¾ 68½ 613¼ (cash l)BEJARANO R 122 15.00 13.47  
8  MONEY FOR MISCHIEF 7 5 76 77¾ 76¾ 711½ 717¼ (can)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 20.00 32.79  
SCR  BLUE STEEL               (leonard ge)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 4.00 28% 2.50    
 
KEE-2   10/15/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:233 :492 1:143 1:26   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  CURLY LARRY AND MO 7 2 11 12 1nk 11½ 11½ (caramori )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 7% 12.50 5.83 W
13  SOLOMON VANDY 12 6 21 22 2nk 21½ 21½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 ★ 22.28 P
5  ROYAL SALUTE 4 5 74 64 75¼ 45 32¼ (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00 8.38  
12  SPANISH DOUBLOON 11 8 52½ 43 31 33½ 42¾ (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 16% 5.10 6.31  
11  EVALUATE (IRE) 10 11 106¾ 95¼ 96¼ 78 53½ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 21% 3.80 1.97  
1  READ ON 1 1 31½ 53½ 54 67 63½ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00 14.98  
9  ICONICUS 8 3 41½ 32 42½ 55½ 76½ (catalano wayne )COHEN DAVID 119 10.00 20.37  
10  GAME WARDEN 9 9 63 84¾ 86¼ 810½ 89½ (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 11.85  
7  JOINT VENTURE 6 10 96¼ 105¾ 106½ 1011½ 911 (flint bernar)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 46.12  
6  BAYOU CHROME 5 7 84¼ 74¼ 64¼ 911 1011¼ (leonard georg)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 48.85  
2  GUCCI BOY 2 4 116¾ 117¼ 119 1114 1111¾ (diodoro )SANTANA JR 119 6.00 6.77  
4  IRON CRUSADER 3 12 129¼ 127¾ 1212 1217 1215¼ (nihei michelle)BEJARANO R 119 15.00 14.28  
SCR  DECANTED               (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  SIMPLY WOW               (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 20.00    
SCR  THE JACKAL               (mcgaughey)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00    
SCR  TIZZY TANTRUM               (pessin l)LANERIE J 119 15.00    
 
KEE-3   10/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:12     1:261   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SUE ELLEN MISHKIN 5 1 1½ 1½   12½ 14¼ (abreu r)LANERIE J 118 2.50 ★ 1.83  
6  LEGENDARY GIFT 6 2 2½ 2½   22½ 24¼ (martin timot)JORDAN R 121 3.00 26% 2.90 4.62 P
2  FOREVER HOME 2 5 53½ 43   35½ 310¾ (shifflett cher)AYALA ISAIAS 123 4.00 21% 3.80 8.38 S
3  WEEKEND FUN 3 6 43 33   410½ 416¾ (leitch dan)CORRALES GERARDO 121 6.00 4.77  
7  SUPERTALEOFHOUDINI 7 4 65 68   512½ 519¼ (mckeever an)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.50 9% 10.50 11.67  
4  BIZZY ECHO 4 3 32½ 57   615½ 624½ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00 11% 7.70 3.59  
1  BALL LIGHTNING 1 7 76 79   716½ 735¾ (englehart jeremia)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00 10.86  
 
KEE-4   10/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:223 :46 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LT. JUNIOR GRADE 3 1 31 2½   2nk 1¼ (claire alexis)LANERIE J 122 4.50 10% 9.10 5.12 W
6  MACRON 6 2 2½ 1½   1nk 2¼ (asmussen)SANTANA JR 122 1.80 26% 2.80 1.27 P
4  MONEY MIKE 4 3 43 44   36 39¼ (cash l)BEJARANO R 122 15.00 13.06  
7  AGGRESSIVITY 7 5 65½ 69   68¾ 411½ (combs bentley)RIQUELME J 122 20.00 26.37  
1  EMERALD EXPRESS 1 7 54 57   58½ 511½ (cano juan )CORRALES GERARDO 122 6.00 20% 4.00 5.01  
2  SHADOW MATTER 2 6 77 712   710¾ 614½ (combs bentley)MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00 15% 5.70 14.14  
5  COST BASIS 5 4 1½ 32½   47½ 715 (diodoro ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.00 ★ 3.02  
 
