Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Saturday - November 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   11/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE PINK Z Oct26 Oct14 Sep21 Aug30 Jul28 (cline robert )BRACHO A 122 4.00 23% 3.30    
2  HEIDI'S SINATRA Nov03 Sep21 Aug30 Aug04 Jul12 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 10.00    
3  MAYNARD G. KREBS Oct26 Sep21 Sep08 Aug23 Aug10 (cline robert)HALDAR J 122 10.00 11% 8.20    
4  DEXQUIRE Oct26 Sep23 Aug23 Aug12 Jul21 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 122 1.60 ★    
5  DAWN'S LIGHT Sep22         (cowans william)GONZALEZ A 124 2.00 28% 2.60    
6  MONSTER HUNTER Oct24 Sep15 Aug15 Jul28 Jul13 (faulkner c)VELEZ J 124 6.00 ★    
 
MVR-2   11/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPIN DOCTOR Oct12 Sep27 Sep15 Sep05 Aug18 (londono odin )CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.50 12% 7.50    
2  COUNTRY RUCKUS Jun25 Jun15 Jun02 May17 Apr26 (maddox rachael)DIAZ R 124 20.00    
3  IMA BELIEVER Oct26 Oct14 Sep29 Aug30 Aug17 (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 119 10.00    
4  WILDCAT BILL Oct14 Oct03 Aug30 Aug04 Jul13 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 122 8.00 ★    
5  CHARLEE'S MAGIC Oct29 Oct11 Sep27 Aug04 Jul13 (trevino step)HALDAR J 124 3.00 33% 2.10    
6  COINCIDENTALLY Oct04 Sep01 Aug18 Jul18 Jun30 (skerrett jef)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 1.60 33% 2.10    
7  BOOT LEGGER Oct12 Sep26 Sep08 Aug25 Aug13 (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 ★    
 
MVR-3   11/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JACK BE FAST Oct12 Sep19 Sep08 Aug22 Aug09 (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 4.00 ★    
1A  JOES A ROCKIN Nov03 Oct11 Sep26 Aug25 Jul26 (inirio carlos)DIAZ I 124 4.00    
2  WEEKEND BUZZ Aug30 Jul28 Jul13 Jun03 Mar28 (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 12% 7.10    
3  OLE WATASHI Oct11 Sep22 Sep07 Aug23 May24 (trevino stephen)STANLEY O 124 12.00    
4  PECKS NOT BAD Sep28 Sep01 Jul22 Jun30 Jun03 (barker w)MCKEE J 124 8.00    
5  SWEET LEMON DROP Oct24 Sep19 Sep01 Aug17 Jul25 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 3.00 23% 3.30    
6  NOTHINLASTSFOREVER Oct14 Sep14 Aug30 Jul25 Jul07 (tumblin andr)HALDAR J 126 15.00 ★    
7  PAT'S KARMA Sep22 Aug17 Aug02 Jul14 Jun25 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
 
MVR-4   11/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIRDIE'S CHANTZ Oct24 Aug12 Jul12 May26 May12 (yoder d)AVILES YAN 117 15.00 11% 8.00    
2  LACY QUEEN Nov03 Sep22 Sep06 Aug31 Aug10 (salcedo ramo)TERRAZA GERMAN 117 10.00    
3  SIREN CALL Oct25 Oct04 Sep15 Aug30 Aug08 (van de)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 3.50 ★    
4  COSTUME JEWELRY Oct26 Oct12 Sep27 Sep08 Aug23 (mora)SALAZAR VICTOR 124 6.00 ★    
5  PENNIESANDDIMES Oct26 Oct12 Sep27 Sep08 Aug23 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 117 2.00 31% 2.30    
6  ROCKY CHANNEL Oct26 Oct05 Sep08 Aug26 Aug16 (cline robert)HALDAR J 122 8.00    
7  YOU NAME IT Oct12 Sep08 Aug23 Aug01 Jul13 (gorham ro)CORREA L 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
 
