Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Churchill Downs
Friday - September 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   09/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVE OF MY LIFE   (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 12.00 7.07  
CAMI CAT   (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 121 12.00 9.63 P
DOOZY BATZ   (ward wesley )ZAYAS J 121 1.40 35% 1.80 0.82 S
STORM HAVEN   (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 12.60  
HONEYCOMB   (arnold r)GRAHAM J 121 3.50 24% 3.20 7.12  
LANDED GENTRY   (medina rob)MICHEL MICKAELLE 121 20.00 38.97  
TIME FOR CUPID   (asmussen)SANTANA JR 121 2.50 20% 3.90 3.71  
DOGWOODSMILLIEJANE   (taylor brent)MILLER CHASE 121 20.00 77.00  
 
CD-2   09/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEADLAND   (hobby ste)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 3.00 22% 3.50 4.35 W
MAKESCENTSTOUS   (reed eric )CORRALES GERARDO 121 12.00 11% 7.90 4.28 P
MY MY MUNNY   (stuart sh)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 12.00 8.61 S
FRONT STREET   (asmussen)SANTANA JR 121 3.00 9.29  
TIPSY GAL   (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.50 1.33  
STERLING MISS   (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 121 2.00 27% 2.70 3.85  
 
CD-3   09/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 2 ALL PT- 1:43
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FROSTED DEPARTURE   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.50 4.83  
JUDO   (cox h)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 2.00 33% 2.10 3.62 P
X Y POINT   (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 120 2.50 35% 1.90 0.66 S
PROVE RIGHT   (cha)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 8.00 11.81  
COUNTERSPY   (casse mark)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 6.00 9% 10.70 7.73  
I'M WIDE AWAKE   (courville)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00 29.68  
SCR  MR. GORDY   (cano munoz)RIQUELME J 122 8.00    
 
CD-4   09/16/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COASTAL CHARM   (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.00 2.54  
FROSTED DIAMOND   (sims a)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 3.00 34% 1.90 4.09 P
SWEET TRUFFLES   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00 11% 8.20 12.53 S
DOMITIA LUCILLA   (brisset )SANTANA JR 120 4.00 3.25  
LANTERN'S CANDY   (glyshaw t)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 17% 5.00 5.44  
MCMANSION   (hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 10.00 6.11  
LIZNOW   (lovell miche)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 10.00 9% 9.90 8.61  
QUINZEL   (puhich mike)PETERSON FERRIN 120 12.00 39.15  
 
CD-5   09/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
B MINOR   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 6.09  
10  PRESIDER   (devaux cherie)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 15.00 47.98  
CYCLONE MISCHIEF   (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 6.00 3.01  
RECKER POINT   (lukas way)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 3.00 31% 2.20 6.01  
WADSWORTH   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 1.21  
SOLOMON VANDY   (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119 4.50 23% 3.30 20.52  
WELAKA   (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00 22% 3.50 13.75  
1A  FACE VALUE   (walsh brendan)GARCIA MARTIN 119 4.00 1.21  
IDRATHERBEBLESSED   (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 38.93  
PROSECUTION   (moquett e)BEJARANO R 119 10.00 25.27  
KICKSANDGIGGLES   (hiles a)GRAHAM J 119 15.00 32.10  
 
CD-6   09/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  LAKE TAHOE   (moquett r)LEPAROUX R 118 4.50 6.15  
ICON   (diodoro )SANTANA JR 121 2.00 28% 2.50 0.78 P
11  BRONZE BEAST   (rouck l)RIQUELME J 121 30.00 67.43  
DROP ANCHOR   (walsh brendan)GARCIA MARTIN 121 4.50 19.62  
PLEMMONSTON   (leonard g)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 12.00 33.26  
MR. HALFTIME   (reed eric )CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 6.28  
VASILEVSKIY (IRE)   (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 4.00 22% 3.50 7.04  
SOVIET   (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00 13% 6.90 13.67  
SPEED BOAT   (hugo l)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00 14% 6.20 9.98  
SCR  FUTURO   (porter michael)COURT K 121 30.00    
SCR  HAY SPORT   (thompson michael)DIAZ RENE 116 30.00    
 
