Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Sunday - October 02, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   10/02/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:122     1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EASY BIG BOY 2 1 1 11   1 1¾ (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 2.50 19% 4.10 1.27 W
WILDERZAR 5 6 6 43   33 2¾ (cash l)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 13.41  
HE'S A GOOD DANCER 3 4 4 21   2 3¾ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 19.27  
BIG BEEMSTER 4 3 2 3   48 49 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 3.00 53% 0.90 2.43  
TSURIS 1 7 7 6   510½ 511 (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 9.33  
VASY SAYS NYET 6 2 3 5   613 616 (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 6.00 6.44  
GIANT AWAKENING 7 5 54 7   713½ 717¼ (desormeaux kei)SAEZ GABRIEL 114 6.00 6.60  
SCR  MAESTOSO               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 6% 16.10    
 
CD-2   10/02/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:112     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONEY RUN 2 5 4 22   14 1 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 2.00 1.09  
CANT BE TOUCHED 3 1 1 12   24 2 (cano mu)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 32% 2.10 4.20 P
LEGERITY 4 4 54 54   3 3 (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.00 24% 3.10 2.59 S
DISTORTED SECRETS 5 3 33 3   5 411 (deville carl)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 13% 6.60 4.13  
CANARY 1 2 2 44   47 511½ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 8.00 13.41  
SCR  EDGEE ANGEL               (king )FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 12.00    
 
CD-3   10/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:223 :463 :582     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CORTESE 4 1 2 2½   11 1nk (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 119 2.50 36% 1.80 2.96 W
BABY BILLY 3 2 4 33   3 2nk (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00 13.21  
TUMBARUMBA 2 3 32 44   44 35 (lynch brian)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 9.64 S
CHILDERS 1 5 1 1½   21 4 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.00 41% 1.40 1.03  
ATKINS 5 4 5 5   56 57 (moquett ron)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00 2.27  
SCR  OWN THE FIELD               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.00    
SCR  PAPPA'S DREAM               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
 
CD-4   10/02/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:124 1:254   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLEMMONSTON 7 4 4 4 3 3 1¾ (leonard geo)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 6.00 9.15  
DROP ANCHOR 5 6 1½ 1 2½ 2½ 2¾ (walsh p)GARCIA MARTIN 122 6.00 3.96 P
CORN POP 6 3 2½ 2 1½ 1½ 3 (deville j)MORALES EDGAR 118 2.50 32% 2.10 5.07 S
BRONZE BEAST 4 2 33 5 4 44 43 (rouck l)RIQUELME J 122 8.00 10% 9.50 9.81  
MOUNTAIN GHOST 1 5 55 33 58 58 5 (wiggins lon)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 8.00 17.07  
COMMANDER COMPTON 2 1 67 6 611 611 616½ (bauer phili)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 1.60 24% 3.10 0.73  
CONSIDER 3 7 7 712½ 717 718 723¼ (lauer michael)ELLIOTT JANE 124 12.00 39.45  
 
CD-5   10/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:214 :46 :583     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONEY RUN 1 8 4 5   1 1 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 4.79  
BOXSTER 6 2 53 4   42 2 (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 3.00 52% 0.90 3.79 P
DISTORTED PRO 8 1 6 6   6 3 (cox h)SANTANA JR 119 4.50 5% 19.00 4.03 S
OLAZABAL 2 6 1½ 1½   2 46 (delgado gustavo)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.50 5.07  
FUNNY UNCLE 4 4 3½ 31   54 5 (vance d)COURT K 119 15.00 28.82  
SALTA 3 3 2½ 2½   32 6 (desormeaux kei)SAEZ GABRIEL 114 4.00 21% 3.80 2.19  
BRILLIANT COLORS 7 5 75 76   7 712 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 16.98  
LOUISIANIMAL 5 7 8 814   819¾ 834¾ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00 14.19  
 
CD-6   10/02/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:13 1:374   1:501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALL WEST 5 3 5 5 4 2nk 1 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 3.00 3.26  
FAMILY MAN 1 2 2 21 2nk 1nk 2 (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.60 30% 2.40 1.00 P
BEAR OAK 7 4 6 6 64 4 3 (bahena ismael)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 6.00 10.64  
LEADER OF MEN 6 5 43 32 32 34 4 (moquett ronald )MORALES EDGAR 122 4.50 13% 6.70 5.88  
JUSTIN'S QUEST 2 6 32 42 5 68 511 (van thomas)BEJARANO R 122 8.00 12% 7.20 18.81  
EAGLE PASS 3 7 7 7 77 7 616 (vance david)LEPAROUX R 122 15.00 18.86  
HOME RUN TRICK 4 1 1 11 1nk 5 720¼ (brennan te)SANTANA JR 122 6.00 19% 4.20 5.84  
 
