The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Fort Erie
Monday - October 24, 2022

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FE-1   10/24/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($14.7K) 3UP M/F PT-12:25
:242 :481 1:133 1:413   1:49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MILWAUKEE BAY 4 4 22 2 2 1nk 1(wills daniel)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 2.00 20% 4.10 0.20 W
CLOUD RUNNER 5 1 12 1 1 2nk 2(loescher paula)MAILHOT P 118 3.50 8.15 P
HIPPIE CHICK 1 2 3 4 38 35 310½ (tomlinson norman)ALDERSON IAN 120 3.00 37% 1.70 7.30 S
MADAMME IN LOVE 2 3 44 3 411½ 49 424½ (davis m)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 2.50 17% 5.00 7.50  
OOPSY 3 5 510 515½ 516½ 513½ 541 (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 118 6.00 20.45  
 
FE-2   10/24/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.23K) 3UP ALL PT-12:53
:223 :454 :584     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOO LEGIT 3 6 5 4   2nk 1½ (robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 122 1.60 3.95  
GLITTER MOUNTAIN 6 2 2nk 11   1nk 2½ (widenmaier mel)JOHNSON DEVON 122 20.00 5% 19.00 6.00 P
BE THE CHANGE 4 5 45 5   42 32 (siddo barrington)JOHNSON KIRK 122 2.50 31% 2.20 1.05 DQ↓5
READY AT DAWN 2 3 33 32   31 4(ezra daryl)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 12.00 18.75 S
BRADY O'BRADY 5 4 66 65   55(siddo barrington)MAILHOT P 122 15.00 3.90  
UNION COLONEL 1 1 1nk 21   66(newland george)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 4.50 43% 1.30 6.55  
SCR  KOZY KAT               (newland george)CRAWFORD J 119 4.00    
 
FE-3   10/24/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($18.522K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:21
:23 :464 :59     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANT BEAT THE KATZ 7 1 1½ 1nk   12 1(robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 116 3.00 3.05  
PAPA'S SILVER 3 5 2½ 2nk   22 2(widenmaier mel)JOHNSON DEVON 120 2.00 31% 2.20 0.95 P
HI AST POWER 4 8 7 44   3311½ (chubb beverley)CRAWFORD J 120 12.00 15% 5.50 6.20 S
MIZZ GEMMA 1 7 3 65   56 411¾ (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 118 6.00 16% 5.20 11.05  
MISS SCHILLER 2 6 42 33   4512¾ (humber joseph)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 12.00 9% 10.40 10.45  
MY LAST DREAM 5 3 52 5   6615¼ (widenmaier mel)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 4.00 13.05  
WICKEN CENTS 6 4 87 8   78 715¾ (bennett d)ALDERSON IAN 118 20.00 56.65  
SUNDAY VISIT 8 2 6 76   8817¼ (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 118 8.00 18.10  
 
FE-4   10/24/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.23K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:49
:231 :47 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RADCLIFFE 1 3 21 1nk   11 1(siddo barrington)SALLES LEO 118 10.00 3.75  
STORMIN' HUMOR 5 6 5 2nk   21 2(cohen michael)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 3.00 18% 4.40 1.00 P
C BY THE SEA 2 4 11 3½   33(agostino george)BUCHANAN Z 120 4.50 7.30 S
THY KINGDOM 4 2 6 6   646 (albu ken)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.50 34% 1.90 3.00  
CORE 7 1 31 42   44 56 (warner k)MAILHOT P 120 8.00 15% 5.90 11.55  
WAR DOCTOR 3 5 4 53   56(cohen michael)KING MARIE 120 10.00 31.05  
KING OF AWESOME 6 7 7 78   777 (albu ken)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00 35.45  
SCR  MISTER M V P               (wills daniel)ALDERSON IAN 120 8.00 11% 8.20    
 
FE-5   10/24/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($24.108K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:17
:23 :452 :573     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DILETTANTE 2 3 42 42   4¾ 1¼ (drexler martin)ALDERSON IAN 120 4.00 37% 1.70 4.15 W
DYNAMITE KARMA 6 6 6 5   1nk 2¼ (mileni nick)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.00 3.40 P
STRIKING MOON 5 5 5 6   53¼ (mileni nick)KING MARIE 120 6.00 13% 6.50 2.15 S
LETTING LOOSE 3 7 8 7   64(agostino george)BUCHANAN Z 118 8.00 10.00  
ACE DESTROYER 8 1 31 21   2nk 5(siddo barrington)SALLES LEO 118 3.50 8% 11.50 3.45  
BAHAMIAN DUDE 4 4 2½ 11   3½ 6(davis m)MAILHOT P 120 5.00 9.45  
CRAFTY CONQUEST 7 8 7 8   77(robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 120 10.00 7% 13.00 32.30  
RED MAPLE 1 2 1½ 31   812¼ 823½ (humber joseph)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 12.00 35.95  
 
