Handicappers' Race Results
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Fort Erie
Tuesday - October 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.435K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:23 :464 :593     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SILENCE BREAKERS 2 4 1½ 1½   11 1½ (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 122 2.00 ★ 0.30  
4  CASSIE'S RAINBOW 4 1 31 2½   21 2½ (davies r)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 114 4.50 ★ 6.25 P
3  BE THE CHANGE 3 3 2½ 31   32½ 35¾ (siddo barrington)JOHNSON KIRK 122 2.50 31% 2.20 5.05 S
5  HALF LIT 5 2 42½ 43   44½ 47 (keen howard)PINTO MELANIE 122 5.00 ★ 19.45  
1  BLIND TRUST 1 5 54½ 55½   54½ 58 (rabstein)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 3.00 27% 2.70 8.70  
 
FE-2   10/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($14.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:33
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:00     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ONLY BELIEVE 4 2 22 22½   22 1nk (corb)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 6.00 5.05  
3  VERMONT HOLIDAY 3 1 12 12½   12 2nk (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 116 3.00 ★ 1.95 P
1  MISS SCHILLER 1 6 53¼ 35½   34½ 310¾ (loescher paula)CRAWFORD J 118 8.00 19% 4.30 5.50 S
6  DAISY DANGLES 6 3 43 48   47½ 416 (armata v)DAVID MICHAEL 118 2.50 ★ 3.55  
2  SUNDAY VISIT 2 5 64¾ 58½   57½ 516¼ (tiller p)CHERNETZ SKYE 118 1.80 42% 1.40 2.20  
5  MISS LEGS 5 4 33 611½   69 622 (loescher)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 118 10.00 9% 10.40 49.40  
 
FE-3   10/11/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.435K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:13 1:394   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  A I INITIATIVE 5 1 43 33 32 11½ 15 (ceccato )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 4.00 ★ 7.40  
3  CALMING INFLUENCE 3 2 11½ 1½ 1nk 21½ 25 (jolin chri)BUCHANAN Z 122 3.50 ★ 4.10 P
2  THE NEWFIE EXPRESS 2 4 32½ 44 48 44½ 36¼ (patykewi)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 3.00 1.40  
6  REDOUTE'S LIGHT 6 5 56 510 510½ 57 412½ (tiller p)CHERNETZ SKYE 122 2.50 32% 2.10 4.20  
1  KEEN SAMURAI 1 3 21½ 2½ 2nk 34 518¾ (lafond renico )NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 10.00 8% 11.20 3.55  
4  GORGEOUS KITTEN 4 6 69½ 626 6100 6100 6100 (armata v)DAVID MICHAEL 122 4.50 25% 2.90 13.30  
 
FE-4   10/11/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.435K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:29
See original race card.
:232 :473       1:002   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  UNION COLONEL 2 1 1nk 11   12 12½ (newland )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 5.00 43% 1.40 1.45 W
5  ABSTEMIOUS 5 2 2nk 21   22 22½ (warner k)MAILHOT P 120 2.50 ★ 3.00 P
1  READY AT DAWN 1 3 32½ 33   34 34¾ (ezra dar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00 16.60  
6  ARTIE MY BOY 6 5 52¾ 44   45 47 (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 120 4.50 22% 3.60 7.15  
4  CRUMLIN EXPERIENCE 4 6 66¾ 69½   67½ 510¼ (simm)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 4.00 ★ 6.40  
3  PEPPERONI 3 4 42¾ 55   56½ 627¾ (sullivan elliott)MORENO OMAR 120 3.00 6% 15.10 3.20  
 
FE-5   10/11/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($18.522K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:13 1:404   1:483   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SHAMBO 2 1 2nk 1nk 16 15 14½ (newland )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 111 4.50 25% 3.00 0.65 W
3  MR. COMMISH 3 5 66¾ 68½ 26 25 24½ (wieczorek kendra)CRAWFORD J 118 2.50 ★ 8.20 P
5  CORE 5 7 79¾ 712 410½ 37½ 38¼ (powell a)DACOSTA W 120 12.00 7% 13.20 3.60 S
4  WIN THE DRAW 4 3 34 45½ 714 614 412¾ (drake su)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 4.00 ★ 19.40  
7  MILWAUKEE BAY 7 4 44¼ 34 37 48 513 (wills daniel)NICHOLLS KEVEH 115 1.60 43% 1.30 4.30  
6  RUSHING RIVER 6 6 56¾ 57 511½ 511 631 (agostino george)MAILHOT P 118 20.00 59.40  
1  SECTION TEN 1 2 1nk 2nk 611½ 733 7100 (lafond e)SALLES LEO 116 15.00 38.55  
 
