Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Friday - September 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   09/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:222 :471 :593     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CANDY KICK 2 2 53 3½   11 13¾ (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.00 12% 7.10 0.89 W
1  OPEN SAYS ME 4 4 31 1½   21 23¾ (williamson b)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 6.00 5.54  
1A  TIAN'AI ROAD 6 6 64½ 57   57½ 38½ (williamson brian)RIQUELME J 121 6.00 5.54  
6  JUNELLIA 5 1 21 2½   45 410½ (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 3.50 61% 0.60 2.40  
5  OUR LADY NELSON 3 3 11 68   614½ 530¾ (fletcher ke)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 6.00 ★ 24.45  
2  BACKSTREET AFFAIR 1 5 41½ 42   32 6100 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 3.50 ★ 4.01  
SCR  LANDED GENTRY               (medina rob)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 ★    
 
CD-2   09/30/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($60K) 3 ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:231 :46 1:102     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ZIPPIN GIGI 5 2 2nk 1nk   1nk 1hd (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.00 1.13  
1  MALIBU S S 1 5 31 32½   33½ 2hd (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00 30% 2.40 3.40 P
2  DOCTOR NASH 2 3 1nk 2nk   2nk 3¼ (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 12.00 8% 11.50 6.23 S
5  BLUE KENTUCKY 4 1 62¾ 65¾   45 45 (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 118 4.50 ★ 2.89  
7  READY PURSUIT 6 6 51¾ 54¾   69½ 510¼ (antonuik j)CORRALES GERARDO 120 15.00 25.04  
4  WAITA MINUTE HAYES 3 4 41¼ 42¾   59 610¼ (courville)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 5% 19.00 11.08  
SCR  PRAYFORPEACE               (simms jr)COHEN DAVID 118 2.50 32% 2.10    
 
CD-3   09/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:221 :454 :572     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  AIR COMBAT 2 3 1½ 1nk   12½ 14½ (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 118 2.00 ★ 1.46  
1  DR. PERRY 1 4 31½ 32   34 24½ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.60 43% 1.30 2.04 P
5  NEW YEAR'S FEVER 5 2 2½ 2nk   22½ 36½ (steele brandi)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 8% 11.40 28.92 S
4  SEAL BEACH 4 6 53½ 65   57 46¾ (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.00 3.37  
6  TRASHTALKINYANKEE 6 1 63½ 53½   46½ 58¾ (van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 121 6.00 18% 4.60 5.27  
3  YOU VEE CEE 3 5 42 42½   69 613½ (deville j)COHEN DAVID 121 6.00 ★ 16.38  
 
CD-4   09/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:222 :462 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  FOREVER HOME 8 6 66½ 2½   1½ 12 (williamson b)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 3.00 10% 8.90 2.64 W
7  LOUELLA STREET 7 1 54½ 31   2½ 22 (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00 3.25  
5  ECLIPSED 5 2 43½ 54   35 37½ (fletcher )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 5.00 24% 3.20 5.35 S
4  SWEET ANNABELLA 4 5 77 711   611 412½ (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 3.50 11% 7.90 2.76  
2  GREEN BANANAS 2 8 810 813   814 513 (manley st)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00 ★ 5.74  
1  SIS BOOM BOB 1 3 1½ 1½   45½ 613 (gonzalez re)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 4.50 25% 3.10 12.91  
6  PAPPYSAYSYES 6 7 32½ 68   712½ 716¾ (catalano wayne )COHEN DAVID 113 8.00 25.97  
3  SWEET GINGER 3 4 2½ 41½   58 817 (hancock dana)BAYS BROOKE 111 20.00 44.78  
 
CD-5   09/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:221 :461 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  TELL ME WHEN 8 1 2½ 1nk   2nk 1nk (hamm timot)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.50 17% 4.90 10.38 W
1  MALIBU TOAST 1 6 32 31   1nk 2nk (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 ★ 4.97 P
5  VALIANT PRAISE 5 3 55½ 55½   42¼ 3¼ (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119 4.50 ★ 4.69 S
3  ROCKET CITY 3 5 43 45   52¼ 41¾ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 15.38  
2  BLACK FOREST 2 2 1½ 2nk   3.2 52 (gutierrez fau)GARCIA MARTIN 119 3.50 34% 2.00 1.83  
6  NOMADIC PRIDE 6 4 76½ 66½   65¼ 62½ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 3.00 26% 2.90 2.13  
7  RYE MUNNY 7 8 810½ 714½   717¾ 723½ (wilkes i)SANTANA JR 119 15.00 29.90  
4  OPTIMIZME 4 7 66 815½   820¾ 837 (pinzon mar)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 20.00 63.84  
 
