Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Saturday - November 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   11/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
See original race card.
:251 :50 1:163 1:304   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MONSTER HUNTER 6 4 41½ 3.2 11½ 1nk 11¼ (faulkner c)VELEZ J 124 6.00 ★ 4.50  
5  DAWN'S LIGHT 5 2 21 2nk 31½ 2nk 21¼ (cowans william)GONZALEZ A 124 2.00 28% 2.60 1.90 P
2  HEIDI'S SINATRA 2 6 65 68¼ 54½ 41¾ 33½ (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 10.00 23.50  
4  DEXQUIRE 4 1 11 1nk 21½ 31½ 49 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 122 1.60 ★ 1.90  
1  THE PINK Z 1 3 31 41¼ 42½ 51¾ 510½ (cline robert )BRACHO A 122 4.00 23% 3.30 2.40  
3  MAYNARD G. KREBS 3 5 53 58¼ 613½ 631¾ 655¼ (cline robert)HALDAR J 122 10.00 11% 8.20 30.30  
 
MVR-2   11/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:003     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  COINCIDENTALLY 6 2 41¾ 11½   13½ 15 (skerrett jef)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 1.60 33% 2.10 0.80 W
7  BOOT LEGGER 7 3 3.2 31½   34½ 25 (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 ★ 14.90 P
4  WILDCAT BILL 4 1 1nk 21½   23½ 36¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 122 8.00 ★ 7.30 S
3  IMA BELIEVER 3 5 63¾ 54   55 47 (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 119 10.00 24.20  
5  CHARLEE'S MAGIC 5 4 2nk 42½   44½ 57¼ (trevino step)HALDAR J 124 3.00 33% 2.10 3.20  
1  SPIN DOCTOR 1 6 53¾ 66½   68 610¼ (londono odin )CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.50 12% 7.50 4.70  
2  COUNTRY RUCKUS 2 7 74 78   715 727¼ (maddox rachael)DIAZ R 124 20.00 27.60  
 
MVR-3   11/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:002     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  PAT'S KARMA 8 2 2½ 11   15 19¼ (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 40% 1.50 1.80 W
5  SWEET LEMON DROP 5 3 1½ 21   25 29¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 3.00 23% 3.30 1.00 P
4  PECKS NOT BAD 4 6 66¾ 76¼   49½ 310½ (barker w)MCKEE J 124 8.00 16.00  
1A  JOES A ROCKIN 6 5 52¾ 42   39½ 412¼ (inirio carlos)DIAZ I 124 4.00 4.60  
6  NOTHINLASTSFOREVER 7 1 3½ 32   59¾ 515¾ (tumblin andr)HALDAR J 126 15.00 ★ 31.10  
3  OLE WATASHI 3 7 76¾ 64¼   610¾ 616¼ (trevino stephen)STANLEY O 124 12.00 38.30  
2  WEEKEND BUZZ 2 4 4¾ 52¼   714¾ 722 (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 12% 7.10 11.40  
1  JACK BE FAST 1 8 831¾ 836¼   849¾ 846½ (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 4.00 ★ 4.60  
 
MVR-4   11/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
See original race card.
:243 :494 1:171 1:312   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ROCKY CHANNEL 6 5 76½ 77 61¼ 41½ 1¾ (cline robert)HALDAR J 122 8.00 4.70  
3  SIREN CALL 3 4 22½ 21½ 5¾ 51¾ 2¾ (van de)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 3.50 ★ 4.20 P
4  COSTUME JEWELRY 4 7 56 42½ 2nk 1nk 3¾ (mora)SALAZAR VICTOR 124 6.00 ★ 11.50 S
1  BIRDIE'S CHANTZ 1 6 33½ 53 4¾ 3½ 41¼ (yoder d)AVILES YAN 117 15.00 11% 8.00 7.80  
7  YOU NAME IT 7 1 44 32 1nk 2nk 51½ (gorham ro)CORREA L 122 2.50 31% 2.20 1.40  
2  LACY QUEEN 2 2 12½ 11½ 3.2 66¾ 613¼ (salcedo ramo)TERRAZA GERMAN 117 10.00 37.70  
5  PENNIESANDDIMES 5 3 66½ 67 76¼ 714¾ 725¼ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 117 2.00 31% 2.30 3.40  
 
MVR-5   11/12/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:153 1:422   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  DETERMINATOR 7 4 53 53 1nk 14 1½ (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 124 3.00 27% 2.70 2.20 W
8  JURISDICTION 8 6 65 64 52¾ 24 2½ (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 15% 5.70 4.50 P
4  FRED'S COUNTRY BOY 4 2 21½ 2½ 2nk 34 35¼ (ruberto louis )HOUGHTON D 124 4.50 27% 2.70 6.30 S
9  KING ANDRES 9 3 11½ 1½ 3½ 45½ 46¼ (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 124 8.00 5% 19.00 8.30  
5  PRECIOUS JULES 5 9 88 87 77¼ 715¾ 519½ (crumley jevon)FOX CHRIS 124 20.00 42.60  
1  CLYDE PARK 1 1 43 41½ 62¾ 513½ 620½ (londono odin)HALDAR J 124 6.00 ★ 14.80  
3  CONDUCIVE 3 8 77 76 87½ 817¼ 728 (langley joshua)YARANGA Y 124 15.00 19.80  
6  WILLY'S CASTLE 6 5 32 31½ 4¾ 613¾ 831¼ (sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 126 3.50 3.00  
2  GOD'S WILL BE DONE 2 7 910 911 911 927¼ 949 (rettel)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00 7.80  
 
