Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Saturday - October 01, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   10/01/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:133 1:401   1:534   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEY BOSS 1 7 7 79 711 35 1 (werre danny)MCKEE J 120 8.00 3.65  
THACH 5 4 21 2½ 2nk 1 2 (walsh p)GARCIA MARTIN 120 1.60 0.96 P
ON SPOT 4 1 11 1½ 1nk 2 37 (cash l)BEJARANO R 120 8.00 17.05  
GO VIRTUAL 7 6 32 31 33 46 49 (gonzalez rein)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 6.00 15% 5.80 13.19  
COMMAND CENTRAL 6 3 5 5 47 512 518¾ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 2.50 49% 1.00 5.25  
LITTLE RED RIFLE 3 5 6 64 6 615 622¾ (semkin sam)MOJICA JR 120 8.00 7% 12.60 9.61  
BIG PETE 2 2 42 4 58 716 728½ (barrett rod)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 6.00 8.30  
 
CD-2   10/01/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:223 :46 :573     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINUTE WALTZ 6 3 31 3.2   13 1 (bauer a)BEJARANO R 121 2.00 1.46  
SHANIAH 1 1 43 4   4 2 (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 121 3.00 24% 3.20 3.48 P
IN MY OPINION 5 6 53 5   5 3 (lovell michelle)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 8.00 7% 13.50 16.63 S
COMEDY ACT 3 4 1½ 1nk   23 4 (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 2.50 28% 2.60 3.27  
ICY RIVER 4 2 2½ 2nk   33 5 (foster eric)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 10.21  
SHELL SHOCK 2 5 6 6   6 610 (vaccarezza c)CORRALES GERARDO 121 5.00 3.92  
 
CD-3   10/01/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:124     1:192   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUPIDS PAYDAY 4 3 21 21   1 1 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00 16% 5.20 5.69 W
10  UNKEPT SECRET 10 9 9 4   3 2 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 10.00 22.14  
TENACIOUS LADY 3 6 4 3   42 3 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00 4.31  
GRAY FROST 5 8 8 7   55 4 (reed r)BEJARANO R 119 15.00 27.71  
MS HAYLEY 6 4 7 810   79 58 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00 16% 5.20 3.71  
FABULOSITY 1 2 11 11   2 6 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 3.12  
FLY CONDOR 8 5 6 55   6 711¾ (meah m)BESCHIZZA ADAM 114 8.00 14.56  
LONG BLACK VEIL 2 7 32 6   810 815½ (reed r)LEON SONNY 119 15.00 7% 13.40 27.97  
11  TWELVE SHARP 11 10 10 1012½   913 916½ (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00 10.42  
CHIPMUNK 7 1 5 912   1018 1027¾ (casse mark)GARCIA MARTIN 119 4.50 20% 4.00 6.70  
ROYAL BELLE 9 11 1118¾ 1132½   1138½ 1149 (casse mark)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 12.00 7% 13.40 36.66  
 
CD-4   10/01/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:113 1:242   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEAN MACHINE 6 5 7 7 6 3 1¾ (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 122 12.00 24.43  
RUNWAY MAGIC 4 4 2nk 1½ 12 1 2¾ (drury jr)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.00 36% 1.70 0.52 P
AMERICAN PURE 2 7 42 3 22 2 3 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 3.67 S
EL FRANCO 3 1 6 52 3 4 4 (norris mike)BEJARANO R 122 20.00 26.27  
UNDECODED 5 2 3 42 46 5 516¾ (divito p)SAEZ GABRIEL 115 3.50 12% 7.50 5.16  
TACHLIS 7 6 1nk 2½ 5 613 627¾ (glyshaw tim)MORALES EDGAR 115 20.00 28.58  
WEST WARPATH 1 3 5 6 711½ 715½ 735½ (cano muno)GEROUX FLORENT 122 8.00 13.00  
SCR  ARTHURIAN               (caramori caio)ACHARD ALEX 122 4.00 25% 3.00    
 
