The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Churchill Downs
Saturday - October 01, 2022
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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CD-1   10/01/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
:241 :49 1:133 1:401   1:534   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEY BOSS 1 7 76¼ 79 711 35 11½ (werre danny)MCKEE J 120 8.00 ★ 3.65  
5  THACH 5 4 21 2½ 2nk 12½ 21½ (walsh p)GARCIA MARTIN 120 1.60 ★ 0.96 P
4  ON SPOT 4 1 11 1½ 1nk 22½ 37 (cash l)BEJARANO R 120 8.00 17.05  
7  GO VIRTUAL 7 6 32 31 33 46 49 (gonzalez e)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 6.00 15% 5.80 13.19  
6  COMMAND CENTRAL 6 3 52¼ 52½ 47 512 518¾ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 2.50 49% 1.00 5.25  
3  LITTLE RED RIFLE 3 5 63¾ 64 68½ 615 622¾ (semkin sam)MOJICA JR 120 8.00 7% 12.60 9.61  
2  BIG PETE 2 2 42 42½ 58 716 728½ (barrett a)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 6.00 8.30  
 
CD-2   10/01/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
:223 :46 :573     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MINUTE WALTZ 6 3 31 3.2   13 14¾ (bauer a)BEJARANO R 121 2.00 ★ 1.46  
1  SHANIAH 1 1 43 42¼   43½ 24¾ (tomlinson a)ROCCO S 121 3.00 24% 3.20 3.48 P
5  IN MY OPINION 5 6 53 52¼   55½ 36½ (lovell michelle)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 8.00 7% 13.50 16.63 S
3  COMEDY ACT 3 4 1½ 1nk   23 47¼ (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 2.50 28% 2.60 3.27  
4  ICY RIVER 4 2 2½ 2nk   33 57¾ (foster eric)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 10.21  
2  SHELL SHOCK 2 5 65½ 66¼   68½ 610 (vaccarezza carlo)CORRALES GERARDO 121 5.00 ★ 3.92  
 
CD-3   10/01/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 1:43
:231 :472 1:124     1:192   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CUPIDS PAYDAY 4 3 21 21   11½ 11¼ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00 16% 5.20 5.69 W
10  UNKEPT SECRET 10 9 96¼ 44½   31½ 21¼ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 10.00 22.14  
3  TENACIOUS LADY 3 6 42½ 32½   42 32¼ (hartman chris)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00 4.31  
5  GRAY FROST 5 8 85¾ 77½   55 42¼ (reed r)BEJARANO R 119 15.00 27.71  
6  MS HAYLEY 6 4 75½ 810   79 58 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00 16% 5.20 3.71  
1  FABULOSITY 1 2 11 11   21½ 68¾ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 3.12  
8  FLY CONDOR 8 5 64½ 55   67½ 711¾ (meah m)BESCHIZZA ADAM 114 8.00 14.56  
2  LONG BLACK VEIL 2 7 32 65½   810 815½ (reed r)LEON SONNY 119 15.00 7% 13.40 27.97  
11  TWELVE SHARP 11 10 108¾ 1012½   913 916½ (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00 10.42  
7  CHIPMUNK 7 1 52½ 912   1018 1027¾ (casse mark)GARCIA MARTIN 119 4.50 20% 4.00 6.70  
9  ROYAL BELLE 9 11 1118¾ 1132½   1138½ 1149 (casse mark)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 12.00 7% 13.40 36.66  
 
CD-4   10/01/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
:23 :462 1:113 1:242   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MEAN MACHINE 6 5 77¼ 78½ 69½ 33½ 1¾ (tomlinson a)ROCCO S 122 12.00 24.43  
4  RUNWAY MAGIC 4 4 2nk 1½ 12 11½ 2¾ (drury jr)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.00 36% 1.70 0.52 P
2  AMERICAN PURE 2 7 42 31½ 22 21½ 31¾ (maker j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 ★ 3.67 S
3  EL FRANCO 3 1 62¾ 52 32½ 44½ 45¾ (norris mike)BEJARANO R 122 20.00 26.27  
5  UNDECODED 5 2 31½ 42 46 59½ 516¾ (divito p)SAEZ GABRIEL 115 3.50 12% 7.50 5.16  
8  TACHLIS 7 6 1nk 2½ 57½ 613 627¾ (glyshaw tim)MORALES EDGAR 115 20.00 ★ 28.58  
1  WEST WARPATH 1 3 52¼ 63½ 711½ 715½ 735½ (cano munoz)GEROUX FLORENT 122 8.00 13.00  
SCR  ARTHURIAN               (caramori caio)ACHARD ALEX 122 4.00 25% 3.00    
 
