The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Mahoning Valley Race Course
Tuesday - November 15, 2022
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MVR-1   11/15/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($33.7K) 2 F PT-12:45
:233 :472 1:001     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS 6 1 1½ 12   13 13 (skerrett jeffrey)HOUGHTON D 120 8.00 ★ 8.60  
1A  NEAR PERFECT 4 5 63½ 56   47 23 (gorham m)DIAZ I 120 2.00 13% 6.60 2.90  
2  SOFT TALK 1 2 2½ 33   36 34 (sharp joe)MCKEE J 120 1.20 60% 0.70 0.80 S
3  IN TROUBLED WATERS 3 3 31 22   23 44 (faulkner c)AVILES YAN 122 4.00 ★ 2.80  
4  KETTLE KISS 5 4 42 45½   59 57¾ (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 120 6.00 6% 15.90 14.00  
1  EXPRESS FASHION 2 6 53 68   611½ 614¼ (gorham m)CORREA L 120 2.00 ★ 2.90  
 
MVR-2   11/15/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($23.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
:26 :511 1:154 1:282   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OAKS HONEY 1 5 55 21½ 1nk 11½ 16¾ (brown glenroy)CEDILLO MAURO 121 1.20 32% 2.20 0.20 W
2  POWERFUL PHIL 2 1 1½ 11½ 2nk 21½ 26¾ (morales m)SALAZAR VICTOR 122 6.00 ★ 8.30 P
4  BEAT THE DEALER 4 4 31½ 31½ 32½ 34 39¾ (zielinski richard)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.50 11% 8.10 6.20 S
5  SAMMY DA BULL 5 3 42½ 52¼ 46½ 411 412¼ (faulkner c)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 ★ 24.50  
6  SEND ME ON 6 6 65 64¾ 611 613½ 515¼ (gorham m)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.50 29% 2.50 7.20  
3  DEER CREEK ROAD 3 2 2½ 42 58 512 615½ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 8.00 39.10  
 
MVR-3   11/15/2022 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:41
:253 :504 1:162 1:434   1:481   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GIRLINTHEFIREPLACE 7 2 22 33 31½ 1nk 17¾ (flick julia)DIAZ I 124 4.00 15% 5.70 3.20 W
5  ORBIT BOUND 5 1 12 12 11½ 2nk 27¾ (urieta johanna)BRACHO A 122 1.60 26% 2.90 1.60 P
4  PRINCESS MORO 4 6 76½ 78 66¼ 69¾ 313¼ (buttigieg kevin)KEISER CHELSEY 124 2.00 ★ 2.50 S
3  PASATIME 3 3 33 22 21½ 35½ 414¾ (sondej amy)CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00 13% 6.90 13.60  
2  CHORIST 2 7 55 43½ 46 49 515 (waltz brian)FELICIANO R 122 8.00 4.30  
1  NATIVE VALLEY 1 5 66½ 68 77¾ 79¾ 616¾ (bird danny)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 15.00 48.80  
6  HALF LEGEND 6 4 44½ 54½ 56¼ 59¼ 720¼ (vecchio caryn)TAPARA BRANDON 124 12.00 13% 6.90 18.30  
 
MVR-4   11/15/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
:25 :484 1:143 1:283   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SHE'S CRAFTY 4 1 65 69 55½ 24½ 14¾ (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 124 3.50 ★ 1.10  
2  STARSHIP MACYS 2 2 1½ 12½ 11½ 14½ 24¾ (pappada a)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 2.50 53% 0.90 5.20 P
6  INCESSANT 6 5 42 43½ 31½ 35 310¼ (galloway khadeem)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 7% 13.70 4.50 S
1  BALLROOM BLITZ 1 3 2½ 32½ 21½ 45 412 (gorham m)RIVERA R 124 5.00 7% 13.10 2.20  
3  FORGLO 3 6 53½ 57½ 67½ 512 512¾ (brownfield claude)BRACHO A 124 4.50 12.70  
5  DIVA POWER 5 4 31 22½ 43 612¼ 627¼ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 ★ 21.40  
 