CD-5   10/01/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:133 1:383   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  TAPIT'S CONQUEST 10 3 2½ 31 11 14 1 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50 31% 2.30 1.80 W
PYRENEES 8 5 8 8 7 24 2 (devaux cher)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 9.69  
ESCAPOLOGIST 9 8 10 10 910 8 3 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 15.00 37.37  
PRAIRIE DUNES 2 7 7 75 8 7 4 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.00 18% 4.40 2.53  
MAGNIFICENT MILE 7 10 6 6 65 3 56 (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 24% 3.10 6.04  
DENINGTON 5 4 5 53 4 4 67 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 6% 15.30 5.86  
O GANGSTER 1 6 42 2nk 31 66 7 (delgado gustavo)BEJARANO R 119 20.00 54.06  
NO EASY DAYS 3 1 1½ 1nk 21 5 810 (mccarthy michae)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00 15.92  
MILLERS RITE 6 9 9 9 1010½ 912¾ 913¾ (vance d)COURT K 119 20.00 68.86  
FORTUNE 4 2 32 4 54 1016¾ 1026 (walsh brend)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 12.00 12.40  
 
CD-6   10/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:221 :452 :572     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
O BESOS 4 4 4 44   3 1nk (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.80 35% 1.80 0.78 W
SURVEILLANCE 2 2 1nk 2nk   1½ 2nk (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 121 3.00 2.05 P
FORE LEFT 6 1 2nk 1nk   2½ 33 (dunca)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 4.50 13% 6.60 4.95 S
LOFTY ADJUDICATOR 5 5 6 610   67 4 (navarrete anna)LEON SONNY 121 20.00 13.41  
MY MAN FLINTSTONE 3 3 3 32   4 5 (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00 7% 13.90 20.03  
LYKAN 1 6 54 5   5 6 (mason ingrid)BAILEY CHEL-C 116 15.00 23.52  
SCR  KAVOD               (hartman chri)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 14% 6.20    
 
CD-7   10/01/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:124 1:374   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRANK'S HONOR 1 2 1 11 1½ 1 15 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 20% 4.00 6.21 W
DESERT WOLF 8 5 53 42 3 2 25 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.50 2.59 P
SPIELMAN 5 9 4 5 5 34 3 (desormeaux j)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00 39.73  
TEN DAYS LATER 9 6 10 9 8 5 4 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 6.00 31% 2.20 4.19  
ELDEST SON 3 1 2 21 2½ 4 511½ (walsh p)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 30.90  
RECKER POINT 6 3 3 3 4 6 613 (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 119 4.00 21% 3.80 4.65  
GAME WARDEN 4 8 96 7 7 711½ 713½ (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 8.59  
CURLINS INCHARGE 7 7 6 64 67 814 813¾ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00 5% 18.50 5.12  
10  PAPPY WOLFE 10 11 75 108 9 1014¾ 915 (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 30.73  
MANO DURA 2 4 8 86 1011½ 914¼ 1015¾ (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 25.54  
11  BIG POPPER 11 10 1111½ 1116 1136½ 1170¾ 11100 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 28.49  
 
CD-8   10/01/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:122 1:371   1:494   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OPEN ROAD 8 6 21 21 2½ 2nk 1nk (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 14% 6.30 7.45 W
STRONG QUALITY 7 3 11 11 1½ 1nk 2nk (casse mark)SANTANA JR 118 3.50 64% 0.60 2.88 P
TIZ RYE TIME 3 8 96 96 8 4 3 (van thomas)BEJARANO R 122 12.00 11.32 S
TEPEU 1 1 3 32 32 34 4 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 2.32  
ELUSIVE TARGET 6 4 5 5 64 5 510 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00 17.12  
THE PRINCE'S SPUR 4 2 6 74 75 811 610¼ (bauer phili)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00 8.66  
10  COMPLETE AGENDA 10 10 86 6 53 7 712¾ (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 7.92  
FENWICK 9 7 75 8 96 911½ 815 (lynch)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 20.00 38.63  
TIWANAKU 5 5 4 4 42 69 915½ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00 9.56  
HAPPY BOY ROCKET 2 11 11 118 118 1014 1025¾ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 10.00 21.63  
11  O P FIRECRACKER 11 9 10 10 10 1116½ 1134½ (medina robert)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00 50.15  
 
