Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Saturday - October 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   10/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($61K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:131 1:39   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FROSTED GRACE 5 3 4 42 31 1½ 1 (habeeb j)MORALES EDGAR 122 3.50 24% 3.20 6.45 W
BACKSIDEOFTHEMOON 4 1 32 32 4 3 2 (diodoro robe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.80 18% 4.60 1.59 P
SECOND OF JULY 6 6 2½ 2½ 1nk 2½ 35 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50 2.00  
CAROM 3 4 1½ 1½ 2nk 43 4 (kenneally eddie)GARCIA MARTIN 122 8.00 7% 12.90 10.39  
MR. TIP 1 2 5 5 5 5 512 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 12.00 5.62  
PIT BOSS 2 7 65 6 6 6 613¼ (cash l)BEJARANO R 122 15.00 13.47  
MONEY FOR MISCHIEF 7 5 76 7 7 711½ 717¼ (cano )FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 20.00 32.79  
SCR  BLUE STEEL               (leonard geor)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 4.00 28% 2.50    
 
KEE-2   10/15/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:233 :492 1:143 1:26   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CURLY LARRY AND MO 7 2 11 12 1nk 1 1 (caramori ca)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 7% 12.50 5.83 W
13  SOLOMON VANDY 12 6 21 22 2nk 2 2 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 22.28 P
ROYAL SALUTE 4 5 74 64 7 45 3 (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00 8.38  
12  SPANISH DOUBLOON 11 8 5 43 31 3 4 (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 16% 5.10 6.31  
11  EVALUATE (IRE) 10 11 10 9 9 78 5 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 21% 3.80 1.97  
READ ON 1 1 3 5 54 67 6 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00 14.98  
ICONICUS 8 3 4 32 4 5 7 (catalano m)COHEN DAVID 119 10.00 20.37  
10  GAME WARDEN 9 9 63 8 8 810½ 8 (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 11.85  
JOINT VENTURE 6 10 9 10 10 1011½ 911 (flint bernard )BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 46.12  
BAYOU CHROME 5 7 8 7 6 911 1011¼ (leonard george )MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 48.85  
GUCCI BOY 2 4 11 11 119 1114 1111¾ (diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 6.77  
IRON CRUSADER 3 12 12 12 1212 1217 1215¼ (nihei michelle)BEJARANO R 119 15.00 14.28  
SCR  DECANTED               (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  SIMPLY WOW               (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 20.00    
SCR  THE JACKAL               (mcgaughey c)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00    
SCR  TIZZY TANTRUM               (pessin l)LANERIE J 119 15.00    
 
KEE-3   10/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:12     1:261   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUE ELLEN MISHKIN 5 1 1½ 1½   1 1 (abreu r)LANERIE J 118 2.50 1.83  
LEGENDARY GIFT 6 2 2½ 2½   2 2 (martin timothy)JORDAN R 121 3.00 26% 2.90 4.62 P
FOREVER HOME 2 5 5 43   3 310¾ (shifflett cheryl)AYALA ISAIAS 123 4.00 21% 3.80 8.38 S
WEEKEND FUN 3 6 43 33   410½ 416¾ (leitch danie)CORRALES GERARDO 121 6.00 4.77  
SUPERTALEOFHOUDINI 7 4 65 68   512½ 519¼ (mckeever andr)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.50 9% 10.50 11.67  
BIZZY ECHO 4 3 3 57   615½ 624½ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00 11% 7.70 3.59  
BALL LIGHTNING 1 7 76 79   716½ 735¾ (englehart jeremiah )SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00 10.86  
 
KEE-4   10/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:223 :46 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LT. JUNIOR GRADE 3 1 31 2½   2nk 1¼ (claire alexis)LANERIE J 122 4.50 10% 9.10 5.12 W
MACRON 6 2 2½ 1½   1nk 2¼ (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 122 1.80 26% 2.80 1.27 P
MONEY MIKE 4 3 43 44   36 3 (cash l)BEJARANO R 122 15.00 13.06  
AGGRESSIVITY 7 5 6 69   6 411½ (combs bentley)RIQUELME J 122 20.00 26.37  
EMERALD EXPRESS 1 7 54 57   5 511½ (cano mu)CORRALES GERARDO 122 6.00 20% 4.00 5.01  
SHADOW MATTER 2 6 77 712   710¾ 614½ (combs bentley)MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00 15% 5.70 14.14  
COST BASIS 5 4 1½ 3   4 715 (diodoro robe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.00 3.02  
 
KEE-5   10/15/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($140K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:11 1:351   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KENTUCKY GHOST 3 7 910 99 99 52 11 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 126 5.00 7.44  
IN LOVE (BRZ) 4 9 8 87 87 4 21 (lobo paulo )LEPAROUX R 122 3.00 1.88  
MR. WIRELESS 9 5 4 43 5 3½ 3 (calhoun br)PARKER L 122 20.00 7% 12.90 17.03 S
MOUILLAGE (FR) 2 2 34 53 33 2½ 4 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 34% 1.90 2.70  
WINFROMWITHIN 8 3 1 12 1 1½ 5 (delgado )ROJAS EDUARDO 126 4.00 23% 3.30 6.43  
CURRENT 5 4 5 7 7 7 6 (vanden br)GEROUX FLORENT 124 15.00 5% 19.00 22.32  
GREYES CREEK 7 8 7 65 65 6 7 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 122 15.00 5% 19.00 8.34  
MEGACITY 1 1 2 22 2 8 8 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 8.68  
SPECTACULAR GEM 6 6 66 3 43 9 916½ (sherman jus)BETANCOURT RONNEY 122 30.00 77.74  
 
