Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Friday - September 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   09/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:214 :453 :581     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LOVE OF MY LIFE 2 6 32 33   22 11 (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 12.00 7.07  
5  CAMI CAT 5 3 1½ 11½   12 21 (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 121 12.00 ★ 9.63 P
6  DOOZY BATZ 6 2 2½ 21½   32 31¼ (ward wesley )ZAYAS J 121 1.40 35% 1.80 0.82 S
7  STORM HAVEN 7 4 53½ 43½   43 43¼ (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 ★ 12.60  
3  HONEYCOMB 3 5 66 69   67 54¾ (arnold r)GRAHAM J 121 3.50 24% 3.20 7.12  
4  LANDED GENTRY 4 7 811½ 711   79½ 65¾ (medina rob)MICHEL MICKAELLE 121 20.00 38.97  
1  TIME FOR CUPID 1 1 42 56½   56½ 76¼ (asmussen)SANTANA JR 121 2.50 20% 3.90 3.71  
8  DOGWOODSMILLIEJANE 8 8 78½ 812½   811½ 88½ (taylor brent)MILLER CHASE 121 20.00 77.00  
 
CD-2   09/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:214 :451 :572     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HEADLAND 4 3 2½ 1nk   12 12 (hobby ste)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 3.00 22% 3.50 4.35 W
2  MAKESCENTSTOUS 2 5 31½ 31½   22 22 (reed eric )CORRALES GERARDO 121 12.00 11% 7.90 4.28 P
3  MY MY MUNNY 3 6 53 54   43½ 34¼ (stuart sh)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 12.00 ★ 8.61 S
1  FRONT STREET 1 1 1½ 2nk   32 47¼ (asmussen)SANTANA JR 121 3.00 9.29  
6  TIPSY GAL 6 4 42 43½   57 58½ (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.50 ★ 1.33  
5  STERLING MISS 5 2 65 68½   610 614 (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 121 2.00 27% 2.70 3.85  
 
CD-3   09/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 2 ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:231 :46 1:10     1:223   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FROSTED DEPARTURE 3 3 1½ 1½   17 19¼ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.50 ★ 4.83  
2  JUDO 2 1 64¾ 54   27 29¼ (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 2.00 33% 2.10 3.62 P
5  X Y POINT 5 5 42 31   37 310 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 120 2.50 35% 1.90 0.66 S
1  PROVE RIGHT 1 2 52¼ 43   58½ 411¼ (cha)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 8.00 11.81  
4  COUNTERSPY 4 4 3½ 2½   48 514¼ (casse mark)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 6.00 9% 10.70 7.73  
6  I'M WIDE AWAKE 6 6 2½ 612   6100 6100 (courville)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00 29.68  
SCR  MR. GORDY               (cano munoz)RIQUELME J 122 8.00 ★    
 
CD-4   09/16/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:13 1:382   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  COASTAL CHARM 5 2 2½ 22½ 2nk 14 19 (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.00 2.54  
6  FROSTED DIAMOND 6 3 42½ 44½ 31 24 29 (sims a)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 3.00 34% 1.90 4.09 P
2  SWEET TRUFFLES 2 1 31½ 33 42 45½ 39¼ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00 11% 8.20 12.53 S
1  DOMITIA LUCILLA 1 4 1½ 12½ 1nk 35 410¼ (brisset )SANTANA JR 120 4.00 ★ 3.25  
3  LANTERN'S CANDY 3 6 86½ 88 65 57½ 511¼ (glyshaw t)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 17% 5.00 5.44  
8  MCMANSION 8 8 76 66½ 54½ 69 613¼ (hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 10.00 6.11  
4  LIZNOW 4 7 54 56 710 721 744 (lovell miche)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 10.00 9% 9.90 8.61  
7  QUINZEL 7 5 64½ 78 814 824 849¾ (puhich mike)PETERSON FERRIN 120 12.00 39.15  
 