FE-6   10/24/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
:224 :461 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONEY MATTERS 7 5 11 12   13 1(powell a)DAVID MICHAEL 120 2.00 43% 1.30 1.25 W
CRYPTIC CREED 4 9 9 84   42(albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 118 3.00 18.85  
CAPTAIN SIDNEY 6 2 6 22   23 3(carter doug)PINTO MELANIE 118 15.00 8% 10.80 9.20 S
FIRST SPRING 1 6 32 5   34 44 (desouza bancroft)SALLES LEO 118 15.00 5.40  
LOQUACIOUS 3 8 8 7   76 5(davis m)CRAWFORD J 122 6.00 16% 5.20 4.65  
PATIO PARTY 2 4 42 6   55 66 (robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 118 8.00 8.40  
BREATHLESSNTHESAND 5 7 7 94   6711 (humber joseph)MORENO OMAR 120 20.00 11.10  
DE ONLY SOLUTION 8 1 21 4   8814 (raghunath b)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 4.00 11.50  
PIERIAN 9 3 5 32   97 919¼ (newland george)BOULANGER CHANCE 115 20.00 57.05  
 
FE-7   10/24/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.756K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:13
:232 :462 1:11     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WICKED CRAZY 3 3 2nk 1nk   11(mileni nick)KING MARIE 118 2.50 2.40  
MAXIMUM DANGER 9 4 5 3½   32(newland george)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 3.00 46% 1.20 2.70 P
DOINGGOODTROUBLE 6 1 1nk 2nk   23(humber joseph)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 6.00 4.30  
THELONIOUS 5 2 4¾ 42   42 4(raghunath b)SALLES LEO 118 20.00 33.30  
BOCELLI 2 9 8 9   855 (keen howard)PINTO MELANIE 120 12.00 12% 7.60 31.25  
DR CHAPPELL 4 7 6 6   53 6(pion sylvain)CAMPOS LUIS 118 15.00 6.95  
SOUPER PRONTO 1 6 3½ 5   67(desouza bancroft)JADOO STEVE 118 4.00 13% 6.80 9.25  
CRUMLIN EXPERIENCE 8 5 9 8   9811¾ (simms c)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 8.00 8.25  
ABSTEMIOUS 7 8 7 7   76 912¾ (voyce jeff)CRAWFORD J 118 10.00 8% 12.20 14.45  
 
FE-8   10/24/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.435K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:41
:23 :462 :591     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A. A. SWEET CHILLI 3 1 12 1   11 1(desruisseaux a)CAMPOS LUIS 118 4.50 14% 6.20 1.35 W
MUMBLEBEE 4 2 43 44   32 2(mcknight norman)DEFREITAS C 118 3.00 2.75  
PENNIESFROMABOVE 1 3 22 2   21 3(steer tom)ALDERSON IAN 120 6.00 12% 7.10 8.00 S
SPEEDY FIRE 5 4 32 3   42 45 (mitchell m)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.50 25% 3.00 4.20  
CHALDEA 2 6 6 54   55(robillard julie)SALLES LEO 120 20.00 5% 19.00 20.50  
BETTABE SWIFT 7 8 7 66   66(robillard julie)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00 18% 4.50 6.85  
CRUMLIN JET 8 5 5 7   7712¾ (chudobiak gary)JOHNSON KIRK 118 15.00 70.60  
SILENT BUT VIOLENT 6 7 8 812¼   812¼ 822 (robillard josh)MORENO OMAR 118 20.00 33.75  
SCR  CHANCEWORTHTAKING               (raghunath eric)BUCHANAN Z 118 10.00    
SCR  DONTCALLMESWEETY               (newland george)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 8.00    
 
FE-9   10/24/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
:241 :474 1:124 1:382   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNSPEAKABLE 5 1 1½ 11 1 13 1(capi m)RAMSAMMY E 118 10.00 19.70  
FOUR BOUNCE 3 3 3 3 3 23 2(humber joseph)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 5.00 9% 9.60 4.40 P
SPIRAL STORM 6 5 910 9 7 337 (powell a)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 10.00 3.90  
SMARTY ILLUSION 1 7 7 68 6 45 411¾ (pion sylvain)CRAWFORD J 115 20.00 10.40  
MAYITO 2 6 6 7 88 8511¾ (loescher paula)PINTO MELANIE 118 8.00 24% 3.10 5.20  
SANTIAGO SALSA 9 10 1015 1013¼ 9 66 612 (keen howard)BUCHANAN Z 118 20.00 17.15  
MY BOY CHRISTIAN 8 8 55 5 5 55 714¼ (desouza bancroft)JADOO STEVE 120 3.50 41% 1.40 6.25  
10  ASCOT BAY 10 4 43 4 4 7814½ (wills daniel)ALDERSON IAN 118 6.00 12.90  
SHAMBO 7 2 2½ 21 2 9917 (newland george)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 2.50 3.25  
SENSIBLE PORTIONS 4 9 8 8 1012½ 101029½ (siddo barrington)JOHNSON KIRK 118 15.00 46.15  
 
