Handicappers' Racing Form

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Fort Erie
Monday - October 24, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FE-1   10/24/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($14.7K) 3UP M/F PT-12:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIPPIE CHICK Oct04 Sep06 Aug14 Jul19 Jul09 (tomlinso)ALDERSON IAN 120 3.00 37% 1.70    
MADAMME IN LOVE Oct04 Aug12 Jul22     (davis ri)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 2.50 17% 5.00    
OOPSY Oct04 Sep06       (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 118 6.00    
MILWAUKEE BAY Oct11 Sep13 Aug18 Jul21 Jul01 (wills da)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 2.00 20% 4.10    
CLOUD RUNNER Oct04 Sep20 Jun16 May31 May15 (loescher paula)MAILHOT P 118 3.50    
 
FE-2   10/24/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.23K) 3UP ALL PT-12:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KOZY KAT Oct10 Oct04 Sep12 Aug29 Aug16 (newland george)CRAWFORD J 119 4.00    
UNION COLONEL Oct11 Sep27 Aug29 Jul22 Jul05 (newland )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 4.50 43% 1.30    
READY AT DAWN Oct17 Oct11 Sep20 Sep12 Aug30 (ezra dar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 12.00    
TOO LEGIT Oct17 Oct09 Sep09 Jul29 Jul08 (robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 122 1.60    
BE THE CHANGE Oct17 Oct11 Sep27 Sep06 Aug02 (siddo barrington)JOHNSON KIRK 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
BRADY O'BRADY Oct17 Sep27 Sep06 Aug23 Aug09 (siddo barrington)MAILHOT P 122 15.00    
GLITTER MOUNTAIN Oct17 Oct04 Aug30 Aug16 Aug02 (widenmaier mel)JOHNSON DEVON 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-3   10/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($18.522K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIZZ GEMMA Oct04 Sep20 Aug23 Aug08 Jul19 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 118 6.00 16% 5.20    
MISS SCHILLER Oct11         (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 12.00 9% 10.40    
PAPA'S SILVER Oct04 Sep20 Sep06 Aug23 Aug16 (widenmaier mel)JOHNSON DEVON 120 2.00 31% 2.20    
HI AST POWER         (chubb beverley)CRAWFORD J 120 12.00 15% 5.50    
MY LAST DREAM Oct03 Sep20 Sep05 Aug22 Aug16 (widenmai)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 4.00    
WICKEN CENTS Oct10 Sep20 Sep05 Aug09 Jun27 (bennett )ALDERSON IAN 118 20.00    
CANT BEAT THE KATZ Oct04         (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 116 3.00    
SUNDAY VISIT Oct11 Sep29 Sep15 Aug25 Aug04 (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 118 8.00    
 
FE-4   10/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.23K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RADCLIFFE Oct03 Sep20 Sep05 Aug08 Jul26 (siddo barrington)SALLES LEO 118 10.00    
SCR  MISTER M V P Oct17 Oct04 Aug19 Jul22 Jun30 (wills da)ALDERSON IAN 120 8.00 11% 8.20    
C BY THE SEA Oct03 Sep20 Sep05 Aug23 Jul26 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 120 4.50    
WAR DOCTOR Oct10 Oct04 Aug14 Aug09 Jul25 (cohen michae)KING MARIE 120 10.00    
THY KINGDOM Oct03 Sep20 Sep12 Aug30 Aug14 (albu ken)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.50 34% 1.90    
STORMIN' HUMOR Oct17 Oct04 Sep06 Jul26 Jul10 (cohe)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 3.00 18% 4.40    
KING OF AWESOME Oct03 Sep19 Sep05 Aug14 Aug01 (albu ken)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00    
CORE Oct11 Oct04 Sep05 Aug23 Aug01 (warner k)MAILHOT P 120 8.00 15% 5.90    
 
FE-5   10/24/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($24.108K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED MAPLE Oct10 Sep27 Sep13 Aug22 Jul26 (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 12.00    
DILETTANTE Oct04 Sep13 Aug30 Aug16 Aug02 (drexler )ALDERSON IAN 120 4.00 37% 1.70    
LETTING LOOSE Oct04 Sep13 Aug16 Aug05 Jun28 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 118 8.00    
BAHAMIAN DUDE Oct10 Aug16 Jul25 Jun21 May20 (davis m)MAILHOT P 120 5.00    
STRIKING MOON Sep13 Aug23 Jul28 Jun27 Jun21 (mileni nick)KING MARIE 120 6.00 13% 6.50    
DYNAMITE KARMA Oct04 Sep02 Jul24 Jul07 Jun10 (mileni nick)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.00    
CRAFTY CONQUEST Oct04 Sep13 Sep02 Jul31 Jul15 (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 120 10.00 7% 13.00    
ACE DESTROYER Oct04 Sep13 Aug14 Jun27 May31 (siddo barrington)SALLES LEO 118 3.50 8% 11.50    
 
