The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Churchill Downs
Sunday - October 02, 2022
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
 
CD-1   10/02/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
:231 :472 1:122     1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  EASY BIG BOY 2 1 11½ 11   12½ 1¾ (asmussen m)SANTANA JR 119 2.50 19% 4.10 1.27 W
5  WILDERZAR 5 6 64¼ 43   33 2¾ (cash l)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 13.41  
3  HE'S A GOOD DANCER 3 4 42½ 21   22½ 3¾ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 19.27  
4  BIG BEEMSTER 4 3 21½ 31½   48 49 (hartman chris)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 3.00 53% 0.90 2.43  
1  TSURIS 1 7 76¼ 66½   510½ 511 (stewart dallas)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 9.33  
6  VASY SAYS NYET 6 2 32½ 54½   613 616 (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 6.00 ★ 6.44  
7  GIANT AWAKENING 7 5 54 76½   713½ 717¼ (desormeaux keith)SAEZ GABRIEL 114 6.00 ★ 6.60  
SCR  MAESTOSO               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 6% 16.10    
 
CD-2   10/02/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
:231 :463 1:112     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HONEY RUN 2 5 43½ 22   14 16½ (hartman chris)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 2.00 ★ 1.09  
3  CANT BE TOUCHED 3 1 12½ 12   24 26½ (cano munoz)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 32% 2.10 4.20 P
4  LEGERITY 4 4 54 54   35½ 36½ (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.00 24% 3.10 2.59 S
5  DISTORTED SECRETS 5 3 33 33½   57½ 411 (deville j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 13% 6.60 4.13  
1  CANARY 1 2 22½ 44   47 511½ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 8.00 13.41  
SCR  EDGEE ANGEL               (king l)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 12.00 ★    
 
CD-3   10/02/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 1:43
:223 :463 :582     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CORTESE 4 1 21½ 2½   11 1nk (maker j)CORRALES GERARDO 119 2.50 36% 1.80 2.96 W
4  BABY BILLY 3 2 43½ 33   32½ 2nk (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00 13.21  
3  TUMBARUMBA 2 3 32 44   44 35 (lynch a)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 ★ 9.64 S
1  CHILDERS 1 5 11½ 1½   21 46¾ (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.00 41% 1.40 1.03  
7  ATKINS 5 4 55½ 55½   56 57 (moquett e)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00 ★ 2.27  
SCR  OWN THE FIELD               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.00 ★    
SCR  PAPPA'S DREAM               (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
 
CD-4   10/02/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
:233 :472 1:124 1:254   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  PLEMMONSTON 7 4 43½ 43½ 33½ 32½ 1¾ (leonard iii)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 6.00 ★ 9.15  
5  DROP ANCHOR 5 6 1½ 11½ 2½ 2½ 2¾ (walsh p)GARCIA MARTIN 122 6.00 ★ 3.96 P
6  CORN POP 6 3 2½ 21½ 1½ 1½ 31½ (deville j)MORALES EDGAR 118 2.50 32% 2.10 5.07 S
4  BRONZE BEAST 4 2 33 53½ 45½ 44 43 (rouck l)RIQUELME J 122 8.00 10% 9.50 9.81  
1  MOUNTAIN GHOST 1 5 55 33 58 58 59½ (wiggins lon)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 8.00 17.07  
2  COMMANDER COMPTON 2 1 67 69½ 611 611 616½ (bauer a)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 1.60 24% 3.10 0.73  
3  CONSIDER 3 7 79½ 712½ 717 718 723¼ (lauer michael)ELLIOTT JANE 124 12.00 39.45  
 
CD-5   10/02/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
:214 :46 :583     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONEY RUN 1 8 42½ 51½   11½ 13¼ (asmussen m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 4.79  
6  BOXSTER 6 2 53 41½   42 23¼ (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 3.00 52% 0.90 3.79 P
8  DISTORTED PRO 8 1 64½ 63½   64¼ 34¼ (cox h)SANTANA JR 119 4.50 5% 19.00 4.03 S
2  OLAZABAL 2 6 1½ 1½   21½ 46 (delgado gustavo)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.50 ★ 5.07  
4  FUNNY UNCLE 4 4 3½ 31   54 57¾ (vance d)COURT K 119 15.00 28.82  
3  SALTA 3 3 2½ 2½   32 68½ (desormeaux keith)SAEZ GABRIEL 114 4.00 21% 3.80 2.19  
7  BRILLIANT COLORS 7 5 75 76   77¾ 712 (asmussen m)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 16.98  
5  LOUISIANIMAL 5 7 87½ 814   819¾ 834¾ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00 ★ 14.19  
 
CD-6   10/02/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
:241 :484 1:13 1:374   1:501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ALL WEST 5 3 53½ 52½ 42½ 2nk 12½ (hartman chris)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 3.00 ★ 3.26  
1  FAMILY MAN 1 2 21½ 21 2nk 1nk 22½ (medina robert)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.60 30% 2.40 1.00 P
7  BEAR OAK 7 4 64½ 63½ 64 44½ 35½ (bahena ismael)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 6.00 10.64  
6  LEADER OF MEN 6 5 43 32 32 34 48¼ (moquett e)MORALES EDGAR 122 4.50 13% 6.70 5.88  
2  JUSTIN'S QUEST 2 6 32 42 53½ 68 511 (van thomas)BEJARANO R 122 8.00 12% 7.20 18.81  
3  EAGLE PASS 3 7 75½ 74½ 77 79½ 616 (vance r)LEPAROUX R 122 15.00 18.86  
4  HOME RUN TRICK 4 1 11½ 11 1nk 55½ 720¼ (brennan terry)SANTANA JR 122 6.00 19% 4.20 5.84  
 
