Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Tuesday - November 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   11/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 2 F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:001     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS 6 1 1½ 12   13 13 (skerrett jeffrey)HOUGHTON D 120 8.00 8.60  
1A  NEAR PERFECT 4 5 6 56   47 23 (gorham m)DIAZ I 120 2.00 13% 6.60 2.90  
SOFT TALK 1 2 2½ 33   36 34 (sharp joe)MCKEE J 120 1.20 60% 0.70 0.80 S
IN TROUBLED WATERS 3 3 31 22   23 44 (faulkner c)AVILES YAN 122 4.00 2.80  
KETTLE KISS 5 4 42 4   59 5 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 120 6.00 6% 15.90 14.00  
EXPRESS FASHION 2 6 53 68   611½ 614¼ (gorham robe)CORREA L 120 2.00 2.90  
 
MVR-2   11/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($23.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
See original race card.
:26 :511 1:154 1:282   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OAKS HONEY 1 5 55 2 1nk 1 1 (brown glenroy)CEDILLO MAURO 121 1.20 32% 2.20 0.20 W
POWERFUL PHIL 2 1 1½ 1 2nk 2 2 (morale)SALAZAR VICTOR 122 6.00 8.30 P
BEAT THE DEALER 4 4 3 3 3 34 3 (zielinski richa)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.50 11% 8.10 6.20 S
SAMMY DA BULL 5 3 4 5 4 411 412¼ (faulkner rodney )HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 24.50  
SEND ME ON 6 6 65 6 611 613½ 515¼ (gorham ro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.50 29% 2.50 7.20  
DEER CREEK ROAD 3 2 2½ 42 58 512 615½ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 8.00 39.10  
 
MVR-3   11/15/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:41
See original race card.
:253 :504 1:162 1:434   1:481   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIRLINTHEFIREPLACE 7 2 22 33 3 1nk 1 (flick julia)DIAZ I 124 4.00 15% 5.70 3.20 W
ORBIT BOUND 5 1 12 12 1 2nk 2 (urieta johanna)BRACHO A 122 1.60 26% 2.90 1.60 P
PRINCESS MORO 4 6 7 78 6 6 313¼ (buttigieg kevi)KEISER CHELSEY 124 2.00 2.50 S
PASATIME 3 3 33 22 2 3 414¾ (sondej amy)CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00 13% 6.90 13.60  
CHORIST 2 7 55 4 46 49 515 (waltz brian)FELICIANO R 122 8.00 4.30  
NATIVE VALLEY 1 5 6 68 7 7 616¾ (bird danny)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 15.00 48.80  
HALF LEGEND 6 4 4 5 5 5 720¼ (vecchio caryn)TAPARA BRANDON 124 12.00 13% 6.90 18.30  
 
MVR-4   11/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
See original race card.
:25 :484 1:143 1:283   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S CRAFTY 4 1 65 69 5 2 1 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 124 3.50 1.10  
STARSHIP MACYS 2 2 1½ 1 1 1 2 (pappada j)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 2.50 53% 0.90 5.20 P
INCESSANT 6 5 42 4 3 35 310¼ (galloway)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 7% 13.70 4.50 S
BALLROOM BLITZ 1 3 2½ 3 2 45 412 (gorham m)RIVERA R 124 5.00 7% 13.10 2.20  
FORGLO 3 6 5 5 6 512 512¾ (brownfield clau)BRACHO A 124 4.50 12.70  
DIVA POWER 5 4 31 2 43 612¼ 627¼ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 21.40  
 
MVR-5   11/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT- 2:37
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:003     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE MIRACLE KIUT 8 1 1½ 1½   12 1¾ (vecchio caryn)TAPARA BRANDON 122 4.00 52% 0.90 1.50 W
CHANEL SPIRIT 6 3 3½ 2½   22 2¾ (cline c)HALDAR J 122 10.00 11.20  
SEEYOUINMOTOWN 4 5 43 3   35 3 (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 3.00 12% 7.10 2.60 S
HELLO SWEETS 5 7 8 78   610½ 4 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 122 12.00 6.30  
HERE COMES DOLLY 7 6 7 5   510 511¾ (minnock g)HOUGHTON D 122 6.00 21.40  
EMERSON JONES 1 4 2½ 4   410 612¼ (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 117 8.00 11.90  
MISS BUMBUM 2 8 6 6   713 721 (bernardini jay)MAYTA J 122 20.00 50.40  
DOMINUS O'S ME 3 9 910¼ 911   920¼ 824¼ (urieta jo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 2.50 12% 7.10 5.70  
10  ANGEL'S DESTINY 10 10 1014¼ 1014   820 925 (flores israel)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 20.00 22.40  
SHAKA'S LYRIC 9 2 54 810½   1020¾ 1025¾ (silva fernando)DIAZ R 122 20.00 ######  
 
MVR-6   11/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:253 :493 1:144 1:281   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PIT BOSS 2 6 3 2½ 1½ 1 11 (cash l)AVILES YAN 119 3.00 30% 2.30 1.00 W
UPTOWN 5 5 4 4 3 2 21 (rone mike)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 6.00 19% 4.30 8.10 P
LAUTREC 1 3 2nk 3½ 43 33 35 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 124 8.00 4.00  
MAKING ME CRAZY 6 2 6 6 6 6 47 (mahan p)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00 3.70  
VISKI JONES 4 4 5 54 5 54 5 (londono j)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 8% 11.50 9.30  
TOMATO BILL 3 1 1nk 1½ 2½ 43 6 (londono j)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 21% 3.90 7.50  
SCR  WE ALL SEE IT               (reed r)MCKEE J 122 2.00    
 
MVR-7   11/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:231 :464 :594     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSE'S GALAXY 1 3 1nk 1nk   1nk 1hd (spiess s)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.50 15% 5.50 1.20 W
GEHRIG 4 2 2nk 2nk   2nk 2hd (wolochuk david)BRACHO A 124 3.50 47% 1.10 1.80 P
NOBLE BEHAVIOR 6 1 3½ 31   31 3 (londono j)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00 5.10  
THE DRAKE 2 4 66 6   59 4 (flores christi)KEISER CHELSEY 124 4.00 11% 8.30 4.80  
POWER SONG 5 5 42 4   44 5 (trevino g)STANLEY O 124 10.00 18.60  
NICAMORE 3 6 53 5   610½ 620¼ (pizzurro jo)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 15.00 29.90  
SCR  REINSURE               (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 10.00    
SCR  RULING EMPIRE               (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 6.00    
 
MVR-8   11/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:254 :512 1:172 1:303   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VOLUME OF TRUST 8 6 64 4 3.2 1nk 1¾ (faulkner c)AVILES YAN 119 2.50 7% 12.80 3.50 W
VENTURE ON 7 1 32 5 4 2nk 2¾ (gorham m)DIAZ I 122 2.00 50% 1.00 1.80 P
LIL RICKYS JEWEL 3 3 11 3.2 1nk 4 3 (cline c)HOUGHTON D 122 6.00 4.40 S
ZAROSHA 1 7 7 7 5 57 4 (poole m)BRACHO A 122 8.00 12.30  
DASH OF FIRE 6 8 8 6 7 6 58 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 122 10.00 41.50  
RUN ROCKY 4 5 21 1nk 2nk 3½ 6 (madr)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 6% 16.40 2.70  
GIBBY MY CORN 2 4 43 8 8 7 713 (murillo rodrig)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 4.00 11% 8.30 9.00  
1A  THANKSDAD 5 2 53 2nk 6 810¾ 816¾ (poole m)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 122 8.00 12.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.