Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Keeneland
Saturday - October 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
KEE-1   10/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($61K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. TIP Sep08 Jul02 May28 May06 Apr16 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 12.00 ★    
2  PIT BOSS Sep24 Aug19 Aug06 Jul28 Jul16 (cash l)BEJARANO R 122 15.00    
SCR  BLUE STEEL         (leonard ge)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 4.00 28% 2.50    
4  CAROM Mar17 Feb10 Jan02     (kenneally edd)GARCIA MARTIN 122 8.00 7% 12.90    
5  BACKSIDEOFTHEMOON Sep25 Jul01 Jun05 Mar07 Feb01 (diodoro ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.80 18% 4.60    
6  FROSTED GRACE Sep25 Aug02 Jun18 May25 May07 (habeeb donald)MORALES EDGAR 122 3.50 24% 3.20    
7  SECOND OF JULY Sep08 Aug13 Jul24 Jun26 Jun03 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50    
8  MONEY FOR MISCHIEF Sep21 Aug05 Jun30 May27   (can)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 20.00    
 
KEE-2   10/15/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  READ ON Sep03 Aug27 Aug13     (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00    
2  GUCCI BOY Sep01         (diodoro )SANTANA JR 119 6.00    
SCR  SIMPLY WOW         (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 20.00    
4  IRON CRUSADER         (nihei michelle)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 15.00    
5  ROYAL SALUTE         (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00    
6  BAYOU CHROME Sep10         (leonard georg)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00    
7  JOINT VENTURE Sep24         (flint bernar)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00    
8  CURLY LARRY AND MO Sep04 Aug11 Jul17     (caramori )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 7% 12.50    
9  ICONICUS Sep08 Aug19       (catalano wayne )COHEN DAVID 119 10.00    
10  GAME WARDEN Oct01 Aug27       (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
11  EVALUATE (IRE) Sep01         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 21% 3.80    
12  SPANISH DOUBLOON Sep08 Aug21 Jul16     (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 16% 5.10    
13  SOLOMON VANDY Sep16 Aug27 Jul30     (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 ★    
SCR  THE JACKAL         (mcgaughey)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00    
SCR  TIZZY TANTRUM         (pessin l)LANERIE J 119 15.00    
SCR  DECANTED Sep14 Sep01       (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 32% 2.10    
 
KEE-3   10/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BALL LIGHTNING Sep02 Jun17 May13 Apr10 Jan15 (englehart jeremia)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00    
2  FOREVER HOME Sep30 Sep16 Aug29 Jun09 May14 (shifflett cher)AYALA ISAIAS 123 4.00 21% 3.80    
3  WEEKEND FUN Aug28 Aug11 Jun26 Jun03 Apr16 (leitch dan)CORRALES GERARDO 121 6.00    
4  BIZZY ECHO Aug08 Jul03 May30 Feb03   (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00 11% 7.70    
5  SUE ELLEN MISHKIN Jul27 May14       (abreu r)LANERIE J 118 2.50 ★    
6  LEGENDARY GIFT Aug08 Jul15 Jun20 May16 Apr08 (martin timot)JORDAN R 121 3.00 26% 2.90    
7  SUPERTALEOFHOUDINI Sep15 Aug25 Jun23 May03 Mar27 (mckeever an)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.50 9% 10.50    
 
KEE-4   10/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMERALD EXPRESS Sep18 Jul24 Jun08 May20 Mar18 (cano juan )CORRALES GERARDO 122 6.00 20% 4.00    
2  SHADOW MATTER Sep23 Sep03 Jul20 Jun26 May28 (combs bentley)MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00 15% 5.70    
3  LT. JUNIOR GRADE Sep22 Sep01 Jul20 Jun30 Jun11 (claire alexis)LANERIE J 122 4.50 10% 9.10    
4  MONEY MIKE Oct02 Aug17 Aug06 Jun12 May04 (cash l)BEJARANO R 122 15.00    
5  COST BASIS Sep03 Aug14 Apr21 Feb19   (diodoro ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.00 ★    
6  MACRON Sep25 Aug06 Jul08 May30 May08 (asmussen)SANTANA JR 122 1.80 26% 2.80    
7  AGGRESSIVITY Sep23 Aug26 Jul08 Jun11 May28 (combs bentley)RIQUELME J 122 20.00    
 
KEE-5   10/15/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($140K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEGACITY Sep01 Jul16 May21 Apr10   (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00    
2  MOUILLAGE (FR) Sep05 Mar05       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 34% 1.90    
3  KENTUCKY GHOST Sep10 Jul23 May28 May07   (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 126 5.00    
4  IN LOVE (BRZ) Sep01 Jun11 Apr15     (lobo paul)LEPAROUX R 122 3.00    
5  CURRENT Sep10 Jul16 Jun25 May03 Apr17 (vanden berg )GEROUX FLORENT 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  SPECTACULAR GEM May24 May05 Apr02 Feb19 Feb12 (sherman j)BETANCOURT RONNEY 122 30.00    
7  GREYES CREEK Aug21 Jun11 Apr20     (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  WINFROMWITHIN Sep05 Aug14 Jul29 Jul03 May28 (delgad)ROJAS EDUARDO 126 4.00 23% 3.30    
9  MR. WIRELESS Aug13 Jul09 Jun05     (calhoun william )PARKER L 122 20.00 7% 12.90    
 