CD-7   10/02/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 3:50
:234 :482 1:142 1:391   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  EAST SHORE 7 8 31 31½ 31½ 1½ 11 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00 55.53  
6  ALPHA BELLA 6 1 1nk 1nk 2nk 2½ 21 (pletcher a)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 24% 3.20 2.23 P
8  LOVIN' ON THE RUN 8 10 2nk 2nk 1nk 32½ 35¼ (stall m)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00 15.88  
3  METAPHYSICAL 3 2 52½ 53¾ 52½ 46 45½ (hiles a)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 12.00 5% 18.50 15.70  
10  MIDVALE 10 7 41½ 41¾ 42 56½ 56¾ (walsh p)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 8.00 23% 3.30 9.66  
9  BELLA MAKER 9 9 85¼ 86¼ 85¾ 69 69 (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 6.00 20% 4.00 4.85  
2  LACIE BE GOOD 2 4 108¾ 109 98¼ 811½ 710¾ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 28.52  
4  DESTINE TO RACE 4 5 64 74¼ 64½ 79½ 811¼ (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 8.00 7.33  
1  FLIRTING GIRL 1 6 74¼ 63¾ 74¾ 914 917¼ (asmussen m)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 7% 13.20 4.50  
5  LADY SQUARED 5 3 96¼ 96½ 1012¾ 1029 1057 (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 5.03  
 
CD-8   10/02/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
:224 :46 1:103     1:23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  KOUFAX 3 1 21½ 1nk   14 15¼ (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 121 5.00 ★ 6.78  
5  LEAGUE OF LEGENDS 5 3 78½ 710   45½ 25¼ (fires h)COURT K 121 6.00 5.98  
7  LEBLON 7 7 64½ 55   34 35¾ (foster eric)MORALES EDGAR 121 6.00 14% 6.40 10.29 S
6  MONEY MIKE 6 2 43 32½   24 48½ (cash l)BEJARANO R 121 5.00 3.67  
4  EXPLOSIVE 4 4 53 68½   69½ 510¾ (o'neill doug)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 16% 5.30 2.90  
2  MAHOMEY 2 5 32½ 44   711½ 616¾ (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 8.00 7% 14.10 8.21  
1  BREAKING NEWS 1 6 11½ 2nk   58½ 717¾ (contreras cipriano)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 2.50 31% 2.30 2.65  
 
CD-9   10/02/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
:232 :474 1:122 1:373   1:502   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BERATE 8 5 32½ 32 31½ 2½ 11¾ (mcgaughey iii)SANTANA JR 122 5.00 6% 16.40 8.42 W
5  PARK ON THE NILE 5 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 1½ 21¾ (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 118 3.00 26% 2.90 1.70 P
3  HIGH FASHION 3 7 65¼ 54 53 34 34 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 122 8.00 8.79  
1  LOVELY PRINCESS 1 4 77¼ 75¾ 63 44 46½ (mcpeek g)LEPAROUX R 120 3.50 39% 1.60 3.03  
6  ROC'S PRINCESS 6 6 55 64¼ 74½ 56½ 510¾ (gowan william)MORALES EDGAR 122 12.00 ★ 32.41  
2  MALIBU MARLEE 2 8 89¼ 86¾ 85 711½ 617 (king l)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 20.00 40.88  
7  SHE'S KEEN 7 3 2½ 2½ 2½ 69½ 719¼ (arnold r)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 3.49  
4  OUTLINING 4 2 42½ 42 42 813½ 821 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 ★ 8.11  
 
CD-10   10/02/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
:212 :45 :564     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SKELLY 7 3 2nk 12½   16 16 (asmussen m)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.00 19% 4.30 1.68 W
5  VICTORY MARCH 5 6 65½ 35½   26 26 (calhoun bret)LANERIE J 124 6.00 4.38  
3  SHIPMAN 3 9 75¾ 47   37 36½ (green troy)BEJARANO R 124 4.50 17% 5.10 8.71 S
6  MONTAUK POINT 6 1 44 57½   47½ 48¼ (mcgaughey iii)SANTANA JR 121 6.00 ★ 9.40  
2  MAMZOOJ 2 8 88¼ 711½   510½ 511¼ (peitz c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 8.00 7.00  
8  TOUCH CODE 8 10 99¼ 813   816½ 620¾ (vance r)CANNON DECLAN 121 20.00 14% 6.10 46.99  
9  CHIRON 9 5 33½ 69   716 722¼ (combs bentley)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 20.00 27.05  
4  ENGRAVE 4 4 1nk 22½   613½ 822¾ (lobo h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.50 30% 2.40 4.02  
10  ALLO ENRY 10 2 54½ 913½   917 923 (deville j)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 20.00 31.34  
1  FOWLER CASTLE 1 7 1010¼ 1016½   1021 1032¾ (casse mark)MORALES EDGAR 121 15.00 22.00  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.