CD-5   10/01/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
:234 :481 1:133 1:383   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  TAPIT'S CONQUEST 10 3 2½ 31 11 14 13½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50 31% 2.30 1.80 W
8  PYRENEES 8 5 85¾ 85¼ 75½ 24 23½ (devaux cherie)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 9.69  
9  ESCAPOLOGIST 9 8 109½ 108¼ 910 87¾ 35¾ (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 15.00 37.37  
2  PRAIRIE DUNES 2 7 75¾ 75 87½ 77½ 45¾ (mott i)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.00 18% 4.40 2.53  
7  MAGNIFICENT MILE 7 10 64¼ 63½ 65 34½ 56 (brisset rodolphe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 24% 3.10 6.04  
5  DENINGTON 5 4 52¼ 53 42½ 45½ 67 (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 6% 15.30 5.86  
1  O GANGSTER 1 6 42 2nk 31 66 77½ (delgado gustavo)BEJARANO R 119 20.00 54.06  
3  NO EASY DAYS 3 1 1½ 1nk 21 55½ 810 (mccarthy w)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00 ★ 15.92  
6  MILLERS RITE 6 9 99¼ 98¼ 1010½ 912¾ 913¾ (vance d)COURT K 119 20.00 68.86  
4  FORTUNE 4 2 32 41½ 54 1016¾ 1026 (walsh p)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 12.00 12.40  
 
CD-6   10/01/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
:221 :452 :572     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  O BESOS 4 4 43½ 44   32½ 1nk (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.80 35% 1.80 0.78 W
2  SURVEILLANCE 2 2 1nk 2nk   1½ 2nk (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 121 3.00 ★ 2.05 P
7  FORE LEFT 6 1 2nk 1nk   2½ 33 (duncan vance)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 4.50 13% 6.60 4.95 S
5  LOFTY ADJUDICATOR 5 5 66½ 610   67 44¼ (navarrete anna)LEON SONNY 121 20.00 13.41  
3  MY MAN FLINTSTONE 3 3 32½ 32   42½ 54½ (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00 7% 13.90 20.03  
1  LYKAN 1 6 54 56½   54½ 65¼ (mason ingrid)BAILEY CHEL-C 116 15.00 23.52  
SCR  KAVOD               (hartman chris)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 14% 6.20    
 
CD-7   10/01/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 3:50
:24 :482 1:124 1:374   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRANK'S HONOR 1 2 11½ 11 1½ 13½ 15 (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 20% 4.00 6.21 W
8  DESERT WOLF 8 5 53 42 31½ 23½ 25 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.50 ★ 2.59 P
5  SPIELMAN 5 9 42½ 52½ 52½ 34 35¼ (desormeaux keith)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00 39.73  
9  TEN DAYS LATER 9 6 107½ 97½ 88½ 55½ 45¼ (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 6.00 31% 2.20 4.19  
3  ELDEST SON 3 1 21½ 21 2½ 45½ 511½ (walsh p)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 30.90  
6  RECKER POINT 6 3 32½ 31½ 42½ 69½ 613 (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 119 4.00 21% 3.80 4.65  
4  GAME WARDEN 4 8 96 75½ 77½ 711½ 713½ (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 8.59  
7  CURLINS INCHARGE 7 7 64½ 64 67 814 813¾ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00 5% 18.50 5.12  
10  PAPPY WOLFE 10 11 75 108 99½ 1014¾ 915 (von donnie)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 30.73  
2  MANO DURA 2 4 85½ 86 1011½ 914¼ 1015¾ (asmussen m)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 25.54  
11  BIG POPPER 11 10 1111½ 1116 1136½ 1170¾ 11100 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 28.49  
 
CD-8   10/01/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
:234 :481 1:122 1:371   1:494   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  OPEN ROAD 8 6 21 21 2½ 2nk 1nk (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 14% 6.30 7.45 W
7  STRONG QUALITY 7 3 11 11 1½ 1nk 2nk (casse mark)SANTANA JR 118 3.50 64% 0.60 2.88 P
3  TIZ RYE TIME 3 8 96 96 85½ 45½ 32¼ (van thomas)BEJARANO R 122 12.00 ★ 11.32 S
1  TEPEU 1 1 31½ 32 32 34 46¾ (walsh p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 ★ 2.32  
6  ELUSIVE TARGET 6 4 53½ 52½ 64 57½ 510 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00 17.12  
4  THE PRINCE'S SPUR 4 2 64½ 74 75 811 610¼ (bauer a)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00 8.66  
10  COMPLETE AGENDA 10 10 86 63½ 53 79½ 712¾ (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 7.92  
9  FENWICK 9 7 75 84½ 96 911½ 815 (lynch a)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 20.00 38.63  
5  TIWANAKU 5 5 42½ 42½ 42 69 915½ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00 ★ 9.56  
2  HAPPY BOY ROCKET 2 11 118¼ 118 118 1014 1025¾ (mott i)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 10.00 21.63  
11  O P FIRECRACKER 11 9 106¼ 106½ 106½ 1116½ 1134½ (medina robert)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00 50.15  
 
