Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Saturday - October 01, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   10/01/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEY BOSS   (werre danny)MCKEE J 120 8.00 ★ 3.65  
5  THACH   (walsh brendan)GARCIA MARTIN 120 1.60 ★ 0.96 P
4  ON SPOT   (cash l)BEJARANO R 120 8.00 17.05  
7  GO VIRTUAL   (gonzalez re)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 6.00 15% 5.80 13.19  
6  COMMAND CENTRAL   (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 2.50 49% 1.00 5.25  
3  LITTLE RED RIFLE   (semkin sam)MOJICA JR 120 8.00 7% 12.60 9.61  
2  BIG PETE   (barrett r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 6.00 8.30  
 
CD-2   10/01/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MINUTE WALTZ   (bauer a)BEJARANO R 121 2.00 ★ 1.46  
1  SHANIAH   (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 121 3.00 24% 3.20 3.48 P
5  IN MY OPINION   (lovell michell)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 8.00 7% 13.50 16.63 S
3  COMEDY ACT   (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 2.50 28% 2.60 3.27  
4  ICY RIVER   (foster eric)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 10.21  
2  SHELL SHOCK   (vaccarezza)CORRALES GERARDO 121 5.00 ★ 3.92  
 
CD-3   10/01/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 1:43
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CUPIDS PAYDAY   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00 16% 5.20 5.69 W
10  UNKEPT SECRET   (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 10.00 22.14  
3  TENACIOUS LADY   (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00 4.31  
5  GRAY FROST   (reed r)BEJARANO R 119 15.00 27.71  
6  MS HAYLEY   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00 16% 5.20 3.71  
1  FABULOSITY   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 3.12  
8  FLY CONDOR   (meah m)BESCHIZZA ADAM 114 8.00 14.56  
2  LONG BLACK VEIL   (reed r)LEON SONNY 119 15.00 7% 13.40 27.97  
11  TWELVE SHARP   (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00 10.42  
7  CHIPMUNK   (casse mark)GARCIA MARTIN 119 4.50 20% 4.00 6.70  
9  ROYAL BELLE   (casse mark)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 12.00 7% 13.40 36.66  
 
CD-4   10/01/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MEAN MACHINE   (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 122 12.00 24.43  
4  RUNWAY MAGIC   (drury jr)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.00 36% 1.70 0.52 P
2  AMERICAN PURE   (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 ★ 3.67 S
3  EL FRANCO   (norris mike)BEJARANO R 122 20.00 26.27  
5  UNDECODED   (divito p)SAEZ GABRIEL 115 3.50 12% 7.50 5.16  
8  TACHLIS   (glyshaw tim)MORALES EDGAR 115 20.00 ★ 28.58  
1  WEST WARPATH   (cano mu)GEROUX FLORENT 122 8.00 13.00  
SCR  ARTHURIAN   (caramori caio)ACHARD ALEX 122 4.00 25% 3.00    
 
CD-5   10/01/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  TAPIT'S CONQUEST   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50 31% 2.30 1.80 W
8  PYRENEES   (devaux ch)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 9.69  
9  ESCAPOLOGIST   (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119 15.00 37.37  
2  PRAIRIE DUNES   (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.00 18% 4.40 2.53  
7  MAGNIFICENT MILE   (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 24% 3.10 6.04  
5  DENINGTON   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 6% 15.30 5.86  
1  O GANGSTER   (delgado gustavo)BEJARANO R 119 20.00 54.06  
3  NO EASY DAYS   (mccarthy mich)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00 ★ 15.92  
6  MILLERS RITE   (vance d)COURT K 119 20.00 68.86  
4  FORTUNE   (walsh bre)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 12.00 12.40  
 
CD-6   10/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  O BESOS   (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.80 35% 1.80 0.78 W
2  SURVEILLANCE   (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 121 3.00 ★ 2.05 P
7  FORE LEFT   (dun)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 4.50 13% 6.60 4.95 S
5  LOFTY ADJUDICATOR   (navarrete anna)LEON SONNY 121 20.00 13.41  
3  MY MAN FLINTSTONE   (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00 7% 13.90 20.03  
1  LYKAN   (mason ingrid)BAILEY CHEL-C 116 15.00 23.52  
SCR  KAVOD   (hartman ch)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 14% 6.20    
 