CD-5   09/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:224 :463 1:11 1:233   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  B MINOR 3 2 73 73¼ 54¼ 45½ 1¼ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 ★ 6.09  
10  PRESIDER 10 6 41½ 31 2nk 22 2¼ (devaux cherie)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 15.00 47.98  
7  CYCLONE MISCHIEF 6 3 2nk 1nk 1nk 12 3¾ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 6.00 3.01  
2  RECKER POINT 1 1 3½ 51¾ 66¼ 35 42 (lukas way)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 3.00 31% 2.20 6.01  
1  WADSWORTH 7 4 52 41½ 42¾ 55½ 57 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 1.21  
3  SOLOMON VANDY 2 8 119¾ 107¼ 88¾ 77¼ 610¾ (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119 4.50 23% 3.30 20.52  
8  WELAKA 8 5 1nk 2nk 3.2 67 713 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00 22% 3.50 13.75  
1A  FACE VALUE 11 7 62½ 62¾ 77¾ 810¾ 813½ (walsh brendan)GARCIA MARTIN 119 4.00 1.21  
9  IDRATHERBEBLESSED 9 11 85 83¾ 910¾ 911¾ 913½ (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 38.93  
6  PROSECUTION 5 10 96½ 94¾ 1011¼ 1014¼ 1016½ (moquett e)BEJARANO R 119 10.00 25.27  
5  KICKSANDGIGGLES 4 9 106¾ 117¾ 1123¼ 1132¼ 1167½ (hiles a)GRAHAM J 119 15.00 ★ 32.10  
 
CD-6   09/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:114     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  LAKE TAHOE 8 5 21 2nk   13 12¾ (moquett r)LEPAROUX R 118 4.50 ★ 6.15  
3  ICON 3 9 85 63   23 22¾ (diodoro )SANTANA JR 121 2.00 28% 2.50 0.78 P
11  BRONZE BEAST 9 1 63 74   57½ 35½ (rouck l)RIQUELME J 121 30.00 67.43  
4  DROP ANCHOR 4 3 31½ 1nk   35 46¼ (walsh brendan)GARCIA MARTIN 121 4.50 19.62  
1  PLEMMONSTON 1 7 96½ 97   89¼ 58½ (leonard g)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 12.00 33.26  
6  MR. HALFTIME 6 2 42 52½   67¾ 68¾ (reed eric )CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 6.28  
2  VASILEVSKIY (IRE) 2 8 75 85   47½ 78¾ (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 4.00 22% 3.50 7.04  
9  SOVIET 7 6 52½ 42   78¼ 810¼ (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00 13% 6.90 13.67  
5  SPEED BOAT 5 4 11 3½   99¾ 913 (hugo l)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00 14% 6.20 9.98  
SCR  FUTURO               (porter michael)COURT K 121 30.00    
SCR  HAY SPORT               (thompson michael)DIAZ RENE 116 30.00    
 
CD-7   09/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:12 1:243   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  BATUCADA 9 8 52½ 83¾ 31½ 11½ 13 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.50 24% 3.10 6.89 W
8  ZEITLOS 8 7 73¾ 94¼ 53¼ 32½ 23 (asmussen)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 16.75  
1  LADY SQUARED 1 1 115½ 104½ 105½ 54½ 34½ (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119 8.00 13.15  
7  CALLIE'S PASSION 7 3 11 11 11½ 21½ 45½ (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 21.02  
5  MAGICAL LUTE 5 6 42 62¾ 73¾ 66 56¾ (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 47% 1.10 1.91  
10  HUNTLEIGH 10 11 83¾ 42½ 41¾ 44 67¼ (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 12.00 23.88  
3  TAXED 3 5 63½ 73¼ 85¼ 88½ 78¾ (shirer matt)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00 6.28  
6  BOLTED 6 9 104½ 114½ 95½ 99 89¾ (divito james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 6.00 6% 17.10 5.88  
11  MOON MAGIC CHRISSY 11 4 31 21 21½ 76½ 911½ (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 5.00 ★ 4.11  
4  RUM RUNNER READY 4 2 21 31 63¾ 1010 1018¼ (mor)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 12.00 39.45  
2  PERFECT ROSE 2 12 1210½ 129½ 1211½ 1215½ 1119¼ (vasquez sr)COURT K 119 50.00 65.37  
12  SHE'S JERSEY TUFF 12 10 94 52¾ 116½ 1114 1220¾ (leonard geo)HERRFORTH ERICA 109 30.00 77.38  
SCR  ADIVA               (puhich mi)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00    
SCR  DAGMAR               (catalano m)DIAZ RENE 114 20.00    
SCR  MALAWNIA               (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 119 20.00 ★    
SCR  TINY TEMPER               (stewart d)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00    
 