CD-9   10/01/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap   Purse ($300K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
:23 :454 1:10 1:221   1:343   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SENOR BUSCADOR 8 8 64½ 43 2½ 11½ 11¼ (fincher w)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 12.00 ★ 6.18  
7  INJUNCTION 7 3 31 21 43 31½ 21¼ (vaccarezza carlo)CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00 13.96  
5  THREE TECHNIQUE 5 7 86½ 85¼ 32½ 43½ 34¾ (cook b)BEJARANO R 121 12.00 9.85  
4  SURLY FURIOUS 4 1 11 11 1½ 21½ 45 (wismer s)SAEZ LUIS 121 20.00 31% 2.20 23.32  
3  FULSOME 3 6 76 75¼ 76½ 66½ 55 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 123 5.00 ★ 3.03  
6  SILVER PROSPECTOR 6 2 42 63¾ 54 55½ 66¾ (asmussen m)SANTANA JR 123 12.00 20.43  
1  SPEAKER'S CORNER 1 4 21 31 64½ 77 77¼ (mott i)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 1.00 44% 1.30 1.43  
2  UNTREATED 2 5 54 53¼ 88 88½ 87¾ (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 121 4.50 ★ 4.97  
SCR  MAILMAN MONEY               (calhoun bret)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 30.00    
SCR  TWILIGHT BLUE               (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00    
 
CD-10   10/01/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap   Purse ($500K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
:233 :48 1:114 1:37   1:494   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  HOT ROD CHARLIE 5 5 21 2½ 2½ 1½ 1nk (o'neill doug)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 1.60 12% 7.50 1.33 W
4  RICH STRIKE 4 4 54½ 42 42½ 3½ 2nk (reed r)LEON SONNY 122 6.00 4.86  
1  KING FURY 1 6 65½ 53 55 54 34¼ (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00 ★ 16.20 S
3  HAPPY SAVER 3 3 33½ 31½ 32½ 41 45½ (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 121 2.50 27% 2.70 2.83  
2  ART COLLECTOR 2 2 11 1½ 1½ 2½ 56½ (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 125 2.00 39% 1.60 2.59  
6  CHESS CHIEF 6 1 43½ 65 68 66 66¾ (stewart dallas)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 20.00 ★ 58.82  
 
CD-11   10/01/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:58
:213 :453 :574     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  YOUR SO SILLEA 9 4 53½ 42¼   1nk 1¾ (sims a)GILLIGAN JACK 121 15.00 26.17  
7  SCARLET STRIPE 7 3 21½ 2nk   2nk 2¾ (walsh p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 26% 2.90 2.67 P
3  ONE TIME MO 3 7 108½ 79¼   66¾ 38¼ (pessin l)LANERIE J 121 8.00 6% 14.80 2.35 S
1  TWENTYTWENTY HOAX 1 5 43 54¼   54¼ 49 (king l)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 15.00 55.45  
5  ANKYRAH 5 6 97 89¾   78¼ 59½ (morey e)LEPAROUX R 124 15.00 5% 19.00 25.14  
12  MARKSWOMAN 12 2 32 3.2   33½ 613¼ (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00 7.02  
2  ITDOWHATITDO 2 11 75½ 67¼   810¼ 713¾ (sims a)CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00 16.73  
10  GET BY 10 8 118½ 1112¼   911¼ 814 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 15.00 12% 7.50 22.28  
11  DELIGHTOF THE NILE 11 1 11½ 1nk   44 914¼ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 121 10.00 8.21  
8  AMARYLLIS KISS 8 9 86½ 1011¾   1012¼ 1014½ (asmussen m)SANTANA JR 121 3.00 25% 2.90 6.00  
4  MO HAPPY 4 12 1215½ 1216¼   1114¾ 1117¼ (thompson boyd)STERRITT KENDAL 121 20.00 56.90  
6  BIDOFHONEY 6 10 65 910¾   1219¾ 1230½ (catalano m)COHEN DAVID 121 12.00 16.61  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.