FE-10   10/24/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.874K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:37
:223 :454 :581     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CEFALO 2 7 10 87   311 (siddo barrington)MORENO OMAR 118 12.00 12.35  
GIMBALA 7 8 53 2   21 21 (simms c)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 3.00 13% 6.90 1.00 P
FRESH DREAMS 4 5 64 76   432 (newland george)PINTO MELANIE 118 10.00 16.85  
PINO IN A PURSE 8 9 7 54   542 (griffith ricky)ALDERSON IAN 120 4.00 15% 5.70 7.85  
10  FUN COOL 10 3 11 1   11 5(warner k)MAILHOT P 118 6.00 22% 3.60 20.20  
DREAMINOFPASSION 1 4 4 65   76(albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 118 8.00 9% 10.60 6.20  
PRINCESS HALIME 9 10 3 4   87(voyce jeff)CRAWFORD J 120 5.00 5.35  
SHANGHAI KIMMY 3 2 21 3   68(siddo barrington)SALLES LEO 118 10.00 10.25  
SUBZERO PLUS 6 1 9 9   99(powell a)DAVID MICHAEL 120 12.00 11% 8.40 78.45  
SEA ANNA DREAM 5 6 8 1011¼   101015¼ (cohen michael)JOHNSON DEVON 118 20.00 42.35  
 
FE-11   10/24/2022 10770ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.108K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
:474 1:404 2:364 3:043 3:31 3:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRINITY GOLD 2 923½ 914 4 12 1nk 1(newland george)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 15.00 14.60  
10  SEVENTYSEVEN STONE 9 818½ 56 6 44 2nk 2(lepiane paul)CHERNETZ SKYE 120 4.00 33% 2.00 0.95 P
THE NEWFIE EXPRESS 5 34 710½ 712½ 5314½ (robillard josh)ALDERSON IAN 118 8.00 15.50  
CLASSY MISTRESS 8 58 67 56 6 36 415¼ (meli salvatore)KING MARIE 117 15.00 25.65  
ICE FLOE 6 12 14 11 22 4522¼ (robillard julie)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 110 15.00 37.95  
GRANDGRAN 7 46 3 34 55 6622½ (meyers shane)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 3.50 20% 3.90 9.50  
HIATUS 4 22 24 21 34 728¾ 7100 (voyce jeff)BUCHANAN Z 120 2.50 23% 3.30 1.80  
DOODLE DANDY 1 711½ 811 812½ 820½ 8100 8100 (hoad lindsey)SALLES LEO 117 30.00 74.70  
TIZ MY RIGHT 3 611½ 7 924½ 942½ 9100 9100 (keen howard)MORENO OMAR 115 12.00 22.15  
SCR  JEGOS FIRE               (holder tedston)HEIN NICOLE 115 5.00    
 
FE-12   10/24/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.756K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:33
:231 :454 1:114     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PURE ELEGANCE 1 9 64 35   23 1(davis m)MAILHOT P 118 8.00 26% 2.80 5.40 W
J M R GEMMA 4 4 1½ 14   13 2(newland george)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 6.00 21% 3.70 3.15 P
11  CRUMLIN BIRD 9 7 77 710½   53(agostino george)BUCHANAN Z 118 20.00 32.60  
10  DIVINE GENESIS 8 1 53 46   445 (parente pat)SALLES LEO 118 4.00 2.70  
HONEY GIRL 2 8 88 813½   75(widenmaier mel)PINTO MELANIE 118 10.00 13.10  
SASSYWITHATTITUDE 3 3 2½ 24   33 6(raghunath b)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 4.50 15% 5.50 5.70  
FLAWLESS PINK 7 5 42 6   6711 (davis m)KING MARIE 118 20.00 18.95  
LINDA LOVES LACE 6 2 98 915   9812¾ (powell a)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 15.00 5% 19.00 11.65  
RIDE THE WIND 5 6 3 56   89100 (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 120 20.00 5% 19.00 5.05  
SCR  IS THERE A FOREST               (chircop steven)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.00    
SCR  PRINCESS LAVENDER               (rabstein s)ALDERSON IAN 118 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.