CD-8   09/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:102     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LIBERTY M D 5 6 42 42   2nk 11¼ (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 121 3.00 23% 3.30 1.82 W
4  LOVEMESOMEME 4 3 31 31   1nk 21¼ (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 121 1.60 40% 1.50 1.31 P
6  WILL'S SECRET 6 5 74 63½   33 33 (lukas wayne)COURT K 121 2.50 10% 8.80 10.35 S
3  BE LIKE WATER 3 2 63½ 52½   43¼ 44¼ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 123 15.00 7.36  
7  PYRAMID PRINCESS 7 7 52½ 74   56¼ 59½ (stuart sh)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 20.00 55.52  
2  LIL KINGS PRINCESS 2 1 2½ 2nk   76½ 611 (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 10.00 ★ 12.68  
1  RECODED 1 4 1½ 1nk   66¼ 713 (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 123 5.00 ★ 6.91  
 
CD-9   09/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:102 1:223   1:35   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MEISTER 10 7 41½ 42 3.2 12½ 14¼ (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 124 4.00 8% 12.10 5.27 W
9  BUSINESS MODEL 9 10 75¾ 74 41¼ 22½ 24¼ (walsh brendan)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 5.00 6.28  
6  DIGITAL 6 8 86¼ 85 51¾ 32½ 35 (hiles rick)LANERIE J 122 3.50 6% 14.60 5.04 S
7  BRIEFCASE BULLY 7 11 119¾ 117½ 1010¼ 99 47¼ (devaux cherie)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 8.00 6% 16.20 11.92  
4  ZOOMER 4 6 63¾ 63½ 75¼ 77 57½ (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 122 2.50 57% 0.70 1.35  
8  DREAMER'S DISEASE 8 3 3½ 31½ 61¾ 55 69 (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 122 12.00 16.84  
1  TEQUILAS RANGER 1 5 106¾ 95½ 86¾ 88½ 79 (jones l)BEJARANO R 122 30.00 5% 19.00 46.38  
5  BROKEN RIB 5 4 2½ 1½ 2nk 44½ 89¼ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 13.47  
11  SIMOVITCH 11 9 1½ 2½ 1nk 66½ 914 (oliver vic)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00 13.48  
2  SUPER CONSTITUTION 2 1 53½ 53 98¼ 1011 1015¾ (londono genev)GARCIA MARTIN 122 20.00 89.42  
3  WE ALL SEE IT 3 2 96¼ 107 1112¼ 1115½ 1123¼ (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 43.49  
 
CD-10   09/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:112     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SONADOR 1 1 43½ 31   12 1½ (hern)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 10.00 22.53  
6  DALLAS VOLUNTEER 6 5 55 43   22 2½ (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 5% 19.00 11.01 P
11  MRS. NUSHI 11 11 88½ 87¼   45½ 36¼ (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 11.38  
4  MORE ROMANCE 4 8 109 97¾   57 48 (scherer ma)MICHEL MICKAELLE 121 15.00 13.39  
5  ZING 5 10 1110½ 108¾   79 58½ (catalano wayn)GILLIGAN JACK 118 4.00 5% 19.00 4.18  
8  BELIEVING (IRE) 8 7 77 65   67½ 610 (shorter aaron)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 8.00 8.64  
12  MONOCACY 12 12 1213½ 1110¾   1012½ 712½ (king l)MILLER CHASE 118 15.00 49.04  
9  FOREVER HOME 9 3 11 11   34½ 812¾ (williamson b)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 10.00 12.86  
7  GUAJIRA 7 2 21 54½   911½ 913 (amoss m)DIAZ RENE 113 15.00 36.48  
10  JUMAKAN BOURBON 10 4 31½ 21   89½ 1015 (minnock g)BEJARANO R 118 5.00 53% 0.90 3.17  
3  GREEN BANANAS 3 9 65½ 77   1115 1117½ (manley ste)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 10.00 13.09  
2  ZMUDA 2 6 99 1213¾   1219½ 1225 (hiles rick)GRAHAM J 118 6.00 5% 19.00 3.75  
SCR  GRAN CHEMIN               (cline robe)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 15% 5.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.