Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mountaineer Park
Sunday - October 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
MNR-1   10/16/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 2 ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:224 :473       1:004   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  XIT NOW 7 5 44 41¾   31 1½ (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 118 10.00 15.30  
6  EXQUISITO COCO 5 1 2nk 1nk   1nk 2½ (cordero-lopez al)AVILES YAN 113 8.00 ★ 3.60 P
2  SANTIAGO'S CAT 2 2 1nk 2nk   2nk 3½ (silva pab)DIAZ I 118 1.40 63% 0.60 1.20 S
3  ARCHARCH CAT 3 3 32 31½   41½ 42½ (acevedo isr)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 2.50 ★ 2.00  
1  ANGELA'S ANGEL 1 4 65½ 59¾   54½ 54 (silva jua)CORREA L 118 8.00 ★ 14.50  
5  CHASING A PAYDAY 4 6 55 69¾   610½ 610¾ (pease harry)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 5.00 8% 11.20 12.20  
7  MACHO CASH 6 7 710½ 713¾   712½ 711 (sipp burton )LUNA ELEMANIEL 118 20.00 79.60  
SCR  R K FLACO               (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 118 30.00    
 
MNR-2   10/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:223 :46 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  HERACLITUS 6 1 1nk 14   14 11¾ (erfle gerald)CCAMAQUE M 120 2.00 24% 3.10 5.50 W
5  LUCKY JUNIOR 5 7 66¼ 34½   24 21¾ (poole c)RAMGEET R 120 2.50 26% 2.90 1.40 P
1  MACHINIST 1 4 2nk 24   37 39½ (bell brenda)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 8.00 16% 5.40 10.10 S
3  BLOWING STRONG 3 6 78¼ 66   49 411¼ (logsto)ENRIQUEZ JR 120 10.00 16.20  
4  NANO 4 2 32 45½   59½ 512 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 15.00 47.70  
9  MOON LAUNCH 7 5 53¼ 55½   611½ 612 (cordero-lopez )DIAZ I 120 3.00 1.10  
2  OLD MOUNTAIN LANE 2 3 42¼ 76½   716½ 722¾ (knowles luci)PAULING RAKEEN 120 20.00 5% 19.00 74.40  
SCR  CHATTERMAN               (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 20.00 7% 13.50    
SCR  EVERGLIDE DRIVE               (spiess shan)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 20.00    
 
MNR-3   10/16/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
See original race card.
:224 :471       1:004   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TREASURED NIKKY 1 1 1nk 1½   15 12 (dixon geoffr)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 6.00 14.10  
4  MY BACK PAGES 4 3 54 45½   25 22 (langley c)YARANGA Y 121 2.50 14% 6.40 3.20 P
5  GOLD PASS 5 6 69 611   66¾ 34¼ (hancock davi)LUNA ELEMANIEL 116 4.50 ★ 7.20 S
3  CUPP OF CLASS 3 4 43½ 56   56½ 46½ (capps a)BUSH V 120 2.00 42% 1.40 0.90  
2  WINDY GLO SAL 2 2 2nk 2½   36 58¾ (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 120 4.00 22% 3.50 4.80  
6  HELLO MY HALO 6 5 33 33½   46 612¾ (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 8.00 ★ 8.20  
 
MNR-4   10/16/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
See original race card.
:223 :462       :524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  RELEASED 4 3 3.2     1nk 1nk (meyers shan)SEVERINO VICTOR 120 1.20 43% 1.30 1.00 W
6  VALIANT THOR 3 2 2nk     2nk 2nk (cady khalil)HOUGHTON D 120 5.00 1.60  
3  WILLYMAR 1 1 42¼     43¼ 33½ (rangel arnul)CALLEJA ANDRES 112 12.00 7% 13.90 5.70 S
4  FANCY LANCY 2 4 1nk     3.2 44¼ (cain crystal)CCAMAQUE M 123 8.00 4.30  
SCR  ANYTIMEALLTHETIME               (alessi james)LUNA ELEMANIEL 120 10.00 7% 12.40    
SCR  CLEVERLY WICKED               (meyers sha)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 120 5.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  DEEP MIND               (acevedo israel)DIAZ R 120 4.00 ★    
 