FE-6   10/11/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.435K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:14 1:414   1:49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CRYPTIC CREED 5 6 55 33 2nk 11½ 13 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 118 5.00 1.20  
4  BOCELLI (IRE) 3 5 44 43 51¼ 21½ 23 (keen howard)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.00 30% 2.30 6.55 P
1  SUPER BREW 1 2 31 53¼ 63¼ 43 33½ (fournier mark)MORENO OMAR 118 2.00 31% 2.20 2.30 S
7  SALT MINE TEDDY 6 4 65¼ 66¼ 41¼ 53¼ 49 (loescher paula)CRAWFORD J 118 12.00 16.25  
2  RAYO COLORADO 2 1 1nk 21 31 64¼ 510 (agostino george)MAILHOT P 118 4.00 ★ 5.80  
5  STRONG ATTITUDE 4 3 2nk 11 1nk 33 610½ (smit)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 15.00 ★ 7.95  
SCR  UNDEFILED               (tharreno)ALDERSON IAN 118 6.00 11% 8.00    
 
FE-7   10/11/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:53
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:142 1:404   1:48   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  PRINCESS LAVENDER 6 3 32 33 12½ 15 18½ (rabstein s)SALLES LEO 118 5.00 ★ 1.00  
4  SMARTY ILLUSION 4 6 55½ 46½ 36½ 25 28½ (pion sylvain)CRAWFORD J 120 1.80 22% 3.50 1.80 P
2  LUNATICA 2 2 43½ 57½ 59 48½ 314¾ (wieczorek kendr)HERNANDEZ K 118 12.00 15% 5.80 24.90 S
5  SWEET SHADES 5 4 2½ 22 47½ 59½ 419 (gattellaro m)MORENO OMAR 118 4.50 6.25  
3  SHE AINT NO JOKE 3 1 1½ 12 22½ 37½ 522½ (ceccato )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 2.50 19% 4.20 4.65  
1  RASPBERRY WILD 1 5 68½ 613½ 621 614½ 626¾ (lister steven)DEFREITAS C 118 15.00 7% 13.40 86.90  
SCR  FLEEKA               (albu ken)PINTO MELANIE 118 8.00    
 
FE-8   10/11/2022 4620ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($24.108K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
See original race card.
:243 :483 1:141     1:264   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MONASTERY LANE 4 6 56½ 42   11 14 (dixon patrick)CRAWFORD J 120 2.00 45% 1.20 1.90 W
7  MUSICAL RIDE 7 2 2½ 2nk   21 24 (sullivan)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 1.80 28% 2.60 0.55 P
1  BABY LUNA 1 3 32 31   33 38¼ (williams a)JOHNSON KIRK 120 12.00 17.00  
3  PACENZA 3 4 45 55½   44½ 410½ (ceccato sharon)HERNANDEZ K 120 4.00 ★ 14.65  
6  NEW YORK COMMANDER 6 5 66½ 67   55½ 511 (must)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 20.00 27.50  
2  PRINCESS MORO 2 7 79½ 78½   78 616 (buttigieg kevin)PINTO MELANIE 120 6.00 ★ 18.75  
5  WHATSWRONGWITHYOU 5 1 1½ 1nk   65½ 717½ (thompson valerie)MORENO OMAR 120 12.00 ★ 41.40  
 
FE-9   10/11/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.168K) 2 ALL PT- 4:49
See original race card.
:232 :474       1:004   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  QUIET MADDELENA 7 4 11 11   12 12 (raghunath ravendra)SALLES LEO 115 4.00 10% 9.30 1.65 W
1  TRAJEC HOLIDAY 1 1 21 21   22 22 (mileni nick)KING MARIE 115 3.00 4.00  
2  BEA MAJESTIC G G 2 6 47½ 33½   34½ 34 (robillard julie)HERNANDEZ K 115 8.00 ★ 5.85 S
3  SUPER FOLLOW 3 2 33½ 43½   44½ 45¼ (neubauer michae)PINTO MELANIE 115 2.50 61% 0.60 2.00  
6  DEFOGGER 5 5 68½ 56½   58 510¾ (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 118 8.00 ★ 21.95  
7  EL BANDOLERO 6 3 57½ 67½   68½ 611 (humber joseph)GOBAY WILBERT 118 15.00 ★ 45.45  
5  OLA BRO 4 7 7100 7100   7100 7100 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 118 10.00 9.85  
SCR  CATRIN               (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.