KEE-6   10/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:133 1:391   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INVENTING 4 6 5 43 2½ 1nk 1 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.50 31% 2.20 5.33 W
SUNNY RIVER 7 2 11 12 1½ 2nk 2 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 1.60 38% 1.60 0.54 P
SWEET LADY IVANKA 6 5 65 66 67 36 34 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00 5% 17.30 9.88 S
FOREVER AFTER ALL 8 4 4 54 46 48 414½ (stall albe)SANTANA JR 121 3.50 5.96  
FINE COTTON 3 1 21 22 3 511½ 523 (pessin l)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 6.00 20.35  
MO HAPPY 2 7 7 811 713 616½ 628 (thompson boyd)COURT K 121 30.00 49.93  
OMA THE GREAT 1 3 33 32 5 717 737¾ (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 15.00 16.51  
SHA GIRL 5 8 8 710½ 819 8100 8100 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 30.00 39.81  
 
KEE-7   10/15/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:13 1:25   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WORTHINGTON 3 4 32 3 42 12 1½ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 17% 4.80 3.03 W
14  MIRANDA RIGHTS 12 6 6 64 53 22 2½ (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 4.00 17% 5.00 6.59 P
SIX MISSIONS 6 7 8 8 7 45 3 (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 15% 5.80 4.20 S
11  ASHCROFT 10 5 54 5 64 55 4 (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 14% 6.40 6.11  
10  JUST FOR LUCK (AUS) 9 12 1214½ 1213 1210¾ 9 5 (vaughan edward)CANNON DECLAN 119 30.00 75.26  
DARYL'S BOLT 7 10 911 9 9 8 68 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 10.62  
HARDY CHOICE 1 2 11 1½ 11 34 7 (lynch a)GRAHAM J 119 15.00 5.80  
12  GIOVANNINO 11 3 4 42 31 6 812¾ (davis christop)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 13.16  
MY SANCTUARY 4 8 1112½ 1110½ 11 1112¼ 913 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 15.00 21.95  
TEAM LEADER 8 11 7 7 8 1010¼ 1014½ (walsh brend)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 10.00 18.22  
DUST STORM 2 1 21 2½ 21 7 1115¾ (fletcher kevin)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 34.16  
TOLLGATE CANYON 5 9 1012½ 108 10 1215¾ 1223 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 20.00 25.71  
SCR  CODE ONE               (o'neill doug)ACHARD ALEX 119 20.00    
SCR  MILLERS RITE               (vance d)COURT K 119 15.00    
SCR  PERMAFROST               (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 20.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  SAFE TRIP HOME               (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00    
 
KEE-8   10/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:224 :461 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOUR SO SILLEA 6 1 2nk 11   13 1 (sims a)GILLIGAN JACK 120 3.50 23% 3.30 3.20 W
AIN'T BROKE 1 7 42 32   23 2 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.00 17% 5.00 4.25 P
CANCEL THIS 2 2 3½ 46   4 3 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 2.00 18% 4.70 3.74 S
NAPA CANDY 4 5 66 58   58 4 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 8.04  
SCENIC MASTERPIECE 5 3 1nk 21   35 510 (wong jonatha)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 2.56  
ROCKIE CAUSEWAY 7 6 7 710½   612½ 617 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00 12% 7.00 21.55  
DAME JOVIALE 3 4 54 6   713½ 724¾ (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00 7.55  
 
KEE-9   10/15/2022 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($600K) 3 F PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:124 1:363   1:481   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GINA ROMANTICA 2 1 4 32 32 1nk 1 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 3.50 4.53  
MCKULICK (GB) 5 3 32 4 43 4 2 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 1.00 44% 1.30 0.80 P
BELLABEL (IRE) 4 4 2½ 2 2 2nk 32 (d'amato phili)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 5.00 17% 5.00 3.33 S
CALIFORNIA ANGEL 1 6 6 6 65 54 42 (leonard iii)BEJARANO R 121 15.00 12.12  
SHE'S GONE 3 2 57 55 54 6 5 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 121 30.00 6% 15.40 22.92  
PARIS PEACOCK (IRE) 6 5 1½ 1 1 3½ 66 (harrington jes)GEROUX FLORENT 121 10.00 8.37  
SCR  NEW YEAR'S EVE               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.50 7% 12.90    
 
KEE-10   10/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($61K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:222 :454 :582     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  THE QUEENS JULES 8 5 5 4   3 1nk (van thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 121 6.00 5.80  
DIVINE LEADER 6 1 3.2 2nk   2½ 2nk (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 121 15.00 10% 8.80 2.56 P
10  BEVERLY PARK 7 2 4¼ 1nk   1½ 3¼ (cash l)BEJARANO R 123 4.50 25% 3.00 2.51 S
DON'T FORGET 1 7 6 5   6 4 (shorter aaron)ACHARD ALEX 121 15.00 9.06  
ULTIMATE 4 6 7 6   54 5 (martin timothy)JORDAN R 121 8.00 8.06  
ALEXANDROS 2 4 1nk 3   44 6 (duncan vance)COURT K 121 12.00 5.89  
HOOPERDRIVESTHBOAT 3 8 8 810   7 7 (habeeb donald)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 20.00 47.66  
MONTAUK DADDY 5 3 2nk 77   814¼ 827½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 15.00 8.65  
SCR  BIG SPORT               (vanden br)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 20.00    
SCR  FEAST               (bennett s)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  MY MAN FLINTSTONE               (hernandez re)CORRALES GERARDO 121 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.