The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Mahoning Valley Race Course
Saturday - November 12, 2022

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MVR-1   11/12/2022 5280ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
:251 :50 1:163 1:304   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONSTER HUNTER 6 4 4 3.2 1 1nk 1(faulkner c)VELEZ J 124 6.00 4.50  
DAWN'S LIGHT 5 2 21 2nk 3 2nk 2(cowans d)GONZALEZ A 124 2.00 28% 2.60 1.90 P
HEIDI'S SINATRA 2 6 65 6 5 43(haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 10.00 23.50  
DEXQUIRE 4 1 11 1nk 2 349 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 122 1.60 1.90  
THE PINK Z 1 3 31 4 4 5510½ (cline c)BRACHO A 122 4.00 23% 3.30 2.40  
MAYNARD G. KREBS 3 5 53 5 613½ 631¾ 655¼ (cline c)HALDAR J 122 10.00 11% 8.20 30.30  
 
MVR-2   11/12/2022 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
:233 :48 1:003     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COINCIDENTALLY 6 2 4 1   115 (skerrett jeffrey)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 1.60 33% 2.10 0.80 W
BOOT LEGGER 7 3 3.2 3   325 (londono j)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 14.90 P
WILDCAT BILL 4 1 1nk 2   23(radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 122 8.00 7.30 S
IMA BELIEVER 3 5 6 54   55 47 (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 119 10.00 24.20  
CHARLEE'S MAGIC 5 4 2nk 4   45(trevino g)HALDAR J 124 3.00 33% 2.10 3.20  
SPIN DOCTOR 1 6 5 6   68 610¼ (londono j)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.50 12% 7.50 4.70  
COUNTRY RUCKUS 2 7 74 78   715 727¼ (maddox rachael)DIAZ R 124 20.00 27.60  
 
MVR-3   11/12/2022 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
:232 :474 1:002     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAT'S KARMA 8 2 2½ 11   15 1(rivera nestor)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 40% 1.50 1.80 W
SWEET LEMON DROP 5 3 1½ 21   25 2(radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 3.00 23% 3.30 1.00 P
PECKS NOT BAD 4 6 6 7   4310½ (barker w)MCKEE J 124 8.00 16.00  
1A  JOES A ROCKIN 6 5 5 42   3412¼ (inirio carlos)DIAZ I 124 4.00 4.60  
NOTHINLASTSFOREVER 7 1 3½ 32   5515¾ (tumblin andrew)HALDAR J 126 15.00 31.10  
OLE WATASHI 3 7 7 6   610¾ 616¼ (trevino g)STANLEY O 124 12.00 38.30  
WEEKEND BUZZ 2 4 4¾ 5   714¾ 722 (gorham m)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 12% 7.10 11.40  
JACK BE FAST 1 8 831¾ 836¼   849¾ 846½ (inirio carlos)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 4.00 4.60  
 
MVR-4   11/12/2022 5280ft DIRT GOOD Allowance   Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
:243 :494 1:171 1:312   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKY CHANNEL 6 5 7 77 6 41¾ (cline c)HALDAR J 122 8.00 4.70  
SIREN CALL 3 4 2 2 5¾ 52¾ (van dennis)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 3.50 4.20 P
COSTUME JEWELRY 4 7 56 4 2nk 1nk 3¾ (morales m)SALAZAR VICTOR 124 6.00 11.50 S
BIRDIE'S CHANTZ 1 6 3 53 4¾ 3½ 4(yoder d)AVILES YAN 117 15.00 11% 8.00 7.80  
YOU NAME IT 7 1 44 32 1nk 2nk 5(gorham m)CORREA L 122 2.50 31% 2.20 1.40  
LACY QUEEN 2 2 1 1 3.2 6613¼ (salcedo ramon)TERRAZA GERMAN 117 10.00 37.70  
PENNIESANDDIMES 5 3 6 67 7 714¾ 725¼ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 117 2.00 31% 2.30 3.40  
 
MVR-5   11/12/2022 5490ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
:243 :492 1:153 1:422   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DETERMINATOR 7 4 53 53 1nk 14 1½ (buttigieg kevin)KEISER CHELSEY 124 3.00 27% 2.70 2.20 W
JURISDICTION 8 6 65 64 5 24 2½ (rivera nestor)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 15% 5.70 4.50 P
FRED'S COUNTRY BOY 4 2 2 2½ 2nk 34 3(ruberto v)HOUGHTON D 124 4.50 27% 2.70 6.30 S
KING ANDRES 9 3 1 1½ 3½ 44(faulkner c)DIAZ I 124 8.00 5% 19.00 8.30  
PRECIOUS JULES 5 9 88 87 7 715¾ 519½ (crumley jevon)FOX CHRIS 124 20.00 42.60  
CLYDE PARK 1 1 43 4 6 513½ 620½ (londono j)HALDAR J 124 6.00 14.80  
CONDUCIVE 3 8 77 76 8 817¼ 728 (langley joshua)YARANGA Y 124 15.00 19.80  
WILLY'S CASTLE 6 5 32 3 4¾ 613¾ 831¼ (sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 126 3.50 3.00  
GOD'S WILL BE DONE 2 7 910 911 911 927¼ 949 (rettele richard)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00 7.80  
 
