The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Penn National
Wednesday - November 02, 2022

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PEN-1   11/02/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($28K) 2 ALL PT- 6:00
:221 :453 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRAWBERRY TREAT 2 4 4 4   31 1(zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 121 6.00 7.80  
GRAND ESCAPE 1 2 1nk 1nk   1nk 2(bailes robert)BARBOSA JEIRON 114 2.50 28% 2.50 0.90 P
UPSTATE AND BACK 4 5 58 5   43(agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 119 3.50 13% 6.40 4.20 S
RUN HAPPY PAPPY 3 3 2nk 2nk   2nk 43 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 119 3.00 2.50  
I ONCE STOOD ALONE 5 1 3 33   56 515½ (brooks e)RODRIGUEZ R 119 4.50 7.90  
SCR  LOOKIN BACK LUCKY               (crane clovis)HERNANDEZ A 119 5.00 22% 3.50    
 
PEN-2   11/02/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
:234 :472 1:123 1:393   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OVER AND THUNDER 1 4 1 1 1 17 110¼ (schoenthal phil)CHIAPPE R 121 1.80 12% 7.50 2.00 W
DOUBLE TIME BAY 2 3 43 4 34 27 210¼ (kulp l)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.00 37% 1.70 5.10 P
SIMILAR TASTE 3 2 2 2 2 37 325 (gladden damon)CONNER TYLER 121 2.50 0.60 S
SCYNTZ 4 1 33 3 4 413 430 (martinez a)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 8.00 9.80  
SCR  LTL BEAR SALOON               (graci a)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.50 28% 2.60    
 
PEN-3   11/02/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
:214 :451 :573     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KNICKERSINATWIST 2 4 3½ 4   21½ (stites w)CORUJO LEONARDO 119 10.00 3.40  
DWELLER 1 3 2nk 1nk   12½ (kulp l)WHITNEY G 121 12.00 7% 14.30 23.40 P
MEMPHIS MAFIA 3 5 85 8   53(o'callahan carl)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00 36.30 S
HEAVENLY PRAISE 4 8 5 6   34(trombetta j)RODRIGUEZ R 119 3.00 8% 11.30 8.90  
PRINCESS RUNAWAY 6 7 1nk 2nk   45(crook-demasi kathlee)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00 12% 7.40 15.40  
GLOSSY MADRINA 5 9 910 9   611½ 68 (ferreira fernando)VARGAS L 120 50.00 87.70  
RUNNIN REDBIRD 7 1 7 5   711¾ 7(salvaggio jr)HERNANDEZ A 119 6.00 6.60  
RAIN LILLY 8 6 6 7   812¼ 812 (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 4.50 4.20  
BOWTOTHEQUEEN 9 2 42 31   918¼ 944¾ (stites w)CONNER TYLER 121 3.50 48% 1.10 1.30  
 
PEN-4   11/02/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
:253 :503 1:153 1:411   1:473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHO U GONNA CALL 3 2 1 11 11 14 111¼ (gonzalez a)RODRIGUEZ A 113 2.00 27% 2.70 0.20 W
OH SO JAZZY 5 3 2 21 21 24 211¼ (nunley randy)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 11.50 P
DOUBLE DOT 6 6 3 3 54 510½ 316½ (boyer jr)CORA D 120 3.50 6.70 S
GINGERONMYMIND 2 1 4 43 33 36 416¾ (hayes kirsten)WHITNEY G 120 3.00 47% 1.10 8.60  
SEEKING THE THRONE 4 4 53 5 65 613½ 520½ (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 120 8.00 45.00  
SMART TART 1 5 6 6 44 49 620¾ (kravets m)VARGAS L 120 4.50 19.60  
 
PEN-5   11/02/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
:244 :482 1:122 1:25   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WISH FOR PEACE 1 1 42 4 2nk 11 13 (stites w)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 3.00 15% 5.50 5.90 W
PIT BOSS 5 4 5 52 1nk 21 23 (cash l)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 3.80  
SEICHE 4 3 64 6 6 53(ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.00 3.40 S
P JS SILVER DUKE 3 6 2½ 3½ 5 43 4(wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00 7.70  
MASON MANIA 2 5 1½ 1½ 3½ 35(kulp l)CONNER TYLER 121 3.50 13% 6.90 2.80  
CRUSH IT 6 2 3 2½ 4¾ 65 6(mcmahon demelza)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 4.00 49% 1.00 2.90  
 
PEN-6   11/02/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
:242 :474 1:123 1:253   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORTHERN THUNDER 7 5 31 5 4 32 1(mcmahon demelza)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 8.00 6% 16.50 1.10 W
COLONEL MOORHEAD 4 1 1nk 1½ 1nk 11 2(rathman elisha)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.00 13% 6.60 7.00 P
HOT N SPICY LOVE 1 4 5 41 31 21 32 (synnefias a)CONNER TYLER 124 5.00 6.90 S
AXXERATOR 3 6 6 6 5 54(maldonado jonathan)CORUJO LEONARDO 117 6.00 21.40  
TRIPLE A. PLUS 5 3 2nk 2½ 2nk 45(kreiser c)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 53% 0.90 2.90  
THIS ILL DEFEND 6 7 7 76 6 66(ness jamie)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 6.30  
A T M AWESOME 2 2 4 31 7 77(zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 120 20.00 19.70  
 
PEN-7   11/02/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
:231 :463 :584     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEAVENLY HEART 5 2 2½ 3½   11 1¼ (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 1.80 58% 0.70 0.90 W
HAPPY TAPPY TIM 3 5 31 1½   21 2¼ (kulp l)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.50 5.00 P
DOWSER 1 3 52 52   32 3¼ (kreiser c)HERNANDEZ A 121 4.00 1.50 S
SAW THE LIGHT 2 4 4 4   55 4(crook-demasi kathlee)CONNER TYLER 123 6.00 15.60  
RUN LAURA RUN 4 1 1½ 2½   44 5(king c)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 3.00 10.70  
 
PEN-8   11/02/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
:223 :454 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAST MINUTE MARIO 2 1 11 1nk   1nk 1¼ (catalano l)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 2.00 1.10  
FREEDOM'S START 3 2 21 2nk   2nk 2¼ (albright r)TUNON JORDANO 121 4.50 8.70 P
ORASHI 7 6 5 31   32 3(fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 121 10.00 9.40  
AGGRANDIZE 6 4 4 4   44(hendriks j)RODRIGUEZ R 121 5.00 2.50  
BUFF AND SHINE 1 3 3 52   555 (salvaggio jr)CONNER TYLER 121 3.00 51% 1.00 4.60  
MR DUBAI 4 5 63 65   66(martinez a)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 8.00 40.80  
WHISTLE PLAYER 5 7 75 78   714¼ 719 (martinez a)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 8.00 15% 5.50 15.40  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.