MVR-6   11/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
See original race card.
:244 :491 1:15 1:282   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SAMMY'S SMILE 5 4 52¾ 52 2nk 1nk 1nk (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 122 2.50 39% 1.60 0.90 W
7  MANGA MAN 7 6 65¾ 63½ 52¼ 51¾ 2nk (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 124 8.00 ★ 11.30 P
2  SUSIE'S KID 2 3 32 3½ 41¼ 4¼ 33 (rettele r)CORREA L 124 3.00 19% 4.40 3.60 S
6  GONE IN A FLASH 6 5 42½ 2½ 1nk 2nk 44½ (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 122 6.00 11.10  
4  WORTHY OPPONENT 4 2 1nk 1½ 3.2 3.2 510½ (miller arizona)FELICIANO R 122 5.00 ★ 8.00  
3  HITE 3 7 78¾ 78½ 76¼ 610¾ 616½ (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 122 3.50 13% 6.70 4.60  
1  KARAMEL CORN 1 1 2nk 41½ 65¾ 712¾ 721¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 10.00 33.00  
 
MVR-7   11/12/2022 5490ft DIRT RC2 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
See original race card.
:25 :50 1:152 1:43   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  AUNT BEE 5 8 53 2nk 2nk 11 1½ (cash l)AVILES YAN 120 4.00 59% 0.70 0.70 W
11  MOBIL LADY 10 3 63¼ 42 32 35½ 2½ (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 10.00 15.30  
14  CATABOUT 13 1 75¼ 74¼ 53½ 47 33¼ (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 116 8.00 12.80  
13  RUNLIKEJACKIEO 12 2 117 105 86¾ 59 43½ (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 117 20.00 41.30  
10  EDGE OF NIGHT 9 5 32½ 31½ 1nk 21 54¼ (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 5% 18.30 7.00  
12  STAR RULES 11 11 129 115 75¾ 69 65 (huffman g)MCKEE J 123 2.50 10% 9.30 6.50  
1  WOLFIE'S PRINCESS 1 9 42½ 84¼ 108¼ 79¼ 76 (cline robert)HALDAR J 115 30.00 50.00  
8  EARLY BLOOMER 8 7 85¼ 63¼ 65½ 912¼ 89¾ (barker w)STANLEY O 119 30.00 19.20  
6  PERFECTINGTHEVIEW 6 4 2½ 1nk 42½ 811¼ 910¼ (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 15.00 47.10  
4  LEDGENDARY KITTEN 4 10 106½ 129 1212¼ 1016¼ 1010½ (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00 32.80  
7  GRIZABELLA 7 12 96¼ 94½ 1110¼ 1116¼ 1111¾ (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 117 15.00 5% 18.40 17.80  
2  MOBIL MEISTER 2 6 1½ 52¼ 98¼ 1218¼ 1216¾ (faulkner )CORREA L 116 20.00 40.70  
3  CHLOES ANGEL 3 13 1311 1310 1314¼ 1330¼ 1325¾ (romero oscar)GONZALEZ A 115 15.00 41.50  
SCR  DIVA POWER               (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 122 20.00 ★    
 
MVR-8   11/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT- 3:31
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:013     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  RONNI'S WIND 3 6 41½ 53¾   5¾ 11¼ (ballard frank)MCKEE J 122 1.20 35% 1.90 0.20 W
8  SALUTE THE KID 7 2 3½ 1nk   1nk 21¼ (rettele r)CORREA L 122 12.00 24.40  
5  MANDOLIN BREEZE 4 5 61¾ 4¼   2nk 33½ (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 122 15.00 20.50  
1  KAT TRAX 1 3 51¾ 66¾   66¾ 44¼ (gorham robert )DIAZ I 122 8.00 ★ 9.10  
6  GO GIRL 5 1 1nk 2nk   4¼ 55 (hamm timothy)AVILES YAN 117 10.00 ★ 5.20  
2  SWEET MOBILTEE 2 4 2nk 3.2   3.2 66½ (smith larry)MAYTA J 122 6.00 14% 6.30 15.30  
7  MORNINGBEACHWALK 6 7 78¾ 711¾   714¾ 718½ (schuster robi)BRACHO A 122 20.00 26.20  
SCR  SWEET AS MERRIE               (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 2.00 29% 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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