KEE-5   10/15/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($140K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:11 1:351   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  KENTUCKY GHOST 3 7 910 99 99 52 11 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 126 5.00 7.44  
4  IN LOVE (BRZ) 4 9 87½ 87 87 41½ 21 (lobo paul)LEPAROUX R 122 3.00 1.88  
9  MR. WIRELESS 9 5 44½ 43 54½ 3½ 31½ (calhoun william )PARKER L 122 20.00 7% 12.90 17.03 S
2  MOUILLAGE (FR) 2 2 34 53 33 2½ 41¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 34% 1.90 2.70  
8  WINFROMWITHIN 8 3 12½ 12 11½ 1½ 52¼ (delgad)ROJAS EDUARDO 126 4.00 23% 3.30 6.43  
5  CURRENT 5 4 55½ 75½ 76½ 73½ 63½ (vanden berg )GEROUX FLORENT 124 15.00 5% 19.00 22.32  
7  GREYES CREEK 7 8 77½ 65 65 62½ 73¾ (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 122 15.00 5% 19.00 8.34  
1  MEGACITY 1 1 22½ 22 21½ 83¾ 86¼ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 8.68  
6  SPECTACULAR GEM 6 6 66 32½ 43 97¼ 916½ (sherman j)BETANCOURT RONNEY 122 30.00 77.74  
 
KEE-6   10/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:133 1:391   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  INVENTING 4 6 54½ 43 2½ 1nk 11½ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.50 31% 2.20 5.33 W
7  SUNNY RIVER 7 2 11 12 1½ 2nk 21½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 1.60 38% 1.60 0.54 P
6  SWEET LADY IVANKA 6 5 65 66 67 36 34 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00 5% 17.30 9.88 S
8  FOREVER AFTER ALL 8 4 43½ 54 46 48 414½ (stall al)SANTANA JR 121 3.50 ★ 5.96  
3  FINE COTTON 3 1 21 22 33½ 511½ 523 (pessin neil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 6.00 ★ 20.35  
2  MO HAPPY 2 7 78½ 811 713 616½ 628 (thompson boyd)COURT K 121 30.00 49.93  
1  OMA THE GREAT 1 3 33 32 56½ 717 737¾ (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 15.00 16.51  
5  SHA GIRL 5 8 89½ 710½ 819 8100 8100 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 30.00 39.81  
 
KEE-7   10/15/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:13 1:25   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  WORTHINGTON 3 4 32 31½ 42 12 1½ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 17% 4.80 3.03 W
14  MIRANDA RIGHTS 12 6 64½ 64 53 22 2½ (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 4.00 17% 5.00 6.59 P
7  SIX MISSIONS 6 7 87½ 85½ 76½ 45 35¼ (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 15% 5.80 4.20 S
11  ASHCROFT 10 5 54 53½ 64 55 46¾ (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 14% 6.40 6.11  
10  JUST FOR LUCK (AUS) 9 12 1214½ 1213 1210¾ 98¼ 57½ (vaughan edwar)CANNON DECLAN 119 30.00 75.26  
8  DARYL'S BOLT 7 10 911 97½ 97¾ 88¼ 68 (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 10.62  
2  HARDY CHOICE 1 2 11 1½ 11 34 78¾ (lynch a)GRAHAM J 119 15.00 5.80  
12  GIOVANNINO 11 3 42½ 42 31 65¼ 812¾ (davis christ)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 13.16  
5  MY SANCTUARY 4 8 1112½ 1110½ 119¾ 1112¼ 913 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 15.00 21.95  
9  TEAM LEADER 8 11 76½ 75½ 86¾ 1010¼ 1014½ (walsh bre)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 10.00 18.22  
3  DUST STORM 2 1 21 2½ 21 77¾ 1115¾ (fletcher kevi)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 34.16  
6  TOLLGATE CANYON 5 9 1012½ 108 109¼ 1215¾ 1223 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 20.00 25.71  
SCR  CODE ONE               (o'neill doug)ACHARD ALEX 119 20.00    
SCR  MILLERS RITE               (vance d)COURT K 119 15.00    
SCR  PERMAFROST               (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 20.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  SAFE TRIP HOME               (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00    
 