MVR-5   11/15/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT- 2:37
:232 :473 1:003     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  THE MIRACLE KIUT 8 1 1½ 1½   12 1¾ (vecchio caryn)TAPARA BRANDON 122 4.00 52% 0.90 1.50 W
6  CHANEL SPIRIT 6 3 3½ 2½   22 2¾ (cline c)HALDAR J 122 10.00 11.20  
4  SEEYOUINMOTOWN 4 5 43 33½   35 35¼ (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 3.00 12% 7.10 2.60 S
5  HELLO SWEETS 5 7 88¼ 78   610½ 49¾ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 122 12.00 6.30  
7  HERE COMES DOLLY 7 6 74¼ 56½   510 511¾ (minnock g)HOUGHTON D 122 6.00 ★ 21.40  
1  EMERSON JONES 1 4 2½ 45½   410 612¼ (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 117 8.00 ★ 11.90  
2  MISS BUMBUM 2 8 64¼ 66½   713 721 (bernardini p)MAYTA J 122 20.00 50.40  
3  DOMINUS O'S ME 3 9 910¼ 911   920¼ 824¼ (urieta johanna)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 2.50 12% 7.10 5.70  
10  ANGEL'S DESTINY 10 10 1014¼ 1014   820 925 (flores israel)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 20.00 22.40  
9  SHAKA'S LYRIC 9 2 54 810½   1020¾ 1025¾ (silva fernando)DIAZ R 122 20.00 ######  
 
MVR-6   11/15/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
:253 :493 1:144 1:281   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PIT BOSS 2 6 31½ 2½ 1½ 11½ 11 (cash l)AVILES YAN 119 3.00 30% 2.30 1.00 W
5  UPTOWN 5 5 41¾ 41½ 31½ 21½ 21 (rone mike)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 6.00 19% 4.30 8.10 P
1  LAUTREC 1 3 2nk 3½ 43 33 35 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 124 8.00 4.00  
7  MAKING ME CRAZY 6 2 69¾ 68½ 65½ 64¼ 47 (mahan p)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00 3.70  
4  VISKI JONES 4 4 53¾ 54 55½ 54 57½ (londono j)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 8% 11.50 9.30  
3  TOMATO BILL 3 1 1nk 1½ 2½ 43 69¼ (londono j)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 21% 3.90 7.50  
SCR  WE ALL SEE IT               (reed r)MCKEE J 122 2.00 ★    
 
MVR-7   11/15/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
:231 :464 :594     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROSE'S GALAXY 1 3 1nk 1nk   1nk 1hd (spiess m)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.50 15% 5.50 1.20 W
5  GEHRIG 4 2 2nk 2nk   2nk 2hd (wolochuk david)BRACHO A 124 3.50 47% 1.10 1.80 P
8  NOBLE BEHAVIOR 6 1 3½ 31   31 31½ (londono j)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00 5.10  
3  THE DRAKE 2 4 66 67½   59 43¾ (flores christian)KEISER CHELSEY 124 4.00 11% 8.30 4.80  
6  POWER SONG 5 5 42 43½   44 54½ (trevino g)STANLEY O 124 10.00 ★ 18.60  
4  NICAMORE 3 6 53 56½   610½ 620¼ (pizzurro joseph)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 15.00 29.90  
SCR  REINSURE               (zielinski richard)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 10.00    
SCR  RULING EMPIRE               (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 6.00 ★    
 
MVR-8   11/15/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
:254 :512 1:172 1:303   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  VOLUME OF TRUST 8 6 64 41¼ 3.2 1nk 1¾ (faulkner c)AVILES YAN 119 2.50 7% 12.80 3.50 W
6  VENTURE ON 7 1 32 53¼ 41¼ 2nk 2¾ (gorham m)DIAZ I 122 2.00 50% 1.00 1.80 P
3  LIL RICKYS JEWEL 3 3 11 3.2 1nk 43½ 36¼ (cline c)HOUGHTON D 122 6.00 ★ 4.40 S
1  ZAROSHA 1 7 74¼ 75¼ 52¾ 57 47½ (poole m)BRACHO A 122 8.00 12.30  
5  DASH OF FIRE 6 8 87¼ 65¼ 73¾ 67¼ 58 (faulkner c)TOLEDO S 122 10.00 41.50  
4  RUN ROCKY 4 5 21 1nk 2nk 3½ 68¾ (madrigal sr)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 6% 16.40 2.70  
2  GIBBY MY CORN 2 4 43 87¼ 85¾ 78¾ 713 (murillo alejandro)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 4.00 11% 8.30 9.00  
1A  THANKSDAD 5 2 53 2nk 62¾ 810¾ 816¾ (poole m)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 122 8.00 12.30  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.