CD-7   10/02/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:142 1:391   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EAST SHORE 7 8 31 3 3 1½ 11 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00 55.53  
ALPHA BELLA 6 1 1nk 1nk 2nk 2½ 21 (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 24% 3.20 2.23 P
LOVIN' ON THE RUN 8 10 2nk 2nk 1nk 3 3 (stall alber)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00 15.88  
METAPHYSICAL 3 2 5 5 5 46 4 (hiles a)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 12.00 5% 18.50 15.70  
10  MIDVALE 10 7 4 4 42 5 5 (walsh brend)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 8.00 23% 3.30 9.66  
BELLA MAKER 9 9 8 8 8 69 69 (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 6.00 20% 4.00 4.85  
LACIE BE GOOD 2 4 10 109 9 811½ 710¾ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 28.52  
DESTINE TO RACE 4 5 64 7 6 7 811¼ (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 8.00 7.33  
FLIRTING GIRL 1 6 7 6 7 914 917¼ (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 7% 13.20 4.50  
LADY SQUARED 5 3 9 9 1012¾ 1029 1057 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 5.03  
 
CD-8   10/02/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:103     1:23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KOUFAX 3 1 2 1nk   14 1 (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 121 5.00 6.78  
LEAGUE OF LEGENDS 5 3 7 710   4 2 (fires h)COURT K 121 6.00 5.98  
LEBLON 7 7 6 55   34 3 (foster eric)MORALES EDGAR 121 6.00 14% 6.40 10.29 S
MONEY MIKE 6 2 43 3   24 4 (cash l)BEJARANO R 121 5.00 3.67  
EXPLOSIVE 4 4 53 6   6 510¾ (o'neill doug)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 16% 5.30 2.90  
MAHOMEY 2 5 3 44   711½ 616¾ (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 8.00 7% 14.10 8.21  
BREAKING NEWS (GB) 1 6 1 2nk   5 717¾ (contreras c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 2.50 31% 2.30 2.65  
 
CD-9   10/02/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:122 1:373   1:502   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BERATE 8 5 3 32 3 2½ 1 (mcgaughey )SANTANA JR 122 5.00 6% 16.40 8.42 W
PARK ON THE NILE 5 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 1½ 2 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 118 3.00 26% 2.90 1.70 P
HIGH FASHION 3 7 6 54 53 34 34 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 122 8.00 8.79  
LOVELY PRINCESS 1 4 7 7 63 44 4 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 120 3.50 39% 1.60 3.03  
ROC'S PRINCESS 6 6 55 6 7 5 510¾ (gowan william)MORALES EDGAR 122 12.00 32.41  
MALIBU MARLEE 2 8 8 8 85 711½ 617 (king )FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 20.00 40.88  
SHE'S KEEN 7 3 2½ 2½ 2½ 6 719¼ (arnold georg)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 3.49  
OUTLINING 4 2 4 42 42 813½ 821 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 8.11  
 
CD-10   10/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:212 :45 :564     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKELLY 7 3 2nk 1   16 16 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.00 19% 4.30 1.68 W
VICTORY MARCH 5 6 6 3   26 26 (calhoun b)LANERIE J 124 6.00 4.38  
SHIPMAN 3 9 7 47   37 3 (green troy)BEJARANO R 124 4.50 17% 5.10 8.71 S
MONTAUK POINT 6 1 44 5   4 4 (mcgaughey )SANTANA JR 121 6.00 9.40  
MAMZOOJ 2 8 8 711½   510½ 511¼ (peitz c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 8.00 7.00  
TOUCH CODE 8 10 9 813   816½ 620¾ (vance r)CANNON DECLAN 121 20.00 14% 6.10 46.99  
CHIRON 9 5 3 69   716 722¼ (combs bentley)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 20.00 27.05  
ENGRAVE 4 4 1nk 2   613½ 822¾ (lobo h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.50 30% 2.40 4.02  
10  ALLO ENRY 10 2 5 913½   917 923 (deville j)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 20.00 31.34  
FOWLER CASTLE 1 7 1010¼ 1016½   1021 1032¾ (casse mark)MORALES EDGAR 121 15.00 22.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.