Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Fort Erie
Monday - October 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   10/17/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.23K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:224 :454       :582   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FUN COOL 3 2 1½ 11½   12 13½ (warner k)MAILHOT P 118 4.00 ★ 2.70  
5  LINDA LOVES LACE 5 5 52½ 43   43 23½ (po)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 2.50 15% 5.60 2.70 P
1  SOMEONE ELSE 1 1 2½ 31½   22 33¾ (ritchi)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 1.80 13% 6.60 2.55 S
4  LIME 4 3 3½ 21½   32 46¼ (robillard jul)HERNANDEZ K 120 3.50 45% 1.20 1.85  
2  NEW YORK COMMANDER 2 4 42 56   55½ 57¼ (mustoe)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 5.00 ★ 23.05  
 
FE-2   10/17/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.23K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:33
See original race card.
:244 :492 1:143 1:40   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  THE NEWFIE EXPRESS 5 3 42 21 2nk 2nk 1nk (robill)ALDERSON IAN 122 3.50 ★ 2.10  
2  DIAMONDBACK 2 1 11 11 1nk 1nk 2nk (wieczorek ken)PINTO MELANIE 122 2.00 42% 1.40 4.70 P
4  HALF LIT 4 2 31 31 31 31 31½ (keen h)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 8.00 ★ 10.60 S
1  DETERMINATOR 1 4 21 41¼ 41¼ 41½ 43¼ (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 5.00 28% 2.60 3.15  
3  CRYPTIC CREED 3 5 54 53¼ 51¼ 58 516¼ (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 118 1.60 ★ 1.60  
 
FE-3   10/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:01
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:114     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CASSIE'S RAINBOW 3 4 12 14   14½ 18½ (davies)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 4.00 42% 1.40 2.15 W
1  MORE SAVVY 1 6 55½ 56¼   35½ 28½ (siddo barringto)MORENO OMAR 120 3.00 ★ 5.10 P
2  SWEET FINALE 2 5 45½ 34   24½ 38½ (buttigieg kev)PINTO MELANIE 120 4.50 14% 6.00 5.65 S
4  FLECK 4 2 69½ 615¼   68 411¾ (bu)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 3.50 ★ 19.00  
6  SHOW SOME SKIN 6 3 33½ 24   45½ 512¾ (capi m)CRAWFORD J 120 10.00 13% 6.90 3.20  
5  REIGN BY REIN 5 1 22 44¼   56½ 614¾ (ezra d)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.50 2.40  
 
FE-4   10/17/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($14.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:29
See original race card.
:232 :471       1:00   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  STORMIN' HUMOR 6 6 1½ 13   13½ 15 (co)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 6.00 ★ 0.90  
3  MISTER M V P 3 2 76 64¾   34½ 25 (wills )ALDERSON IAN 120 8.00 12% 7.70 6.05 P
1  NO MORE 1 1 33½ 23   23½ 37 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 118 3.00 24% 3.10 3.40 S
5  CANT GLIDE BY KATZ 5 5 54½ 54¼   46 47½ (robillard jul)HERNANDEZ K 116 10.00 56.35  
4  INFINITELY KATZ 4 4 44 44   56½ 511 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 118 8.00 12% 7.60 20.35  
2  MIGHTY PELE 2 3 65 77¾   710 614½ (banach d)MAILHOT P 115 4.00 8.40  
7  AND ME TOO 7 7 2½ 33   66½ 719¼ (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 2.00 26% 2.90 5.55  
 
FE-5   10/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.23K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:222 :453 :582     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TOO LEGIT 3 3 610 57½   32½ 11¼ (mcknight norman)JADOO STEVE 120 3.00 22% 3.50 3.30 W
4  PAPERBACK HERO 4 6 712 78¾   53½ 21¼ (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 122 4.00 13% 6.50 1.95 P
6  WILD RIVER WOLF 6 2 22½ 22½   21 31¾ (robillard jul)HERNANDEZ K 118 15.00 11.75  
1  ROYAL BIZ 1 1 12½ 12½   11 43½ (siddo barrington)SALLES LEO 120 2.00 23% 3.30 3.30  
2  YZERMAN 2 7 59½ 68½   64 53½ (lister steven)DEFREITAS C 120 12.00 ★ 4.15  
5  READY AT DAWN 5 4 35½ 35½   43½ 67 (ezra d)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00 10% 9.10 16.35  
7  THELONIOUS 7 5 47 47½   75 715¾ (raghunath ravend)CRAWFORD J 118 5.00 12.35  
 