KEE-8   10/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:224 :461 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  YOUR SO SILLEA 6 1 2nk 11   13 11½ (sims a)GILLIGAN JACK 120 3.50 23% 3.30 3.20 W
1  AIN'T BROKE 1 7 42 32   23 21½ (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.00 17% 5.00 4.25 P
2  CANCEL THIS 2 2 3½ 46   47½ 35¼ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 2.00 18% 4.70 3.74 S
4  NAPA CANDY 4 5 66 58   58 45¼ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 8.04  
5  SCENIC MASTERPIECE 5 3 1nk 21   35 510 (wong jonat)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 2.56  
7  ROCKIE CAUSEWAY 7 6 76½ 710½   612½ 617 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00 12% 7.00 21.55  
3  DAME JOVIALE 3 4 54 68½   713½ 724¾ (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00 ★ 7.55  
 
KEE-9   10/15/2022 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($600K) 3 F PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:124 1:363   1:481   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GINA ROMANTICA 2 1 44½ 32 32 1nk 11¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 3.50 ★ 4.53  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SPECIAL ME by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  MCKULICK (GB) 5 3 32 43½ 43 41½ 21¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 1.00 44% 1.30 0.80 P
  (by UNKNOWN out of ASTRELLE by MAKFI (GB))
5  BELLABEL (IRE) 4 4 2½ 21½ 21½ 2nk 32 (d'amato phi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 5.00 17% 5.00 3.33 S
  (by BELARDO out of FASHION LINE by MORNING LINE)
1  CALIFORNIA ANGEL 1 6 68½ 65½ 65 54 42 (leonard i)BEJARANO R 121 15.00 12.12  
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of SEA MONA by TIZ WONDERFUL)
3  SHE'S GONE 3 2 57 55 54 64½ 55¼ (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 121 30.00 6% 15.40 22.92  
  (by CURLIN out of SHE'S NOT HERE by STREET CRY (IRE))
7  PARIS PEACOCK (IRE) 6 5 1½ 11½ 11½ 3½ 66 (harrington j)GEROUX FLORENT 121 10.00 8.37  
  (by MUHAARAR (GB) out of WEEKEND FLING by FOREST WILDCAT)
SCR  NEW YEAR'S EVE               (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.50 7% 12.90    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of AWESOME RAFAELA by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
 
KEE-10   10/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($61K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:222 :454 :582     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  THE QUEENS JULES 8 5 51¾ 43½   32½ 1nk (van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 121 6.00 ★ 5.80  
9  DIVINE LEADER 6 1 3.2 2nk   2½ 2nk (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 121 15.00 10% 8.80 2.56 P
10  BEVERLY PARK 7 2 4¼ 1nk   1½ 3¼ (cash l)BEJARANO R 123 4.50 25% 3.00 2.51 S
1  DON'T FORGET 1 7 62¼ 54½   64¼ 42¾ (shorter aaron)ACHARD ALEX 121 15.00 9.06  
4  ULTIMATE 4 6 72½ 65½   54 53¼ (martin timot)JORDAN R 121 8.00 8.06  
2  ALEXANDROS 2 4 1nk 31½   44 65½ (duncan van)COURT K 121 12.00 5.89  
3  HOOPERDRIVESTHBOAT 3 8 88½ 810   79¼ 79½ (habeeb dona)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 20.00 47.66  
5  MONTAUK DADDY 5 3 2nk 77   814¼ 827½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 15.00 8.65  
SCR  BIG SPORT               (vanden berg )LANDEROS CHRIS 121 20.00 ★    
SCR  FEAST               (bennett s)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  MY MAN FLINTSTONE               (hernandez )CORRALES GERARDO 121 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.