CD-9   10/01/2022 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($300K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:10 1:221   1:343   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SENOR BUSCADOR 8 8 6 43 2½ 1 1 (fincher tod)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 12.00 6.18  
INJUNCTION 7 3 31 21 43 3 2 (vaccarezza c)CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00 13.96  
THREE TECHNIQUE 5 7 8 8 3 4 3 (cook b)BEJARANO R 121 12.00 9.85  
SURLY FURIOUS 4 1 11 11 1½ 2 45 (wismer s)SAEZ LUIS 121 20.00 31% 2.20 23.32  
FULSOME 3 6 76 7 7 6 55 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 123 5.00 3.03  
SILVER PROSPECTOR 6 2 42 6 54 5 6 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 123 12.00 20.43  
SPEAKER'S CORNER 1 4 21 31 6 77 7 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 1.00 44% 1.30 1.43  
UNTREATED 2 5 54 5 88 8 8 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 121 4.50 4.97  
SCR  MAILMAN MONEY               (calhoun william )SAEZ GABRIEL 121 30.00    
SCR  TWILIGHT BLUE               (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00    
 
CD-10   10/01/2022 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($500K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:114 1:37   1:494   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT ROD CHARLIE 5 5 21 2½ 2½ 1½ 1nk (o'neill doug)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 1.60 12% 7.50 1.33 W
RICH STRIKE 4 4 5 42 4 3½ 2nk (reed r)LEON SONNY 122 6.00 4.86  
KING FURY 1 6 6 53 55 54 3 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00 16.20 S
HAPPY SAVER 3 3 3 3 3 41 4 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 121 2.50 27% 2.70 2.83  
ART COLLECTOR 2 2 11 1½ 1½ 2½ 5 (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 125 2.00 39% 1.60 2.59  
CHESS CHIEF 6 1 4 65 68 66 6 (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 20.00 58.82  
 
CD-11   10/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:213 :453 :574     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOUR SO SILLEA 9 4 5 4   1nk 1¾ (sims a)GILLIGAN JACK 121 15.00 26.17  
SCARLET STRIPE 7 3 2 2nk   2nk 2¾ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 26% 2.90 2.67 P
ONE TIME MO 3 7 10 7   6 3 (pessin l)LANERIE J 121 8.00 6% 14.80 2.35 S
TWENTYTWENTY HOAX 1 5 43 5   5 49 (king )FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 15.00 55.45  
ANKYRAH 5 6 97 8   7 5 (morey willi)LEPAROUX R 124 15.00 5% 19.00 25.14  
12  MARKSWOMAN 12 2 32 3.2   3 613¼ (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00 7.02  
ITDOWHATITDO 2 11 7 6   810¼ 713¾ (sims philip )CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00 16.73  
10  GET BY 10 8 11 1112¼   911¼ 814 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 15.00 12% 7.50 22.28  
11  DELIGHTOF THE NILE 11 1 1 1nk   44 914¼ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 121 10.00 8.21  
AMARYLLIS KISS 8 9 8 1011¾   1012¼ 1014½ (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 121 3.00 25% 2.90 6.00  
MO HAPPY 4 12 1215½ 1216¼   1114¾ 1117¼ (thompson boyd)STERRITT KENDAL 121 20.00 56.90  
BIDOFHONEY 6 10 65 910¾   1219¾ 1230½ (catalano m)COHEN DAVID 121 12.00 16.61  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.