KEE-6   10/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OMA THE GREAT May06 Apr15       (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 15.00    
2  MO HAPPY Oct01         (thompson boyd)COURT K 121 30.00    
3  FINE COTTON Sep25 Jul17 Jun23 May27 Apr21 (pessin neil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 6.00 ★    
4  INVENTING Sep23 Jul28 Jun11 May06 Apr02 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.50 31% 2.20    
5  SHA GIRL Sep05 Jul29 May26     (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 30.00    
6  SWEET LADY IVANKA Sep17 Aug07 Jul17     (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00 5% 17.30    
7  SUNNY RIVER Sep17 Aug07 Jun19 May19   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 1.60 38% 1.60    
8  FOREVER AFTER ALL Sep25 Jul28 Jun23 May27   (stall al)SANTANA JR 121 3.50 ★    
 
KEE-7   10/15/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SAFE TRIP HOME         (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00    
2  HARDY CHOICE Aug12         (lynch a)GRAHAM J 119 15.00    
3  DUST STORM Sep27 Sep10 Jun27     (fletcher kevi)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00    
4  WORTHINGTON Sep03         (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 17% 4.80    
5  MY SANCTUARY         (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 15.00    
6  TOLLGATE CANYON Sep08         (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 20.00    
7  SIX MISSIONS Sep03 Jul30       (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 15% 5.80    
8  DARYL'S BOLT Sep17         (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00    
9  TEAM LEADER Sep22 Jul30       (walsh bre)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 10.00    
10  JUST FOR LUCK (AUS)         (vaughan edwar)CANNON DECLAN 119 30.00    
11  ASHCROFT Apr28         (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 14% 6.40    
12  GIOVANNINO Sep21         (davis christ)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00    
SCR  CODE ONE Oct03         (o'neill doug)ACHARD ALEX 119 20.00    
14  MIRANDA RIGHTS Sep03 Jul16       (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 4.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  PERMAFROST Sep11         (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 20.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  MILLERS RITE Oct01 Aug17       (vance d)COURT K 119 15.00    
 
KEE-8   10/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AIN'T BROKE Mar09 Feb10 Jan14     (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.00 17% 5.00    
2  CANCEL THIS Sep23 Aug27 Jul31 Jun18 May28 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 2.00 18% 4.70    
3  DAME JOVIALE Sep18 Aug14       (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00 ★    
4  NAPA CANDY Aug27 Jul09 Jun03 May06 Apr15 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 8.00    
5  SCENIC MASTERPIECE Oct02 Sep04 Aug06 Jun19 Apr09 (wong jonat)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00    
6  YOUR SO SILLEA Oct01 Aug07 Jul10     (sims a)GILLIGAN JACK 120 3.50 23% 3.30    
7  ROCKIE CAUSEWAY Sep18         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00 12% 7.00    
 
KEE-9   10/15/2022 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($600K) 3 F PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALIFORNIA ANGEL Sep05 Mar12 Feb19     (leonard i)BEJARANO R 121 15.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of SEA MONA by TIZ WONDERFUL)
2  GINA ROMANTICA Sep18 Aug25 Jul14 May07 Apr10 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 3.50 ★    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SPECIAL ME by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
3  SHE'S GONE Sep10 Jul24 Jun22 May14 Apr15 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 121 30.00 6% 15.40    
  (by CURLIN out of SHE'S NOT HERE by STREET CRY (IRE))
SCR  NEW YEAR'S EVE Sep05 Aug07 Jul09 May06 Mar12 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.50 7% 12.90    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of AWESOME RAFAELA by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
5  BELLABEL (IRE) Aug20 Jul23 Jan02     (d'amato phi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 5.00 17% 5.00    
  (by BELARDO out of FASHION LINE by MORNING LINE)
6  MCKULICK (GB) Sep17 Aug07 Jul09 Jun04 May06 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 1.00 44% 1.30    
  (by UNKNOWN out of ASTRELLE by MAKFI (GB))
7  PARIS PEACOCK (IRE)         (harrington j)GEROUX FLORENT 121 10.00    
  (by MUHAARAR (GB) out of WEEKEND FLING by FOREST WILDCAT)
 
KEE-10   10/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($61K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DON'T FORGET Sep21 Aug26 Jul24 Jun22 May29 (shorter aaron)ACHARD ALEX 121 15.00    
2  ALEXANDROS Sep21 Jan07       (duncan van)COURT K 121 12.00    
3  HOOPERDRIVESTHBOAT Sep01 Jun26 May05 Mar10 Feb10 (habeeb dona)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 20.00    
4  ULTIMATE Aug07 Jul08 Jun25 May21 Apr23 (martin timot)JORDAN R 121 8.00    
5  MONTAUK DADDY Sep04 Aug22 Aug10 Jul23 Jun19 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 15.00    
SCR  BIG SPORT Sep15 Aug21 Jul22 Jun24 Jun03 (vanden berg )LANDEROS CHRIS 121 20.00 ★    
SCR  FEAST Sep04 Jul31 Jul10 Jun18 May15 (bennett s)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  MY MAN FLINTSTONE Oct01 Aug26 Jul15 Jun25 Jun08 (hernandez )CORRALES GERARDO 121 6.00    
9  DIVINE LEADER Jun22 May29 May15 May05 Feb12 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 121 15.00 10% 8.80    
10  BEVERLY PARK Sep21 Aug26 Aug17 Jul23 Jul15 (cash l)BEJARANO R 123 4.50 25% 3.00    
11  THE QUEENS JULES Sep21 Aug29 Aug09 Jul19 Jun22 (van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 121 6.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.