Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Churchill Downs
Friday - September 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   09/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDY KICK   (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.00 12% 7.10 0.89 W
OPEN SAYS ME   (williamson b)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 6.00 5.54  
1A  TIAN'AI ROAD   (williamson brian)RIQUELME J 121 6.00 5.54  
JUNELLIA   (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 3.50 61% 0.60 2.40  
OUR LADY NELSON   (fletcher ke)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 6.00 24.45  
BACKSTREET AFFAIR   (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 3.50 4.01  
SCR  LANDED GENTRY   (medina rob)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50    
 
CD-2   09/30/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($60K) 3 ALL PT- 1:14
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZIPPIN GIGI   (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.00 1.13  
MALIBU S S   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00 30% 2.40 3.40 P
DOCTOR NASH   (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 12.00 8% 11.50 6.23 S
BLUE KENTUCKY   (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 118 4.50 2.89  
READY PURSUIT   (antonuik j)CORRALES GERARDO 120 15.00 25.04  
WAITA MINUTE HAYES   (courville)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 5% 19.00 11.08  
SCR  PRAYFORPEACE   (simms jr)COHEN DAVID 118 2.50 32% 2.10    
 
CD-3   09/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AIR COMBAT   (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 118 2.00 1.46  
DR. PERRY   (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.60 43% 1.30 2.04 P
NEW YEAR'S FEVER   (steele brandi)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 8% 11.40 28.92 S
SEAL BEACH   (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.00 3.37  
TRASHTALKINYANKEE   (van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 121 6.00 18% 4.60 5.27  
YOU VEE CEE   (deville j)COHEN DAVID 121 6.00 16.38  
 
CD-4   09/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOREVER HOME   (williamson b)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 3.00 10% 8.90 2.64 W
LOUELLA STREET   (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00 3.25  
ECLIPSED   (fletcher )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 5.00 24% 3.20 5.35 S
SWEET ANNABELLA   (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 3.50 11% 7.90 2.76  
GREEN BANANAS   (manley st)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00 5.74  
SIS BOOM BOB   (gonzalez re)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 4.50 25% 3.10 12.91  
PAPPYSAYSYES   (catalano wayne )COHEN DAVID 113 8.00 25.97  
SWEET GINGER   (hancock dana)BAYS BROOKE 111 20.00 44.78  
 
CD-5   09/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 2:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TELL ME WHEN   (hamm timot)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.50 17% 4.90 10.38 W
MALIBU TOAST   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 4.97 P
VALIANT PRAISE   (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119 4.50 4.69 S
ROCKET CITY   (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 15.38  
BLACK FOREST   (gutierrez fau)GARCIA MARTIN 119 3.50 34% 2.00 1.83  
NOMADIC PRIDE   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 3.00 26% 2.90 2.13  
RYE MUNNY   (wilkes i)SANTANA JR 119 15.00 29.90  
OPTIMIZME   (pinzon mar)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 20.00 63.84  
 
CD-6   09/30/2022 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELEVEN CENTRAL   (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.50 19% 4.20 2.83 W
DIGITAL   (hiles rick)LANERIE J 122 3.00 14% 6.30 3.95 P
MAJOR GENERAL   (brisset )SANTANA JR 118 6.00 25% 3.00 6.72 S
CLAYTNTHELIONHEART   (bauer phi)LEPAROUX R 122 4.00 2.99  
RODERICK   (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00 8% 11.80 3.20  
PEEKACHO   (vance davi)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 10.39  
PALAZZI   (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 8.00 21.71  
 
CD-7   09/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 3:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO MINUTE DRILL   (barkley j)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 3.50 38% 1.70 4.85 W
JUSTIFYING   (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 25% 3.00 2.35 P
TAKE SHAPE   (arnold georg)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 12.00 15.34  
STELLAR LILY   (moquett )SANTANA JR 119 15.00 2.82  
QUEEN OF CHILL   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 12% 7.20 3.72  
MISS QUEST   (morey e)BEJARANO R 119 10.00 9.70  
AMERICAN ODALISQUE   (caramori caio)ACHARD ALEX 119 8.00 20.35  
GAVINERA   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 13.68  
SCR  SAUCY SECRET   (hobby steve)ROCCO S 119 5.00    
 
CD-8   09/30/2022 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DECISION MAKER   (van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 122 2.50 12% 7.40 2.68 W
SEARCH ENGINE   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 3.76  
SCARLET FUSION   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 23% 3.40 2.75 S
COMMON BOND   (reed r)BEJARANO R 122 12.00 13.94  
ALEJANDRO   (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.00 27% 2.70 3.39  
UNINVITED GUEST   (margolis steph)ROCCO S 118 6.00 9% 9.70 10.23  
AMERICAN HERO   (flint bernard)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00 11.38  
 
CD-9   09/30/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($150K) Purse ($63K) 2 ALL PT- 4:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOW DID HE DO THAT   (asmussen)SANTANA JR 119 4.00 4.16  
BOUDIN   (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 10.00 9.42  
FIGHT FIERCELY   (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 5.00 45% 1.20 2.77 S
YACHT ROCK (IRE)   (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 8.00 11.92  
10  MAMBA FOREVER   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 14.50  
DAY TRADE   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 33% 2.00 4.25  
DON'T LET GO   (lovell michell)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 8.00 28.83  
BOLT ABOVE   (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 3.17  
KING ME   (catalano wa)PETERSON FERRIN 119 8.00 18.19  
SCR  ARROGANT RIDER   (morey william)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.