FE-6   10/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRST SPRING Oct01 Sep05 Jul29 Jul08 Jun19 (desouza bancroft)SALLES LEO 118 15.00    
PATIO PARTY Oct04 Sep27 Sep05 Aug29 Aug08 (robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 118 8.00    
LOQUACIOUS Oct03 Aug23 Aug01 Jul17 Jul04 (davis m)CRAWFORD J 122 6.00 16% 5.20    
CRYPTIC CREED Oct17 Oct11 Oct01 Sep18 Jul29 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 118 3.00    
BREATHLESSNTHESAND Sep30 Sep05 Aug16 Aug01 Jul26 (humber joseph)MORENO OMAR 120 20.00    
CAPTAIN SIDNEY Oct03 Aug23 Aug02 Jul17 Jul04 (carter doug)PINTO MELANIE 118 15.00 8% 10.80    
MONEY MATTERS Sep27 Sep13 Aug23 Aug05 Jun28 (powell a)DAVID MICHAEL 120 2.00 43% 1.30    
DE ONLY SOLUTION Oct03 Sep13 Aug30 Aug02 Jul15 (raghunat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 4.00    
PIERIAN Oct10         (newl)BOULANGER CHANCE 115 20.00    
 
FE-7   10/24/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.756K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUPER PRONTO Oct10 Sep25 Aug27 Aug13 Jul07 (desouza bancroft)JADOO STEVE 118 4.00 13% 6.80    
BOCELLI (IRE) Oct11 Oct03 Sep19 Sep05 Aug22 (keen howard)PINTO MELANIE 120 12.00 12% 7.60    
WICKED CRAZY Oct03 Aug29 Aug18 Jul24 Jun26 (mileni nick)KING MARIE 118 2.50    
DR CHAPPELL Aug04 Jul22 Jun18 Jun05   (pion sylvain)CAMPOS LUIS 118 15.00    
THELONIOUS Oct17 Oct04 Sep12 Aug30 Aug14 (raghunath ravendra)SALLES LEO 118 20.00    
DOINGGOODTROUBLE Oct15 Sep23 Sep04 Aug20 Jul22 (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 6.00    
ABSTEMIOUS Oct11 Sep27 Sep20 Sep12 Aug30 (voyce jeff)CRAWFORD J 118 10.00 8% 12.20    
CRUMLIN EXPERIENCE Oct11 Sep27 Sep05 Aug04 Jul12 (simm)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 8.00    
MAXIMUM DANGER Oct03 Sep01 Aug19 Jul19 Jul08 (newland )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 3.00 46% 1.20    
 
FE-8   10/24/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.435K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:41
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PENNIESFROMABOVE Oct10 Sep27 Sep13 Aug08 Jul05 (steer to)ALDERSON IAN 120 6.00 12% 7.10    
CHALDEA Oct10 Oct03 Jul17 Jun27   (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
A. A. SWEET CHILLI Oct03 Sep16 Jul29 Jul09 Jun16 (desruisseaux)CAMPOS LUIS 118 4.50 14% 6.20    
MUMBLEBEE Oct13 Sep02 Aug06 Jul16 Jun26 (mcknight norman)DEFREITAS C 118 3.00    
SPEEDY FIRE Oct03 Sep27 Sep06 Aug09 Jul17 (mitchell m)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  DONTCALLMESWEETY Oct13 Sep13 Aug23 Aug14 Jul26 (newland )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 8.00    
SILENT BUT VIOLENT Oct04 Sep20 Aug09 Jul26 Jun27 (robillard josh)MORENO OMAR 118 20.00    
BETTABE SWIFT Oct10 Sep29 Jul16 Jun23 May22 (robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00 18% 4.50    
CRUMLIN JET Oct03 Sep20 Aug22 Aug09 Jul17 (chudobiak gary)JOHNSON KIRK 118 15.00    
SCR  CHANCEWORTHTAKING Oct10 Sep27 Sep13 Aug29 Aug04 (raghunath )BUCHANAN Z 118 10.00    
 
FE-9   10/24/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMARTY ILLUSION Oct11 Sep24 Sep04 Jul30 Jul07 (pion sylvain)CRAWFORD J 115 20.00    
MAYITO Oct03 Sep18 Aug29     (loescher paula)PINTO MELANIE 118 8.00 24% 3.10    
FOUR BOUNCE Oct15 Sep25 Sep11 Aug13 Jul31 (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 5.00 9% 9.60    
SENSIBLE PORTIONS Sep19 Aug08 Jul25 Jun28 Jun11 (siddo barrington)JOHNSON KIRK 118 15.00    
UNSPEAKABLE Oct07 Sep20 Sep01 Aug04 Jul15 (capi m)RAMSAMMY E 118 10.00    
SPIRAL STORM Sep20 Aug30 Jul10 Jun11 May19 (powe)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 10.00    
SHAMBO Oct11 Sep27 Sep15 Jul26 Jul11 (newland )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 2.50    
MY BOY CHRISTIAN Oct03 Sep23 Sep11 Jul22 Jun30 (desouza bancroft)JADOO STEVE 120 3.50 41% 1.40    
SANTIAGO SALSA Oct04 Jul26 Feb09     (keen howar)BUCHANAN Z 118 20.00    
10  ASCOT BAY Oct04 Sep13 Aug29 Aug19 Jul24 (wills da)ALDERSON IAN 118 6.00    
 