MVR-6   11/12/2022 5280ft DIRT GOOD Allowance   Purse ($36.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
:244 :491 1:15 1:282   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAMMY'S SMILE 5 4 5 52 2nk 1nk 1nk (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 122 2.50 39% 1.60 0.90 W
MANGA MAN 7 6 6 6 5 52nk (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 124 8.00 11.30 P
SUSIE'S KID 2 3 32 3½ 4 4¼ 33 (rettele richard)CORREA L 124 3.00 19% 4.40 3.60 S
GONE IN A FLASH 6 5 4 2½ 1nk 2nk 4(gorham m)HOUGHTON D 122 6.00 11.10  
WORTHY OPPONENT 4 2 1nk 1½ 3.2 3.2 510½ (miller arizona)FELICIANO R 122 5.00 8.00  
HITE 3 7 7 7 7 610¾ 616½ (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 122 3.50 13% 6.70 4.60  
KARAMEL CORN 1 1 2nk 4 6 712¾ 721¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 10.00 33.00  
 
MVR-7   11/12/2022 5490ft DIRT GOOD nongraded Stake   Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
:25 :50 1:152 1:43   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUNT BEE 5 8 53 2nk 2nk 11 1½ (cash l)AVILES YAN 120 4.00 59% 0.70 0.70 W
11  MOBIL LADY 10 3 6 42 32 32½ (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 10.00 15.30  
14  CATABOUT 13 1 7 7 5 47 3(faulkner c)HOUGHTON D 116 8.00 12.80  
13  RUNLIKEJACKIEO 12 2 117 105 8 59 4(faulkner c)DIAZ I 117 20.00 41.30  
10  EDGE OF NIGHT 9 5 3 3 1nk 21 5(gorham m)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 5% 18.30 7.00  
12  STAR RULES 11 11 129 115 7 69 65 (huffman g)MCKEE J 123 2.50 10% 9.30 6.50  
WOLFIE'S PRINCESS 1 9 4 8 10 776 (cline c)HALDAR J 115 30.00 50.00  
EARLY BLOOMER 8 7 8 6 6 912¼ 8(barker w)STANLEY O 119 30.00 19.20  
PERFECTINGTHEVIEW 6 4 2½ 1nk 4 811¼ 910¼ (rivera nestor)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 15.00 47.10  
LEDGENDARY KITTEN 4 10 10 129 1212¼ 1016¼ 1010½ (sweeting craig)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00 32.80  
GRIZABELLA 7 12 9 9 1110¼ 1116¼ 1111¾ (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 117 15.00 5% 18.40 17.80  
MOBIL MEISTER 2 6 1½ 5 9 1218¼ 1216¾ (faulkner c)CORREA L 116 20.00 40.70  
CHLOES ANGEL 3 13 1311 1310 1314¼ 1330¼ 1325¾ (romero oscar)GONZALEZ A 115 15.00 41.50  
SCR  DIVA POWER               (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 122 20.00    
 
MVR-8   11/12/2022 3960ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT- 3:31
:233 :481 1:013     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RONNI'S WIND 3 6 4 5   5¾ 1(ballard frank)MCKEE J 122 1.20 35% 1.90 0.20 W
SALUTE THE KID 7 2 3½ 1nk   1nk 2(rettele richard)CORREA L 122 12.00 24.40  
MANDOLIN BREEZE 4 5 6 4¼   2nk 3(rettele richard)HOUGHTON D 122 15.00 20.50  
KAT TRAX 1 3 5 6   64(gorham m)DIAZ I 122 8.00 9.10  
GO GIRL 5 1 1nk 2nk   4¼ 55 (hamm timothy)AVILES YAN 117 10.00 5.20  
SWEET MOBILTEE 2 4 2nk 3.2   3.2 6(smith larry)MAYTA J 122 6.00 14% 6.30 15.30  
MORNINGBEACHWALK 6 7 7 711¾   714¾ 718½ (schuster robin)BRACHO A 122 20.00 26.20  
SCR  SWEET AS MERRIE               (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 2.00 29% 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.