MNR-5   10/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
See original race card.
:252 :502 1:161     1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  LAUDERDALE 9 5 41½ 42¼ 2nk 12 11 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 123 4.00 2.10  
7  LOOKING FOR BULL 7 2 2½ 32 72½ 43 21 (hancock davi)LUNA ELEMANIEL 116 3.50 ★ 8.00 P
8  LEVANTO (ARG) 8 6 85¼ 52¾ 41 33 32¼ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 1.20 59% 0.70 1.60 S
6  TRIBULATION 6 4 63½ 73¾ 1nk 22 43½ (bell brenda)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 10.00 9.20  
5  SAINT SCOTTY 5 3 3½ 2nk 51½ 55 54½ (bell brenda)VEGA L 123 20.00 23.40  
4  AJWIBAH 4 9 53 62¾ 62 67 64½ (erdel john)GONZALEZ ALEX 123 15.00 ★ 4.50  
2  FATHER DENNIS 2 8 96¼ 96¾ 84½ 710 77¼ (zircher rob)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 8.00 12% 7.30 18.50  
1  RY'S REVENGE 1 7 73¾ 85¼ 96½ 912½ 810¼ (depasquale l)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 15.00 43.10  
3  SKY PILOT 3 1 1½ 1nk 3½ 812 913½ (knowles luci)PAULING RAKEEN 123 30.00 5% 19.00 ######  
 
MNR-6   10/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
See original race card.
:222 :463 :592     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  HIDING THE BRICK 3 1 11 2nk   1½ 12¾ (si)DA FAUSTO 121 1.00 0.60  
4  EMJAY 4 5 67¼ 63¾   43 22¾ (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 6.00 9% 9.70 4.70 P
1  ANGUSONIC 1 4 54¼ 32   2½ 34 (mcentee paul)GONZALEZ ALEX 118 4.50 42% 1.40 11.80 S
5  POUR ME A DOUBLE 5 6 41¼ 1nk   32½ 46¾ (jenkins a)PAUCAR E 118 3.00 20% 4.10 2.00  
2  PAYSTER 2 3 21 42½   54½ 58 (larue steve)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 12.00 ★ 47.10  
6  ELUSIVE MOTION 6 2 31 52¾   67½ 612½ (demczyk virg)LUNA ELEMANIEL 113 10.00 ★ 51.80  
 
MNR-7   10/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:30
See original race card.
:221 :463 :594     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BLANQUITA NIEVE 6 2 31½ 1nk   1½ 11¾ (torres eric)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 2.50 33% 2.10 0.40 W
5  EASY 4 4 43½ 2nk   2½ 21¾ (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 3.50 17% 5.00 2.50 P
4  MY D'VALENTINE 3 6 55 42½   33½ 32¾ (sp)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 6.00 12% 7.30 8.90 S
6  SHARED MISCHIEF 5 1 11½ 3½   44 47¾ (montano wilfri)DIAZ I 123 8.00 14% 6.20 9.10  
1  S S ENERGY 1 5 610 66   58 59 (cain crystal)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 20.00 41.60  
3  MYRRH 2 3 21½ 53   68½ 611½ (poole c)RAMGEET R 120 15.00 27.70  
SCR  DIAL IT UP A NOTCH               (short thomas)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 3.00 ★    
SCR  ONLY SHOW IN TOWN               (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 121 6.00    
 
MNR-8   10/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
See original race card.
:223 :471 1:002     1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  ORBETTE 8 6 53 41½   42½ 12¼ (spiess m)DIAZ I 120 4.00 2.70  
7  CAPTAIN ANNE 5 8 89 89   87 22¼ (cox g)RAMGEET R 120 20.00 48.30  
8  COCO MACHEN 6 4 21 1½   1nk 32¼ (baird michael)PAUCAR E 120 5.00 21% 3.80 5.30 S
6  RUSHING TIME 4 1 11 2½   2nk 43¼ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 10.00 11.60  
10  RORAIMA 7 7 76 75   76½ 53¾ (sauer j)CCAMAQUE M 120 12.00 5% 19.00 31.50  
4  DESPEIGHT ALL ODDS 2 5 31½ 52½   53½ 64 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 3.50 19% 4.40 1.70  
3  BELLA BASORA 1 2 42 31   32 75½ (gotera juan )GONZALEZ KEVIN 115 10.00 9.50  
5  PETAL (IRE) 3 3 64 64½   64½ 86½ (flores chri)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 5.00 5% 19.00 4.10  
SCR  DEVILISH MAGIC               (uelmen jaso)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 12.00    
SCR  GOLDEN LASSIE               (clouston edward)VEGA L 120 8.00    
SCR  MARICOPA               (cordero-lope)LUNA ELEMANIEL 113 12.00    
SCR  OPPS MY BAD               (murillo rodrig)DIAZ I 120 3.00 31% 2.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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