CD-6   09/30/2022 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:231 :48 1:124 1:372   1:50   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ELEVEN CENTRAL 7 3 11½ 1½ 1nk 2nk 1nk (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.50 19% 4.20 2.83 W
2  DIGITAL 2 1 44½ 42 32 1nk 2nk (hiles rick)LANERIE J 122 3.00 14% 6.30 3.95 P
1  MAJOR GENERAL 1 5 56½ 54½ 53¾ 45 33¾ (brisset )SANTANA JR 118 6.00 25% 3.00 6.72 S
4  CLAYTNTHELIONHEART 4 6 67½ 76½ 65¾ 68½ 48 (bauer phi)LEPAROUX R 122 4.00 ★ 2.99  
5  RODERICK 5 2 21½ 2½ 2nk 33 511 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00 8% 11.80 3.20  
6  PEEKACHO 6 4 32½ 31½ 42¼ 58 611¼ (vance davi)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 10.39  
3  PALAZZI 3 7 79½ 66½ 76¼ 711½ 717½ (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 8.00 21.71  
 
CD-7   09/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:213 :454 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  TWO MINUTE DRILL 7 1 34½ 22   12½ 12¾ (barkley j)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 3.50 38% 1.70 4.85 W
4  JUSTIFYING 4 4 22½ 32½   22½ 22¾ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 25% 3.00 2.35 P
5  TAKE SHAPE 5 3 68 68½   46½ 35¾ (arnold georg)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 12.00 15.34  
3  STELLAR LILY 3 6 12½ 12   32½ 46 (moquett )SANTANA JR 119 15.00 2.82  
9  QUEEN OF CHILL 8 5 56½ 47   57 510¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 12% 7.20 3.72  
6  MISS QUEST 6 2 45 58½   613 619¾ (morey e)BEJARANO R 119 10.00 9.70  
2  AMERICAN ODALISQUE 2 8 812½ 715½   719 720 (caramori caio)ACHARD ALEX 119 8.00 ★ 20.35  
1  GAVINERA 1 7 711 823½   828 832¼ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 13.68  
SCR  SAUCY SECRET               (hobby steve)ROCCO S 119 5.00 ★    
 
CD-8   09/30/2022 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:234 :49 1:133 1:374   1:494   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DECISION MAKER 4 6 64½ 52½ 51½ 21½ 12 (van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 122 2.50 12% 7.40 2.68 W
5  SEARCH ENGINE 5 3 32½ 31½ 31 31½ 22 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 3.76  
2  SCARLET FUSION 2 4 21 2½ 1½ 11½ 32¾ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 23% 3.40 2.75 S
6  COMMON BOND 6 7 76½ 74½ 74 44 43½ (reed r)BEJARANO R 122 12.00 ★ 13.94  
3  ALEJANDRO 3 5 43 41½ 41½ 54½ 56¾ (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.00 27% 2.70 3.39  
1  UNINVITED GUEST 1 2 11 1½ 2½ 64¾ 68 (margolis steph)ROCCO S 118 6.00 9% 9.70 10.23  
7  AMERICAN HERO 7 1 54½ 63 63½ 710¾ 718½ (flint bernard)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00 11.38  
 
CD-9   09/30/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($150K) Purse ($63K) 2 ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:122     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  HOW DID HE DO THAT 3 2 2½ 1nk   11½ 14¼ (asmussen)SANTANA JR 119 4.00 4.16  
1  BOUDIN 1 6 52½ 51¾   34 24¼ (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 10.00 9.42  
5  FIGHT FIERCELY 5 8 86½ 85¼   46 34¾ (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 5.00 45% 1.20 2.77 S
7  YACHT ROCK (IRE) 6 3 31 2nk   21½ 48½ (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 8.00 ★ 11.92  
10  MAMBA FOREVER 9 9 73½ 73¼   57½ 59½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 14.50  
8  DAY TRADE 7 5 62½ 61¾   68½ 611¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 33% 2.00 4.25  
4  DON'T LET GO 4 7 912½ 98¾   812 712¾ (lovell michell)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 8.00 ★ 28.83  
9  BOLT ABOVE 8 1 42 41¼   710½ 818½ (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 3.17  
2  KING ME 2 4 1½ 3.2   916 925¼ (catalano wa)PETERSON FERRIN 119 8.00 ★ 18.19  
SCR  ARROGANT RIDER               (morey william)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.