FE-6   10/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.168K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:132     1:202   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  OUR SOUPER LOVE 4 1 1nk 12½   13 17¾ (depaulo michael )SALLES LEO 118 1.60 16% 5.20 0.30 W
6  MOHAYMEN DAY 5 2 2nk 22½   23 27¾ (parente pat)HERNANDEZ K 118 4.00 16% 5.30 8.35 DQ↓4
3  SMART IRENE 3 4 45 46   44 39¼ (albu ken)CRAWFORD J 118 12.00 26.35  
1  SEAQUELLE 1 3 33 34½   34 410¼ (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.50 36% 1.80 4.50 S
7  BRIENNE OF TARTH 6 5 57½ 511   56½ 514½ (robill)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 20.00 8% 11.90 9.20 DQ↓6
2  RIGHT MATTERS 2 6 68 611½   67 617¼ (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 118 15.00 34.95  
SCR  CONGRATS EXTENSION               (neubau)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 4.50 ★    
 
FE-7   10/17/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:53
See original race card.
:223 :452       :574   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SHAKOO MAKOO 1 5 11 11   11½ 13½ (alders)ALDERSON IAN 122 1.80 52% 0.90 0.50 W
4  BE THE CHANGE 3 4 21 21   21½ 23½ (siddo barringt)JOHNSON KIRK 120 5.00 14% 6.00 11.45 P
5  SILENCE BREAKERS 4 3 31½ 32½   33½ 34½ (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 120 2.50 ★ 2.15 S
3  BRADY O'BRADY 2 6 611 66½   45 47¼ (siddo barrington)MAILHOT P 120 12.00 45.40  
6  GLITTER MOUNTAIN 5 2 41½ 44½   56 59¾ (widenmaier me)JOHNSON DEVON 120 15.00 ★ 38.05  
7  WONNEFRAC 6 1 53 56   66 610 (humber joseph)HERNANDEZ K 122 8.00 7.95  
SCR  ALLABOUTTHEDRAMA               (loescher paula)CRAWFORD J 117 4.50 ★    
 
FE-8   10/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($24.108K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
See original race card.
:231 :472 :594     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUIGU STAR 1 6 68¼ 64¾   3½ 11½ (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 122 2.50 31% 2.20 4.45 W
6  ACTION POINT 5 3 44¼ 32½   2nk 21½ (da)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 8.00 4.55  
3  WORKIN OUT 3 5 55¼ 53¼   51¼ 33¼ (giliforte la)ALDERSON NIKKI 115 5.00 0.90  
5  ORPHAN HALLIE 4 4 2nk 2nk   1nk 44 (raghunath ravend)SALLES LEO 120 6.00 7% 13.30 7.55  
2  M C JACKHAMMER 2 1 1nk 1nk   4¾ 511¼ (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 4.00 9% 9.70 6.80  
7  BABY LUNA 6 2 3.2 43   65¼ 631 (williams noel )JOHNSON KIRK 117 12.00 ★ 12.80  
SCR  QUIET WYATT               (voyce jeff)CRAWFORD J 118 3.00 25% 3.10    
 
FE-9   10/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.756K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:49
See original race card.
:232 :471 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SASSYWITHATTITUDE 1 1 12 11   12½ 18 (raghunath ravend)SALLES LEO 118 3.00 33% 2.00 0.90 W
6  DEVIL IN HER HEART 6 5 22 21   22½ 28 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 118 4.00 15% 5.60 5.65 P
3  TERRIFIC LADY 3 3 44 46½   47½ 39¾ (robillard jul)HERNANDEZ K 116 6.00 12.75  
5  ROAD MAP 5 2 32 35   35½ 412¼ (siddo )ALDERSON IAN 120 2.00 21% 3.80 4.45  
4  ONLY BELIEVE 4 7 55 57½   68½ 512¾ (co)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 5.00 ★ 8.80  
2  BABY DRIVER 2 6 66 68   58½ 616¾ (tomlinson norm)JOHNSON KIRK 118 15.00 8% 12.30 40.40  
7  DAZZLING DIVA 7 4 78½ 711   712½ 7100 (albu ken)PINTO MELANIE 118 12.00 5.65  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.