CD-7   09/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 3:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BATUCADA   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.50 24% 3.10 6.89 W
ZEITLOS   (asmussen)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 16.75  
LADY SQUARED   (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119 8.00 13.15  
CALLIE'S PASSION   (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 21.02  
MAGICAL LUTE   (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 47% 1.10 1.91  
10  HUNTLEIGH   (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 12.00 23.88  
TAXED   (shirer matt)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00 6.28  
BOLTED   (divito james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 6.00 6% 17.10 5.88  
11  MOON MAGIC CHRISSY   (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 5.00 4.11  
RUM RUNNER READY   (mor)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 12.00 39.45  
PERFECT ROSE   (vasquez sr)COURT K 119 50.00 65.37  
12  SHE'S JERSEY TUFF   (leonard geo)HERRFORTH ERICA 109 30.00 77.38  
SCR  ADIVA   (puhich mi)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00    
SCR  DAGMAR   (catalano m)DIAZ RENE 114 20.00    
SCR  MALAWNIA   (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 119 20.00    
SCR  TINY TEMPER   (stewart d)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00    
 
CD-8   09/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIBERTY M D   (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 121 3.00 23% 3.30 1.82 W
LOVEMESOMEME   (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 121 1.60 40% 1.50 1.31 P
WILL'S SECRET   (lukas wayne)COURT K 121 2.50 10% 8.80 10.35 S
BE LIKE WATER   (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 123 15.00 7.36  
PYRAMID PRINCESS   (stuart sh)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 20.00 55.52  
LIL KINGS PRINCESS   (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 10.00 12.68  
RECODED   (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 123 5.00 6.91  
 
CD-9   09/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MEISTER   (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 124 4.00 8% 12.10 5.27 W
BUSINESS MODEL   (walsh brendan)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 5.00 6.28  
DIGITAL   (hiles rick)LANERIE J 122 3.50 6% 14.60 5.04 S
BRIEFCASE BULLY   (devaux cherie)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 8.00 6% 16.20 11.92  
ZOOMER   (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 122 2.50 57% 0.70 1.35  
DREAMER'S DISEASE   (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 122 12.00 16.84  
TEQUILAS RANGER   (jones l)BEJARANO R 122 30.00 5% 19.00 46.38  
BROKEN RIB   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 13.47  
11  SIMOVITCH   (oliver vic)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00 13.48  
SUPER CONSTITUTION   (londono genev)GARCIA MARTIN 122 20.00 89.42  
WE ALL SEE IT   (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 43.49  
 
CD-10   09/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SONADOR   (hern)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 10.00 22.53  
DALLAS VOLUNTEER   (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 5% 19.00 11.01 P
11  MRS. NUSHI   (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 11.38  
MORE ROMANCE   (scherer ma)MICHEL MICKAELLE 121 15.00 13.39  
ZING   (catalano wayn)GILLIGAN JACK 118 4.00 5% 19.00 4.18  
BELIEVING (IRE)   (shorter aaron)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 8.00 8.64  
12  MONOCACY   (king l)MILLER CHASE 118 15.00 49.04  
FOREVER HOME   (williamson b)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 10.00 12.86  
GUAJIRA   (amoss m)DIAZ RENE 113 15.00 36.48  
10  JUMAKAN BOURBON   (minnock g)BEJARANO R 118 5.00 53% 0.90 3.17  
GREEN BANANAS   (manley ste)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 10.00 13.09  
ZMUDA   (hiles rick)GRAHAM J 118 6.00 5% 19.00 3.75  
SCR  GRAN CHEMIN   (cline robe)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 15% 5.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.