Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - November 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   11/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 2 F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXPRESS FASHION Oct06 Sep29 Sep14 Aug31 Aug15 (gorham ro)CORREA L 120 2.00 ★    
1A  NEAR PERFECT Oct06 Sep15 Aug31 Jul28 Jul05 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 120 2.00 13% 6.60    
2  SOFT TALK Oct29 Sep21       (sharp joe)MCKEE J 120 1.20 60% 0.70    
3  IN TROUBLED WATERS Oct29 Sep29 Aug31 Aug15 Jul28 (faulkner rodney )AVILES YAN 122 4.00 ★    
4  KETTLE KISS Nov01 Sep29       (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 120 6.00 6% 15.90    
5  SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS Oct29 Oct05 Sep01     (skerrett jeffr)HOUGHTON D 120 8.00 ★    
 
MVR-2   11/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($23.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OAKS HONEY Oct27 Oct14 Sep29 Sep05 Aug02 (brown glenroy)CEDILLO MAURO 121 1.20 32% 2.20    
2  POWERFUL PHIL Oct24 Sep28 Sep14 Aug15 Jul28 (mora)SALAZAR VICTOR 122 6.00 ★    
3  DEER CREEK ROAD Oct31 Oct12 Sep29 Sep15 Aug29 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 8.00    
4  BEAT THE DEALER Oct31 Sep29 Sep19 Sep05 Aug16 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.50 11% 8.10    
5  SAMMY DA BULL Oct31 Oct12 Sep21 Sep06 Aug18 (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 ★    
6  SEND ME ON Sep05 Aug18 Aug02 Jul15 Jun20 (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.50 29% 2.50    
 
MVR-3   11/15/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NATIVE VALLEY Oct31 Oct10 Oct03 Sep13 Aug23 (bird danny)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 15.00    
2  CHORIST Sep22 Aug10 May24 Mar24   (waltz brian)FELICIANO R 122 8.00    
3  PASATIME Oct13 Sep26 Sep13 Aug31 Aug04 (sondej amy)CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00 13% 6.90    
4  PRINCESS MORO Oct11 Sep19 Aug30 Aug09 Jul26 (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 124 2.00 ★    
5  ORBIT BOUND Oct26 Oct13 Oct06 May11 Apr26 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 122 1.60 26% 2.90    
6  HALF LEGEND Nov08 Oct26 Oct13 Sep21 Sep06 (vecchio cary)TAPARA BRANDON 124 12.00 13% 6.90    
7  GIRLINTHEFIREPLACE Oct06 Sep26 May06 Apr13 Mar24 (flick julia)DIAZ I 124 4.00 15% 5.70    
 
MVR-4   11/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BALLROOM BLITZ Oct29 Sep27 Aug13 Jul15 Jun30 (gorham m)RIVERA R 124 5.00 7% 13.10    
2  STARSHIP MACYS Oct13 Sep29 Sep13 Sep05 Aug09 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 2.50 53% 0.90    
3  FORGLO Oct10 Sep29 Sep13 Aug18 Jul27 (brownfield cl)BRACHO A 124 4.50    
4  SHE'S CRAFTY Oct29 Oct13 Aug24 Aug13 Jul19 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 124 3.50 ★    
5  DIVA POWER Oct22 Apr28 Jan26     (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 ★    
6  INCESSANT Nov01 Oct05 Sep12 Aug10 Jul19 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 7% 13.70    
 
MVR-5   11/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMERSON JONES Oct31 Oct05 Sep01 Aug13 Aug01 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 117 8.00 ★    
2  MISS BUMBUM Oct31         (bernardini j)MAYTA J 122 20.00    
3  DOMINUS O'S ME Oct29 Oct13       (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 2.50 12% 7.10    
4  SEEYOUINMOTOWN Oct31 Oct05       (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 3.00 12% 7.10    
5  HELLO SWEETS         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 12.00    
6  CHANEL SPIRIT Oct31 Oct05 Aug24     (cline robert)HALDAR J 122 10.00    
7  HERE COMES DOLLY Oct10 Sep12 Aug24 Aug02   (minnock wayne )HOUGHTON D 122 6.00 ★    
8  THE MIRACLE KIUT Oct31         (vecchio cary)TAPARA BRANDON 122 4.00 52% 0.90    
9  SHAKA'S LYRIC Oct31         (silva fernando)DIAZ R 122 20.00    
10  ANGEL'S DESTINY         (flores isra)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 20.00    
 
MVR-6   11/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAUTREC Oct27 Oct14 Sep14 Aug17 Jul25 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 124 8.00    
2  PIT BOSS Nov02 Oct27 Oct15 Sep24 Aug19 (cash l)AVILES YAN 119 3.00 30% 2.30    
3  TOMATO BILL Nov03 Oct22 Oct04 Sep13 Aug23 (londono odin )CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 21% 3.90    
4  VISKI JONES Oct05 Sep19 Sep07 Aug09 Jul26 (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 8% 11.50    
5  UPTOWN Oct27 Aug13 Jul05 Jun03 May02 (rone mike)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 6.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  WE ALL SEE IT Sep16 Aug14 Jul04 Jun04 Apr16 (reed r)MCKEE J 122 2.00 ★    
7  MAKING ME CRAZY Nov08 Oct22 Sep29 Sep19 Aug22 (mahan joseph)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00    
 
MVR-7   11/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROSE'S GALAXY Oct31 Sep20 Sep12 Aug01 Jul18 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.50 15% 5.50    
SCR  REINSURE Oct27 Sep28 Aug18 Aug02 Jul18 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 10.00    
3  THE DRAKE Oct12 Sep21 Aug29 Aug16 Jul12 (flores chris)KEISER CHELSEY 124 4.00 11% 8.30    
4  NICAMORE May22         (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 15.00    
5  GEHRIG Oct31 Oct12 Sep19 Aug18 Jul04 (wolochuk davi)BRACHO A 124 3.50 47% 1.10    
6  POWER SONG Oct31 Sep27       (trevino stephen)STANLEY O 124 10.00 ★    
SCR  RULING EMPIRE Oct24 Sep27 Sep13 Sep01 Aug16 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 6.00 ★    
8  NOBLE BEHAVIOR Nov08 Oct12 Sep19 Aug31 Aug16 (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00    
 
MVR-8   11/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZAROSHA Oct26 Oct14 Sep29 Sep05 Aug10 (poole m)BRACHO A 122 8.00    
1A  THANKSDAD Oct22 Oct13 Sep20 Sep05 Aug08 (poole m)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 122 8.00    
2  GIBBY MY CORN Oct31 Sep12 Aug24 Aug13 Jun29 (murillo rodr)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 4.00 11% 8.30    
3  LIL RICKYS JEWEL Jun01 May21 Apr15 Mar05 Jan05 (cline c)HOUGHTON D 122 6.00 ★    
4  RUN ROCKY Oct26 Oct05 Sep19 Sep05 Aug13 (ma)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 6% 16.40    
5  DASH OF FIRE Oct31 Oct13 Sep28 Sep12 Sep01 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 122 10.00    
6  VENTURE ON Sep28 Sep20 Aug12 Jul20 Jul04 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 122 2.00 50% 1.00    
7  VOLUME OF TRUST Oct31 Oct13 Sep28 Sep12 Sep05 (faulkner rodney )AVILES YAN 119 2.50 7% 12.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.