CD-7   10/01/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 3:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRANK'S HONOR   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 20% 4.00 6.21 W
8  DESERT WOLF   (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.50 ★ 2.59 P
5  SPIELMAN   (desormeaux)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00 39.73  
9  TEN DAYS LATER   (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119 6.00 31% 2.20 4.19  
3  ELDEST SON   (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 30.90  
6  RECKER POINT   (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 119 4.00 21% 3.80 4.65  
4  GAME WARDEN   (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 8.59  
7  CURLINS INCHARGE   (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00 5% 18.50 5.12  
10  PAPPY WOLFE   (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 30.73  
2  MANO DURA   (asmussen)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 25.54  
11  BIG POPPER   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 28.49  
 
CD-8   10/01/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  OPEN ROAD   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 14% 6.30 7.45 W
7  STRONG QUALITY   (casse ma)SANTANA JR 118 3.50 64% 0.60 2.88 P
3  TIZ RYE TIME   (van thomas)BEJARANO R 122 12.00 ★ 11.32 S
1  TEPEU   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 ★ 2.32  
6  ELUSIVE TARGET   (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00 17.12  
4  THE PRINCE'S SPUR   (bauer phi)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00 8.66  
10  COMPLETE AGENDA   (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 7.92  
9  FENWICK   (lyn)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 20.00 38.63  
5  TIWANAKU   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00 ★ 9.56  
2  HAPPY BOY ROCKET   (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 10.00 21.63  
11  O P FIRECRACKER   (medina robert)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00 50.15  
 
CD-9   10/01/2022 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($300K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SENOR BUSCADOR   (fincher t)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 12.00 ★ 6.18  
  (by MINESHAFT out of ROSE'S DESERT by DESERT GOD)
7  INJUNCTION   (vaccarezza)CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00 13.96  
  (by SKIPSHOT out of VALID VALENCIA by NORTHERN AFLEET)
5  THREE TECHNIQUE   (cook b)BEJARANO R 121 12.00 9.85  
  (by MR SPEAKER out of NITE IN ROME by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
4  SURLY FURIOUS   (wismer s)SAEZ LUIS 121 20.00 31% 2.20 23.32  
  (by UPSTART out of PERFECT PREDICTION by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
3  FULSOME   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 123 5.00 ★ 3.03  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of FLOURISH by DISTORTED HUMOR)
6  SILVER PROSPECTOR   (asmussen)SANTANA JR 123 12.00 20.43  
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of TAP SOFTLY by TAPIT)
1  SPEAKER'S CORNER   (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 1.00 44% 1.30 1.43  
  (by STREET SENSE out of TYBURN BROOK by BERNARDINI)
2  UNTREATED   (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 121 4.50 ★ 4.97  
  (by NYQUIST out of FULLY LIVING by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  MAILMAN MONEY   (calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 30.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of RUNNING DEBI C by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  TWILIGHT BLUE   (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of LILY THE PINK by RAHY)
 
CD-10   10/01/2022 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($500K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  HOT ROD CHARLIE   (o'neill do)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 1.60 12% 7.50 1.33 W
  (by OXBOW out of INDIAN MISS by MI CIELO)
4  RICH STRIKE   (reed r)LEON SONNY 122 6.00 4.86  
  (by KEEN ICE out of GOLD STRIKE by SMART STRIKE)
1  KING FURY   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00 ★ 16.20 S
  (by CURLIN out of TARIS by FLATTER)
3  HAPPY SAVER   (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 121 2.50 27% 2.70 2.83  
  (by SUPER SAVER out of HAPPY WEEK by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  ART COLLECTOR   (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 125 2.00 39% 1.60 2.59  
  (by BERNARDINI out of DISTORTED LEGACY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
6  CHESS CHIEF   (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 20.00 ★ 58.82  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of UN BLESSED by MINESHAFT)
 
CD-11   10/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:58
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  YOUR SO SILLEA   (sims a)GILLIGAN JACK 121 15.00 26.17  
7  SCARLET STRIPE   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 26% 2.90 2.67 P
3  ONE TIME MO   (pessin l)LANERIE J 121 8.00 6% 14.80 2.35 S
1  TWENTYTWENTY HOAX   (kin)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 15.00 55.45  
5  ANKYRAH   (morey wil)LEPAROUX R 124 15.00 5% 19.00 25.14  
12  MARKSWOMAN   (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00 7.02  
2  ITDOWHATITDO   (sims phili)CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00 16.73  
10  GET BY   (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 15.00 12% 7.50 22.28  
11  DELIGHTOF THE NILE   (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 121 10.00 8.21  
8  AMARYLLIS KISS   (asmussen)SANTANA JR 121 3.00 25% 2.90 6.00  
4  MO HAPPY   (thompson bo)STERRITT KENDAL 121 20.00 56.90  
6  BIDOFHONEY   (catalano wayne )COHEN DAVID 121 12.00 16.61  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.