MVR-5   11/12/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLYDE PARK Oct12 Sep22 Sep13 Aug29 Aug18 (londono odin)HALDAR J 124 6.00 ★    
2  GOD'S WILL BE DONE Oct31 Oct12 Sep22 Sep12 Aug31 (rettel)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00    
3  CONDUCIVE Oct27 Oct05 Sep14 Sep06 Aug21 (langley joshua)YARANGA Y 124 15.00    
4  FRED'S COUNTRY BOY Oct27 Sep20 Aug10 Jul20 Jun28 (ruberto louis )HOUGHTON D 124 4.50 27% 2.70    
5  PRECIOUS JULES Oct31 Oct12 Sep28 Sep15 Sep08 (crumley jevon)FOX CHRIS 124 20.00    
6  WILLY'S CASTLE Oct27 Oct04 Sep22 Sep12 Aug25 (sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 126 3.50    
7  DETERMINATOR Oct17 Sep27 Aug29 Aug01 Apr12 (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
8  JURISDICTION Oct27 Sep30 Sep21 Aug23 Jul17 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 15% 5.70    
9  KING ANDRES Oct27 Sep26 Sep08 Aug25 Aug15 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-6   11/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KARAMEL CORN Oct12 Aug15 Jul13 Jun08   (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 10.00    
2  SUSIE'S KID Oct25 Oct10 Sep21 Sep06 Aug02 (rettele r)CORREA L 124 3.00 19% 4.40    
3  HITE Oct10 Sep28 Sep01 Jul21 Jun14 (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 122 3.50 13% 6.70    
4  WORTHY OPPONENT Oct24 Oct10 Sep15 Sep01 Aug23 (miller arizona)FELICIANO R 122 5.00 ★    
5  SAMMY'S SMILE Oct29 Sep15 Sep01 Aug13 Jul21 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 122 2.50 39% 1.60    
6  GONE IN A FLASH Oct10 Sep06 Jun25 Jun03 May25 (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 122 6.00    
7  MANGA MAN Oct10 Sep22 Sep06 Jul22 Jun25 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 124 8.00 ★    
 
MVR-7   11/12/2022 5490ft DIRT RC2 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WOLFIE'S PRINCESS Oct10 Sep23 Aug30 Aug10 Jul25 (cline robert)HALDAR J 115 30.00    
2  MOBIL MEISTER Oct03 Sep23 Aug25 Aug09 Jul25 (faulkner )CORREA L 116 20.00    
3  CHLOES ANGEL Oct29 Oct05 Sep13 Aug29 Aug01 (romero oscar)GONZALEZ A 115 15.00    
4  LEDGENDARY KITTEN Sep23 Sep07 Aug24 Jul19 Jul07 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00    
5  AUNT BEE Oct22 Oct05 Aug25 Aug09 Jul20 (cash l)AVILES YAN 120 4.00 59% 0.70    
6  PERFECTINGTHEVIEW Oct26 Oct10 Sep14 Aug13 Jul19 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 15.00    
7  GRIZABELLA Sep23 Aug04 Jul15 Jul01 May12 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 117 15.00 5% 18.40    
8  EARLY BLOOMER Sep23 Aug12 Jul19 Jul12 Mar15 (barker w)STANLEY O 119 30.00    
SCR  DIVA POWER Oct22 Apr28 Jan26     (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 122 20.00 ★    
10  EDGE OF NIGHT Aug17 Jul21 Jun02 May12 Apr28 (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 5% 18.30    
11  MOBIL LADY Oct29 Sep23 Aug17 Jul21 Jun13 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 10.00    
12  STAR RULES Sep23 Aug30 Aug08 Jul12 May25 (huffman g)MCKEE J 123 2.50 10% 9.30    
13  RUNLIKEJACKIEO Oct31 Oct05 Jul19 Jul01 Jun06 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 117 20.00    
14  CATABOUT Oct05 Sep23 Aug29 Aug13 Aug01 (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 116 8.00    
 
MVR-8   11/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAT TRAX Oct29 Oct06 Sep29     (gorham robert )DIAZ I 122 8.00 ★    
2  SWEET MOBILTEE Oct29 Oct10 Sep21     (smith larry)MAYTA J 122 6.00 14% 6.30    
SCR  SWEET AS MERRIE Oct10 Sep21 Aug24     (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 2.00 29% 2.50    
4  RONNI'S WIND Oct29 Oct06 Sep23 Sep12   (ballard frank)MCKEE J 122 1.20 35% 1.90    
5  MANDOLIN BREEZE Oct31 Oct13 Sep29 Sep05   (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 122 15.00    
6  GO GIRL Oct29 Sep29 Sep14 Aug31 Jul28 (hamm timothy)AVILES YAN 117 10.00 ★    
7  MORNINGBEACHWALK         (schuster robi)BRACHO A 122 20.00    
8  SALUTE THE KID         (rettele r)CORREA L 122 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.