FE-10   10/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.874K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:37
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAMINOFPASSION Sep20 Sep05 Aug16 Jul25 Jul11 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 118 8.00 9% 10.60    
CEFALO Aug04 Jul14 Jun25 May26 Apr30 (siddo barrington)MORENO OMAR 118 12.00    
SHANGHAI KIMMY Sep20 Aug22 Aug09 Jul25 Jun14 (siddo barrington)SALLES LEO 118 10.00    
FRESH DREAMS Oct04         (newland george)PINTO MELANIE 118 10.00    
SEA ANNA DREAM Oct06 Sep05 Aug08 Jul17 Jun27 (cohen michael)NICHOLLS KEVEH 118 20.00    
SUBZERO PLUS Sep19 Sep12 Aug22 Aug08 Jul11 (powell a)DAVID MICHAEL 120 12.00 11% 8.40    
GIMBALA Oct06 Sep13 Aug30 Aug16 Jun28 (simm)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 3.00 13% 6.90    
PINO IN A PURSE Oct06 Sep20 Sep09 Aug16 Jul28 (griffith)ALDERSON IAN 120 4.00 15% 5.70    
PRINCESS HALIME Oct06 Sep13 Aug30 Aug08 Jul30 (voyce jeff)CRAWFORD J 120 5.00    
10  FUN COOL Oct17 Oct10 Aug22 Aug16 Aug02 (warner k)MAILHOT P 118 6.00 22% 3.60    
 
FE-11   10/24/2022 10770ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.108K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOODLE DANDY Oct03 Sep19 Sep13 Aug30 Aug22 (hoad lindsey)SALLES LEO 117 30.00    
TRINITY GOLD Oct01 Sep10 Jul29 Jun23 Jun03 (newl)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 15.00    
TIZ MY RIGHT Sep13 Aug14 Aug01 Jul19 Jun28 (keen howard)MORENO OMAR 115 12.00    
HIATUS Sep12 Aug29 Aug04 Jul26 Jul11 (voyce jeff)BUCHANAN Z 120 2.50 23% 3.30    
SCR  JEGOS FIRE Oct16 Oct02 Aug16 Jul29 Jul08 (holder tedston)HEIN NICOLE 115 5.00    
THE NEWFIE EXPRESS Oct17 Oct11 Sep22 Sep05 Jul08 (robillar)ALDERSON IAN 118 8.00    
ICE FLOE Oct03 Sep19 Aug30 Aug11 Jul16 (robillar)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 110 15.00    
GRANDGRAN Sep19 Aug31 Aug04 Jul13   (meyers s)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 3.50 20% 3.90    
CLASSY MISTRESS Oct04 Sep20 Sep05 Aug30 Aug16 (meli salvato)KING MARIE 117 15.00    
10  SEVENTYSEVEN STONE Oct14 Sep11 Aug14 Jul23 Jul03 (lepiane paul)CHERNETZ SKYE 120 4.00 33% 2.00    
 
FE-12   10/24/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.756K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PRINCESS LAVENDER Oct11 Oct03 Sep20 Aug22 Aug11 (rabstein)ALDERSON IAN 118 10.00    
PURE ELEGANCE Oct03 Aug30 Aug08 Jun30 Jun09 (davis m)MAILHOT P 118 8.00 26% 2.80    
HONEY GIRL Oct10 Sep19 Aug23 Aug09 Jul17 (widenmaier mel)PINTO MELANIE 118 10.00    
SASSYWITHATTITUDE Oct17 Oct04 Sep12 Aug23 Jul21 (raghunath rave)NICHOLLS KEVEH 118 4.50 15% 5.50    
J M R GEMMA Oct10 Sep27 Sep13 Aug14 Jul25 (newland )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 6.00 21% 3.70    
RIDE THE WIND Oct10 Sep16 Aug27 Jul21 Jul09 (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
LINDA LOVES LACE Oct17 Oct03 Sep27 Sep06 Aug23 (powe)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
FLAWLESS PINK Sep27 Sep13 Aug09 Jul29 Jun26 (davis richar)KING MARIE 118 20.00    
SCR  IS THERE A FOREST Oct13 Sep29 Sep09 Aug25 Aug04 (chircop )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.00    
10  DIVINE GENESIS Sep15 Aug25 Jul03     (parente pat)SALLES LEO 118 4.00    
11  CRUMLIN BIRD Oct10 Sep27 Sep06 Aug23 Jul17 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 118 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.